Stock chart for NASDAQ:ADSK

Autodesk Shares Drop 4.1% After Q3 Profit Outlook Misses Forecasts Despite 16% Revenue Rise

SAN FRANCISCO, August 28, 2026, 09:10 EDT

  • Autodesk stock dropped 4.1%, reaching $259.50 ahead of Friday’s market open.
  • Revenue for the quarter increased by 16% to $2.046 billion, while free cash flow was up 24%.
  • Adjusted EPS guidance for the third quarter was set at $3.04–$3.09, coming in below the consensus estimate of $3.14.
  • The drop in premarket trading wiped out approximately $2.34 billion in implied equity value.

Autodesk, Inc. (NASDAQ: ADSK) dropped 4.1% after reporting a robust quarter but issuing a weaker short-term profit outlook. Shares changed hands at $259.50 as of 07:15 EDT on Friday.

Stock chart for NASDAQ:ADSK

An $11.08 drop in premarket trading erased roughly $2.34 billion in implied market capitalization, based on 211 million shares in circulation. Premarket trading saw a light volume of 4,060 shares MarketWatch quote.

Autodesk posted adjusted earnings of $3.30 per share, beating Wall Street’s forecast of $3.12. Revenue was $2.046 billion, topping the consensus estimate of $2.01 billion Barron’s earnings comparison.

Management forecast third-quarter adjusted earnings between $3.04 and $3.09. Analysts’ consensus was $3.14. Revenue guidance was set at $2.125 billion to $2.140 billion, above the estimated $2.08 billion.

The discrepancy is significant. Investors were given an improved sales forecast, but that did not translate into higher short-term earnings. The $3.6 billion MaintainX purchase by Autodesk brings additional operating and financing expenses.

Product familyQ2 FY2027 revenueYear-over-year growth
AECO$1.029 billion17%
AutoCAD and AutoCAD LT$500 million14%
Manufacturing$385 million15%
Media and Entertainment$92 million15%

Operational performance was robust. Billings rose 10% to $1.854 billion. The GAAP operating margin grew by four points, reaching 29% company results.

Free cash flow increased by 24% to $561 million. Autodesk bought back 2.1 million shares for $453 million. The repurchases represented approximately 81% of its free cash flow for the quarter.

Current remaining performance obligations increased by 12% to $5.245 billion. Total RPO saw a modest rise of 2% to $7.433 billion. Unbilled deferred revenue fell 8% as Autodesk scaled back multi-year discounts.

The company raised its full-year revenue outlook to a range of $8.295 billion to $8.345 billion. Adjusted earnings per share are projected between $12.52 and $12.60. The free-cash-flow forecast was tightened to $2.725 billion to $2.750 billion.

The cash-flow outlook factors in about $45 million in MaintainX-related transaction expenses. Chief Financial Officer Janesh Moorjani noted that core projections rose. Some of those gains were partially offset by acquisition-related costs opening commentary.

The consensus among analysts remained “Moderate Buy,” with an average price target of $322.97. This suggests a potential upside of about 24% from the early premarket level. The ratings consisted of 24 buy recommendations and six holds MarketBeat.

Risks: The integration of MaintainX may put pressure on margins for a longer period than expected. A deceleration in RPO growth could also impact future visibility. However, solid AECO demand, improved pricing, or quicker adoption of AI technology have the potential to counter these challenges.

NASDAQ: ADSK · earnings dashboard

Growth beat, profit bar disappoints

Market data: Aug. 28, 2026, 07:15 EDT
Financials: quarter ended July 31, 2026
Premarket
$259.50
▼ 4.09% · -$11.08
Implied value loss
≈$2.34B
211M shares × $11.08
Q2 revenue
$2.046B
▲ 16% YoY
Free cash flow
$561M
▲ 24% YoY

The expectations gap

Q3 revenue$2.08B consensus$2.133B guide midpointQ3 adj. EPS$3.14 consensus$3.065 guide midpoint
Revenue guide above StreetEPS guide below StreetMaintainX costs included

Quarter scorecard

MetricQ2 FY27YoY
Billings$1.854B+10%
Revenue$2.046B+16%
GAAP operating margin29%+4 pts
Adjusted margin41%+2 pts
Adjusted EPS$3.30+$0.68

Revenue mix

AECO · $1.029B · +17%
AutoCAD · $500M · +14%
Manufacturing · $385M · +15%
Media & Entertainment · $92M · +15%

Backlog visibility

Current RPO$5.245B+12%
Total RPO$7.433B+2%
Deferred revenue$4.258B+11%
Unbilled deferred revenue$3.175B-8%

Lower multi-year discounts support pricing but temporarily weigh on long-duration RPO.

Full-year FY27 guide

Revenue$8.295B–$8.345B
Billings$8.575B–$8.650B
Adjusted margin≈39%
Adjusted EPS$12.52–$12.60
Free cash flow$2.725B–$2.750B

Free cash flow includes about $45M of MaintainX transaction expenses.

Investor lens

Autodesk is expanding revenue, current backlog and margins. The selloff says the market wants that strength to reach per-share profit faster. MaintainX can deepen the platform, but its integration now sets the next execution hurdle.

Sources: Autodesk Aug. 27, 2026 earnings release and opening commentary; MarketWatch; Barron’s; MarketBeat. Market figures may be delayed. Informational only.

Jerzy Lewandowski

Jerzy Lewandowski is a senior markets editor at TS2.tech. His coverage ranges from stocks and semiconductors to AI and the broader global markets. He studied economics at the University of Warsaw and worked in investment analysis before becoming a financial journalist. Follow Jerzy Lewandowski on Google News.

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