As of December 6, 2025, Cemtrex, Inc. (NASDAQ: CETX) sits at the intersection of aggressive strategic expansion and extreme share-price volatility. After a series of reverse stock splits, equity raises, and new acquisition plans, the micro‑cap security and industrial services company is attempting to reinvent itself with a new aerospace and defense segment—while technical and algorithmic models remain broadly bearish on the stock. [1]
Cemtrex (CETX) stock price and volatility on December 6, 2025
CETX last closed at $3.07 on Friday, December 5, 2025, up 3.72% on the day. The session was extremely volatile: the price swung between an intraday low of $2.82 and a high of $4.14, a range of roughly 46.8%, on heavy volume of about 3.2–4.0 million shares. [2]
After-hours trading pushed the price significantly higher; Zacks reports an after‑market quote around $3.80, implying a further gain of more than 20% from the regular-session close. [3]
On a 10‑day basis, third‑party technical services estimate that Cemtrex’s share price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 sessions, yet still gained about 8% over the past two weeks, underscoring the “whipsaw” character of the tape. [4]
52‑week range and market capitalization
According to Indmoney, Cemtrex’s 52‑week high is approximately $57.75 (hit on December 9, 2024), while the 52‑week low is about $2.50, reached on December 3, 2025. At the current ~$3 level, CETX trades roughly 95% below that 52‑week peak and about 23% above the recent low. [5]
TradingView and other data providers place Cemtrex’s current market capitalization in the neighborhood of $1.6–2.0 million, depending on venue and timing—a tiny float by Nasdaq standards. [6]
Reverse stock split and the path back to Nasdaq compliance
Cemtrex’s recent price history can’t be understood without its capital actions:
- On September 29, 2025, the company implemented a 1‑for‑15 reverse stock split of its common shares, intended to restore the bid price above Nasdaq’s $1.00 minimum for continued listing. [7]
- This followed earlier reverse splits in 2024 (including a 1‑for‑35 split), all aimed at avoiding delisting by boosting the per‑share price. [8]
- On June 9, 2025, Cemtrex announced it had regained compliance with Nasdaq’s stockholders’ equity requirement, after showing stockholders’ equity of about $6.4 million in its May 15, 2025 Form 10‑Q. [9]
These moves have kept CETX on the Nasdaq Capital Market, but they have come at the cost of substantial dilution and a highly compressed share count. As of June 30, 2025, the company reported roughly 3.5 million common shares outstanding, versus just 14,176 shares (post‑split basis) at September 30, 2024. [10]
2025 fundamentals: revenue growth versus large net losses
Third quarter fiscal 2025 (quarter ended June 30, 2025)
Cemtrex’s most recent reported quarter (Q3 FY 2025) shows meaningful top‑line growth but continued net losses: [11]
- Revenue: $17.0 million, up 16% from $14.7 million a year earlier.
- Security segment (Vicon): revenue up 22% to $7.6 million.
- Industrial Services (AIS): revenue up 10% to $9.4 million.
- Gross margin: improved to 43% (from 40%), with gross profit of $7.37 million.
- Operating loss: narrowed to $0.64 million versus $3.18 million in the prior‑year quarter.
- Nine‑month revenue:$58.0 million, up 19% year‑over‑year.
- Nine‑month operating income:$1.69 million, compared with a $4.95 million loss in the prior year.
Despite improved operations, Cemtrex still posted a large net loss for the first nine months of fiscal 2025—about $24.9 million, heavily influenced by non‑cash warrant‑liability items and interest expense. [12]
Second quarter fiscal 2025: a temporary return to profitability
In Q2 FY 2025 (quarter ended March 31, 2025), Cemtrex reported: [13]
- Revenue growth of 59%,
- Revenue of roughly $27.3 million, and
- Net income of about $8.4 million, marking a brief return to profitability.
That profitable quarter was followed by Q3’s renewed net loss, highlighting how sensitive Cemtrex’s bottom line remains to financing costs, warrants, and non‑recurring factors.
Balance sheet and leverage
As of June 30, 2025, Cemtrex reported: [14]
- Cash and restricted cash: about $8.15 million
- Working capital: approximately $4.92 million
- Current maturities of long‑term liabilities: about $9.83 million
- Long‑term debt: roughly $8.48 million
- Warrant liabilities: approximately $8.26 million
- Total stockholders’ equity: around $3.62 million
The company also issued a $7.025 million promissory note on November 7, 2025, with interest ranging from SOFR‑based to 8% per year, specifically to fund potential acquisitions, adding further leverage to the balance sheet. [15]
Trailing‑twelve‑month net income is estimated around –$20.5 million, and multiple data providers show Cemtrex trading at a negative P/E ratio (about –0.03 on a TTM basis). [16]
Strategic expansion: security, industrial services and a new aerospace & defense segment
While the stock chart looks brutal, Cemtrex’s operating narrative in 2025 has been about expanding its footprint and moving into higher‑value verticals.
Invocon acquisition and the planned Aerospace & Defense segment
On November 20, 2025, Cemtrex announced a definitive agreement to acquire Invocon, Inc., a Texas‑based systems‑engineering firm with about 40 years of experience in mission‑critical instrumentation and flight hardware for aerospace and defense programs. [17]
Key points from the deal:
- Invocon’s technologies have flown on satellites, launch vehicles, target missiles, the Space Shuttle and the International Space Station.
- Cemtrex will acquire 100% of Invocon’s shares for $7.06 million, subject to closing conditions.
- Closing is expected around January 1, 2026, after which Cemtrex plans to establish a brand‑new Aerospace & Defense reporting segment with Invocon as its cornerstone.
Management pitches this acquisition as a move into high‑reliability electronics, wireless sensing, and lethality‑assessment systems—a very different profile from its historical focus on industrial services and security cameras. [18]
Letters of intent in robotics and aerospace
Earlier, on August 25, 2025, Cemtrex signed non‑binding letters of intent to buy two profitable U.S. businesses: one in industrial robotics integration, the other in aerospace and defense systems engineering. [19]
- The targets are expected to contribute $15–18 million in annual revenue and $2.5–3.0 million in operating income once integrated.
- Management suggested that, together with organic growth, these deals could push Cemtrex toward $100 million in total annual revenue and form a stepping stone to a $150 million+ platform over time.
- Closings were guided for Q4 2025, subject to due diligence and definitive agreements—investors will be watching December news closely for updates. [20]
Vicon: blockchain for video integrity and new contracts
Cemtrex’s Security segment, led by its Vicon subsidiary, has its own string of 2025 announcements:
- On July 29, 2025, Vicon announced it is developing a blockchain‑based video integrity layer, exploring networks such as Solana to anchor cryptographic hashes and metadata for surveillance footage, with the aim of combating deepfake evidence and tampering in law enforcement, corrections, and critical infrastructure. [21]
- The same release highlighted several major recent security contracts, including deals of about $1.2 million for a U.S. county, $1.2 million for U.S. border security, $1 million in Saudi Arabia, $800,000 for a UK prison, and $500,000 for a U.S. school district. [22]
- On July 10, 2025, Vicon won a $500,000+ order for its new NEXT modular camera system from a large school district in Kentucky. The company noted that Vicon’s revenue has grown from $21 million in FY 2021 and is on track to exceed $36 million in FY 2025, a double‑digit compound growth rate even before NEXT fully ramps. [23]
AIS: wastewater infrastructure contract
On the industrial side, Cemtrex’s Advanced Industrial Services (AIS) unit secured a $1.84 million contract with the City of Lancaster for upgrades at its Advanced Wastewater Treatment Plant, including mechanical, electrical, and control‑system modernization for four primary clarifiers, to be completed over roughly one year. [24]
AIS continues to position Cemtrex within municipal and industrial infrastructure markets, an area where long‑term spending needs are large but project timing can be uneven.
Technical picture as of December 6, 2025: short‑term bounce, medium‑term downtrend
Most quantitative and technical services are cautious to outright negative on CETX as of December 6, 2025.
StockInvest.us: “Sell candidate” with large downside projection
StockInvest’s AI‑driven analysis describes Cemtrex as a “sell candidate” since late September 2025 and currently assigns a negative evaluation. [25]
Key technical points from their December 5, 2025 update:
- The stock gained 3.72% on the day, from $2.96 to $3.07, but traded in a 46.81% intraday range. [26]
- The last two weeks produced an 8.1% net gain, but within a very wide, falling short‑term trend channel.
- Their model projects a potential –64.2% move over the next three months, with a 90% probability that the price finishes that period between roughly $0.43 and $1.61, assuming current trend conditions persist. [27]
- They also flag CETX as “very high risk” due to its large daily volatility and broad Bollinger‑band range. [28]
Intellectia.ai: “Strong sell” with bearish moving averages and high short interest
Intellectia’s forecast, updated through December 6, 2025, labels Cemtrex a “Strong Sell candidate”, citing multiple negative technical dimensions: [29]
- Signals: 1 bullish vs 4 bearish technical signals.
- Moving averages:
- Short‑term swing (price above 5‑day SMA) is positive.
- Mid‑term SMA‑20 below SMA‑60 is flagged as a strong bearish trend.
- Overall moving‑average summary: 3 negative vs 1 positive signal as of December 6.
- Support and resistance: modelled resistance zones at approximately $4.21 and $4.84, support around $2.18 and $1.56—breakouts or breakdowns at these levels would trigger further signals.
- Short selling: Intellectia estimates a short sale ratio of about 36% as of December 3, 2025, with rising short activity, suggesting traders are positioning for further downside. [30]
The service also notes that, based on historical annual performance, Cemtrex’s stock rose about 10% in 2023, fell roughly 99.97% in 2024, and is down around 92.8% in 2025 year‑to‑date—underscoring the long‑term destruction of equity value despite occasional sharp rallies. [31]
Other technical views
- Investing.com’s indicator dashboard currently aggregates CETX’s daily technicals as “Strong Sell,” with key measures such as MACD and Stochastic RSI in bearish territory. [32]
- TradingView reports that Cemtrex’s daily and weekly technical ratings are “Sell,” and highlights high volatility and a large one‑year drawdown of over 90%. [33]
Taken together, the technical consensus is that CETX is in a short‑term rebound inside a broader downtrend, with high volatility and significant downside risk if support levels fail.
Short‑term price forecasts for CETX as of December 6, 2025
Market‑data and AI‑driven services offer a wide spread of short‑term forecasts—useful mainly as sentiment indicators rather than precise predictions.
CoinCodex: modest upside, neutral sentiment
CoinCodex’s model, last updated on December 6, 2025 (03:13 GMT), projects: [34]
- CETX rising about 2.8% to $3.35 by December 29, 2025.
- A price around $3.04 by January 4, 2026, implying flat to slightly negative performance from current levels.
- Overall “Neutral” sentiment, with CETX showing 12 green days out of the last 30 (40%) and ~22.7% volatility over that period.
- A “Fear” reading (39) on their Fear & Greed Index, reflecting cautious risk appetite.
StockInvest.us: short‑term trading range
StockInvest also provides a day‑ahead trading expectation for Monday, December 8 (next session): [35]
- Expected open: around $3.34.
- Expected intraday range: approximately $2.81–3.33, implying a potential ±18.4% move from Friday’s close.
Despite issuing a short‑term buy signal from a recent pivot bottom, their combined signals still yield a negative overall evaluation and a “sell” stance for the next several days to weeks. [36]
Intellectia.ai: mixed very‑short‑term vs. 1‑month view
Intellectia’s numbers are internally mixed: [37]
- 1‑day prediction: about $3.16 (–0.9% vs. $3.07).
- 1‑week prediction: about $3.27 (+5.5%).
- 1‑month prediction: about $3.25 (+1.8%).
However, a separate similar‑chart backtest within the same service forecasts a 1‑month move to about $2.70 (–17%), based on historical analogues—illustrating how model‑driven forecasts can diverge even within a single platform. [38]
Longer‑dated “2026” and “2030” predictions listed as $0.00 are clearly algorithmic artifacts rather than credible point estimates, but they underline the model’s overall pessimism.
Stockscan.io: extremely optimistic target – treat with caution
Stockscan.io lists a 30‑day CETX stock price forecast with an average “analyst” price target of about $18.23, implying almost +500% upside from roughly $3.07, with a target range of about $17.06–19.40. [39]
However, StockAnalysis notes that no traditional Wall Street analyst price targets have been published for Cemtrex in the last 12 months, suggesting that these lofty numbers are algorithmic outputs rather than broker research. [40]
Across all these services, the only robust conclusion is that short‑term forecasts are noisy and highly model‑dependent, especially for a micro‑cap stock with violent swings and a complex capital structure.
Upcoming catalysts in December 2025
Q4 FY 2025 earnings: date uncertainty, but late‑December is likely
As of December 6, 2025, multiple data providers expect Cemtrex to report its Q4 FY 2025 (quarter ended September 30, 2025) results in the second half of December, but specific dates differ:
- Nasdaq, Public.com and MarketBeat list December 29, 2025 as the estimated or projected earnings date. [41]
- Other calendars (including MarketScreener, Business Insider and TipRanks) show projected or scheduled dates around December 17–18, 2025. [42]
These discrepancies reflect the fact that many sites are estimating based on past patterns rather than citing a formal company announcement. Cemtrex’s own investor‑relations page, as of now, does not prominently display a confirmed Q4 date, so investors should monitor the IR calendar and press releases for final confirmation. [43]
Acquisition closings and integration
- The Invocon acquisition is expected to close around January 1, 2026, creating Cemtrex’s new Aerospace & Defense segment. [44]
- The company also guided that two LOI deals in robotics and aerospace could close in Q4 2025, potentially adding meaningful revenue and operating income if successfully executed. [45]
Updates on these transactions—along with any further financing moves connected to them—will likely be major drivers of sentiment into year‑end and early 2026.
Key risks for Cemtrex shareholders and speculators
Based on public filings and 2025 developments, several risk factors stand out:
- Extreme volatility and micro‑cap risk: Daily swings of 20–40% are not rare, and the float and market cap are very small. [46]
- Dilution and repeated reverse splits: Multiple large reverse splits in 2024–2025, along with equity offerings (such as the 1.25 million‑share underwritten offering at $1.00 per share in May 2025), have repeatedly reset the share count and eroded historical shareholder value. [47]
- High leverage and complex capital structure: Significant debt, large current maturities, and substantial warrant liabilities introduce refinancing and dilution risk. [48]
- Persistent net losses: Despite operational improvement and a profitable Q2, Cemtrex still reports large trailing‑twelve‑month net losses, with negative TTM P/E and negative retained earnings. [49]
- Execution risk on acquisitions: Invocon and the LOI deals could materially change the company’s profile, but they also add integration risk, additional leverage, and potential goodwill or write‑down risk if performance disappoints. [50]
- Regulatory and listing risk: Although Cemtrex has regained Nasdaq equity compliance, it remains dependent on maintaining its minimum bid price and equity thresholds, and further share‑price declines could again trigger deficiency notices. [51]
Bottom line: a speculative, story‑driven micro‑cap
As of December 6, 2025, Cemtrex (CETX) is a highly speculative, story‑driven micro‑cap name:
- The fundamental story—growing security and industrial services revenue, new blockchain‑enabled video integrity products, a deepening pipeline of contracts, and a pending move into aerospace and defense—has genuine industrial and technological substance. [52]
- At the same time, technical models and AI‑driven services are overwhelmingly bearish, highlighting a long‑term downtrend, heavy short interest, and the risk that recent rallies are short‑lived spikes rather than the start of a durable recovery. [53]
For market participants following CETX into December’s earnings window, the stock represents a high‑risk, high‑volatility trade rather than a conventional, analyst‑covered investment story. Any position sizing, stop‑loss discipline, and risk management needs to reflect the real possibility of large daily moves in either direction—and the longer‑term history of deep drawdowns despite periodic surges.
References
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