Heartflow Shares Surge 34% After $18 Million Guidance Hike Lifts Market Value by Almost $1 Billion
14 August 2026

Heartflow Shares Surge 34% After $18 Million Guidance Hike Lifts Market Value by Almost $1 Billion

SAN FRANCISCO, August 14, 2026, 11:11 EDT — U.S. cash markets traded during regular hours.

Shares of Heartflow, Inc. surged 34.1% on Friday, following the cardiac imaging software firm’s quarterly results that surpassed estimates and an upward revision of its annual revenue forecast. By late morning, its market capitalization had increased by roughly $912 million.

Stock chart for NASDAQ:HTFL

The valuation jumped to roughly 51 times Heartflow’s $18 million boost to the midpoint of its 2026 revenue outlook. That figure is provisional, shifting as the share price fluctuates. It indicates that investors reacted not just to the second-quarter results, but notably to the scale of the guidance lift.

Heartflow posted second-quarter revenue of $64.1 million, representing a 48% rise compared to the same period last year. Revenue surpassed the $56.6 million consensus from Google Finance by 13.1%. Non-GAAP loss per share came in at 7 cents, while analysts had anticipated a loss of 13 cents per share.

Second-quarter measureReportedComparisonInvestor read-through
Revenue$64.1 millionEstimate was $56.6 million; gain of 48% from previous yearTopped estimate by 13.1%
Non-GAAP EPS-$0.07Estimate was -$0.13Loss came in 47.9% smaller than expected
GAAP gross margin83.0%Was 75.5% for the prior yearRose by 7.5 percentage points
Non-GAAP operating loss$7.9 million$11.5 million reported last yearLoss reduced by $3.6 million

The company has updated its 2026 revenue forecast to a range of $246 million to $250 million, up from its earlier guidance of $228 million to $232 million. The revised midpoint suggests growth of around 41% and is 12.7% higher than Heartflow’s initial midpoint estimate from March.

2026 outlook dateRevenue rangeMidpointChange from prior midpoint
March 4$218 million-$222 million$220 millionFirst projection
May 7$228 million-$232 million$230 millionUp $10 million
August 13$246 million-$250 million$248 millionUp $18 million

The forecast has been upgraded for a second time. First-quarter revenue climbed 41% to $52.6 million, which triggered the initial upward revision in May. Market reaction on Friday indicates that the latest upgrade had a greater impact, with faster growth and improving margins.

Chief Executive John Farquhar described Heartflow Plaque as “rapidly emerging as a meaningful second growth engine.” Performance in the quarter received support from both FFRCT analysis and plaque volume. HeartFlow, which serves upwards of 1,800 institutions, has processed data on more than 750,000 patients.

William Blair analyst Brandon Vazquez described the guidance boost as “two times larger than the beat.” Vazquez noted additional potential for gains. The midpoint was lifted by $18 million following revenue that surpassed consensus by roughly $7.4 million. Investor’s Business Daily

Repricing measureBefore resultsLate-morning August 14Change
Share price$31.01$41.59+$10.58, or 34.1%
Market valueAbout $2.68 billionAbout $3.59 billionAbout +$912 million
Market value / guided sales midpoint11.6 times14.5 timesAbout +24.5%
Trading volumeAverage 1.10 million4.29 millionRoughly 3.9 times the average

Heartflow reached a session peak of $42.95, equaling its highest level in 52 weeks. Shares were last at $41.59, 4.9% over the mean analyst forecast of $39.63. Most of the publicly anticipated gains were already factored into the price.

Analyst or firmRecommendationTargetLatest action
Matthew O’Brien, Piper SandlerBuy$45Reaffirmed August 14
Robbie Marcus, JPMorganBuy$45Unchanged August 14
Rick Wise, Stifel NicolausBuy$45Held August 14
Larry Biegelsen, Wells FargoBuy$39Reaffirmed August 14
Brandon Vazquez, William BlairBuyNot listedReaffirmed August 14
Kallum Titchmarsh, Morgan StanleyHold$35Reaffirmed August 14
David Rescott, BairdBuy$34Began coverage July 30
Freedom CapitalBuy$37Began coverage June 30
William Plovanic, CanaccordBuy$37Unchanged June 29

Over the past three months, eight out of nine analysts covering Heartflow gave it a buy recommendation, while one suggested holding. Still, the highest price target of $45 implied just an 8.2% gain from the stock’s late-morning level on Friday.

Profitability has yet to be achieved. The GAAP operating loss increased to $17.9 million compared to $13.7 million, despite a reduction in the adjusted loss. Heartflow had $246.8 million in cash and investments at the end of the quarter, lower than the $254.9 million reported after March.

Risks: The stock currently trades at a higher sales multiple as Heartflow is still operating at a loss. The newly assigned valuation could be threatened by delays in hospital uptake, shifts in reimbursement, regulatory hurdles, patent conflicts, or softer plaque demand.

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Further analysis

What caused Heartflow shares to surge following its second-quarter earnings?
Revenue increased by 48% to $64.1 million, surpassing the estimate of $56.6 million by 13.1%. The non-GAAP loss came in at 7 cents a share, which was less than the projected loss of 13 cents.
Is there more room for gains after Heartflow's updated valuation?
Heartflow was priced at $41.59, representing about 14.5 times its updated $248 million revenue midpoint. Prior to reporting results, that figure was close to 11.6 times. Shares were trading 4.9% higher than the $39.63 average analyst target.
Is Heartflow on a path to becoming profitable?
Results on an adjusted basis showed gains, though GAAP profitability deteriorated. Non-GAAP operating loss was reduced to $7.9 million from $11.5 million. GAAP operating loss increased to $17.9 million from $13.7 million.
Following the guidance increase, what are the key priorities for Heartflow?
For investors, Heartflow Plaque must establish itself as a reliable secondary driver of growth, complementing FFRCT analysis. Ongoing expansion in hospital use and consistent reimbursement could underpin the updated projections.
Michał Rogucki

Michał Rogucki is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, technology and macroeconomic developments. A graduate of Humboldt University of Berlin, he previously worked in investment research and market analysis before transitioning to financial journalism. He covers the trends and events that matter most to investors worldwide.

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