New York, Feb 9, 2026, 12:12 EST — Regular Session
Caterpillar Inc shares climbed 1.5% to $736.90 on Monday, adding $10.70 versus the previous close. The stock kicked off the session at $725.50, moved between $722.00 and $738.37, and saw roughly 1.05 million shares trade.
Caterpillar’s shift carries outsized influence on the Dow, given the index’s price-weighted setup—higher-priced names punch harder. Traders also treat Caterpillar as a bellwether, shorthand for where industrial demand and major capital spending might be heading.
Caterpillar pulled its weight for the index Friday, soaring 7.1% to $726.20. That surge handed the Dow its heftiest lift as the blue-chip average closed above 50,000 for the first time, according to Reuters. “What’s driven it recently has been the broadening that we have seen in the market,” said Chuck Carlson, chief executive at Horizon Investment Services. 1
Caterpillar’s most recent quarterly numbers, released Jan. 29, shed some light on why the stock’s been running. Sales in the power and energy division surged over 20%, fueled by AI-driven demand for “prime power” generators—big in data center circles. But the company also flagged around $2.6 billion in tariffs coming due in 2026. “Better-than-expected sales across business segments were hindered by tariff headwinds, limiting the margin expansion for the quarter,” Jefferies analyst Stephen Volkmann said. 2
Investors on Monday showed they’re ready to pay a premium for industrial stocks linked to the data-center boom. Still, that dynamic is a double-edged sword—shares now move as much on broad economic sentiment as they do on fundamentals specific to the company.
The filing underscored that insiders haven’t been sitting out the recent rally. According to a Form 144 dated Feb. 6, officer Anthony Fassino lined up a sale of 6,033 Caterpillar shares—roughly $4.36 million worth—via Morgan Stanley Smith Barney. That same notice also showed a Feb. 2 transaction: 10,671 shares sold, pulling in around $7.26 million in gross proceeds. 3
Tariff costs could remain sticky, continuing to erode margins regardless of steady demand. For Caterpillar, which rides the ups and downs of the cycle, a slip in construction, mining, or major project spending can hit the stock fast.
Right now, all eyes are on the data drops. The government’s monthly jobs tally—the delayed January nonfarm payrolls—lands Wednesday, with January CPI numbers coming Friday; both have the potential to sway expectations for rate cuts, according to Reuters. “Investors are less comfortable with the amount of spending,” said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at B Riley Wealth. Nvidia’s earnings later this month are also on the radar for another pulse check on AI investment. 4
