AI Stock Picks Today – August 14, 2026 | Top AI-Selected Stocks & Investment Analysis

AI Stock Picks Today – August 14, 2026 | Top AI-Selected Stocks & Investment Analysis

TS2 TECH • DAILY MODEL PORTFOLIO

Stocks to Buy Today

Here are five U.S.-listed stocks to watch on Friday, August 14, ranked after the first 25 minutes of trading. The model highlights companies with strong cash flow, upgraded guidance, and valuations that offer some margin for error. Prices are based on intraday data close to 9:54 a.m. ET; consider limit orders as opening volatility continues.

U.S. market stanceSelective • cash flow over momentum
Friday setup • U.S. market open
S&P 500 proxySPY +0.07%
Nasdaq-100 proxyQQQ +0.17%
Dow proxyDIA +0.02%
July retail sales-0.6% MoM
U.S. 10-year yieldabout 4.67%
WTI futures$82.81 • +1.9%

Retail sales fell for the first time in nine months, missing expectations for a 0.1% increase. Stocks were mostly unchanged, as weaker consumption hints at a less aggressive rate policy, though rising oil prices continue to pose an inflation risk.

#1 • LOW-MULTIPLE CASH RETURN24% weight

AerCap

NYSE: AER

STRONG BUY
Model score95 / 100
★★★★★

AerCap stands out for its strong cash flow, generous capital returns, and attractive valuation. Adjusted return on equity hit 18% in the second quarter, with operating cash flow at $1.5 billion and buybacks for 2026 exceeding $1.4 billion. Shares are priced at less than nine times the company’s upgraded earnings outlook.

Price and analyst forecast

09:53 ET: Shares at $150.76, up 1.05%. Consensus rating is Strong Buy, with an average price target of $179.30 and a range of $165 to $190, implying an 18.9% potential upside.

Latest confirmed results

Adjusted net income came in at $811 million, with adjusted earnings per share at $5.14. Operating cash flow totaled $1.5 billion, while asset sales reached $1.4 billion. The gain-on-sale margin stood at 20%.

Forecast and valuation

The 2026 adjusted EPS is forecast at approximately $16.80, with guided earnings at 9.0 times and a book value of $119.21 per share. The adjusted return on equity stands at 18%.

Model entry

Initial buy between $149 and $152. Add more if the price falls to $143–$146. Avoid buying above $154.

Next check

Lease yields, airline credit quality, aircraft sale margins, and stock buybacks, with shares still trading near initial entry levels.

Main risk: Funding costs, airline defaults and weaker residual aircraft values can reduce returns. Gains on asset sales will not repeat evenly each quarter.
#2 • CASH-FLOW COMPOUNDER22% weight

Uber

NYSE: UBER

BUY
Model score93 / 100
★★★★½

Uber’s gross bookings rose 24%, and quarterly free cash flow hit $2.79 billion. Free cash flow over the past 12 months topped $10 billion for the first time. The stock trades at nearly 17 times projected 2027 earnings.

Price and analyst forecast

At 09:53 ET, shares were at $76.22, up 0.45%. The stock holds a consensus Buy rating, with an average price target of $102.59 and estimates ranging from $70 to $150, suggesting an implied upside of 34.6%.

Latest confirmed results

Gross bookings rose 24% to $58.02bn. Revenue was up 12% to $14.19bn, with adjusted EBITDA climbing 33% to $2.82bn. Free cash flow reached $2.79bn.

Forecast and valuation

Third-quarter bookings are projected between $58.25 billion and $60.25 billion, with non-GAAP EPS expected to range from $0.84 to $0.88. Consensus for fiscal 2027 EPS stands at $4.46, valuing the stock at 17.1 times forward earnings.

Model entry

Initial buy range: $75–$77; consider adding at $71–$73; avoid purchases above $80

Next check

Mobility and delivery margins, free cash flow conversion, share count reduction, and capital needs for autonomous vehicle partnerships.

Main risk: Autonomous vehicles could weaken Uber’s network advantage or require heavier investment. Driver classification and local regulation can raise costs faster than bookings grow.
#3 • AI FOUNDRY AT A PRICE20% weight

Taiwan Semiconductor

NYSE: TSM

BUY ON WEAKNESS
Model score91 / 100
★★★★½

TSMC reported a 44.7% year-over-year increase in July revenue, following a quarter with a 67.7% gross margin. Trading at roughly 19.7 times projected 2027 earnings, the ADR is still less expensive than many peers benefiting directly from AI. The current pullback provides an attractive entry point for investors.

Price and analyst forecast

As of 09:53 ET, shares are priced at $427.25, down 0.75%. Analysts rate the stock a Strong Buy, with an average target of $547.09 and estimates ranging from $431.50 to $700, indicating a potential upside of 28.1%.

Latest confirmed results

Second-quarter revenue reached $40.20 billion, with a gross margin of 67.7% and an operating margin of 60.3%. July revenue came in at NT$467.58 billion, up 44.7% from a year ago.

Forecast and valuation

The company forecasts third-quarter revenue between $44.6 billion and $45.8 billion, with an expected gross margin of 65% to 67%. Analysts project full-year 2027 earnings per share at $21.74, valuing the stock at 19.7 times forward earnings.

Model entry

Initial tranche: $424–$430. Add positions at $410–$417. Avoid chasing above $438.

Next check

August revenue, growth in advanced-packaging capacity, progress on the 2-nanometre ramp, and the impact of new overseas fabs on margins.

Main risk: Taiwan geopolitics, export restrictions and customer concentration can outweigh strong operations. New overseas capacity costs more to build and run.
#4 • EMERGING-MARKET PAYMENTS18% weight

dLocal

NASDAQ: DLO

TACTICAL BUY
Model score88 / 100
★★★★☆

dLocal reported a 92% increase in payment volume and raised its forecasts for both volume and gross profit. However, this comes with a lower take rate and a gross margin of 32%. While today’s share decline makes the stock more attractive on valuation, the position remains smaller than the three main holdings.

Price and analyst forecast

As of 09:53 ET, shares traded at $14.36, down 2.71%. The stock holds a consensus Buy rating, with an average price target of $18.35 and a range from $14.50 to $21, suggesting a potential upside of 27.8%.

Latest confirmed results

Total payment volume reached $17.7 billion, up 92%. Revenue climbed 56% to $399.7 million. Gross profit rose 29% to $127.2 million, while adjusted free cash flow increased 41% to $68.5 million.

Forecast and valuation

Guidance for 2026 projects TPV growth of 60%–70% and gross profit growth between 25% and 30%. Full-year 2026 consensus EPS stands at $0.83, valuing shares at 17.3 times forward earnings.

Model entry

Initial tranche at $14.20–$14.55; add between $13.40–$13.80; avoid buying above $15.05.

Next check

Gross profit per dollar of TPV, operating leverage, Mexico pricing, and customer concentration are key factors.

Main risk: Gross margin fell seven percentage points, while large merchants still dominate revenue. Currency moves and local pricing can turn rapid volume growth into slower profit growth.
#5 • POST-EARNINGS RESET16% weight

Tapestry

NYSE: TPR

BUY THE RESET
Model score86 / 100
★★★★☆

Tapestry shares dropped 16.5% on Thursday, erasing much of the company’s recent valuation gains. Coach sales rose 14%, quarterly profit topped forecasts, and the midpoint of fiscal 2027 EPS guidance is just above previous consensus. Kate Spade continues to be the main reason for the stock’s lower weighting.

Price and analyst forecast

At 09:53 ET, shares traded at $129.16, up 0.60%. The stock carries a consensus Buy rating, with an average target price of $175.13 and estimates ranging from $138 to $232, implying a potential upside of 35.6%.

Latest confirmed results

In the fourth quarter, revenue rose 8.9% to $1.88 billion. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $1.32. Coach sales grew 14%, while Kate Spade sales fell 7%. Revenue from China jumped 28%.

Forecast and valuation

Forecasts for fiscal 2027 call for revenue between $8.4 billion and $8.5 billion, with adjusted earnings per share expected to range from $7.80 to $7.90. Guidance implies a 16.5 times multiple at the midpoint. The company has also increased its quarterly dividend by 16%.

Model entry

Initial buy range: $126–$130. Consider adding between $118–$122. Avoid purchases above $135.

Next check

Coach posted growth in the first quarter, while Kate Spade showed signs of a turnaround. The company also reported steady North American traffic and maintained strong gross-margin discipline.

Main risk: Coach carries the group. A slowdown there would expose Kate Spade’s weakness, while the wide analyst target range signals high disagreement over normalized value.
Forecast and valuation comparison
TickerPriceForecastFwd P/EAvg targetUpsideEntry
AER$150.762026 guide $16.809.0×$179.30+18.9%$149–$152
UBER$76.22FY2027 est. $4.4617.1×$102.59+34.6%$75–$77
TSM$427.25FY2027 est. $21.7419.7×$547.09+28.1%$424–$430
DLO$14.36FY2026 est. $0.8317.3×$18.35+27.8%$14.20–$14.55
TPR$129.16FY2027 guide $7.8516.5×$175.13+35.6%$126–$130

Prices reflect intraday levels as of 09:54 ET. Tapestry and dLocal analyst estimates could still be updating following Thursday’s results. Broad target ranges indicate analyst disagreement rather than assured returns.

Portfolio structure
Aviation leasing24%
Mobility & delivery22%
Semiconductors & AI infrastructure20%
Emerging-market payments18%
Branded consumer16%
How the model ranks today’s list
35%

Earnings and forecast updates

25%

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet

20%

Valuation compared to projections

15%

Entry quality following the move

5%

Short-term event risk

Let the first hour settle; build each position in three tranches.

Initiate positions in AerCap, Uber, and TSMC within their current ranges. Hold dLocal and Tapestry at half their suggested weights until the first hour shows sustained buying following earnings updates. Avoid using market orders after sharp price movements.

Good reports, weaker entries today
Applied MaterialsNASDAQ: AMAT

WAIT FOR PRICE DISCOVERY

Shares fell 3.4% as of 09:54 ET following the quarterly report. A broad opening range and a steep current-year multiple make the stock less attractive for new positions.

BirkenstockNYSE: BIRK

DO NOT CHASE VOLATILITY

Shares fell 2.1% following an 11.6% earnings surge on Thursday, suggesting the stock is consolidating after a volatile two-day move.

Applied Industrial TechnologiesNYSE: AIT

QUALITY, LITTLE DISCOUNT

Shares rose 1.1% to around $361.53. With an earnings multiple in the mid-30s, there’s limited margin for missteps.

Portfolio heat6.8 / 10

The broader market is approaching record highs, oil prices are climbing, and two picks have recently updated earnings. AerCap, Uber, and TSMC make up the largest share of the portfolio, while dLocal and Tapestry have smaller initial positions.

Market risk check

Retail sales slipped 0.6% in July, while crude prices holding above $82 continue to pose an inflation risk. Any fresh climb in Treasury yields could pressure technology stock valuations. In this market, limit orders are proving more important than chasing target-price gains.

TS2 DAILY MODEL PORTFOLIO100% allocated

This is an editorial model portfolio and does not constitute personalized investment advice. The scores reflect how today’s five picks stack up against current alternatives, rather than predicting returns. Intraday prices, analyst forecasts, and market conditions are subject to rapid change.