New York, Feb 7, 2026, 14:14 EST — Market shut its doors for the day
- Caterpillar surged 7.1% on Friday, closing at $726.20—marking one of its sharpest single-day jumps this year.
- The Dow surged past 50,000 for the first time ever, marking its biggest boost to date as the index closed above that milestone.
- Focus shifts to delayed U.S. jobs numbers and next week’s inflation figures, as traders look for clues on rates.
Caterpillar Inc. surged 7.1% to finish Friday at $726.20, pushing the heavy-equipment giant further into the ranks of the Dow’s top single-stock movers.
This shift landed just as investors were tilting back toward stocks tied to the economy, following a stretch of nervousness over AI and software plays. “What’s driven it recently has been the broadening that we have seen in the market,” said Chuck Carlson, chief executive officer at Horizon Investment Services. 1
Caterpillar looms large in the Dow, thanks to the index’s price-weighted setup—higher share prices pack extra punch, no matter the company’s market cap. When CAT makes a sharp move, the impact on the index is immediate.
Caterpillar is showing up in investor chatter as a kind of test: will the market put money back into “real economy” names — construction, mining, engines — as AI-driven power consumption starts to shape capital spending?
Caterpillar shares have climbed roughly 27% year to date as of Friday’s close, following a surge of over 50% in 2025. That kind of move is drawing in short-term traders, not just the usual long-term investors who see CAT as a global-growth proxy.
A robust close to 2025 has buoyed the fundamentals story. On Jan. 29, the company reported record full-year sales and revenues of $67.6 billion, along with a record backlog—orders locked in but not delivered yet. CEO Joe Creed described entering the new year with “strong momentum.” Still, the release noted margin pressure, citing higher costs as one factor. 2
Caterpillar’s spike had company. Deere tacked on nearly 3% Friday, while United Rentals jumped close to 6%—a clear sign of buyers rotating into cyclicals as the market bounced back. https://tradingeconomics.com/de%3Aus 3
U.S. markets will be closed Saturday, putting the spotlight on whether rate dynamics play along. S&P Global Market Intelligence flagged that next week’s postponed U.S. jobs and inflation prints could “fuel Fed policy expectations.” 4
Next up: inflation. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is set to release January’s CPI numbers Friday, Feb. 13, with the report dropping at 8:30 a.m. ET. 5
For those eyeing dividend payouts, Caterpillar’s latest quarterly dividend hits accounts on Feb. 19, with the ex-dividend date having landed Jan. 20. 6
The risk here is clear enough. If inflation comes in hotter, yields spike, or concerns resurface about tariffs and manufacturing expenses, industrials trading above the market could lose altitude fast — especially those that have surged past the pack.
Monday’s open will test if Caterpillar can hang onto Friday’s advance. Investors also face a choice: stick with cyclicals or not, as they wait for the postponed U.S. jobs report due Wednesday, Feb. 11, and CPI numbers coming Friday, Feb. 13.
