Toronto, Feb 7, 2026, 12:50 EST — Market closed.
- Ucore Rare Metals finished the week higher after sharp swings in the last two sessions
- Washington’s fresh critical-minerals push is filtering into small-cap rare-earth names
- Next week’s U.S. data and any new detail on Project Vault will be the near-term test
Ucore Rare Metals shares ended Friday up 14.7% on Canada’s TSX Venture Exchange, snapping back a day after a 13% drop, as investors rotated back into small, policy-sensitive critical-minerals names. The stock closed at C$7.97, while its U.S.-quoted shares rose 13.6% to $5.74. 1
With markets shut over the weekend, focus shifts to whether the U.S. can turn its new critical-minerals push into actual purchasing and longer-term support for non-Chinese supply chains. At a U.S.-hosted critical minerals ministerial this week, a Chatham House fellow called price floors — minimum prices set by rule or contract to support investment — “a sensible response” to distorted markets. 2
The U.S. Export-Import Bank framed Project Vault as a public-private stockpiling effort backed by a $10 billion EXIM loan and nearly $2 billion of private investment. President Donald Trump said: “We’re launching what will be known as Project Vault to ensure that American business and workers are never harmed.” 3
Ucore is trying to build itself into a U.S.-focused rare earth processor, with plans tied to a Louisiana separation facility and its RapidSX technology. In a December update, the company said work was underway for installation of its first commercial unit in mid-2026, aiming initially at heavy rare earths such as terbium and dysprosium; its COO described “a technically proven and de-risked commercialization pathway.” 4
Rare-earth pricing has also been moving. Neodymium — one of the key inputs for permanent magnets used in electric motors and wind turbines — rose to 997,500 yuan a tonne on Feb. 6, up 1.27% on the day, Trading Economics data showed. 5
But the policy boost comes with friction. Christopher Ecclestone, mining strategist at Hallgarten & Co, said the timing was awkward because “it’s juicing up already juiced up markets,” and Fastmarkets reported concerns that a big new buyer could tighten supply for niche metals if the stockpile moves quickly. 6
For Ucore shareholders, that mix can mean headline-driven trade more than clean fundamentals. The company is still in build-out mode, and its shares have been prone to sharp moves on policy and supply-chain news.
The competitive landscape is crowded too. Investors watching the rare-earth complex tend to track larger producers and magnet-linked names alongside smaller developers, looking for signs of binding offtake deals, financing, and clearer demand signals.
The next questions are practical ones: what, exactly, Project Vault will buy; what form it wants (concentrates versus separated oxides or metal); and how price support would work without pulling the market out of shape.
Ucore’s own catalysts are more basic — execution, permits, equipment, and cash — and whether it can hit the timelines it has laid out without another reset.
Next week also brings macro risk. The U.S. employment report for January is scheduled for Feb. 11, and the Consumer Price Index for January is due Feb. 13 at 8:30 a.m. ET — releases that can swing the dollar and sentiment toward commodity-linked stocks. 7
