Northern Star share price edges lower as gold drifts and traders brace for U.S. inflation data
20 February 2026
1 min read

Northern Star share price edges lower as gold drifts and traders brace for U.S. inflation data

Sydney, Feb 20, 2026, 17:30 AEDT — The market has closed.

  • Northern Star slipped 0.1% to close at A$28.33, retracing after posting a 1.2% gain the previous session
  • Gold held steady, though it remained on track for a weekly decline as the dollar strengthened. U.S. PCE inflation data is still to come later Friday.
  • Local gold miners are still watching the Australian dollar—a stronger currency keeps pressure on their margins.

Shares of Northern Star Resources Ltd edged down 0.1% Friday, settling at A$28.33 after giving back some ground from Thursday’s rise. Investors tracked moves in bullion and currency markets as the week wrapped up.

Markets felt a little jumpier. Gold finished flat, yet it’s staring at a roughly 1% loss for the week—pressure mounting as the U.S. dollar looks set for its strongest week in four months. Investors are on hold for U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) inflation numbers at 1330 GMT, a big piece in the Fed’s rate puzzle.

Australian gold miners are watching the currency just as closely. The Australian dollar hovered near $0.7056. UniSuper’s Chief Investment Officer John Pearce told Reuters the fund had “tweaked” its hedging, anticipating “upward pressure” on the local currency as the rate gap shifts to favor Australia. Reuters

There wasn’t much action across the wider local market, with the S&P/ASX 200 slipping just 0.05%. Late in the day, individual names saw more movement than the benchmark itself, which stayed fairly flat.

Northern Star sits in a lull between key updates, so for now the stock tracks bullion prices and the Australian dollar. Looking ahead, investors will be watching how well it manages costs and output over the next few quarters.

The company last week said it’s working to bolster operations and push ahead with growth projects, following earlier cuts to its full-year output targets and an increase in its all-in sustaining cost (AISC) range. For reference, AISC rolls together mine operating expenses and sustaining capital. “Notwithstanding recent challenges, we reaffirm our commitment to operational excellence,” Managing Director Stuart Tonkin said. NSR Limited

The dividend’s timeline is coming up fast. Northern Star, in its half-year release, announced a fully franked interim dividend of 25 Australian cents per share. The crucial record date lands on March 5, with payment set for March 26.

Still, a clear risk looms this week: a higher U.S. inflation reading could send the dollar up, push gold further down, and quickly squeeze miners’ multiples. Throw in a firmer Australian dollar, and there’s more pain—local-currency revenue drops when sales are locked in U.S. dollars.

First up: gold and the dollar. Investors are set to gauge their moves as soon as U.S. inflation numbers drop. After that, attention turns to Asia, with markets there reopening post-weekend—dealers will be watching for any extended reaction. Company-wise, the next big scheduled event is Northern Star’s March-quarter update, set for April 22.

Shan Ahmed Khan is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, technology and macroeconomic trends. A graduate of the Lahore University of Management Sciences (LUMS), he previously worked in investment research and market analysis. His coverage helps readers understand the key developments influencing global financial markets and emerging industries.

Google Preferred Source

TS2 TECH • AI PORTFOLIO

Top AI Picks Today

A focused model portfolio for the ongoing AI market pullback, prioritizing companies with solid revenue growth over speculative plays.

Current stance Scale in
Market setup
Demand signal Cloud and AI chip revenues continue to show strength.
Confirmed
Market signal Semiconductors face widespread selling pressure.
Weak
Key risk AI capital spending, debt, and exposure to customer financing.
Rising
Phased entry strategy
Initial allocation 40% Begin with top conviction picks.
Post-Microsoft earnings 30% Add if cloud growth and spending outlooks remain healthy.
Hold for deeper weakness 30% Reserve capital for an additional sector downturn.
#1 TOP PICK 30%

Alphabet

NASDAQ: GOOGL
BUY ON WEAKNESS

Google Cloud’s momentum and improving profitability outweigh short-term pressure from record AI investment. Post-earnings reset offers a better entry.

Q2 cloud update $24.8bn revenue • up 82% Cloud operating margin hit 35.6%.
Action

Build the position in stages—avoid chasing rebounds.

Main risk: Q2 free cash flow turned negative with capex at $44.9bn.
#2 CORE PLATFORM 25%

Microsoft

NASDAQ: MSFT
BUY IN 2 STEPS

Azure, Microsoft 365 and enterprise reach give Microsoft broad AI monetization across infrastructure and software.

Recent metrics Azure +40% • AI run rate +123% Demand continues to exceed available capacity.
Action

Take an initial stake, then reassess after fiscal Q4 earnings.

Main risk: Higher component costs and AI-related spending could pressure free cash flow and cloud margins.
#3 CUSTOM SILICON 20%

Broadcom

NASDAQ: AVGO
ACCUMULATE

Broadcom blends custom AI accelerators, Ethernet networking, and steady software cash flow. Growth remains strong.

Q2 AI chip revenue $10.8bn • up 143% Q3 AI revenue guidance is around $16.0bn.
Action

Add on broad sector weakness, ideally in several steps.

Main risk: High customer concentration and a valuation sensitive to guidance misses.
#4 MANUFACTURING 15%

TSMC

NYSE: TSM
CORE BUY

TSMC is the key manufacturer for top AI chip designers, with strongest demand at advanced nodes.

Q2 results Revenue up 36% • profit up 77% Management projects revenue growth above 40% for 2026.
Action

Build a smaller core holding on weakness rather than a full allocation.

Main risk: Exposure to Taiwan, high capital spending, and margin pressure from the 2nm ramp.
#5 STARTER POSITION 10%

Nvidia

NASDAQ: NVDA
HIGH RISK

Nvidia’s momentum is leading, but limit new exposure until customer-financing details are clearer.

Recent performance Data Center $75.2bn • up 92% Guidance for Q2 revenue is about $91.0bn.
Action

Starter allocation only. Add after clarity on financing or next earnings.

Main risk: Circular financing, customer credit risk, and high sector volatility.
Target portfolio breakdown
Cloud platforms 55%
Custom silicon & networking 20%
Advanced manufacturing 15%
AI accelerators 10%
Risk warning

This portfolio is concentrated in a single investment theme. A rate shock, capex slowdown, export restriction, or credit event could hit multiple holdings at once.

MODEL PORTFOLIO 100% target allocation

Editorial model. This is not personalized investment advice. Target weights are based on a staged entry, not a full allocation at once. Data sources include company earnings releases, S&P Global, and Reuters market reporting.

Uber stock: Tuesday test looms after Uber Eats targets $1 billion boost in Europe
Previous Story

Uber stock: Tuesday test looms after Uber Eats targets $1 billion boost in Europe

Gold price near $5,070 after Trump tariff jolt — what traders watch next week
Next Story

Gold price near $5,070 after Trump tariff jolt — what traders watch next week