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AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) Stock Skyrockets on New Satellite and Carrier Milestones – Record Highs and $60+ Targets

by
2 October 2025
  • Ticker/Market Cap: AST SpaceMobile (NASDAQ: ASTS) is a Texas-based satellite-communications company building a space-based cellular broadband network for unmodified smartphones [1]. As of early October 2025, its market cap was in the low-$20 billion range (recent high near $21.6B) [2].
  • Stock Performance: ASTS has surged in 2025, gaining roughly 130% YTD (52-week range ~$17.5–$61) [3] [4]. On Oct 1, 2025 the stock jumped ~16% on an unusually large volume(~20.1 million shares, ≈$1.09 billion traded) [5] [6]. It then set an all-time high near $61.18on Oct 2 [7]. For context, ASTS has roughly doubled in price in 2025 [8] and now trades at ~5× its October 2024 level.
  • Key Partnerships: AST has secured major carrier partnerships. Notably, Bell Canada (via Bell Ventures) reported a successful space-based 4G VoLTE call using AST satellites and plans to deploy nationwide service in 2026 [9]. Bell’s CTO called it “a breakthrough moment for connectivity” [10]. In Europe, AST’s SatCo JV with Vodafone has drawn interest from operators in most EU countries. In India, the Vodafone-Idea (“Vi”) partnership will address one of the world’s largest markets [11]. Overall, ASTS reports agreements with 50+ mobile network operators globally (≈3.0 billion subscribers) [12]. U.S. and NATO defense contracts (via the Defense Innovation Unit and others) also underwrite its military/business pipeline [13].
  • Technology & Launches: ASTS is building large “BlueBird” satellites (each ~2,400 ft² phased array) to deliver direct-to-cell broadband (~120 Mbps peak) [14] [15]. BlueBird-6 (a Block-2 satellite) completed final assembly and is slated to fly to India on Oct 12, 2025 [16] [17]. BlueBird-7 will ship to Cape Canaveral shortly after, and satellites 8–16 are in production, with launches planned every 1–2 months through 2025–2026 [18] [19]. Management reiterates a “fully-funded plan to deploy 45 to 60 satellites into orbit by 2026” with regular launches [20]. The FCC recently approved 20 of AST’s satellites for launch (subject to conditions) [21].
  • Spectrum / Regulation: In mid-2025 AST secured new spectrum: it agreed to acquire global S‑Band rights (1.98–2.01 GHz uplink, 2.170–2.200 GHz downlink) for ~$64.5M [22]. CEO Abel Avellan noted these S‑Band rights, combined with AST’s planned L‑Band access, will enable a “true broadband experience” up to 120 Mbps from space [23]. AST also finalized U.S./Canada L‑Band agreements (~45 MHz of premium mid-band) via court approval [24].
  • Financials: ASTS is not yet profitable. In Q2 2025, it reported EPS –$0.41 on $1.15 million revenue – far below consensus (EPS miss ~95%, revenue miss ~79%) [25]. OpEx was high (≈$74M/qtr) as AST ramps satellites. As of June 30, 2025, AST had $939.4 M cash on the balance sheet [26]; after a $575M convertible debt raise and other financings it pro forma holds >$1.5 billion [27]. Management reiterates expectations for $50–75 M in revenue in H2 2025 (from both government and commercial sources) [28]. (Q3 results are due Nov 13, 2025.)
  • Analysts & Targets: Wall Street views ASTS as a high-growth/high-risk play.  Barclays (Oct 1, 2025) is Outperform/Overweight with a $60 target [29], noting that T‑Mobile/Starlink’s $10/mo text service validates AST’s market and that AST’s full voice/data offering “could command higher price points” [30]. In contrast, UBS recently downgraded ASTS to Neutral (Hold) with a $43 target [31], warning that SpaceX’s Starlink has gained a competitive edge.  William Blair initiated coverage at Market Perform [32]. (Other firms have targets in the $40–55 range.) The consensus median target is modestly below current levels, reflecting the uncertain path to big revenues.
  • Competition/Industry: AST operates in a hot “sat-to-cell” field. SpaceX’s Starlink is a primary rival: it has launched >8,000 satellites (with ≈600 optimized for cell service) and in Sept 2025 paid $17 billion for EchoStar’s 20 MHz+ spectrum to supercharge Starlink Direct-to-Cell [33] [34]. U.S. carriers (T‑Mobile, AT&T) are partnering with Starlink – for example, T‑Mobile’s Starlink-based T-Satellite service expanded on Oct 1, 2025 to support voice/video apps on standard phones [35]. Legacy satellite carriers (Iridium, Globalstar) are also moving in (e.g. Iridium-backed NTN ventures). ASTS claims its “one-of-a-kind” LEO network (with >3,700 patents) allows it to deliver a native 5G/4G experience on everyday phones [36], but it must win customers against these giants.
  • Retail/Social Sentiment: ASTS has become a retail favorites. Social media and investor boards are abuzz. For example, QuiverQuant notes that X/Twitter chatter around ASTS was “very excited”, citing BlueBird-6 and carrier deals as evidence of future growth [37]. StockTwits reported that overnight sentiment turned “bullish”after the launch update, with a 341% spike in message volume [38]. One StockTwits user even proclaimed holding ASTS as the start of “generational wealth” [39]. In short, retail momentum is high – but analysts caution that much depends on AST’s ability to execute its satellite rollout and win paying subscribers.

Sources: AST SpaceMobile filings and press releases [40] [41]; Yahoo/BusinessWire news [42] [43]; Investing/Benzinga reports [44] [45]; stock market data [46] [47]; Reuters [48] [49]; and industry media/analyst coverage [50] [51].

Could AST SpaceMobile's STOCK SOAR with Their New 5G Satellite Tech?
Watch this video on YouTube.

References

1. www.businesswire.com, 2. za.investing.com, 3. www.webull.com, 4. za.investing.com, 5. www.ainvest.com, 6. stockanalysis.com, 7. za.investing.com, 8. stocktwits.com, 9. www.newswire.ca, 10. www.newswire.ca, 11. www.businesswire.com, 12. www.businesswire.com, 13. www.businesswire.com, 14. www.webull.com, 15. stocktwits.com, 16. www.webull.com, 17. stocktwits.com, 18. www.webull.com, 19. stocktwits.com, 20. www.businesswire.com, 21. stocktwits.com, 22. www.businesswire.com, 23. www.businesswire.com, 24. www.businesswire.com, 25. www.investing.com, 26. www.businesswire.com, 27. www.businesswire.com, 28. www.businesswire.com, 29. www.investing.com, 30. www.investing.com, 31. www.webull.com, 32. za.investing.com, 33. www.reuters.com, 34. www.reuters.com, 35. www.t-mobile.com, 36. www.businesswire.com, 37. www.quiverquant.com, 38. stocktwits.com, 39. stocktwits.com, 40. www.businesswire.com, 41. www.businesswire.com, 42. www.newswire.ca, 43. www.newswire.ca, 44. www.investing.com, 45. www.investing.com, 46. www.webull.com, 47. stockanalysis.com, 48. www.reuters.com, 49. www.reuters.com, 50. www.t-mobile.com, 51. www.webull.com

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Marcin Frąckiewicz Latest posts

CEO of TS2 Space and founder of TS2.tech. Expert in satellites, telecommunications, and emerging technologies, covering trends in space, AI, and connectivity.

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