TS2 TECH • DAILY MODEL PORTFOLIO
Stocks to Buy Today
Here are five U.S.-listed stocks to watch for Friday, August 7, ranked as of 5:58 a.m. ET based on Thursday’s closing prices, recent company reports, and early premarket signals. Rankings are influenced by forecast revisions, cash conversion, valuation, and entry quality, while large earnings gaps have a negative impact on scores.
Selective • payrolls first, buy liquid resets
7,709.96 • -0.18%
26,348.35 • -0.06%
53,885.10 • -0.85%
About 4.64%
About $83 • +1%
+80,000 • unemployment 4.2%
Futures are hovering near the flatline: S&P 500 futures show minimal movement, Nasdaq 100 futures edge up by roughly 0.4%, and Dow futures dip about 0.1%. Payroll figures are set for release at 08:30 ET. A series of robust reports have driven double-digit premarket moves, prompting the main watchlist to focus on stocks offering practical entry points.
24% weight
Constellation Energy
NASDAQ: CEG
95 / 100
Constellation shares opened above $277 following its earnings beat before closing at $261.10. The reversal offers an actionable entry as management has raised full-year guidance. New nuclear contracts boost revenue visibility, though the Calpine integration and fleet reliability still warrant attention.
Shares closed at $261.10, down 1.52%. The consensus rating is Buy, with an average price target of $351.24, ranging from $296 to $441, implying a 34.5% upside.
Adjusted operating EPS came in at $2.55, beating the consensus estimate of $2.28. Revenue totaled $7.50 billion. The company raised its 2026 guidance to a range of $11.50 to $12.50. It also announced the sale of its Brazos Valley assets for $860 million.
Trades at 21.8× the guidance midpoint, with 920 MW secured under new 15–20 year nuclear contracts. Most of the generation is locked in through at least 2050.
Initial tranche: $255–$265; consider adding at $242–$249; avoid buying above $272.
Key factors include Calpine integration progress, milestones for restarting Crane, contract margins, and nuclear fleet availability during the autumn outage season.
regulatory intervention can outweigh the higher earnings range.
22% weight
AerCap
NYSE: AER
93 / 100
AerCap trades at the lowest earnings multiple among major peers. The latest guidance does not factor in any additional gains on asset sales in the second half, but the company bought back $691 million in shares. Limited aircraft supply is still driving up lease rates and sale prices.
Shares closed at $155.24, up 0.09%. The consensus rating is Strong Buy, with an average price target of $179.30, ranging from $165 to $190, suggesting a potential upside of 15.5%.
Revenue and other income rose 15% to $2.17 billion. Adjusted net income was $811 million, with adjusted earnings per share at $5.14. Operating cash flow reached $1.5 billion.
The company projects 2026 adjusted earnings per share at approximately $16.80, equating to 9.2 times its guided earnings. Book value stands at $119.21 per share, with an adjusted debt-to-equity ratio of 2.05 times.
Initial buy range: $151–$157. Consider adding between $143 and $148. Avoid buying above $161.
Lease yields, airline credit ratings, aircraft sale margins, and ongoing share buybacks at prices below the model’s intrinsic value estimate.
weaken returns. Gains on asset sales also vary by quarter.
20% weight
Walt Disney
NYSE: DIS
92 / 100
Disney’s rebound now spans its parks, streaming, merchandise, and free cash flow. Shares continue to trade at roughly 14 times forward consensus earnings, even after the recent gains. A share buyback of at least $9 billion adds further support, though sports profits continue to lag.
Shares closed at $104.68, up 2.82%. Analysts rate the stock as a Strong Buy, with an average price target of $127.72 and estimates ranging from $88 to $160, implying a potential upside of 22.0%.
Revenue reached $25.25 billion, up 7%. Adjusted EPS came in at $2.06, a 28% increase. Segment operating income rose 21% to $5.56 billion, while free cash flow jumped 63% to $3.07 billion.
For fiscal 2026, adjusted EPS is projected to grow roughly 16%, factoring in the 53rd week. The company plans share repurchases of at least $9 billion. Fourth-quarter segment operating income is estimated at about $4.9 billion. The stock trades at approximately 14.0 times forward consensus EPS.
Initiate with $102–$106, add between $97–$100, avoid buying above $108
Key factors include streaming profitability, domestic park visitor numbers, expenses for sports broadcasting rights, fourth-quarter outlook, and the speed of share buybacks.
demand or softer international attendance could dilute gains elsewhere.
18% weight
AIG
NYSE: AIG
90 / 100
AIG shares were little changed in early premarket trading after the company reported strong earnings that beat expectations. Premiums, underwriting income, and capital returns all increased. The stock continues to trade near book value and at about 10 times consensus earnings, offering moderate upside to target price.
Shares closed at $79.97, down 0.19%. In early premarket trading, the stock was flat at $79.98. The consensus rating is Overweight, with an average price target of $88.75 and a target range of $80 to $102, suggesting an implied upside of 11.0%.
General Insurance net premiums written reached $7.52 billion, up 9%. Underwriting income rose 10% to $686 million. Adjusted EPS came in at $2.00, beating the $1.92 consensus. The accident-year combined ratio was 88.1%.
Analysts expect 2026 EPS of $7.99, valuing the stock at 10 times forward earnings. Book value stands at $77.39 per share, with $904 million returned to shareholders via buybacks and dividends.
Initiate positions between $78 and $81; consider adding at $74–$76; avoid buying above $83
Friday’s call at 8:30 a.m. ET will cover commercial renewal pricing, reserve development, catastrophe exposure, and the timing of the next share repurchase update.
commercial pricing can move underwriting profit quickly.
16% weight
Cheniere Energy
NYSE: LNG
88 / 100
Cheniere increased its EBITDA and distributable cash flow outlook following additional output at Corpus Christi. The company’s long-term contracts and share buybacks strengthen its overall position. After Thursday’s 4.2% gain, this is more of a pullback entry than a momentum play.
Shares closed at $265.77, up 4.21%. The stock holds a consensus Strong Buy rating, with an average price target of $305.00. Analysts’ targets range from $255 to $340, suggesting an implied upside of 14.8%.
Revenue rose 24% to $5.73 billion, with adjusted EBITDA up 27% at $1.80 billion. Distributable cash flow reached $1.2 billion. The company shipped 184 cargoes, a 19% increase.
For 2026, the company forecasts EBITDA between $7.90 billion and $8.40 billion, with distributable cash flow expected in the range of $5.30 billion to $5.80 billion. Projected output stands at 53 to 54 million tonnes per annum, and the market capitalization represents a 10.0× multiple of the DCF midpoint.
Initial tranche: $258–$267; add at $245–$252; avoid buying above $272
Corpus Christi Train 7 is set to deliver its first LNG, with attention on cargo routing, 2027 contract margins, maintenance schedules, and ongoing share buybacks.
changes can produce large earnings swings. Expansion spending remains substantial.
| Ticker | Price | Forecast | Valuation | Avg target | Upside | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CEG | $261.10 | 2026 guide midpoint $12.00 | 21.8× guide EPS | $351.24 | +34.5% | $255–$265 |
| AER | $155.24 | 2026 guide $16.80 | 9.2× guide EPS | $179.30 | +15.5% | $151–$157 |
| DIS | $104.68 | Forward consensus | About 14.0× EPS | $127.72 | +22.0% | $102–$106 |
| AIG | $79.97 | 2026 consensus $7.99 | 10.0× forward EPS | $88.75 | +11.0% | $78–$81 |
| LNG | $265.77 | 2026 DCF midpoint $5.55bn | 10.0× market cap / DCF | $305.00 | +14.8% | $258–$267 |
AIG released its results after the market closed on Thursday, so the table reflects its regular-session closing price. Constellation and Cheniere’s price targets could be updated following their latest reports. Cheniere’s GAAP EPS is affected by derivative mark-to-market adjustments, so distributable cash flow is used in the table. Price targets are projections and not guarantees of returns.
24%
22%
20%
18%
16%
Earnings and estimate updates
Cash flow and balance sheet
Valuation relative to projections
Entry quality following the transition
Short-term event risk
Read the 08:30 ET payroll report before placing the first tranche.
Place limit orders and divide each position into thirds. Avoid market orders if there’s an opening gap above 5%. Hold off if the 10-year yield rises above 4.75% or the S&P 500 opens more than 1% lower—wait through the first hour. AIG’s results call begins at 08:30 ET.
NASDAQ: TEAM
REPORT BEAT, GAP TOO LARGE
Fourth-quarter revenue climbed 28% to $1.77 billion, with cloud revenue up 31% and remaining performance obligations increasing 44%. In early premarket trading, shares are near $142—about 29% higher than Thursday’s close and already surpassing the median price target set before results.
NASDAQ: CART
BUY ONLY AFTER A RESET
Gross transaction value and revenue both increased by 14%, with free cash flow surging 156% to $480 million. Third-quarter GTV and adjusted EBITDA guidance topped consensus estimates. The stock’s nearly 12% premarket rise brings it close to the average price target prior to results.
NASDAQ: ABNB
GOOD QUARTER, WEAK ENTRY
Revenue increased 17%, with gross booking value up 16% and trailing free cash flow at $4.8 billion. Management lifted its full-year growth and margin forecasts. Shares are trading near $165 in premarket, above the prior average target of $159.
NYSE: NET
GROWTH STRONG, VALUATION EXTREME
Revenue climbed 36% to $696.1 million, prompting an increase in annual guidance. Shares traded near $329 in early premarket activity, up roughly 16% from Thursday’s close, valuing the stock at more than 260 times the midpoint of the updated $1.25–$1.26 adjusted EPS range.
6.6 / 10
Moderately elevated. The primary portfolio sidesteps the biggest earnings shortfalls, but factors like strong payrolls, a 4.6% Treasury yield, and rising oil prices can shift equity valuations rapidly. AerCap and AIG help reduce duration risk; Constellation Energy (CEG) and Cheniere Energy (LNG) increase power sector and geopolitical exposure.
A single payrolls report can shift expectations for the Federal Reserve, Treasury yields, and equity valuations. Brent crude trading near $83 heightens inflation concerns. Early premarket gains in TEAM, CART, ABNB, and NET could reverse as regular-session trading begins.