IREN Shares Slide 12.5% with $4 Billion AI ARR Offset by 68% EBITDA Decline

IREN Shares Slide 12.5% with $4 Billion AI ARR Offset by 68% EBITDA Decline

NEW YORK, August 28, 2026, 23:10 (EDT). IREN (IREN) shares dropped 12.5% after reporting $4 billion in annual recurring revenue from AI, which was accompanied by a 68% decrease in EBITDA.

  • IREN finished at $35.45, falling 12.5%, with 88.6 million shares traded.
  • Revenue from AI Cloud Services surged twofold from the previous quarter, reaching $70.5 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter dropped 68%, reaching $19.2 million.
  • Management reports that $4 billion of 2026 capacity ARR has been secured through contracts.

IREN Limited (NASDAQ: IREN) stock dropped 12.5% on Friday as quarterly adjusted EBITDA posted a steep decrease. This slide occurred even as AI-cloud revenue more than doubled.

Stock chart for NASDAQ:IREN

The stock ended the session at $35.45, with 88.6 million shares changing hands—nearly double its three-month average. The drop wiped about $1.8 billion off its market value, according to Yahoo Finance’s closing market capitalization Yahoo Most Active.

The quarter represented a pivotal moment, as AI Cloud Services generated 51% of overall revenue, surpassing Bitcoin mining as the primary contributor for the first time in the reporting period.

US$ millionQ4 FY26Q3 FY26Sequential change
AI Cloud Services revenue70.533.6up 110%
Bitcoin mining revenue66.7111.2down 40%
Total revenue137.2144.8down 5%
Adjusted EBITDA19.259.5down 68%
Net loss(684.0)(247.8)Loss increased
Source: IREN FY26 results, released August 27, 2026.

Cloud revenue increased by 110% compared to the March quarter. Revenue from mining dropped 40% as the company shut down machines and repurposed locations for higher-value GPU tasks IREN FY26 results.

Adjusted EBITDA margin dropped to 14.0%, down from 41.1%. Increased employee expenses and platform investment were recorded ahead of related cloud revenue, and this timing mismatch influenced market reaction.

IREN disclosed $4 billion in contracted annualized run-rate revenue tied to its 2026 capacity, with just $1 billion of that operational as of August 26. Chief Executive Daniel Roberts stated, “Our 2026 capacity is largely sold out.”

The difference is significant. As of Friday’s market close, IREN was valued at roughly 3.2 times its contracted ARR target and close to 17.9 times its projected fiscal 2026 GAAP revenue of $707 million.

ARR does not represent GAAP revenue. The calculation is based on the assumption that commissioned GPUs operate for 8,760 hours at ongoing contract rates. IREN cautions that recognized revenue could be significantly less.

The figures for the fiscal year reflect the expense of transitioning. AI-cloud revenue rose nearly eightfold to $128.8 million. However, adjusted EBITDA declined by 9% to $245.7 million.

The annual net loss of $702.6 million factored in $638.8 million in non-cash impairment charges. The majority of these charges related to Bitcoin-mining equipment replaced by GPU installations.

Financing eases an immediate limitation. IREN reported that its current cash, secured GPU financing, and customer prepayments amount to $14 billion. The latest agreements also feature customer prepayments accounting for 45% to 55% of GPU capital expenditures.

Microsoft received Horizon 1, a 50-megawatt liquid-cooled installation at Childress. Delivery for three more Horizon sites is planned for the fourth quarter of 2026.

Analysts are split over the timing, not the demand. B. Riley noted the quarter supported both the commercial strategy and financing trajectory. Following the results, H.C. Wainwright maintained a Buy rating with a $90 price target Barron’s.

The performance among peers slipped, though not as sharply. CoreWeave (NASDAQ: CRWV) dropped 2.9%, while Nebius Group (NASDAQ: NBIS) retreated 4.3%. IREN’s drop was over twice as large as either.

Risks: Delays in commissioning, limited GPU availability, reliance on a small number of customers, and decreasing rental prices could postpone revenue. Cash flow may also face strain from debt payments, outdated equipment, and potential additional impairments.

The next challenge is underway. Investors are looking for operating ARR of $1 billion to move closer to the $4 billion contracted mark, without experiencing another quarterly margin drop.

IREN · NASDAQ: IREN

AI-cloud crossover, margin reset

Market close: Aug. 28, 2026 · 16:00 EDT
Quote feed checked: Aug. 28, 2026 · 20:15 EDT
Close
$35.45
−12.5%
Volume
88.6M
~2.0× three-month average
Equity value erased
≈$1.8B
Yahoo closing capitalization basis
Catalyst
FY26 results
EBITDA missed the cloud ramp
Quarterly business mix · US$M
AI Cloud Q3
33.6
AI Cloud Q4
70.5
Mining Q3
111.2
Mining Q4
66.7

AI Cloud became 51.4% of quarterly revenue. Source: IREN FY26 results, Aug. 27.

Margin transmission
$59.5M$19.2MQ3 FY26Q4 FY26

Adjusted EBITDA fell 68%; margin contracted to 14.0% from 41.1%.

Valuation bridge
MetricValueMultiple
Closing market value$12.67B
FY26 GAAP revenue$707M17.9×
Operating ARR, Aug. 26$1.0B12.7×
Contracted 2026 ARR$4.0B3.2×

ARR is non-GAAP and assumes contracted GPUs operate 8,760 hours; recognized revenue may be lower.

Peer tape · latest quote feed 20:15 EDT
CompanyPriceDay
IREN$35.45−12.6%
CoreWeave$84.23−2.9%
Nebius$209.18−4.3%

IREN underperformed both neocloud peers by more than eight percentage points.

Fundamentals
FY26ValueYoY
Total revenue$707.0M+41%
AI Cloud revenue$128.8M+685%
Adjusted EBITDA$245.7M−9%
Net result−$702.6Mvs +$86.9M

Net loss included $638.8M of non-cash impairments.

Analyst expectations

H.C. Wainwright: Buy, $90 target, reiterated Aug. 28.

B. Riley: commercial and financing path validated; execution now moves to commissioning.

Visible Alpha quarterly adjusted-EBITDA consensus was $57.1M versus $19.2M reported.

What moves the stock next
Delivery

Horizon 2 commissioning; Horizon 3–4 target Q4 2026.

Revenue conversion

$1B operating ARR must approach $4B contracted ARR.

Capital

$14B of cash, committed financing and prepayments supports rollout.

Risks

Delays, customer concentration, GPU pricing, debt and obsolescence.

Leokadia Głogulska

Leokadia Głogulska is a financial and technology journalist at TS2.tech. Her coverage ranges from stocks and artificial intelligence to space technology and developments across global markets. She graduated from Wrocław University of Economics and Business and worked in financial analysis before becoming a business journalist.

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