UiPath (NYSE:PATH) stock surges 29%, setting high expectations ahead of September earnings

UiPath (NYSE:PATH) stock surges 29%, setting high expectations ahead of September earnings

NEW YORK, August 7, 2026, 05:08 EDT

  • UiPath ended trading on Thursday at $14.00, marking a 29.2% rise from July 24. Before Friday’s market open, shares were at $14.13.
  • Trading volume from Monday to Thursday totaled 268.3 million shares, representing 58.9% of outstanding Class A shares as of the end of April.
  • The initial revenue estimate of $397.77 million is only $270,000 higher than the midpoint of the company’s forecast.

Shares of UiPath ended Thursday at $14.00 and advanced 0.9% in early premarket trade. Regular U.S. market trading was still closed at 05:08 EDT, with the NYSE set to open its main session at 09:30 EDT.

Stock chart for NYSE:PATH

The stock climbed 29.2% since July 24. However, Thursday’s company disclosure was not accompanied by updated operating data. UiPath is set to report fiscal second-quarter earnings on September 3.

The key concern for investors is this gap. Price momentum has outpaced estimate momentum. UiPath is now tasked with justifying the rally through renewals, fresh contracts, and its guidance.

The strength of trading activity lends weight to the move, suggesting it is more than a minor rebound. Over the last four sessions, 268.3 million shares changed hands, equivalent to 58.9% of the Class A shares outstanding at the end of April. This comparison reflects the total shares traded, not the number of individual investors involved.

The past two weeks saw the rally gain speed:

DateClosing priceDaily moveVolume
July 24$10.84up 6.27%66.14 million
July 31$12.76up 3.15%39.87 million
August 3$13.05up 2.27%40.94 million
August 4$14.10up 8.05%61.99 million
August 5$13.82down 1.99%91.84 million
August 6$14.00up 1.30%73.53 million

The shift was further propelled by increased interest in artificial-intelligence investments. U.S. indexes set all-time highs on Tuesday following robust earnings from AI-related firms. On Thursday, however, software stocks pressured the market. Despite this, UiPath gained 1.3%.

The valuation test is set for September 3. Management projected second-quarter revenue between $395 million and $400 million. A preliminary third-party figure of $397.77 million nearly matches the midpoint, differing by just 0.07%.

Outlook indicates a deceleration in revenue growth, offset by improved operating leverage:

MetricQ2 fiscal 2026 actualQ2 fiscal 2027 guidancePreliminary estimateImplied annual change
Revenue$362 million$395 million-$400 million$397.77 million+9.1% to +10.5%
ARR$1.723 billion$1.929 billion-$1.934 billion+12.0% to +12.2%
Net new ARR$31 million$28 million-$33 million, implied-9.7% to +6.5%
Non-GAAP operating income$62 millionRoughly $75 millionApproximately +21%
Non-GAAP operating margin17.2%18.8%-19.0%Increase of 1.5 to 1.8 points
Non-GAAP diluted EPS$0.15No guidance$0.151Near +0.7%

The company’s first quarter results underline the positive outlook. Revenue climbed 17%, while ARR was up 12%. Non-GAAP operating income totaled $92 million. Chief Executive Daniel Dines stated agentic products were “moving from pilot to production.” UiPath, Inc.

For the upcoming quarter, ARR guidance indicates net new ARR between $28 million and $33 million. This range includes the $31 million recorded in the prior-year period but falls short of the $49 million in net new ARR achieved in the first quarter.

Margins offer additional backing. The forecast for non-GAAP operating margin stands at nearly 19%, compared to 17.2% a year earlier. Chief Operating Officer and financial chief Ashim Gupta noted UiPath posted “first quarter GAAP profitability for the first time in company history.” UiPath, Inc.

Analysts are still wary. According to Google Finance’s three-month snapshot, there were two Buy recommendations, 12 Holds, and one Sell. The average price target was $13.27, which is 5.2% under Thursday’s closing price.

Analyst and firmCall dateRecommendationTargetImplied move from $14
Koji Ikeda, BofA Securities — Bank of America July 22Sell$13-7.1%
Radi Sultan, UBS Group June 29Hold$12-14.3%
Scott Berg, Needham & CompanyJune 12Buy$15+7.1%
Raimo Lenschow, Barclays June 1Hold$140.0%
Sanjit Singh, Morgan Stanley May 29Hold$15+7.1%

Share repurchases may help cushion declines. UiPath acquired 20.4 million shares at an average price of $11.47 in its first quarter and purchased an additional 2.4 million shares at $9.63 through May 15. Thursday’s closing price was 22% higher than the first average and 45% above the second.

UiPath’s balance sheet continues to be strong. As of April 30, the company reported $1.416 billion in cash and marketable securities. Operating cash flow totaled $131.9 million for the quarter, while investing activities reflected a net payment of $149.4 million for acquisitions.

UiPath has not announced any investor events for next week. The company’s next planned update is its results call set for September 3 at 17:00 EDT. In the meantime, movements in sector sentiment and changes to estimates could influence the stock.

Risks: Continued strong retention, an increase in annual guidance, or more rapid agentic adoption could keep the rally going. Conversely, a revenue miss or soft net new ARR might reverse it. Premarket prices are also subject to change ahead of regular trading hours.

TS2 TECH • EXTENDED COVERAGE

Further analysis

What factors will determine PATH's upcoming key move?
UiPath will announce fiscal Q2 results after the market closes on September 3. The company forecasts revenue between $395 million and $400 million and expects ARR to reach $1.929–$1.934 billion. The guidance midpoints suggest revenue will grow 9.8%, with ARR up 12.1%. ARR remains the key measure.
Is agentic AI generating tangible increases in paid growth?
Annualized recurring revenue for the first quarter came in at $1.901 billion, rising 12% from a year earlier. Net retention increased to 109%, and net new ARR was $49 million. Management states that agentic products are now moving into production. Nonetheless, UiPath does not disclose individual agentic revenue or ARR metrics.
How sustainable is UiPath's recent profitability?
GAAP operating income stood at $28.0 million, compared to a $16.4 million loss a year earlier. Operating cash flow increased to $131.9 million. Stock-based compensation was unchanged at $53.3 million, representing 12.7% of revenue, and remained higher than GAAP operating profit.
Is capital allocation turning more aggressive?
During the first quarter, UiPath allocated $243.8 million to share repurchases. The company also paid a net $149.4 million for WorkFusion. Repurchases amounted to 1.8 times the operating cash flow for the quarter. UiPath’s cash and investments totaled $1.42 billion at the end of the period.
Is the current valuation compatible with a reduced growth rate?
UiPath's most recent share price was $14.00, placing the company’s valuation at around $7.39 billion. This represents approximately 4.2 times its expected fiscal 2027 revenues. The midpoint of the company’s revenue forecast signals 10.4% annual growth. Consistent ARR increases and margin achievement remain key.
Leokadia Głogulska

Leokadia Głogulska is a financial and technology journalist at TS2.tech, covering stocks, artificial intelligence, space technology and global market developments. She graduated from Wrocław University of Economics and Business and previously worked in financial analysis before moving into business journalism. Her reporting focuses on helping readers understand the market trends, companies and technologies shaping the global economy.

AI PORTFOLIO

Top Stock Picks

Today’s highest-ranked model selections.

#1 STRONG BUY

Constellation Energy

NASDAQ: CEG 95 / 100
#2 BUY

AerCap

NYSE: AER 93 / 100
#3 BUY

Walt Disney

NYSE: DIS 91 / 100
#4 ACCUMULATE

AIG

NYSE: AIG 89 / 100
#5 BUY ON PULLBACK

Cheniere Energy

NYSE: LNG 87 / 100
View full portfolio
Editorial model selection. Not personalised advice.
The Trade Desk (NASDAQ:TTD) shares drop after Q3 outlook highlights concerns over monetization
Previous Story

The Trade Desk (NASDAQ:TTD) shares drop after Q3 outlook highlights concerns over monetization

Doximity (NYSE:DOCS) surges 70% before market open as investors factor in AI Search revenue shift
Next Story

Doximity (NYSE:DOCS) surges 70% before market open as investors factor in AI Search revenue shift