NEW YORK, December 29, 2025, 20:21 ET — Market closed
- Chevron shares ended up 0.7% at $150.99.
- Oil settled more than 2% higher on Ukraine- and Yemen-linked supply concerns.
- Frontera Energy announced a two-year crude-supply prepayment deal worth up to $120 million with a Chevron unit.
Chevron Corp shares rose on Monday, closing up 0.7% at $150.99 after oil prices rallied on renewed geopolitical tensions and supply jitters. Brent settled up 2.1% at $61.94 a barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) gained 2.4% to $58.08. 1
The move matters now because energy equities have been trading closely with crude into year-end, with investors split on whether geopolitical flare-ups can offset a growing 2026 oversupply narrative. Oil is down nearly 20% in 2025 to around $60 a barrel, and the International Energy Agency sees supply exceeding demand by 3.85 million barrels per day in 2026. 2
For Chevron, the near-term read-through is straightforward: higher oil prices tend to lift upstream earnings, while weaker prices squeeze cash flow that funds dividends and buybacks. In holiday-thinned markets, short bursts of geopolitical risk can move crude — and large-cap oil stocks — quickly.
In company-specific news, Canadian producer Frontera Energy said its Colombian unit signed a prepayment and commercial agreement worth up to $120 million with Chevron Products Company. The deal includes an initial $80 million advance, with an option for an additional $40 million, in exchange for two years of crude deliveries. 3
A prepayment agreement is effectively upfront financing: the buyer advances cash today and is repaid over time through future oil shipments. Frontera said the new arrangement replaces an existing agreement set to expire at the end of January 2026.
Separately, Kazakhstan’s oil output fell about 6% in Dec. 1–28 versus November averages, led by a 10% drop at the Chevron-led Tengiz field to about 719,800 barrels per day, an industry source told Reuters. The fall followed export constraints at the Caspian Pipeline Consortium’s Black Sea terminal after a Nov. 29 drone attack, and exports via the terminal were down 19% so far in December, the report said. 4
The CPC terminal is the main loading point for crude from several majors operating in Kazakhstan, including Exxon Mobil, Eni and Shell, alongside Chevron, the report said. Any prolonged disruption can tighten regional flows even when the broader market is bracing for a supply surplus.
After the bell, the U.S. Energy Information Administration reported crude, gasoline and distillate inventories rose in the week ended Dec. 19, as refining activity slowed. Crude inventories increased by 405,000 barrels to 424.8 million, the agency said, while gasoline inventories rose by 2.86 million barrels. 5
Oil traders had been waiting for the delayed stockpile report as they weighed geopolitics against demand signals. The late inventory build reinforced how quickly the narrative can swing between “supply risk” and “soft consumption.”
Energy stocks gained almost 1% on Monday even as Wall Street’s main indexes ended lower. “It’ll turn out to be a buying opportunity,” said Hank Smith, director and head of investment strategy at Haverford Trust, in comments on the broader pullback. 6
Before Tuesday’s session, investors will watch for follow-through in crude after the inventory surprise and for fresh headlines tied to Ukraine and the Middle East. A lighter calendar puts more weight on any unexpected supply disruption signals.
Attention also turns to the Federal Reserve’s meeting minutes and weekly jobless claims later this week, with U.S. markets closed Thursday for New Year’s Day. Thin trading can amplify moves in both oil and oil-sensitive stocks.
On Chevron’s chart, $150 has become a near-term pivot after Monday’s low near $150.10, while resistance sits near $152 after the stock topped out around $151.63. Technical levels — chart points traders use to gauge momentum — tend to matter more when liquidity is scarce.
