Scotiabank Shares Surge 5% After Record Profits Lift ROE Past Target

Scotiabank Shares Surge 5% After Record Profits Lift ROE Past Target

TORONTO, August 25, 2026, 11:35 EDT

  • Shares of Scotiabank traded on the U.S. market climbed 4.92% to $91.13 during late-morning hours.
  • Adjusted earnings surpassed consensus estimates by 8.6%, with adjusted ROE at 14.2%.
  • The surge lifted the stock to a level 1.3% higher than the average price target set by analysts.

Shares of the Bank of Nova Scotia NYSE: BNS rose 4.92% on Tuesday following adjusted return on equity hitting 14.2%, surpassing the management’s medium-term target of 14% by 0.2 percentage point.

Stock chart for TSE:BNS

The move boosted the bank’s listed U.S. market value by about $5.2 billion. The stock also exceeded the average Wall Street target. Investors are valuing operating leverage in addition to earnings outperformance.

Adjusted earnings reached C$2.28 per share for the fiscal third quarter, topping analysts’ forecast of C$2.10, as per Reuters. The result, an 8.6% increase over expectations, was driven by higher fee income and gains across multiple segments.

Revenue climbed 11.1% to C$10.54 billion, while expenses were up 9.2% to C$5.56 billion. The company generated 1.9 percentage points of positive operating leverage.

Q3 metric20262025Change
Adjusted net profitC$2.97bnC$2.52bn+18.1%
Total revenuesC$10.54bnC$9.49bn+11.1%
Operating expensesC$5.56bnC$5.09bn+9.2%
Adjusted return on equity14.2%12.4%+1.8 pts
Allowance for credit lossesC$1.08bnC$1.04bn+3.7%
Source: Scotiabank quarterly results. Calculations use reported figures.

Fee-based operations contributed more significantly. Non-interest income increased by 16.9%, while net interest income grew by 6.8%. Earnings from Global Banking and Markets climbed 37% to reach C$647 million.

Canadian Banking reported earnings of C$1.07 billion, a rise of 12%. Profit from Global Wealth Management increased by 23%, with assets under management growing to C$474 billion. International Banking saw an 8% increase.

Credit costs stayed high, though they moderated compared to the previous quarter. Provisions decreased by 11.3% quarter-on-quarter, but were up 3.7% from a year earlier. The common-equity Tier 1 ratio was steady at 13.1%.

Chief Executive Scott Thomson described it as “a record quarter for the Bank.” During the period, Scotiabank bought back 8.6 million shares. Total capital returned via dividends and share repurchases hit C$6.3 billion for the year to date. Scotiabank investor results

Scotiabank’s market reaction diverged from other major Canadian banks. Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce NYSE: CM increased 1.81%, Toronto-Dominion Bank NYSE: TD advanced 1.49%, and Royal Bank of Canada NYSE: RY climbed 1.03%. Bank of Montreal NYSE: BMO edged down 0.33%.

AnalystRatingTargetUpside/downside from $91.13
KBWBuy$107+17.4%
CIBCHold$98+7.5%
BarclaysHold$94+3.2%
National BankHold$92+1.0%
RBC CapitalHold$84-7.8%
Consensus averageHold$89.97-1.3%
Latest published recommendations and consensus: StockAnalysis. Upside/downside calculated from the August 25, 11:35 EDT price.

That gap in valuation is now significant. Shares of BNS were at $91.13 as of 11:35 EDT, exceeding analysts’ average target of $89.97. The stock’s trailing earnings multiple of 17.3 leaves limited space for any missteps.

The stock rose 4.92%, outperforming the peer group average by 3.92 points. Maintaining this advantage will depend on further improvements in operating leverage. Ongoing credit normalization remains necessary.

Risks: An uptick in loan losses would weigh on the earnings outlook. Fluctuations in currency values may affect returns in U.S. dollars. Analyst consensus suggests there is limited upside following Tuesday’s rally.

NYSE: BNS · Company / Stock Move

Scotiabank clears its ROE target—and the stock clears consensus

The fiscal Q3 beat was broad: fee income accelerated, every operating segment grew, and revenue expanded faster than costs. The price reaction has already pushed BNS above the average analyst target.

Investor read: the next rerating leg depends on repeatable operating leverage and lower credit costs, not another one-day earnings surprise.

Live U.S. share snapshot

$91.13
+$4.27 · +4.92%
August 25, 2026 · 11:35:12 EDT · NYSE open
Day range $88.46–$91.4052-week high $92.04

Adjusted EPS

C$2.28+21.3% YoY · 8.6% above C$2.10 consensus

Adjusted ROE

14.2%+1.8 points YoY · 0.2 point above target

Revenue

C$10.54bn+11.1% YoY

Positive leverage

+1.88 ptsRevenue growth less expense growth

Credit losses

C$1.08bn+3.7% YoY · −11.3% QoQ

CET1 ratio

13.1%Quarter-end capital buffer

Trailing P/E

17.33×At August 25, 11:35 EDT

Dividend yield

3.72%Forward indicated yield

Tuesday price reaction

BNS versus U.S.-listed Canadian bank peers at the same Yahoo Finance market snapshot.

BNS
+4.92%
CM
+1.81%
TD
+1.49%
RY
+1.03%
BMO
−0.33%

Peer average: +1.00%. BNS outperformance: 3.92 percentage points.

Growth quality: revenue beat costs

RevenueExpensesFee incomeNet interest 11.1%9.2%16.9%6.8%

Fiscal Q3 2026 versus Q3 2025. Calculated from reported Canadian-dollar figures.

Segment earnings

BusinessQ3 profitYoYSignal
Canadian BankingC$1.07bn+12%19.4% ROE
International BankingC$766m+8%Broad growth
Global WealthC$518m+23%C$474bn AUM
Global Banking & MarketsC$647m+37%Largest gain

Analyst target map

$75.39 low$89.97 avg$91.13 now$107 high

Consensus: Hold from 14 analysts—2 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, 9 Hold, 1 Sell.

Current price is 1.27% above the average target. The range implies −17.3% to +17.4%.

Capital and valuation

Market capitalization$111.29bn
One-day value change, approximate+$5.2bn
Quarterly shares repurchased8.6m
YTD dividends + buybacksC$6.3bn
YTD total return+24.35%
One-year total return+60.46%

Market data timestamp: August 25, 2026, 11:35:12 EDT. Market-value change is an estimate based on the quoted percentage move.

What could break the thesis

CreditPCL remains 3.7% above last year despite the sequential decline.
ValuationThe stock already trades above the average analyst target.
ExecutionExpenses still rose 9.2%; positive leverage must persist.
CurrencyCanadian-dollar earnings can translate unevenly for U.S. holders.

Sources: Scotiabank Q3 releaseReutersYahoo FinanceAnalyst data. All monetary figures are Canadian dollars unless marked with a dollar-only U.S. share price.

Jerzy Lewandowski

Jerzy Lewandowski is a senior markets editor at TS2.tech. His coverage ranges from stocks and semiconductors to AI and the broader global markets. He studied economics at the University of Warsaw and worked in investment analysis before becoming a financial journalist. Follow Jerzy Lewandowski on Google News.

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