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Forward Industries’ Wild Crypto Pivot: $4B Solana Bet, 500% Stock Surge & Wall Street Skepticism

  • Surging Stock: Forward Industries (NASDAQ: FORD) closed at $25.43 on October 6, 2025 – roughly a 400%+ year-to-date gain [1] [2]. Shares hit a multi-year high near $46 in mid-September after a strategic pivot, before pulling back to the mid-$20s.
  • Radical Crypto Pivot: The 60-year-old carrying-case maker reinvented itself in September 2025 as a “Solana treasury” company [3]. Under new crypto-focused leadership (including Multicoin Capital’s Kyle Samani as Chairman), Forward raised $1.65 billion and purchased 6.82 million Solana (SOL) tokens [4] – instantly becoming the largest publicly traded holder of SOL.
  • Massive Solana Bet: Forward deployed the $1.65B to buy ~6.82M SOL at an average ~$232 each (over $1.58B total) [5]. This hoard represents >1.25% of all Solana outstanding and is fully staked on-chain to earn yield [6]. The company’s fate now heavily depends on SOL’s price trajectory.
  • $4B Share Offering & Tokenized Stock: To fuel further crypto expansion, Forward filed for a $4.0 billion at-the-market (ATM) stock offering program in mid-September [7]. It also announced a partnership with fintech firm Superstate to tokenize FORD shares on the Solana blockchain, enabling 24/7 digital trading of its stock [8]. Forward plans to take an equity stake in Superstate as it pioneers on-chain public equity.
  • Legacy Financials Lag: Prior to the crypto pivot, Forward’s financials were modest. In the quarter reported August 14, 2025, it had only $2.49 million revenue and a net loss (EPS –$2.17) [9]. Profitability was poor (–14.5% net margin, –1,522% return on equity) [10]. Traditional analysts have downgraded FORD to “strong sell”, warning that the stock’s meteoric rise is unmoored from fundamentals [11].

Stock Price & Recent Performance (October 2025)

Forward Industries’ stock has experienced an extraordinary run-up in 2025. As of the close on October 6, 2025, FORD traded around $25–26 per share [12], up dramatically from under $5 at the start of the year. This over 400% year-to-date surge far outpaces the broader market [13]. In mid-September, shares briefly spiked to approximately $46 (a multi-year high) amid excitement over the company’s crypto transformation [14]. Even after cooling off to the $25 range, the stock is roughly 10× higher than a year ago [15].

Such gains have come with extreme volatility. In late September, FORD swung wildly – for example, jumping 13% in one day and then dropping 8% the next [16]. Heavy trading volumes accompanied the frenzy, with speculative buyers piling in and out. By early October the stock settled in the mid-$20s, still up hundreds of percent in 2025 but well off its peak. The turbulence reflects shifting sentiment as investors digest Forward’s high-risk new direction.

Financials: Revenue, Earnings and Fundamentals

Despite its booming stock, Forward’s traditional financial metrics remain weak. The most recent quarterly report (for mid-2025) showed revenue of just $2.49 million and a net loss of ~$0.36 million, which equated to –$2.17 earnings per share [17]. Profit margins were negative (about –14.5%), and return on equity was an eye-popping –1,522% [18], a symptom of the company’s tiny equity base and continuing losses. In short, the legacy business – designing and sourcing device cases and medical accessories – was barely moving the needle financially.

These paltry fundamentals are now dwarfed by Forward’s new crypto assets. Following the Solana purchase, Forward’s balance sheet has ballooned with $1.58 billion in digital assets [19]. At around $25–30 per share, the market capitalization is roughly $2.5–$2.6 billion [20], hundreds of times higher than the company’s pre-pivot annual revenues [21]. Traditional valuation ratios like price-to-earnings or price-to-sales are not meaningful at this point – Forward’s value is essentially being valued on its cryptocurrency holdings and the market’s expectations for those. Indeed, by late September the stock traded at a large premium to the company’s old fundamentals, implying investors are pricing in the new strategy’s potential rather than current earnings [22]. (For context, even on a price-to-book basis, the stock was around 1.5–2.0× book value after the Solana buy, since the book value is now mostly crypto [23].) In summary, Forward’s financial story has completely flipped – it went from a tiny, unprofitable manufacturer to a company sitting on over $1.5B of crypto, with its fortunes tied to those assets rather than conventional operating results.

From Carrying Cases to Crypto: The Big Solana Pivot

Forward Industries’ transformation in September 2025 is one of the year’s most dramatic corporate pivots. Founded in 1961 as a maker of electronic and medical carrying cases, the company stunned investors by announcing it would become a “Solana treasury” platform – essentially a publicly traded vehicle to hold and grow Solana cryptocurrency [24]. This strategic U-turn was backed by a new management team steeped in crypto expertise. Notably, Kyle Samani, co-founder of crypto investment firm Multicoin Capital, became Forward’s Chairman, and other prominent blockchain investors joined in advisory roles [25]. The message was clear: a once-sleepy small-cap was reinventing itself as a cutting-edge crypto asset play.

Financing the Pivot: To execute this plan, Forward raised an enormous sum relative to its size. In early September, it closed a $1.65 billion private investment in public equity (PIPE) led by Galaxy Digital, Jump Crypto, and Multicoin Capital [26]. Within days, Forward deployed those funds to acquire approximately 6,822,000 Solana (SOL) tokens at an average price of ~$232 each [27]. The total outlay – roughly $1.58 billion – gave Forward a massive Solana treasury. For perspective, this hoard represents over 1.25% of Solana’s total supply [28], making Forward the world’s largest corporate holder of SOL. The company immediately staked 100% of these tokens on-chain to earn staking rewards and yield, signaling a long-term commitment to the Solana network’s growth [29]. Essentially, Forward now operates akin to a crypto holding company or quasi-fund – its primary asset is SOL, and it intends to grow that stash over time.

$4B More on Tap: In a bold follow-up move, Forward filed on September 17 for an “up to $4.0 billion” at-the-market equity offering program [30]. This shelf registration allows the company to issue and sell new shares gradually into the market. The goal is to raise additional capital to buy even more Solana and fund related investments as opportunities arise [31] [32]. “The offering provides a flexible and efficient mechanism to support the company’s Solana treasury,” said Chairman Kyle Samani, noting it will strengthen the balance sheet and enable scaling of Forward’s SOL position [33]. Such a gigantic fundraising plan – nearly unprecedented for a micro-cap firm – underscores management’s aggressive growth ambitions. However, it also introduces the risk of significant shareholder dilution, since issuing even a fraction of $4B in stock could add tens of millions of new shares if fully executed [34]. Forward has indicated it will use the ATM facility judiciously and only as market conditions warrant, but investors are on alert for how this might impact share value.

Tokenizing Stock & On-Chain Innovation: In tandem with the Solana investments, Forward announced a cutting-edge initiative to tokenize its common stock on the Solana blockchain. In collaboration with fintech partner Superstate, the company plans to issue a digital token equivalent to FORD shares [35]. This would allow Forward’s stock to trade 24/7 on blockchain platforms, potentially increase liquidity, and even enable holders to use tokenized shares as collateral in decentralized finance (DeFi) applications [36]. Forward is the first U.S.-listed company to pursue this on-chain equity approach. “This marks the origin of Solana becoming the home of capital markets for public companies. A new era of shareholder access and innovation is coming,” said Robert Leshner, CEO of Superstate, about the partnership [37]. Forward also intends to take an equity stake in Superstate itself, further aligning with the blockchain infrastructure side of its strategy [38]. These moves blur the line between traditional stocks and crypto tokens, positioning Forward as a pioneer in on-chain capital markets.

In sum, within a matter of weeks, Forward Industries executed a rapid makeover: from a low-margin hardware accessories business to a crypto-centric holding company. It now describes itself as the “largest publicly traded Solana treasury platform” and is actively integrating into the Solana ecosystem [39]. The company’s stated vision is to accumulate SOL and deploy it in staking, lending, and DeFi to “increase SOL-per-share” (growing the crypto assets backing each share) [40]. With deep ties to Solana-focused venture firms and a war chest of tokens, Forward has effectively wagered its entire future on the success of Solana and blockchain finance.

Market Reaction and Expert Commentary

Forward’s radical pivot has elicited strongly mixed reactions from analysts and market watchers, ranging from crypto evangelists applauding the move to traditional investors sounding alarm bells.

On Wall Street, skepticism runs high. Given Forward’s lack of earnings and the speculative nature of its strategy, many observers see the stock’s run-up as detached from fundamentals. In late September, research service MarketBeat reported that “Wall Street analysts have downgraded Forward Industries shares to a ‘strong sell’… citing poor performance metrics such as earnings of ($2.17) per share and a negative return on equity of 1,522.78%” [41]. Essentially, the few analysts who covered FORD panned the crypto gamble, noting that a tiny unprofitable firm suddenly being worth billions “has no clothes” financially. It’s telling that no major sell-side firm has issued formal coverage or price targets – Forward was too small to cover before, and now it’s too unconventional to value easily. “The consensus among traditional analysts is that Forward’s stock price has run far ahead of its fundamentals, and extreme caution (if not outright avoidance) is warranted,” one review concluded [42]. The stock’s momentum and meme-like qualities have even attracted talk of short sellers targeting it as a potential bubble.

In stark contrast, the crypto community and deal insiders are enthused, viewing Forward as an innovative bridge between blockchain and public markets. Kyle Samani, Forward’s Chairman, has been vocal about his long-term thesis. “Today’s purchase marks a significant milestone as Forward Industries begins executing its differentiated Solana treasury strategy, built to benefit from one of the fastest growing and most profitable blockchain networks,” Samani said after the SOL acquisition [43]. He stated that Forward is “building the world’s largest Solana treasury company” – a strategy he believes will advance the Solana ecosystem and deliver long-term value for shareholders [44]. Supporters argue that by holding SOL and tokenizing its equity, Forward gives stock investors a unique gateway into crypto. Crypto analysts at CoinGecko even praised the strategy, noting that Solana has historically outperformed many traditional assets, and that having FORD shares tied to SOL’s value could “improve investors’ interest in the stock as [an] exposure to Solana” [45]. In other words, bulls see Forward as a proxy for Solana – potentially attractive to those who want crypto upside in a stock wrapper.

Prominent voices in blockchain have also chimed in. When Forward unveiled the Superstate tokenization partnership, Superstate’s CEO Robert Leshner heralded it as a game-changer: “this marks… the origin of Solana becoming the home of capital markets for public companies. A new era of shareholder access and innovation is coming” [46]. And in Forward’s press materials, Chairman Samani emphasized their conviction in Solana’s central role in future markets, saying that by tokenizing equity and holding SOL, Forward lets shareholders participate directly in the coming “tokenized economy[47]. Such commentary suggests that crypto insiders view Forward as a pioneering vehicle that could blur the lines between traditional stocks and digital assets.

Meanwhile, independent crypto media and analysts have offered a balanced take – intrigued but cautious. Blockworks, a respected crypto news outlet, noted that Forward itself acknowledged its stock “may become tightly linked to the value of SOL, a token known for sharp volatility,” essentially warning investors that FORD shares could be as volatile as crypto [48]. Blockworks also pointed out the regulatory unknowns (U.S. authorities are only beginning to grapple with things like tokenized stocks and crypto-heavy balance sheets) and compared Forward’s strategy to a trend of companies using equity markets to double down on digital assets [49]. They remarked that if Forward actually raised the full $4B and plowed it into crypto, it would be among “the boldest moves in this arena” [50]. Some commentators have drawn parallels to MicroStrategy (MSTR) – the software company that famously turned itself into a Bitcoin holding vehicle. Like MicroStrategy’s CEO Michael Saylor did with Bitcoin, Forward’s team is making a concentrated bet on a single cryptocurrency (Solana). However, skeptics note that Solana is a less proven asset than Bitcoin, and Forward is much smaller than MicroStrategy was, making this gamble even more speculative in their view [51]. “Forward is now being viewed as a Solana proxy stock,” wrote one analyst, “but such single-asset concentration is very risky – owning Forward now carries many of the same risks as owning Solana directly, plus additional company-specific risks” [52]. If Solana’s network or price were to crash, they warn, Forward’s stock would likely plummet in tandem [53].

Moreover, the planned $4B share issuance looms as a concern. Issuing a large number of new shares could heavily dilute existing shareholders, unless the capital raised translates into proportional gains (e.g. buying more SOL that then rises in value) [54]. As one analysis noted, if Forward sold even half of that $4B at current stock prices (~$30 at the time), it could mean tens of millions of new shares flooding the market [55]. This overhang is one reason some investment advisors remain very wary. Forward has never paid dividends and likely won’t anytime soon (any cash flow is being reinvested into crypto), so shareholders are relying purely on future stock appreciation for returns [56]. In short, expert opinion on Forward Industries is sharply divided. Traditional fundamentalists see a red flag in a loss-making microcap suddenly commanding a multi-billion valuation (hence the “sell” ratings), whereas crypto proponents counter that Forward is breaking new ground and could richly reward investors if Solana’s success continues [57]. Both sides agree on one point: this is a high-risk, high-volatility play. As a result, sentiment is polarized, and that polarization has been evident in the stock’s rollercoaster swings.

Recent News and Developments (Early October 2025)

In the first week of October 2025, Forward Industries continued to make headlines as it solidifies its crypto-centric strategy:

  • Investor Outreach: On October 2, Forward was spotlighted in a NetworkNewsWire release as “one to watch” following its Solana pivot [58]. The briefing reiterated key points – that Forward now holds over 6.8 million SOL in its treasury, raised $1.65B from top crypto investors, and is generating yield through active staking and DeFi lending on Solana [59] [60]. It highlighted that Forward’s leadership is “led by crypto-native investors with deep strategic alignment in the Solana ecosystem” [61], underscoring the credibility of the team steering this effort. Such media coverage (often based on company-issued news) suggests Forward is actively promoting its new story to the market. Indeed, Forward’s CEO and team have been making the rounds to emphasize the company’s unique position as a publicly traded Solana proxy.
  • Regulatory Filings: Forward has filed the necessary disclosures for its recent actions. A Form 8-K was filed detailing the $1.65B PIPE financing and Solana purchase, and another filing covers the launch of the $4B ATM equity program [62] [63]. These filings provide transparency on the use of proceeds (all funneled into SOL) and the potential future stock issuance. There have been no reports of any regulatory roadblocks so far – the SEC has not publicly objected to Forward’s crypto-heavy strategy, though it’s still early. However, industry lawyers note that regulators will be watching how Forward accounts for its digital assets and the tokenized stock initiative. Any future SEC guidance on crypto assets or tokenized securities could affect Forward (for example, changes in accounting rules could introduce earnings volatility when marking crypto to market [64]). For now, Forward appears to be operating within the bounds of existing rules, albeit in uncharted territory.
  • Product & Partnerships: The collaboration with Superstate to tokenize shares is moving forward. In late September, Forward announced its intent to launch the Solana-based stock token once the platform (Superstate’s “Opening Bell”) is ready [65]. This will make Forward’s stock tradeable on a blockchain in parallel to Nasdaq. The company’s investment in Superstate is pending customary approvals. Additionally, Forward signaled it may pursue strategic acquisitions or partnerships in the Solana ecosystem to enhance its treasury operations [66]. Crypto circles are abuzz that Forward could team up with DeFi protocols or infrastructure projects to maximize use of its SOL stash – though no specific deals have been confirmed as of Oct 6.
  • Earnings Schedule: Looking ahead, Forward’s next quarterly earnings report (likely due in November 2025) will be closely watched. It will be the first to reflect some of the new strategy, though since the Solana purchase occurred late in the quarter, the main impact will be on the balance sheet (a huge increase in assets) rather than revenues. There may also be a large one-time accounting gain or adjustment if Solana’s market price at quarter-end differs from the purchase price. No official earnings guidance has been provided by the company for the rest of 2025, and given the unpredictable nature of crypto markets, it’s unclear how Forward will forecast its results. Notably, Yahoo Finance’s analyst page shows no consensus estimates for Forward’s 2025 earnings [67] – a reflection of how unconventional and new this business model is.
  • Sector Context: Forward’s pivot comes during a resurgence of crypto markets in 2025. Solana (SOL) itself has been on a tear, trading around the mid-$200s per token in early October [68]. Crypto enthusiasts dub this “Uptober” as major tokens rally, and Solana’s network activity is at all-time highs (with ~$13 billion in value locked in Solana DeFi and growing use cases) [69]. Forward is riding this wave of positive sentiment. There is also broader industry momentum: for instance, there are 17 pending crypto ETF applications in the U.S. (some involving Solana), and big institutions like BlackRock, Visa, PayPal, and HSBC have been integrating Solana’s technology or supporting its ecosystem [70]. This backdrop suggests that Forward’s bet, while risky, is timed amid a genuine growth phase for Solana and increased institutional interest in blockchain. It’s not occurring in a vacuum – other companies are also adding crypto to their treasuries (e.g. another small-cap, Helius Medical, reportedly bought millions in SOL as well). This trend positions Solana almost as the “next Bitcoin” for corporations looking to capitalize on crypto. Forward’s extreme approach – essentially converting the entire company into a Solana investment vehicle – is an outlier, but it underscores the growing intersection of traditional markets with crypto assets.

Analyst Forecasts and Outlook

Looking ahead, Forward Industries’ future is essentially a bet on the future of Solana. The stock now trades less on earnings or sales, and more like a proxy for Solana’s market value. Analysts note that if Solana’s price doubles or triples from here, Forward’s stock could similarly balloon; conversely, if SOL plunges, FORD shares would likely be “crushed” [71] [72]. As one commentary put it, owning Forward is in many ways akin to “owning Solana with a bit of leverage and operational overhead.” [73] The company itself has cautioned that its stock may be “highly correlated” with the volatile crypto it holds [74].

Because of this unconventional profile, traditional equity analysts have mostly refrained from issuing forecasts on Forward. There are no consensus earnings projections for 2025 or 2026 available [75]. It’s simply too early to model how (or if) Forward will generate profits from its crypto strategy. The one published rating out there was effectively a “strong sell” from August/September, and that was before the full pivot was even understood [76] [77]. Going forward, it’s possible more analysts – perhaps those specializing in blockchain or fintech – will initiate coverage, but they will have to think more like crypto analysts than stock analysts. We may start to see research notes that factor in Solana price scenarios, treasury management performance, and even technical crypto metrics (like staking yields or token unlock schedules) as part of valuing Forward Industries.

From a bullish perspective, if Solana continues its strong run, Forward stands to benefit enormously. Some crypto market pundits have very optimistic views on SOL’s upside: for instance, one analyst recently pointed to bullish technical patterns and predicted Solana could eventually reach $500 per coin in a sustained rally [78]. Such a scenario (SOL ~$500) would roughly double the value of Forward’s current holdings, which could imply a much higher stock price assuming the market values the treasury at parity. Additionally, Forward aims to actively manage its crypto treasury – through staking (earning ~5–8% annual yield in new SOL tokens) and DeFi lending – to increase its Solana holdings over time [79] [80]. If successful, this could make Forward’s asset base grow faster than Solana’s price alone. The company’s partnership with Galaxy Digital’s asset management arm should provide professional guidance in these efforts [81]. Optimists argue that Forward might even outperform a passive SOL investment by acting almost like a crypto hedge fund – squeezing extra returns from on-chain strategies [82]. Furthermore, any additional ventures (for example, generating fees from the tokenized stock platform, or taking stakes in Solana ecosystem projects) could eventually diversify revenues. In a blue-sky outcome, Forward becomes a leader in the Web3 finance space, leveraging public markets to accelerate Solana’s adoption and reaping the rewards if Solana becomes foundational to global finance. Bulls even speculate Forward could become an acquisition target for larger financial institutions down the line, if its experiment proves successful [83]. All told, the upside scenario is that Forward Industries evolves into a high-growth, crypto-native holding company that delivers outsized returns by marrying the stock market with the crypto world.

On the bearish side, there are plenty of hazards. The most obvious is a crypto market downturn: if the current “crypto autumn” rally reverses, Forward’s core asset (SOL) could lose value quickly, dragging the stock down. Solana itself, while growing, faces competition and technical risks (it has had network outages in the past, and skeptics question its degree of decentralization). A severe issue with Solana’s network or a broad loss of confidence in crypto could see SOL prices tumble – an outcome in which Forward’s market cap could evaporate just as quickly as it rose [84]. Another risk is operational execution. Forward’s management now must navigate crypto markets, which means safeguarding digital assets, managing private keys, and avoiding pitfalls like hacks or bad DeFi trades. Any incident (e.g. a smart contract bug that loses some of the treasury) would be disastrous given the company’s single-focus strategy [85]. Regulatory risk is also on the table: the SEC and other regulators have not fully weighed in on a public company turning itself into a crypto fund. It’s possible regulators could impose new disclosure requirements or even restrictions (for example, on how such companies classify assets or raise capital) [86] [87]. The plan to trade tokenized stock might invite regulatory review as well, to ensure compliance with securities laws [88]. While being a small cap might keep Forward under the radar to some extent, any regulatory hiccup could chill investor enthusiasm. Lastly, the dilution issue remains a cloud: if Forward starts selling a lot of stock via the ATM offering during unfavorable conditions (say, when the stock is already dipping), it could create a downward spiral of price and trust. Bears see a scenario where Forward issues shares but Solana fails to rise, leaving shareholders with a bigger float and no gain to show for it – a dilution of value as well as ownership [89] [90]. In a worst-case scenario, critics warn that Forward could end up as another cautionary tale of a small company chasing the fad of the day (not unlike past “blockchain pivot” stories in 2017), only to crash when reality catches up [91].

Broader market comparisons suggest that Forward’s valuation may ultimately track its crypto holdings. MicroStrategy’s stock, for example, tends to trade in line with the value of its Bitcoin reserves. If Forward follows that pattern, investors might treat it as essentially a Solana ETF with extra steps – valuing it roughly at the market value of its SOL stash (currently about $1.6B) plus maybe a premium for its active management and any ancillary projects [92]. At the current SOL price (~$230–$250), Forward’s market cap of ~$2.5B is already a bit higher than its crypto holdings, implying the market is giving some credit for future growth or the innovative aspects of the business [93] [94]. How that evolves will depend on investor sentiment. For now, sentiment is highly split, but it could shift quickly. If Solana continues to prove itself and Forward shows it can safely grow its treasury (and maybe not dilute shareholders excessively), some analysts might upgrade their stance from “sell” to neutral or even bullish – especially those focusing on crypto sectors [95] [96]. On the flip side, any stumble could reinforce the skeptics and attract more short-sellers and negative coverage [97].

Bottom line: Forward Industries is embarking on a bold, unorthodox experiment at the intersection of equity investing and crypto. As of October 2025, it has captured the imagination of crypto believers and the caution of traditional analysts. Investors considering FORD now should go in with eyes open – essentially, a bet on Forward is a bet on Solana’s future, plus confidence in this management team’s ability to navigate uncharted waters. The potential rewards are huge if all goes well (imagine riding a major crypto bull wave through a stock), but the risks are equally high. In the public markets, Forward has quickly become a high-risk, high-reward story stock. The coming months will be critical to see if this Solana bet pays off or if the company becomes a case study in bubble-era excess. As one commentator aptly noted, Forward’s fate will be determined by factors outside traditional company analysis – chiefly, the performance of Solana and the execution of Forward’s treasury strategy [98]. In other words, the road ahead for Forward Industries will rise or fall on the tides of the crypto market that it has now tied itself to.

Sources: Forward Industries press releases and SEC filings; ts2.tech analysis [99] [100] [101] [102]; NetworkNewsWire and Business Wire releases [103] [104]; CoinCentral and TipRanks (TheFly) crypto news [105] [106]; Blockworks and CoinGecko commentary [107] [108]; MarketBeat and Yahoo Finance data [109] [110].

ETHEREUM ‼️ SOLANA IT IS OVER! (Stock Moe Portfolio)

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