AMD Shares Rise 4% as Raymond James Forecasts $201 Billion Server-CPU Space

AMD Shares Rise 4% as Raymond James Forecasts $201 Billion Server-CPU Space

SANTA CLARA, California, August 25, 2026, 12:45 EDT — Trading was brisk in U.S. regular hours.

  • Shares of Advanced Micro Devices gained 4.3% following an upgrade to Strong Buy from Raymond James.
  • Analyst Simon Leopold lifted his price target to $641 from $565, indicating roughly 35% potential upside.
  • Raymond James forecasts that the server-CPU market will expand at a 44% annual rate, climbing to $201 billion by 2030.
  • AMD saw its Data Center revenue surge to $6.7 billion last quarter, doubling from earlier, while the stock continues to trade at close to 41 times forward earnings.

Shares of Advanced Micro Devices NASDAQ:AMD rose 4.3% to $476.50 on Tuesday, after a Raymond James upgrade, drawing increased market attention to CPUs as well as AI accelerators. By 12:40 EDT, trading volume totaled 11.3 million shares.

Stock chart for NASDAQ:AMD

The surge increased AMD’s market capitalization by about $32 billion. This one-day rise matches nearly five quarters’ worth of the company’s most recent Data Center revenue, highlighting how much anticipated CPU demand is being factored into its valuation.

Raymond James analyst Simon Leopold upgraded AMD to Strong Buy, up from Outperform, and increased his price target to $641 from $565. Leopold forecasts the server-CPU sector to grow at a 44% compound annual rate through 2030, approaching $201 billion in value.

The core argument is that agentic AI drives up CPU workloads adjacent to each accelerator. CPUs handle context management, retrieval, database operations, tooling, and app logic. According to AMD, its latest EPYC line-up delivers up to 256 cores and 512 threads per socket.

AMD operating measureQ2 2026Year-on-year change
Total revenue$11.54 billionup 50%
Data Center revenue$6.72 billionup 107%
Data Center share of sales58%Increased
Non-GAAP gross margin56%rise of 13 percentage points
Q3 revenue outlook midpoint$13.0 billionapproximately up 41%

Leopold’s position received a boost from AMD’s recent earnings. Data Center revenue rose 107% to $6.72 billion and accounted for 58% of the quarter’s total revenue. Chief Executive Lisa Su stated “EPYC demand accelerates” as AMD moved into the latter half. AMD second-quarter results

The valuation challenge is significant. With shares at $476.50, AMD is valued around $779 billion and trades at nearly 41 times projected earnings. Leopold’s price target of $641 suggests a market capitalization of about $1.04 trillion based on the current number of shares.

Reaching that target calls for an extra $266 billion in equity value. That rise is over fivefold the analysts’ consensus average for 2026 revenue of $50.8 billion. As a result, much of the lift will need to come from higher earnings.

Analyst or consensusRatingPrice targetDate
Raymond JamesStrong Buy$641, previously $565Aug. 25
BMO CapitalBuy$550Aug. 20
Roth MKMBuy$650Aug. 20
BernsteinBuy$650Aug. 13
54-analyst consensusStrong Buy$612.29 averageAug. 25 snapshot

The analyst consensus stays bullish, though not unanimous. According to StockAnalysis, there are 39 Strong Buy ratings, five Buy ratings, and 10 Hold recommendations for August. The mean price target indicates a 28.5% potential rise from Tuesday’s midday level.

Other chip stocks also advanced as the sector rebounded. Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA climbed around 1.3%, while Intel NASDAQ:INTC rose approximately 1.5%. AMD’s greater gain followed an upgrade specific to the company.

Risks: Lower momentum in agentic-AI could dampen the CPU outlook. Nvidia’s performance, regulatory export limits, pricing competition, and its rich valuation all pose threats to Tuesday’s advance. AMD faces the challenge of turning market expansion into higher sales and profitability while avoiding overspending.

The immediate challenge is delivery. AMD forecast around $13 billion in revenue for the third quarter and expects a 56% non-GAAP gross margin. Maintaining these figures would strengthen the financial foundation for the server-CPU outlook.

NASDAQ: AMD · Stock move · Server CPU thesis

AMD's 4% rally prices a much larger role for CPUs in agentic AI

AMD snapshot: August 25, 2026, 12:45 EDT · U.S. regular session · Peer snapshots: 12:50–12:59 EDT

AMD price

$476.50

+$19.75 · +4.33%

Market value

$779B

About $32.2B added today.

Volume

11.3M

Shares by 12:40 EDT.

Forward P/E

41.1×

Execution remains expensive.

What changed

$641 target

Raymond James moved AMD to Strong Buy from Outperform and raised its target from $565. The firm models a 44% five-year CAGR for server CPUs, reaching $201B in 2030.

Fresh catalyst: Aug. 25Target upside: 34.5%Analyst: Simon Leopold
$641 × 1.63B shares ≈ $1.045T implied value
$1.045T − $779B ≈ $266B valuation gap

Price and target ladder

$476.50$612.29$641 PriceConsensusRaymond James

Operating proof points

MeasureQ2 2026Y/Y
Revenue$11.54B+50%
Data Center$6.72B+107%
Data Center mix58%Core engine
Non-GAAP gross margin56%+13 pts
Q3 revenue midpoint$13.0B≈+41%

2026 consensus

Revenue
+46.7%
EPS
+81.5%
Free cash flow
$7.46B

Analysts model $50.8B revenue and $7.57 adjusted EPS. The target case needs earnings to compound faster than sales.

Analyst map

SourceRatingTargetUpside at $476.50Date
Raymond JamesStrong Buy$64134.5%Aug. 25
Roth MKMBuy$65036.4%Aug. 20
BMO CapitalBuy$55015.4%Aug. 20
BernsteinBuy$65036.4%Aug. 13
54-analyst consensusStrong Buy$612.2928.5%Aug. 25 snapshot

Peer tape

CompanyPriceSession moveMarket capForward P/E
AMD$476.50+4.33%$779B41.1×
Nvidia$212.34+1.85%$5.14T20.8×
Intel$88.21+1.09%$463.5B52.5×

AMD's outperformance isolates the company-specific upgrade from the broader chip rebound.

Risk monitor

High bar

A slower agentic-AI rollout, weaker server share gains, export controls or price competition would challenge the $201B thesis. Nvidia reports August 26 after the close. Its outlook can reset the entire AI-infrastructure valuation curve.

Sources: AMD market data, S&P Global analyst consensus, AMD Q2 results, AMD EPYC specifications, Raymond James upgrade coverage, Nvidia data and Intel data. Time-sensitive figures are stamped August 25, 2026, 12:40–12:59 EDT.

Leokadia Głogulska

Leokadia Głogulska is a financial and technology journalist at TS2.tech. Her coverage ranges from stocks and artificial intelligence to space technology and developments across global markets. She graduated from Wrocław University of Economics and Business and worked in financial analysis before becoming a business journalist.

US Stock Market Today Updates

AI PORTFOLIO

Top Stock Picks

Today’s highest-ranked model selections.

#1 STRONG BUY

Kodiak Gas Services

NYSE:KGS • Energy infrastructure 88/100 • ★★★★☆
#2 STRONG BUY

Neurocrine Biosciences

NASDAQ:NBIX • Healthcare 87/100 • ★★★★☆
#3 STRONG BUY

Alphabet Class A

NASDAQ:GOOGL • Communication services 85/100 • ★★★★☆
#4 BUY ON WEAKNESS

Applied Materials

NASDAQ:AMAT • Semiconductor equipment 84/100 • ★★★★☆
#5 ACCUMULATE

JPMorgan Chase

NYSE:JPM • Financials 80/100 • ★★★★☆
View full portfolio
Editorial model selection. Not personalised advice.
MARKET CALENDAR

Key Events Today

The catalysts most likely to move markets.

#1

Consumer Confidence • 10:00 ET

A large surprise can reset expectations for household spending and near-term growth, with read-through to Treasuries, USD and cyclical stocks.

#2

New Home Sales • 10:00 ET

Housing remains highly rate-sensitive; the print can move homebuilders, mortgage-sensitive names and the long end of the Treasury curve.

#3

Intuit earnings • After close

Guidance can influence software multiples and sentiment around U.S. small-business activity.

View full calendar
Times and estimates may change. Verify before trading.
Generate Biomedicines Shares Up 12% as 103 Million-Share Placement Looms
Previous Story

Generate Biomedicines Shares Up 12% as 103 Million-Share Placement Looms

CRISPR Therapeutics Shares Advance 5.8% Ahead of CTX310 Results Release
Next Story

CRISPR Therapeutics Shares Advance 5.8% Ahead of CTX310 Results Release