UiPath Stock’s Rally Leaves the Consensus Target 16% Below Friday’s Close

UiPath Stock’s Rally Leaves the Consensus Target 16% Below Friday’s Close

NEW YORK, August 16, 2026, 05:50 EDT — US cash markets are closed for Sunday.

UiPath, Inc. gained 6.4% last week to $16.01. The rally left Wall Street’s average target 16.1% below Friday’s close. That gap is now the central test for investors.

Stock chart for NYSE:PATH

The stock rose 9.3% on Thursday, then surrendered 4.0% Friday. RBC Capital raised its target to $15 on Friday. Even that revised level sits 6.3% below the market price.

Momentum has outrun published estimates. UiPath is also the first listed company on Yahoo Finance’s current trending list, after cryptocurrencies and an ETF.

SessionCloseDaily changeVolume
Aug. 10$15.59+3.59%55.0 million
Aug. 11$15.72+0.83%66.6 million
Aug. 12$15.26-2.93%63.5 million
Aug. 13$16.68+9.31%104.5 million
Aug. 14$16.01-4.02%50.6 million

Thursday’s volume reached 104.5 million shares, 41% above the 20-day average. Friday’s reversal came on lower volume. The pattern shows strong interest, but no settled valuation.

Short positioning adds fuel. About 32.1% of the public float is sold short. That can magnify gains and losses, without proving that a squeeze caused either move.

Positioning measureLatest valueInvestor implication
Short interest121.55 million sharesLarge bearish position remains
Short interest as share of float32.06%Price moves may be amplified
50-day average$11.99Friday close was 33.5% higher
200-day average$12.73Friday close was 25.8% higher
RSI69.62Momentum is near an overbought reading

The operating record has improved. First-quarter revenue rose 17% to $418 million. Annual recurring revenue increased 12% to $1.901 billion. Dollar-based net retention reached 109%.

Fiscal Q1 metricQ1 FY2027Q1 FY2026Change
Revenue$418 million$357 million+17%
ARR$1.901 billion$1.693 billion+12%
Net new ARR$49 million$27 million+81%
GAAP operating result$28 million profit$16 million loss$44 million improvement
Adjusted free cash flow$130 million$117 million+11%

Chief Financial Officer Ashim Gupta highlighted “first quarter GAAP profitability for the first time.” Management also lifted full-year revenue guidance to $1.776 billion-$1.781 billion. UiPath filing

Yet analysts still expect slower growth after this year. Consensus revenue growth is 10.4% for fiscal 2027 and 8.4% next year. The rally therefore assumes either stronger execution or higher valuation.

Analyst or consensusRecommendationPrice targetLatest action
S&P Global consensus, 20 analystsHold$13.44 averageUpdated Aug. 14
Matthew Hedberg, RBC CapitalHold$15, from $12Maintained Aug. 14
Koji Ikeda, BofA SecuritiesSell$13Maintained July 22
Radi Sultan, UBSHold$12, from $13Reiterated June 29
Scott Berg, NeedhamBuy$15Maintained June 12

The highest published target is $17, only 6.2% above Friday’s close. The lowest is $10.98. Sixteen of 20 analysts rate the shares Hold.

For the week ahead, the $15 level is pivotal. It is both RBC’s new target and close to Thursday’s intraday low. Holding it would preserve the breakout; losing it would erase much of last week’s gain. UiPath reports next on September 3.

Risks: High short interest can intensify volatility. Analyst targets are not forecasts of near-term trading. Slower ARR growth, weaker retention or cautious guidance could quickly reverse the rally.

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Further analysis

What explains Wall Street’s consensus target being lower than the current UiPath share price?
The consensus price target is $13.44, below Friday’s closing level of $16.01, suggesting a potential decline of 16.1%. On August 14, RBC increased its target to $15, which still sits 6.3% under the current market price. The difference highlights that the share price rally has outpaced analysts' existing value estimates.
Do UiPath’s most recent results justify the stock rally?
Revenue for the first quarter climbed 17% to $418 million, with annual recurring revenue up 12% to $1.901 billion. UiPath reported $28 million in GAAP operating income and a 109% dollar-based net retention rate. The results reflect improved profitability and ongoing growth, but projections indicate a deceleration in revenue growth after this fiscal year.
What significance does UiPath’s short interest hold?
Roughly 32.1% of the public float is sold short. Such high short interest can increase volatility when traders close out positions. This level alone does not confirm that last week’s rally resulted from a short squeeze, and it may also indicate ongoing concerns about valuation or growth prospects.
What are the key factors investors need to monitor next?
UiPath is set to announce its earnings results following the market close on September 3. Market participants are expected to concentrate on annual recurring revenue, customer retention, and the company's advancement towards its Q2 revenue projection of $395 million to $400 million. The $15 level is significant as it aligns with RBC's most recent price target and remains beneath the stock's closing price last Friday.
Michał Rogucki

Michał Rogucki is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech. His coverage ranges from stocks and technology to economic developments affecting global markets. He graduated from Humboldt University of Berlin and worked in investment research and market analysis before becoming a financial journalist.

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