Caterpillar stock jumps toward $600 as 2026 trading starts; Wolfe lifts CAT target

Caterpillar stock jumps toward $600 as 2026 trading starts; Wolfe lifts CAT target

New York, Jan 3, 2026, 11:27 ET — Market closed

  • Caterpillar (CAT) last closed up $25.42, or 4.4%, at $598.41.
  • Wolfe Research lifted its Caterpillar price target to $670 from $470 and kept an “outperform” rating.
  • Next up: U.S. jobs data on Jan. 9 and Caterpillar’s late-January earnings date on market calendars.

Caterpillar Inc. shares last closed up $25.42, or 4.4%, at $598.41, outperforming most large industrial names on the first trading day of 2026.

The move matters because Caterpillar is a high-priced component of the Dow, a price-weighted index where bigger-dollar stocks can sway the benchmark more than lower-priced names. Reuters said Caterpillar and Boeing were among the Dow’s biggest boosts on Friday. 1

Caterpillar’s jump came as investors rotated back into cyclical and industrial shares while chipmakers rallied, helping Wall Street snap a four-session losing streak. Traders are also recalibrating expectations for U.S. rate cuts as fresh labor-market data looms next week. 1

The Dow ended Friday up 0.66%, while the S&P 500 rose 0.19% and the Nasdaq was little changed, Reuters reported. The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index, a gauge of chip stocks, climbed 4%. 1

“Buy the dip, sell the rip,” said Joe Mazzola, head of trading and derivatives strategy at Charles Schwab, describing a strategy of buying pullbacks and selling into quick rebounds. 1

Company-specific catalysts were thin, but Wall Street had fresh analyst action. Wolfe Research raised its price target on Caterpillar to $670 from $470 and kept an “outperform” rating, according to MarketBeat. 2

Investors have also been framing parts of Caterpillar’s business as a beneficiary of data-center buildouts that require large amounts of power. In its third-quarter results, Caterpillar said power generation sales increased in large reciprocating engines, “primarily data center applications.” 3

The same filing showed power generation sales rose 31% in the quarter versus a year earlier. That has helped keep attention on Caterpillar’s energy-facing lines even as construction demand can ebb with interest rates. 3

Caterpillar sells construction and mining equipment as well as engines and turbines, and investors often treat it as a bellwether for global industrial and infrastructure spending. 4

Macro policy remains a key swing factor for the stock. Reuters flagged uncertainty around tariffs and the Fed leadership outlook as issues investors are watching as 2026 gets underway. 5

Before the next session, the calendar shifts back to U.S. economic data. Reuters said the monthly employment report is due on Jan. 9, with consumer price data due Jan. 13, as markets look for clearer signals on growth, inflation and rate cuts. 5

For Caterpillar, attention will turn to earnings. TipRanks lists Jan. 29 (before the open) for the company’s next report, with a consensus EPS forecast of $4.66 versus $5.14 a year earlier. 6

Technically, Friday’s rally left CAT pressing the $600 level, a round-number threshold traders often watch, after a session low near $575. Caterpillar’s dividend history page lists a quarterly dividend of $1.51 payable Feb. 19 to shareholders of record Jan. 20, with Jan. 20 shown as the ex-dividend date. 7

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