Riskified stock (RSKD) climbs 7% after 22% revenue growth challenges profitability margins

Riskified stock (RSKD) climbs 7% after 22% revenue growth challenges profitability margins

New York, August 12, 2026, 07:38 EDT

  • Riskified reported a 22% increase in second-quarter revenue to $98.7 million.
  • Full-year revenue forecast raised by $25 million at the midpoint.
  • GAAP gross margin decreased by three points to 46%, even as sales accelerated.

Shares of Riskified Ltd. gained 6.8% in premarket trading on Wednesday. The fraud prevention software provider posted a 22% increase in revenue and raised its 2026 guidance for the second consecutive time. The stock was priced at $5.63 as of 06:52 EDT, according to Investing.com.

Stock chart for NYSE:RSKD

The speed of growth is significant. Revenue climbed by only 7% during the first quarter. In the second quarter, growth accelerated to its highest rate in over four years.

However, the product mix was less favorable. Gross profit increased by 13%, trailing revenue growth by nine percentage points. The GAAP gross margin declined to 46%, compared to 49% in the same period last year.

Q2 metric20262025Change
Gross merchandise volume$41.3 billion$36.4 billion+13%
Revenue$98.7 million$81.1 million+22%
GAAP gross profit$45.0 million$39.8 million+13%
GAAP gross margin46%49%-3 points
Adjusted EBITDA$3.9 million$2.1 million+84%
Free cash flow$12.9 million$5.3 million+143%

Riskified released its earnings report on August 12, showing the net loss reduced to $9.1 million from a previous $11.6 million. Non-GAAP diluted earnings held steady at two cents per share.

Eido Gal, Chief Executive and co-founder, stated, “We delivered our strongest revenue growth in over four years.” He attributed this performance to heightened fraud complexity and increased demand for Riskified’s expanded platform. His comments were included in the same company release.

The updated forecast from management sets higher expectations. The revenue midpoint is up 6.6%. The midpoint for adjusted EBITDA climbed 16.1%.

2026 guidanceNew rangePrior rangeMidpoint change
Revenue$400 million-$410 million$376 million-$384 million+$25 million
Adjusted EBITDA$33 million-$39 million$28 million-$34 million+$5 million
Implied midpoint margin8.9%8.2%+0.7 point

The figures also originate from the official earnings release. Revenue for the first half reached $187.0 million. As a result, the revised midpoint suggests roughly $218.0 million in revenue for the second half.

New customer acquisitions provided the clearest indication. Riskified reported that its success rate in securing deals stayed over 75%. Half of its top ten latest clients were based outside the United States.

Operating signalQ2 2026 readingInvestor relevance
Competitive win rateAbove 75%Indicates momentum for acquiring new customers
ACH dollar value processedAbout 19 times prior yearSignals expansion beyond card payments
Top ten new logos outside U.S.FiveDiversifies geographic portfolio
Share repurchases13.7 million shares for $63.9 millionCuts the equity pool
Cash and investments$223.6 millionUnderpins buybacks and expansion
DebtZeroReduces balance-sheet risk

Riskified reported that ACH payment volume was about 19 times higher than the same period a year earlier. As of the end of June, the company held $223.6 million in cash, deposits and investments, with no outstanding debt. Riskified repurchased 13.7 million shares over the quarter. Full details are provided in the results statement.

The stock’s premarket price is close to the consensus target on Wall Street. Market-tracked forecasts list three buy ratings, two holds, and one sell. The average target stood at $5.65 before analysts assessed these numbers.

FirmRecommendationPrice targetDate
Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsHold$5.50July 13, 2026
DA DavidsonBuy$6.00May 14, 2026
UBSHold$5.00March 6, 2026
Truist SecuritiesBuy$7.00March 4, 2026

The recommendation table displays the most recent figures from Investing.com’s analyst page prior to Wednesday’s update. Estimates currently span from $4.75 to $7.00. New adjustments could alter this range.

Risks: The drop of three points in gross margin suggests that increased volume may not translate directly to profit. If transaction mix worsens or fraud expenses rise, meeting the revised EBITDA guidance could be more challenging.

The next challenge is focused. Riskified needs to maintain revenue at its current rate and regain gross-margin leverage. The balance between these factors will determine if the adjusted guidance leads to a sustainable shift in valuation.

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Further analysis

What led to Riskified shares increasing following its second-quarter results?
Revenue increased by 22% to reach $98.7 million, marking the quickest pace in over four years. The company’s management raised full-year revenue guidance for the second time in 2026. Both developments indicate that new customer additions are being reflected in sales more rapidly than previously expected.
What are the implications of Riskified’s updated 2026 guidance?
The company is forecasting revenue of $400 million to $410 million and anticipates adjusted EBITDA in the range of $33 million to $39 million. The updated midpoints are up by $25 million and $5 million, respectively. With first-half revenue at $187.0 million, achieving the new midpoint would mean generating approximately $218.0 million in the latter half.
What is currently the primary risk facing Riskified investors?
Gross profit rose by 13%, trailing the 22% growth in revenue. GAAP gross margin declined to 46%, compared to 49% previously. Riskified needs to demonstrate that rising transaction counts and product launches can generate improved margins, rather than simply boosting sales.
How does the premarket value measure up against analyst projections?
Riskified shares were last seen around $5.63 ahead of the market open. The last recorded mean price target from analysts stood at $5.65, with projections between $4.75 and $7.00. This offers limited room above the prior consensus, but analysts could update their outlooks following the latest results.
Khadija Saeed

Khadija Saeed is a financial markets reporter at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, technology and emerging industries. She studied economics and finance at the London School of Economics and previously worked in market research before moving into financial journalism. Her coverage focuses on the companies, innovations and economic trends influencing global investors. Follow Khadija Saeed on Google News.

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