AGNC Investment Corp (NASDAQ: AGNC) is back in the spotlight today as its share price edges higher toward a 52‑week high, just as investors focus on its nearly 14% dividend yield and an upcoming monthly payout. [1]
AGNC stock price today: trading near the top of its range
In early Wednesday trading on November 26, 2025, AGNC stock is changing hands at around $10.55, up roughly 1.4% on the session. That follows yesterday’s close at $10.40 and puts the shares within a few percent of their 52‑week high of about $10.63, with a 52‑week low near $7.85. [2]
Over the last 12 months, AGNC has delivered a mid‑single‑digit share price gain of roughly 7–8%, excluding dividends, according to data from Investing.com and other price trackers. [3] When you add a double‑digit yield on top, the total return profile has been significantly stronger than the broad market over that period, albeit with much higher volatility.
Trading volume today remains robust and broadly in line with an average daily volume just under 19–21 million shares, underscoring strong liquidity in the name. [4]
Headline for the day: “Is AGNC Investment Stock a Buy Now?”
The most widely shared AGNC headline on November 26, 2025 comes from a new column originally published by The Motley Fool and syndicated on AOL under the title “Is AGNC Investment Stock a Buy Now?” [5]
That article highlights a striking statistic:
- AGNC’s dividend yield is around 14%, which is more than ten times the average dividend yield of the S&P 500. [6]
While the full piece is behind a rate‑limited wall, the available excerpts and related commentary from Yahoo Finance and Simply Wall St emphasize two key points:
- Income appeal: A monthly yield near 14% is extremely attractive for income‑seeking investors, especially in a world where many blue‑chip stocks yield 1–3%. [7]
- Sustainability questions: Articles such as “Does AGNC Investment’s 14.2% Dividend Yield Look Sustainable?” stress that such a high payout comes with substantial risk, given that AGNC is a leveraged mortgage REIT whose earnings are highly sensitive to interest‑rate spreads and funding costs. [8]
In short, the big narrative in today’s media coverage is “huge monthly income, but be careful what that implies about risk.”
Fresh November 26 news: Creative Planning boosts its AGNC stake
Another notable headline today comes from Defense World, which reports that Creative Planning — a large investment advisory firm — has boosted its stake in AGNC Investment Corp by 12.5%. [9]
Key details from the latest 13F‑based report:
- Creative Planning purchased an additional 25,222 shares in the second quarter, taking its total position to 227,796 shares.
- At the time of the filing, that stake was valued at about $2.1 million.
- The article also notes that big institutions such as Vanguard, Kingstone Capital Partners Texas, Geode Capital Management, Equity Investment Corp and Natixis Advisors hold large positions, contributing to roughly 38% institutional ownership. [10]
While a single incremental purchase doesn’t change the investment thesis on its own, it adds to the narrative that institutional investors remain engaged with AGNC at current price levels, even as some AI‑driven tools flash caution (more on that below).
Macro backdrop today: Fed pivot hopes boost rate‑sensitive names
Today’s broader market context also matters for a leveraged mortgage REIT like AGNC.
Pre‑Thanksgiving coverage from MarketMinute and other outlets describes a “Wall Street Thanksgiving Feast” as U.S. stocks extend their rally on growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates in 2026. [11]
Those reports highlight several themes:
- Lower‑rate expectations are pushing bond yields down, easing pressure on interest‑rate‑sensitive sectors like housing and REITs, including AGNC. [12]
- AI‑linked tech names are driving a big portion of the index gains, but yield stocks and financials are also catching a bid. [13]
AGNC itself gained about 0.97% yesterday (Nov. 25) alongside peers like Invesco Mortgage Capital (IVR) and MFA Financial (MFA), according to MarketWatch’s daily REIT performance round‑ups. [14] Today’s additional uptick continues that mini‑run and keeps the shares trading in the upper band of their 52‑week range. [15]
For mortgage REITs, a slower or more dovish Fed can be a double‑edged sword: it may reduce funding costs and ease book‑value pressure, but it can also compress spreads over time if long‑term yields fall more than short‑term rates. That tension is exactly what many analysts are debating right now.
AGNC’s dividend today: 0.12 per month, ~14% forward yield
The central fact underpinning today’s headlines is AGNC’s monthly dividend:
- On November 12, 2025, AGNC’s board declared a $0.12 per share monthly dividend for November.
- The dividend is payable on December 9, 2025 to common stockholders of record as of November 28, 2025. [16]
- Data providers including Dividend.com and CompaniesMarketCap calculate a forward annual dividend of $1.44 per share, implying a forward yield around 13.7–14.0% at current prices. [17]
There is a minor discrepancy among data sources about the exact ex‑dividend date:
- Some platforms (Koyfin, DividendMax and others) list an ex‑dividend date of November 28, 2025. [18]
- A separate notice on StreetInsider cites November 26, 2025 as the ex‑dividend date while keeping the same November 28 record date and December 9 payment date. [19]
What’s uncontested is that shareholders of record on November 28 will receive the $0.12 payout in early December. Because ex‑dividend logistics can be affected by settlement rules and holiday schedules, investors should confirm the cutoff date with their broker before trying to execute “dividend capture” trades.
Either way, the headline yield is enormous:
- CompaniesMarketCap puts AGNC’s trailing‑twelve‑month yield at about 13.7%, with a 5‑year average yield over 17% — far above typical REITs or the S&P 500. [20]
That level of income is why AGNC shows up on numerous “highest yielding monthly dividend stocks” and “best monthly dividend REITs” lists, as recent curated rankings from Sure Dividend and others note. [21]
Earnings backdrop: Q3 beat on book value, miss on earnings
Today’s commentary also sits against the backdrop of mixed third‑quarter 2025 results, released in late October:
- Q3 2025 EPS: AGNC reported $0.35 per share, missing consensus estimates of about $0.38–$0.39. [22]
- Revenue: Reported revenue around $836 million significantly beat analyst expectations in the mid‑$400 million range, reflecting the accounting impact of AGNC’s large Agency MBS portfolio as spreads moved. [23]
- Net interest income & spreads: Smartkarma’s earnings note highlights that net interest income fell short of estimates, with net spread and dollar‑roll income per share of $0.35 vs. $0.39 expected, underscoring margin pressure even as headline revenue jumped. [24]
The most important number for many AGNC watchers, however, was tangible book value per share (TBVPS):
- As of September 30, 2025, AGNC reported tangible net book value of $8.28 per common share, up 6% from $7.81 at the end of Q2. [25]
Earlier in the year, Q2 coverage had flagged ongoing year‑over‑year book‑value pressure as a concern, so the Q3 rebound in TBVPS is being interpreted as a sign that AGNC’s hedging and portfolio positioning are finally benefiting from stabilizing to slightly easing rate conditions. [26]
At today’s share price around $10.55, investors are paying roughly 1.25–1.30× that Q3 tangible book value, assuming book value hasn’t moved dramatically since quarter‑end. That’s a key shift: AGNC spent much of the last few years trading below book, and a sustained premium suggests the market is now pricing in improved confidence in the portfolio and dividend — or at least less fear of another book‑value hit. [27]
What Wall Street and AI models are saying today
Human analysts: “Moderate Buy” with modest downside
A November 23 MarketBeat report and updated forecast pages today show that:
- 10 Wall Street analysts currently cover AGNC.
- The consensus rating is “Moderate Buy”, with 6 Buy ratings and 4 Hold ratings. [28]
- The average 12‑month price target clusters around $10.2–$10.3, only slightly below the current share price and implying limited upside but also no dramatic downside in the base case. [29]
In other words, traditional analysts see AGNC as reasonably valued, with the double‑digit yield doing most of the heavy lifting in the total‑return story.
AI and technical models: flash “Sell” despite bullish moving averages
AI‑driven and quantitative services are more cautious:
- Danelfin’s AI Score for AGNC is just 2/10 (Sell) as of today, based on a model that estimates only a 48–49% probability of the stock beating the market over the next three months, well below the average U.S. stock’s odds. [30]
- At the same time, other technical services note that short‑ and long‑term moving averages are in a bullish configuration, with several positive trend signals as of Tuesday, November 25, even though some models still label the overall setup as a “general sell” due to how those averages relate to one another. [31]
So on November 26, the human/AI split is clear:
- Human analysts: “Moderate Buy,” primarily for income.
- AI/quant tools: skeptical about near‑term outperformance vs. the broader market.
How today’s data fits the longer‑term AGNC story
Recent deep‑dive pieces from Yahoo Finance, Simply Wall St and others frame AGNC’s situation like this: [32]
- Dividend is the main attraction
- Monthly payouts of $0.12 per share, or $1.44 per year, drive a headline yield around 14% at today’s price.
- Historical yields have often been even higher, making AGNC a fixture on “ultra‑high yield” lists. [33]
- Earnings and payout ratio are the main risks
- Recent reports peg AGNC’s dividend payout ratio at well over 200% of GAAP earnings, a level multiple commentators describe as unsustainably high on a purely accounting basis, even though REITs are often judged on different metrics such as net spread and dollar‑roll income. [34]
- If spreads compress or hedging misfires, another dividend cut is always on the table, as past history in the mREIT sector has shown.
- Book value and rates are the swing factors
- AGNC’s Q3 book‑value rebound and positive economic return sparked bullish articles like “AGNC’s Asset Value Will Head Higher, Returning High Yields And Higher Prices” on Seeking Alpha earlier this month. [35]
- On the other hand, any renewed spike in yields or widening of funding costs relative to asset yields could hit both book value and earnings, reopening the debate about whether the dividend can remain at $0.12.
- Valuation: more “normal” than distressed
- With AGNC trading near 1.3× last reported tangible book, the big “fire‑sale discount” that attracted bargain hunters earlier in the rate‑hike cycle has largely disappeared. [36]
Put together, today’s rally and media coverage reinforce the idea that AGNC is now an income vehicle priced for a more benign, but still uncertain, rate environment rather than a deeply distressed turnaround bet.
Key takeaways for November 26, 2025
As of today’s session:
- Price: Around $10.5–$10.6, up about 1–1.5% on the day and hovering just below a 52‑week high, after a roughly 7–8% price gain over the past year. [37]
- Dividend:$0.12 per share monthly, $1.44 annualized, implying a 13.7–14.0% forward yield with a record date of November 28, 2025 and payout on December 9, 2025. [38]
- News flow today:
- A widely read Motley Fool piece asks whether AGNC’s massive yield is still worth the risk. [39]
- Creative Planning disclosed a 12.5% increase in its AGNC holdings, adding 25,222 shares in Q2. [40]
- Macro coverage frames REITs like AGNC as beneficiaries of growing Fed rate‑cut hopes in today’s pre‑Thanksgiving rally. [41]
- Sentiment:
Final note
This article is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. AGNC Investment Corp. is a highly leveraged, interest‑rate‑sensitive REIT with a volatile history of book‑value and dividend changes. Before investing, consider your risk tolerance, time horizon, and consult a qualified financial adviser if needed.
References
1. www.dividend.com, 2. investors.agnc.com, 3. www.investing.com, 4. www.investing.com, 5. www.fool.com, 6. www.fool.com, 7. finance.yahoo.com, 8. finance.yahoo.com, 9. www.defenseworld.net, 10. www.defenseworld.net, 11. markets.financialcontent.com, 12. markets.chroniclejournal.com, 13. markets.financialcontent.com, 14. www.marketwatch.com, 15. www.macrotrends.net, 16. www.prnewswire.com, 17. www.dividend.com, 18. www.dividendmax.com, 19. www.streetinsider.com, 20. companiesmarketcap.com, 21. www.suredividend.com, 22. www.defenseworld.net, 23. www.defenseworld.net, 24. www.smartkarma.com, 25. www.prnewswire.com, 26. finance.yahoo.com, 27. www.prnewswire.com, 28. www.marketbeat.com, 29. www.marketbeat.com, 30. danelfin.com, 31. intellectia.ai, 32. finance.yahoo.com, 33. www.dividend.com, 34. www.marketbeat.com, 35. seekingalpha.com, 36. www.macrotrends.net, 37. www.macrotrends.net, 38. www.prnewswire.com, 39. www.fool.com, 40. www.defenseworld.net, 41. markets.chroniclejournal.com, 42. www.marketbeat.com, 43. danelfin.com
