Clorox Rises After FY2027 Sales Forecast Despite Modest Underlying Growth

Clorox Rises After FY2027 Sales Forecast Despite Modest Underlying Growth

NEW YORK, August 3, 2026, 19:02 EDT — U.S. cash markets had ended trade, but after-hours sessions continued.

  • Clorox forecasts fiscal 2027 sales growth between 13% and 14%, surpassing LSEG’s projection of 12.8%.
  • According to company figures, around 96% of growth at the midpoint is accounted for by GOJO and ERP comparisons.
  • The stock ended the session up 2.86% at $98.26 and advanced another 0.56% following the close.

The Clorox Company projected a 13% to 14% increase in sales for fiscal 2027. However, the majority of this recovery is attributed to acquisitions and timing-related factors.

Stock chart for NYSE:CLX

GOJO accounts for roughly 9.5 percentage points at the 13.5% midpoint. The impact of cycling last year’s ERP inventory drawdown contributes over 3.5 points.

Combined, these factors account for roughly 96% of midpoint growth. Based on company guidance, underlying organic growth remains under half a percentage point.

Profit outlook appears softer. Adjusted earnings are projected at $5.85 per share, roughly 2% under the $5.97 estimate from LSEG. The company expects its gross margin to be close to 42%, compared to 42.3% for fiscal 2026.

The most recent quarter surpassed Wall Street’s reduced expectations, though margins saw a significant drop. Below is a comparison of actual results and consensus estimates.

Q4 fiscal 2026 metricActualYear-on-year changeLSEG estimateComparison
Net sales$1.95 billion-2%$1.90 billionApproximately 2.6% above estimate
Adjusted EPS$1.66-42%$1.65Outperformed by $0.01
Gross margin41.3%-520 basis pointsERP and GOJO each reduced by roughly 150 basis points

The modest earnings outperformance failed to bring back operating leverage. ERP timing and GOJO inventory accounting each reduced the quarterly margin by roughly 150 basis points.

The fiscal 2027 bridge indicates the sources of the recovery. Midpoint figures are based on the ranges outlined by management.

Fiscal 2027 measureCompany guidanceMidpoint or calculated reading
Reported sales growth13% to 14%13.5%
GOJO contributionAround 9.5 pointsApproximately 70% of midpoint growth
Organic sales growth3.5% to 4.5%4.0%
ERP comparison benefitAbove 3.5 pointsExceeds 87.5% of organic midpoint
Organic growth excluding ERP benefitNo separate guidance providedBelow 0.5 point
Adjusted EPS$5.70 to $6.00$5.85
LSEG adjusted EPS estimate$5.97Midpoint of guidance is about 2% lower
Gross marginAround 42%Roughly 30 basis points under fiscal 2026

The gap is significant as reported growth may exceed final demand. Clorox anticipates that inflation and an unfavorable product mix will outweigh cost reductions.

Results across segments varied. Health and Wellness saw gains from GOJO, but ongoing challenges weighed on legacy divisions.

Q4 segmentNet-sales changeAdjusted EBIT changeMain factor
Health and Wellness+16%-15%GOJO contributed roughly 28 sales points
Household-18%-56%Decline in volume and rising commodity costs
Lifestyle-17%-60%Reduced volume
International+4%+17%Impact of currency, improved sales, and cost savings

International reported growth in both sales and adjusted EBIT. Operating profit in Household and Lifestyle dropped by over 50%.

Clorox outperformed certain staples and sanitation comparables on Monday. The comparison does not account for dividends or after-hours trading.

SecurityMonday movePerformance gap versus Clorox
The Clorox Company +2.86%
Procter & Gamble Company +0.33%Clorox leads by 2.53 percentage points
Ecolab Inc. +0.65%Clorox leads by 2.21 percentage points
Colgate-Palmolive Company -1.56%Clorox leads by 4.42 percentage points

The stock is still down 2.05% over the past five sessions. Monday’s rise offset just a portion of last week’s drop.

The dividend record date is set for August 12 next week. Shareholders will receive the increased $1.25 quarterly dividend on August 28.

Chief Executive Linda Rendle stated that conditions are expected to stay “challenging,” highlighting “continued cost volatility and a value-seeking consumer.” The unchanged margin forecast reflects that conservative stance. The Clorox Company Investors

Risks: The $2.25 billion GOJO deal may put pressure on Clorox’s execution and margins. The company is currently seeking a replacement for Rendle, introducing leadership uncertainty amid the integration process.

TS2 TECH • EXTENDED COVERAGE

Further analysis

What proportion of fiscal 2027's sales increase is genuinely underlying?
Acquisition and comparison factors account for over 13 percentage points. Clorox projects fiscal 2027 revenue growth between 13% and 14%. GOJO contributes roughly 9.5 points, while the ERP inventory rollover adds more than 3.5 points. This results in less than one percentage point of core growth at the upper end.
Can profit expansion keep pace with the resurgence in sales?
Earnings growth continues to lag behind revenue. The company forecasts adjusted EPS between $5.70 and $6.00, signaling an increase of just 3% to 8%. The midpoint, $5.85, falls about 2% below the LSEG consensus of $5.97. Gross margin is projected to remain close to 42%, compared with 42.3% in fiscal 2026. Clorox continues to face inflationary pressures and an unfavorable mix, which counteract anticipated cost reductions.
Is GOJO capable of generating sufficient earnings to counterbalance its financing costs?
Following the GOJO acquisition, net debt rose to over twice its previous level. Clorox reported ending June with approximately $4.9 billion in net debt, up from $2.3 billion a year before. The company maintains a goal of at least $50 million in annualized cost synergies. Interest expense for fiscal 2026 increased by 48% to $130 million. Accelerated realization of synergies will be crucial to counterbalance the increased financing costs.
Is the present valuation sufficient to provide adequate protection?
CLX was last trading at $98.26, which values the stock at roughly 16.8 times the midpoint of its projected adjusted EPS for fiscal 2027. The company’s new $5 per share annual dividend results in a forward yield of approximately 5.1%. That dividend represents 83% to 88% of management’s forecast for adjusted EPS. A shortfall in earnings would put more pressure on that coverage.
Jerzy Lewandowski

Jerzy Lewandowski is a senior markets editor at TS2.tech. His coverage ranges from stocks and semiconductors to AI and the broader global markets. He studied economics at the University of Warsaw and worked in investment analysis before becoming a financial journalist. Follow Jerzy Lewandowski on Google News.

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