Sydney, Feb 3, 2026, 17:25 AEDT — After-hours
- Fortescue shares closed up 0.5% on Tuesday, while miners traded mixed.
- Iron ore held near $103 a tonne after a sharp drop a day earlier.
- Focus shifts to currency moves and Fortescue’s half-year results later this month.
Fortescue Ltd shares closed up 0.47% at A$21.28 on Tuesday, after trading between A$21.10 and A$21.42. Rival BHP ended higher while Mineral Resources slipped, as iron ore hovered around $102.66 a tonne. (Market Index)
The market is shut now, but the setup for the next session is awkward for bulk miners: a firmer Australian dollar, softer iron ore and a jittery global backdrop that has pushed investors in and out of commodities in quick bursts.
For Fortescue, the timing matters. The iron ore producer reports half-year results on Feb. 25, with its next quarterly production report due on April 23. (Investor Centre)
Iron ore fell to $102.66 a tonne on Feb. 2, down 2.8% from the previous day, and was off about 3.3% over the past month, Trading Economics data showed. (Trading Economics)
In currency markets, the Australian dollar rose 0.7% to $0.6992 after the Reserve Bank of Australia’s decision, while the U.S. dollar held gains after President Donald Trump nominated Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve chair, Reuters reported. “The dynamic has lifted hopes that the U.S. growth story is broadening out,” Kyle Rodda, a senior market analyst at Capital.com, wrote in a note. (Reuters)
The RBA said inflation “picked up materially” in the second half of 2025 and judged it was appropriate to raise the cash rate target by 25 basis points to 3.85%. The decision was unanimous, the central bank said. (Reserve Bank of Australia)
A stronger local currency can complicate the math for miners that sell iron ore in U.S. dollars while carrying much of their cost base in Australian dollars. The benefit of cheaper imported inputs is often slower to show up than the hit to translated revenue.
Investors also keep a close eye on cash costs going into results season. In a January production update, Fortescue said its C1 unit cost — a mine-site cash cost for producing hematite ore — rose 5% from the prior quarter to $19.10 per wet metric ton, citing diesel prices and exchange-rate moves. Jefferies warned the Iron Bridge magnetite ramp-up continued to “indicate struggles with the plant,” in a note cited by Reuters. (Reuters)
Tuesday’s move in Fortescue’s share price was small, but it came with a lot of cross-currents: rates, FX and bulk commodity pricing all pulling at the same time. That mix tends to show up in intraday swings and short-term positioning rather than big, clean trends.
But the downside case is still there. If iron ore prices weaken again while the Australian dollar stays firm, miners’ margins can narrow quickly, and dividend expectations can soften with them.
The next hard catalyst for Fortescue is its Feb. 25 earnings date, when investors will look for any changes in cost and shipment expectations, and what that implies for payouts. (Yahoo Finance)
