CBA share price drops 1.8% as trade jitters hit Australian banks — what to watch next

CBA share price drops 1.8% as trade jitters hit Australian banks — what to watch next

Sydney, Jan 20, 2026, 17:06 AEDT — After-hours

Shares of Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA.AX) slipped A$2.78, or 1.81%, closing at A$150.48 on Tuesday. The stock traded in a range from A$150.10 to A$152.98 during the session. (Intelligent Investor)

This matters because CBA is a major player in Australian portfolios and the index. When risk appetite shifts or rate expectations fluctuate, it often pulls the entire financial sector along.

For lenders, the crucial factor is the net interest margin — the difference between earnings on loans and costs on deposits. Markets usually factor in that spread well ahead of the actual data release.

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 dropped 0.66% to 8,815.9, marking its second day in the red. Trade worries dampened sentiment, while BHP shares took a hit. (ABC)

Asian shares slipped as fresh jitters over U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariff threats in a Greenland dispute pushed investors toward safe havens, Reuters reported. MUFG’s Europe economist Henry Cook noted that last year showed the market not to overreact to Trump’s bluster, but added that tariff uncertainty is likely to remain high even if tensions cool. (Reuters)

Financials struggled for most of the session. Tony Sycamore, an IG market analyst, pointed out another round of weakness in banks, with CBA down 1.51% by mid-afternoon. ANZ, NAB, and Westpac followed suit, all in the red. “There are hopes the administration will de-escalate,” Sycamore noted, while tariff news continued to drive the market. (IG)

Inflation data takes center stage next. The Australian Bureau of Statistics will drop the December-quarter 2025 CPI figures on Wednesday, Jan. 28, at 11:30 a.m. AEDT. This report has the power to shift market expectations on rates in a heartbeat. (Australian Bureau of Statistics)

The Reserve Bank of Australia is set to hold its first policy meeting of 2026 on Feb. 2–3, per its official schedule. In the days leading up to it, bank stocks frequently move as if reflecting a vote on the anticipated decision. (Reserve Bank of Australia)

But it can swing quickly the other way. A hotter CPI figure might reignite rate hike chatter and weigh on bank valuations; a softer number could calm nerves, though margins may still feel the pinch if funding costs stay stubborn.

CBA’s next major event is its half-year results and interim dividend announcement scheduled for Feb. 11. According to the bank’s calendar, the stock will go ex-dividend on Feb. 18. (CommBank)

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