London, January 21, 2026, 09:16 GMT — Regular session
- Experian shares dropped over 5% in early London trading following its third-quarter update
- The company posted 8% organic revenue growth this quarter and confirmed its full-year outlook remains unchanged
- Traders are focused on U.S. lending and mortgage patterns, tracking any changes in regional momentum
Experian shares dropped Wednesday following the release of its third-quarter trading update. By 09:17 GMT, the stock had slid 5.3% to 3,055 pence, down from a close of 3,227 pence, even dipping as low as 3,032 pence — hitting the bottom of its 52-week range. (Google)
This update is crucial since Experian’s main business tracks lender activity closely. When lending picks up, credit checks, data requests, and demand for fraud and identity tools all rise. Conversely, a drop in loan demand tends to hit their volumes fast.
The connection is back under the microscope as rate cuts in the U.S. and Europe start to boost loan demand, giving a lift to credit-reporting firms’ outlooks. Experian noted early signs of U.S. mortgage volumes stabilizing and maintained its full-year forecast: total revenue up 11%, organic growth at 8%—meaning excluding acquisitions and currency effects. (Reuters)
Experian reported a 12% increase in revenue from ongoing activities at actual exchange rates and a 10% rise at constant exchange rates for the quarter ending Dec. 31. Organic revenue climbed 8%. CEO Brian Cassin stated the growth was “in-line with our expectations” and confirmed that “our full year expectations are unchanged.” (Experianplc)
The market saw this more as a routine update than a new trigger. Jefferies analyst Allen Wells noted the quarter’s organic growth was “in line with expectations” but pointed out “softness in EMEA/APAC,” while North America and Latin America’s consumer segments remained steady. Shares were down roughly 5.5% by 08:53 GMT, according to Investing.com, which also reported that the 8% organic growth aligned with Visible Alpha’s consensus. (Investing.com UK)
During the quarter, Experian highlighted steady demand in the U.S. business-to-business (B2B) segment—services aimed at clients like banks and insurers—while consumer revenue grew more slowly but remained robust. In Latin America, consumer services saw a strong uptick, but B2B revenue held steady, pressured by higher interest rates and tougher macroeconomic conditions.
Business growth lagged in the UK and Ireland, but Experian reported faster consumer services gains driven by marketplace activity and the launch of a new “1250 score.” The company also emphasized efforts to boost fraud and compliance tools following its acquisition of KYC360 during the quarter.
Experian occupies a closely watched peer group, with investors frequently making swift comparisons to Equifax and TransUnion. While the group’s offerings extend beyond just credit files, the market typically focuses on the core themes: lending, fraud, and the cost of money.
The risks tilt in the opposite direction. Should loan demand lose momentum or mortgage activity disappoint, volume-driven sectors may hit a wall. Meanwhile, pressure could persist longer than investors anticipate in regions grappling with weaker economies or elevated rates.
Investors will be eyeing fresh details on U.S. mortgage activity, fraud-prevention demand, and regional momentum as management provides further updates. The next major event on the calendar is Experian’s full-year earnings report set for May 20.
