New York, Feb 5, 2026, 20:48 ET — The market has closed.
- EL shares fell 19.2% after the company’s outlook midpoint missed estimates.
- Estée Lauder confirmed it expects a $100 million hit from tariffs and warned that Q3 margins will take a hit.
- Attention turns to U.S. retailer demand and the company’s quarterly update set for May 1.
Shares of The Estée Lauder Companies Inc (EL) tumbled 19.2% Thursday, finishing at $96.66 after fluctuating between $90.80 and $120.98. This plunge far outpaced the broader market, where the SPDR S&P 500 ETF fell roughly 1.2%.
The selloff matters because investors had bet on a quick rebound at the prestige beauty group, and the stock had already surged ahead of the earnings. MarketWatch noted the rally was about 139% from its April 2025 low—leaving little wiggle room for anything less than stellar results. (MarketWatch)
Thursday’s action swings the spotlight back onto Friday’s question: is the issue weak demand in the Americas, or just a sharp repricing following the recent rally? Either way, the next session will reveal if buyers return or remain sidelined.
The Clinique and M·A·C owner raised its full-year forecast, though the midpoint of its $2.05 to $2.25 adjusted earnings range — excluding certain one-offs — still fell short of expectations, Reuters reported. CEO Stéphane de La Faverie highlighted ongoing challenges in navigating the “complexity and volatility in the U.S.” Evercore ISI analyst Robert Ottenstein noted that U.S. market share gains “did not translate into retailer orders.” Estée Lauder maintained its $100 million tariff headwind estimate and forecast about a 50 basis point margin decline for Q3. (Reuters)
For the quarter ending Dec. 31, net sales climbed 6% to $4.229 billion, with adjusted earnings hitting 89 cents per share, the company reported. Adjusted operating margin jumped to 14.4% from 11.5% the previous year. De La Faverie described the changes as the “biggest operational, leadership, and cultural transformation” in the company’s history. (El Companies)
The report reignited the GAAP-versus-adjusted debate, with restructuring expenses still a factor. The company projects $1.2 billion to $1.6 billion in restructuring costs tied to its Profit Recovery and Growth Plan, a multi-year cost-cutting effort running alongside its turnaround strategy. (Barron’s)
An SEC filing revealed Estée Lauder submitted its quarterly results on Form 8-K Thursday morning. The documents contain the earnings release along with accompanying presentation materials. (SEC)
Tariffs remain a key drag for investors. The company projects about $100 million in tariff-related profit hits for fiscal 2026, mainly in the latter half, even after planned mitigation steps. It also signaled possible pricing adjustments it’s considering. (Business Wire)
Beauty stocks have seen mixed moves this week, and Estée Lauder isn’t the only one feeling the pressure. Coty pulled its full-year guidance on Thursday and flagged a steep margin decline for the third quarter, which knocked its shares down in after-hours trading, Reuters reported. The company also noted that inflation-sensitive consumers are gravitating toward cheaper options like e.l.f. Beauty. (Reuters)
During the earnings call, Estée Lauder executives highlighted distribution and speed-to-market, noting growth in Amazon’s premium beauty store and a push into TikTok Shop. De La Faverie emphasized the company’s “ambition is really to deliver the top end of the guidance,” though he cautioned that travel retail—airport duty-free sales—is facing disruption amid a retailer shift at Beijing and Shanghai airports. CFO Akhil Shrivastava reported flat North America sales, with sequential gains from the prior quarter, supported by online growth. (The Motley Fool)
The path forward remains tight. Should tariffs hit harder than anticipated or U.S. demand remain sluggish through spring, margins might face fresh pressure despite cost reductions and marketing cuts.
On Friday, traders will be eyeing any follow-through selling and new analyst updates, as well as whether the stock finds its footing after the recent post-results volatility. The next key event is Estée Lauder’s fiscal third-quarter earnings report and conference call set for May 1. (El Companies)
