Sea Limited Shares Surge as Shopee Sets $1 Billion Adjusted EBITDA Goal
11 August 2026

Sea Limited Shares Surge as Shopee Sets $1 Billion Adjusted EBITDA Goal

NEW YORK, August 11, 2026, 15:48 EDT

  • Sea’s stock climbed 13.75% to $130.59 as of 3:45 p.m. EDT.
  • Revenue for the second quarter surpassed the LSEG consensus estimate by approximately $728 million.
  • Shopee must generate about $521 million in adjusted EBITDA during the second half to achieve its updated full-year target.

Shares of Sea Limited surged 13.75% on Tuesday following quarterly revenue that exceeded forecasts. The stock was at $130.59 as of 3:45 p.m. EDT. Revenue totaled $7.79 billion, surpassing the $7.06 billion consensus estimate from LSEG.

Stock chart for NYSE:SE

The beat was significant. Sea surpassed consensus by approximately $728 million, or 10.3%. Growth was mainly led by Shopee and Monee.

Investors continue to contend with slimmer profitability. Revenue increased by 48.1%, while both adjusted EBITDA and net income climbed 10.6%. Sea is making substantial investments to protect its market share and grow its credit segment.

Second-quarter metric20252026Year-on-year
Revenue$5.26 billion$7.79 billionup 48.1%
Gross profit$2.41 billion$3.55 billionincrease of 47.3%
Net income$414.2 million$458.1 milliongrowth of 10.6%
Adjusted EBITDA$829.2 million$917.2 millionrising 10.6%
Diluted EPS$0.65$0.70up 7.7%

According to Sea’s filing, operating income increased by 33.3% to reach $650.3 million. Gross profit growth was close to the rise in revenue, while operating expenses jumped 50.9%.

Shopee achieved all-time highs in gross merchandise value, orders, and revenue. GMV reached $38.3 billion, marking a 28.4% increase, while gross orders climbed 27.5% to 4.2 billion.

BusinessQ2 2026 revenueRevenue growthAdjusted EBITDAEBITDA growth
Shopee$4.93 billion+48.9%$255.4 million+12.2%
Monee$1.40 billion+58.9%$288.0 million+12.8%
Garena$746.6 million+33.5%$429.8 million+16.7%

The combination is still uncommon. Garena delivered the highest adjusted EBITDA, even though it is the smallest core division by revenue. Monee also reported higher adjusted EBITDA than Shopee.

Sea’s chairman and CEO, Forrest Li, expressed greater confidence in Shopee’s earnings, stating: “With this solid momentum, we are optimistic that Shopee will achieve the milestone of US$1 billion in adjusted EBITDA for the full year.” Sea second-quarter results

Shopee adjusted EBITDA timelineAmount
First quarter$223.2 million
Second quarter$255.4 million
First half total$478.6 million
Full-year target$1.00 billion
Amount needed in second half$521.4 million

The target appears attainable, though not guaranteed. Shopee needs to raise adjusted EBITDA in the second half by around 8.9% compared to the first half. The quarterly average needed stands at approximately $260.7 million.

On the other side, expenses are rising. Sales and marketing expenses climbed 64.5% to $1.66 billion, while credit-loss reserves jumped 71.5% to $555.2 million.

Monee reported loans totaling $11.1 billion, marking a 62.5% increase. The proportion of loans over 90 days overdue remained steady at 1.0% of principal, the same as in March. The consistent rate is notable as the overall loan portfolio grows.

Analyst or consensus sourceViewPrice targetDate
UBSBuy$130July 10, 2026
Bernstein SocGenOutperform$150July 20, 2026
JPMorganBuy$162July 1, 2026
CitiBuy$162June 29, 2026
S&P Global pollStrong Buy$142.26 averageJuly 29, 2026 snapshot

Most target prices were set ahead of Tuesday’s earnings. Sea’s rally took shares just above the $130 price target from UBS. The average consensus target stands at $142.26, indicating around 8.9% potential upside from the $130.59 level.

Risks: Outlays on marketing are increasing at a quicker pace than revenue. Provisions for credit losses are climbing even more rapidly. Softer consumer demand, intensified competition in commerce or escalating loan defaults may further constrain profitability.

The following step is execution. Sea must generate approximately $521 million in Shopee adjusted EBITDA during the second half to meet its latest target.

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Further analysis

What caused Sea Limited shares to climb following second-quarter results?
Sea posted revenue of $7.79 billion, surpassing the analyst consensus of $7.06 billion by roughly $728 million. Shopee’s revenue climbed 48.9%, and Monee’s revenue advanced 58.9%. Shares gained 13.75% to $130.59 in late Tuesday trading.
What conditions must Shopee meet to achieve a $1 billion adjusted-EBITDA milestone?
Shopee reported adjusted EBITDA of $478.6 million during the first half. To meet its target, it will require around $521.4 million in the second half, which breaks down to approximately $260.7 million per quarter. This figure is 8.9% higher than the total for the first half.
What is currently the primary risk facing Sea investors?
Expenses are increasing more quickly than income. Sales and marketing costs surged 64.5%, and provisions for credit losses were up 71.5%. Monee maintained its 90-day non-performing loan ratio at 1.0%, as its total loans expanded 62.5% to $11.1 billion. Credit quality and commerce-related spending have become more significant factors.
Iwona Majkowska

Iwona Majkowska is a financial markets journalist at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, artificial intelligence and technology. A graduate of the Warsaw School of Economics, she previously worked in equity research and financial analysis before focusing on market reporting. Her daily coverage helps investors follow major developments across U.S. and global markets. Follow Iwona Majkowska on Google News.

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