Sydney, Jan 17, 2026, 17:03 AEDT — Market closed.
BHP Group Ltd (BHP.AX) is set to release its half-year production update next week, following a 0.8% dip to A$48.99 on Friday. The stock remains near its 52-week peak of A$49.75. 1
This update is crucial as it offers BHP’s clearest short-term look at volumes and costs, often reshaping forecasts for cash returns among major miners. The “operational review” focuses on production and costs for the period, not on earnings.
Profit-taking hit miners as Australia’s materials sector slipped Friday following a strong week. BHP fell behind while Rio Tinto (RIO.AX) and Fortescue (FMG.AX) nudged up. Iron ore prices dropped to $107.68 a tonne, according to AAP. IG market analyst Tony Sycamore called it “a little bit of changing of the guard” after a “particularly good run” for the big miners. 2
In New York, BHP’s U.S.-listed ADR dropped 1.77% to $64.86 on Jan. 16, slipping from the previous session’s peak of $66.51. 3
Investors are digesting a fresh Pilbara deal between Rio Tinto and BHP. The miners have agreed to explore a joint effort to extract up to 200 million metric tons from adjacent Yandicoogina and Yandi sites. BHP would supply ore from Yandi to Rio Tinto, which would process it at its wet plants, according to S&P Global. Rio Tinto’s iron ore CEO Matthew Holcz said the partnership could “better leverage existing infrastructure to unlock additional production.” BHP’s Western Australia iron ore president Tim Day described it as “productivity in action.” 4
Switching gears from iron ore, BHP is now linked to early-stage copper-gold plays in Europe. On Friday, Elemental Royalty announced it inked an option and earn-in deal with a BHP subsidiary for three exploration licenses in Serbia’s Bor Mining District. The agreement includes cash payments plus a $5 million exploration commitment spread over five years. Elemental will hold onto a 2% NSR (net smelter return) royalty — a cut of future revenue post-processing — though partial buybacks are possible. 5
Copper has played a tricky role for miners this week. Prices have climbed roughly 50% over the last year, hitting over $13,000 a metric ton on the London Metal Exchange Thursday. Yet, Reuters Breakingviews warned that this spike may be driven by short-term influences like tariff-related stockpiling and could unwind just as fast. 6
The near-term risk is clear: Pilbara work stretches out, and Serbia licences are still in exploration, offering little shield if bulk commodity prices fall further. A disappointing iron ore shipment figure or rising unit costs in BHP’s update would probably move the stock more than new studies or options news.
BHP will release its operational review on Jan. 20 around 8:30 a.m. Melbourne time, with half-year results scheduled for Feb. 17, according to the company’s financial calendar. 7
