India stock market today: Nifty ends higher but IT rout drags Sensex as RBI looms
4 February 2026
2 mins read

India stock market today: Nifty ends higher but IT rout drags Sensex as RBI looms

Mumbai, Feb 4, 2026, 16:18 IST — Markets closed for the day.

  • Nifty 50 eked out a slim 0.19% gain, while Sensex ended up just 0.09% after a late-day rally.
  • The Nifty IT index plunged, marking its steepest drop in nearly six years amid fears of AI-driven disruption.
  • Traders are zeroing in on Friday’s RBI policy announcement and awaiting more details on the U.S.-India trade deal.

Indian shares nudged higher Wednesday, holding on just barely after a steep drop in IT stocks offset gains from the new U.S. trade deal. The Nifty 50 crept up 0.19% to 25,776, while the Sensex inched forward 0.09% to 83,817.69.

IT remains a dominant force in India’s indexes and a key route for foreign investment. The recent tariff cut has provided a short-term boost to sentiment, but bigger issues around earnings and valuations linger. Foreign investors have only “dipped their toes” in so far; many big names want to see concrete profit growth before jumping in. https://www.reuters.com/world/india/indias…

Tuesday’s jump set the pace. The Nifty surged 2.5% after a trade deal cut U.S. tariffs on Indian goods from 50% to just 18%. Foreign institutional investors rushed in, recording their biggest single-day inflow since late October, per provisional NSE data.

Wednesday saw a sharp turn in IT sentiment. The Nifty IT index dropped as much as 6.3%, its steepest fall since March 2020. This decline followed a global selloff triggered by U.S. AI firm Anthropic’s rollout of new workplace plug-ins for its Claude Cowork agent.

“Reliance on large vendor teams could decline, squeezing billable hours and margins,” said Systematix Group analyst Ambrish Shah. (Billable hours mean the time firms can charge clients for.) https://www.reuters.com/world/india/indian…

Tata Consultancy Services, Infosys, HCLTech, and Tech Mahindra plunged sharply, shedding between 4.1% and 7.3%, anchoring the bottom of the Nifty 50. Meanwhile, most other sectors managed gains by the close.

Export-focused stocks held strong despite tariff concerns. Textile firms Gokaldas Exports and Indo Count Industries surged 20% and 13.2%, respectively. Seafood players Avanti Feeds and Apex Frozen climbed 11.7% and 6.8%, Reuters reported.

The rupee remains under pressure outside of equities. A Reuters poll shows strategists expect it to trade around 90.19 per dollar by the end of April, even after Tuesday’s sharp 1.36% surge — its biggest one-day rise since December 2018.

Rate expectations are tightening as the week unfolds. The RBI is widely anticipated to hold rates steady on Friday. Economists will zero in on any steps to improve the “transmission” of earlier rate cuts—whether reduced policy rates are actually lowering borrowing costs. They’ll also be watching for clues on liquidity support via bond purchases. https://www.reuters.com/business/india-cen…

TeamLease Services shares gained 4.5% following a nearly 47% jump in quarterly profit. The company attributed the surge to rising demand for specialized staff at global capability centres, offshore hubs operated by multinationals.

Fractal Analytics set its IPO price band between 857 and 900 rupees per share, targeting a valuation around 144.5 billion rupees ($1.6 billion), according to Reuters. The pricing reflects investor sentiment amid recent market swings.

The risk is clear: concerns about AI-driven disruption might drag down IT valuations. On top of that, with the trade deal still uncertain, investors will likely demand solid earnings numbers rather than just hopeful headlines.

Shan Ahmed Khan is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, technology and macroeconomic trends. A graduate of the Lahore University of Management Sciences (LUMS), he previously worked in investment research and market analysis. His coverage helps readers understand the key developments influencing global financial markets and emerging industries.

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TS2 TECH • DAILY MODEL PORTFOLIO

Stocks to Buy Today

Five stocks stand out, supported by recent earnings or more attractive entry points. Today's selection highlights companies raising their outlooks and reporting firm orders, rather than focusing on heavily traded chipmakers.

Today’s market stance Selective • earnings-led
#1 • HIGHEST CONVICTION 24% weight

Xylem

NYSE: XYL
STRONG BUY
Model score 92 / 100
★★★★★

A 12-cent earnings beat and raised 2026 profit outlook highlight the results, while quarterly revenue matched expectations. The water treatment segment offers AI infrastructure exposure without increasing semiconductor holdings.

Why today

Earnings per share surpassed expectations; the company raised its guidance, citing increased water demand from data centers.

Next catalyst

Order conversions are being monitored to confirm that the new margin level is sustainable.

Main risk: Annual revenue guidance moved to about $9.2bn, and project timing can shift.
#2 • BEST CONTRARIAN 22% weight

Alphabet

NASDAQ: GOOGL
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Model score 89 / 100
★★★★½

Google Cloud's revenue surged 82%, with its operating margin hitting 35.6%. However, shares declined as capital expenditures increased. The reset offers a better entry point, but exposure remains limited since quarterly free cash flow moved into negative territory.

Why today

Cloud segment outperformed expectations; company reset guidance following earnings; search operations continue to drive strong cash flow.

Next catalyst

Cloud backlog is being converted more efficiently, leading to improved alignment between expenditures and cash flow.

Main risk: 2026 capex is now $195bn to $205bn, while depreciation is rising.
#3 • DEFENSIVE GROWTH 20% weight

Unilever

LON: ULVR • NYSE: UL
BUY ON PULLBACKS
Model score 87 / 100
★★★★☆

Underlying sales increased by 5.8%, driven by a 5.5% rise in volume—the company's strongest volume growth in over ten years. Guidance has been raised, but after today's significant share price jump, a gradual approach to buying may be more prudent.

Why today

Strong volumes drive results; outlook raised; steady cash flow in low-beta environment

Next catalyst

Second-half pricing trends and updates on the Foods transaction.

Main risk: Commodity inflation, currency moves and a large one-day gap.
#4 • EARNINGS MOMENTUM 18% weight

Sherwin-Williams

NYSE: SHW
ACCUMULATE
Model score 84 / 100
★★★★☆

Sales and adjusted earnings surpassed expectations, prompting management to raise its full-year guidance. The company is benefiting from higher prices and increased market share, but the stock's rapid three-day rally suggests investors may want to hold off on buying at the open.

Why today

The company beat expectations, raised its outlook, demonstrated strong pricing power, and continued to gain market share.

Next catalyst

The company is targeting adjusted EPS between $11.80 and $12.20.

Main risk: Weak housing demand, raw-material inflation and a richer entry.
#5 • TACTICAL UPSIDE 16% weight

PayPal

NASDAQ: PYPL
TACTICAL BUY
Model score 81 / 100
★★★★☆

Adjusted earnings surpassed expectations, prompting an increase in full-year profit guidance. The reported $60.50 per share approach offers added flexibility, though its smaller weighting signals lower margins and uncertainty regarding a potential deal.

Why today

Earnings surpass forecasts; guidance raised; strategic options under review.

Next catalyst

Focus is on the $400 million cost program, margin trends, and any official response to the deal.

Main risk: Operating margin fell to 17.4%, and no sale is assured.
Portfolio structure
Water & infrastructure 24%
Technology & cloud 22%
Consumer staples 20%
Coatings & materials 18%
Payments 16%
Build positions in two or three tranches.

Avoid buying a stock that's trading more than 5% above its previous close. Revisit the list after Wednesday's Fed decision and this week's mega-cap earnings.

Strong companies, weaker entries today
Coca-Cola NYSE: KO
WAIT FOR PULLBACK

Strong quarter with improved guidance, but a nearly 6% rally limits short-term upside.

Visa NYSE: V
WAIT FOR RESULTS

Visa is set to report earnings after the close. The portfolio won’t be taking on new event risk ahead of the results.

Nvidia NASDAQ: NVDA
WATCH

While long-term demand is solid, questions persist around chip momentum and AI financing.

Portfolio heat 6.4 / 10

Moderate. Recent earnings provide solid support, though event risk is still elevated.

Market risk check

The Nasdaq faces continued pressure as chip stocks endure a steep correction. With the Federal Reserve set to announce its decision on Wednesday, investors should brace for increased intraday volatility.

TS2 DAILY MODEL PORTFOLIO 100% allocated

This is an editorial model portfolio and does not constitute personalized investment advice. The scores reflect how today's five holdings compare to the current opportunity set, rather than predicting future returns.

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