S&P 500 Ends Up as Oil Drops, SpaceX IPO Catches Wall Street’s Eye
12 June 2026
2 mins read

S&P 500 Ends Up as Oil Drops, SpaceX IPO Catches Wall Street’s Eye

New York, June 12, 2026, 16:03 (ET)

  • The S&P 500 was up 0.46% at 7,428.51, with the Dow finishing 0.73% higher at 51,217.63. The Nasdaq ended the session up 0.29% to 25,884.99, Reuters’ LSEG market data showed.
  • Brent crude fell 3.37% to close at $87.33 a barrel, cutting back a major inflation concern for equities.
  • SpaceX made a splash in its first day on Nasdaq. The stock traded up 28% at about $172, after it was priced at $135, Reuters said.

U.S. stocks closed up Friday, boosted by a drop in oil prices and rising optimism about U.S.-Iran peace talks. LSEG data from Reuters after the bell showed the S&P 500 rose 34.21 points, the Dow gained 368.88 points, and the Nasdaq added 75.33 points. All three main indexes finished in the green.

Oil prices dropped, pulling down Brent crude to $87.33 and U.S. West Texas Intermediate settling at $84.88. The slide comes as traders bet on a deal that would open up the Strait of Hormuz. That could ease supply worries and hit energy prices, which feed straight into inflation, consumer spending, and company profits. “Headlines are driving the market once again as confidence grows that an eventual deal will be struck and the Strait (of Hormuz) reopens,” PVM Oil Associates analyst Tamas Varga told Reuters. Reuters

SpaceX grabbed the spotlight among single-stock moves. Its IPO brought in $75 billion at $135 a share. Shares started trading at $150 and moved up to about $172, Reuters said. With that, SpaceX’s market cap topped $2.25 trillion, showing investors still want big growth plays hooked to space, communications and AI.

Space stocks didn’t move together. Reuters said Rocket Lab, Intuitive Machines, and Planet Labs dropped as investors moved out of smaller names that had climbed before SpaceX’s debut. The split is notable. Friday’s trade looks like a liquidity and attention event centered on the big listing, not a sector-wide upgrade.

U.S. stocks have a bull story this week with falling oil, a modest pickup in consumer sentiment, and high bar for earnings growth. The University of Michigan said on Friday that consumer sentiment improved by about four points, or 9%, after gasoline prices dropped. FactSet put S&P 500 second-quarter earnings growth at 21.9%. UMich ISR

Valuation and policy risk are the main bear arguments. FactSet said the S&P 500’s forward P/E is now at 20.1, above its five- and 10-year averages. Reuters noted earlier this week that the S&P 500 tech sector dropped 11% from its June 2 closing high, putting it in correction territory, while rate hike bets for later this year are in the market. FactSet

Fed Meeting, SpaceX Options in Focus as Volatility Catalysts

The big event ahead is the Federal Reserve’s June 16-17 policy meeting. Investors are eyeing whether Fed officials lean more toward inflation fears or concerns over growth. Reuters said traders are betting the Fed keeps rates unchanged at 3.5% to 3.75%, but see odds above 50% for a hike before year-end. SpaceX is also in play as a short-term driver. Options, which give the right but not the obligation to buy or sell shares at a set price, are expected to start trading as early as Tuesday. Federal Reserve Reuters

U.S. stocks are trading at levels that look fair to risky, not cheap, on today’s data. Earnings are strong, but valuations are running above long-term trends, and the market is still swinging on oil, Fed news and crowded growth names. SpaceX is a tougher buy after its debut jump. The current price already bakes in high expectations, and there’s not much free float. Options are likely expensive, and volatility could rise around earnings or index news. FactSet

Shan Ahmed Khan is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, technology and macroeconomic trends. A graduate of the Lahore University of Management Sciences (LUMS), he previously worked in investment research and market analysis. His coverage helps readers understand the key developments influencing global financial markets and emerging industries.

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TS2 TECH • DAILY MODEL PORTFOLIO

Stocks to Buy Today

Five stocks stand out, supported by recent earnings or more attractive entry points. Today's selection highlights companies raising their outlooks and reporting firm orders, rather than focusing on heavily traded chipmakers.

Today’s market stance Selective • earnings-led
#1 • HIGHEST CONVICTION 24% weight

Xylem

NYSE: XYL
STRONG BUY
Model score 92 / 100
★★★★★

A 12-cent earnings beat and raised 2026 profit outlook highlight the results, while quarterly revenue matched expectations. The water treatment segment offers AI infrastructure exposure without increasing semiconductor holdings.

Why today

Earnings per share surpassed expectations; the company raised its guidance, citing increased water demand from data centers.

Next catalyst

Order conversions are being monitored to confirm that the new margin level is sustainable.

Main risk: Annual revenue guidance moved to about $9.2bn, and project timing can shift.
#2 • BEST CONTRARIAN 22% weight

Alphabet

NASDAQ: GOOGL
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Model score 89 / 100
★★★★½

Google Cloud's revenue surged 82%, with its operating margin hitting 35.6%. However, shares declined as capital expenditures increased. The reset offers a better entry point, but exposure remains limited since quarterly free cash flow moved into negative territory.

Why today

Cloud segment outperformed expectations; company reset guidance following earnings; search operations continue to drive strong cash flow.

Next catalyst

Cloud backlog is being converted more efficiently, leading to improved alignment between expenditures and cash flow.

Main risk: 2026 capex is now $195bn to $205bn, while depreciation is rising.
#3 • DEFENSIVE GROWTH 20% weight

Unilever

LON: ULVR • NYSE: UL
BUY ON PULLBACKS
Model score 87 / 100
★★★★☆

Underlying sales increased by 5.8%, driven by a 5.5% rise in volume—the company's strongest volume growth in over ten years. Guidance has been raised, but after today's significant share price jump, a gradual approach to buying may be more prudent.

Why today

Strong volumes drive results; outlook raised; steady cash flow in low-beta environment

Next catalyst

Second-half pricing trends and updates on the Foods transaction.

Main risk: Commodity inflation, currency moves and a large one-day gap.
#4 • EARNINGS MOMENTUM 18% weight

Sherwin-Williams

NYSE: SHW
ACCUMULATE
Model score 84 / 100
★★★★☆

Sales and adjusted earnings surpassed expectations, prompting management to raise its full-year guidance. The company is benefiting from higher prices and increased market share, but the stock's rapid three-day rally suggests investors may want to hold off on buying at the open.

Why today

The company beat expectations, raised its outlook, demonstrated strong pricing power, and continued to gain market share.

Next catalyst

The company is targeting adjusted EPS between $11.80 and $12.20.

Main risk: Weak housing demand, raw-material inflation and a richer entry.
#5 • TACTICAL UPSIDE 16% weight

PayPal

NASDAQ: PYPL
TACTICAL BUY
Model score 81 / 100
★★★★☆

Adjusted earnings surpassed expectations, prompting an increase in full-year profit guidance. The reported $60.50 per share approach offers added flexibility, though its smaller weighting signals lower margins and uncertainty regarding a potential deal.

Why today

Earnings surpass forecasts; guidance raised; strategic options under review.

Next catalyst

Focus is on the $400 million cost program, margin trends, and any official response to the deal.

Main risk: Operating margin fell to 17.4%, and no sale is assured.
Portfolio structure
Water & infrastructure 24%
Technology & cloud 22%
Consumer staples 20%
Coatings & materials 18%
Payments 16%
Build positions in two or three tranches.

Avoid buying a stock that's trading more than 5% above its previous close. Revisit the list after Wednesday's Fed decision and this week's mega-cap earnings.

Strong companies, weaker entries today
Coca-Cola NYSE: KO
WAIT FOR PULLBACK

Strong quarter with improved guidance, but a nearly 6% rally limits short-term upside.

Visa NYSE: V
WAIT FOR RESULTS

Visa is set to report earnings after the close. The portfolio won’t be taking on new event risk ahead of the results.

Nvidia NASDAQ: NVDA
WATCH

While long-term demand is solid, questions persist around chip momentum and AI financing.

Portfolio heat 6.4 / 10

Moderate. Recent earnings provide solid support, though event risk is still elevated.

Market risk check

The Nasdaq faces continued pressure as chip stocks endure a steep correction. With the Federal Reserve set to announce its decision on Wednesday, investors should brace for increased intraday volatility.

TS2 DAILY MODEL PORTFOLIO 100% allocated

This is an editorial model portfolio and does not constitute personalized investment advice. The scores reflect how today's five holdings compare to the current opportunity set, rather than predicting future returns.

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