2026 Midterm Elections: GOP Splits on ACA Subsidies, New Retirements, and Fresh Polling Redraw the House Battlefield
Washington’s 2026 midterm fight came into sharper focus on Wednesday, December 17, 2025, as a burst of developments tied together the three forces that usually decide control of Congress: money, messsaging, and the cost of living. A small bloc of swing-district House Republicans broke with their party’s leadership to help Democrats force a vote on extending Affordable Care Act (ACA) premium tax credits—a rare procedural defeat for Speaker Mike Johnson at a moment when Republicans can’t afford many. The Washington Post+1 At the same time, new national polling showed voters deeply unhappy with both parties in Congress—especially Democrats—yet still slightly