GCM Grosvenor stock in focus as GCMG extends earnings rally on buyback boost, analyst target hike
11 February 2026
1 min read

GCM Grosvenor stock in focus as GCMG extends earnings rally on buyback boost, analyst target hike

New York, Feb 11, 2026, 09:28 EST — Premarket

  • GCMG added roughly 0.7% ahead of the open, after a 14.1% jump the previous day.
  • The company notched all-time high fundraising for 2025, bumped up its share buyback authorization, and declared a $0.12 dividend.
  • Oppenheimer bumped its price target up to $24 from $23, sticking with its Outperform rating.

GCM Grosvenor Inc (GCMG) stock tacked on another 0.7% to $11.38 early Wednesday, building on Tuesday’s strong 14.1% surge to $11.30. 1

It’s a corner of the market where even a slight shift in fundraising or growth in fees can flip sentiment on a dime. For alternative managers, management fees are the bedrock — but those only pile up on client capital that’s actively paying, not just what’s been committed.

GCM Grosvenor, an investor active in private equity, infrastructure, real estate, credit and hedge-fund strategies, posted its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 numbers Tuesday. The board cleared a $0.12 per-share dividend, set to go out March 16. GCM also boosted its share buyback authorization by $35 million, now totaling $255 million, and initiated a $65 million debt prepayment, the company said. 2

GCM reported a 14% jump in assets under management from a year ago, now at $90.9 billion, according to its earnings deck. Fee-paying AUM rose 12% to $72.5 billion. Fundraising for the full year surged 49% and hit $10.7 billion. “A very strong” 2025 with “record fundraising and excellent financial results,” Chairman and CEO Michael Sacks said. 3

During the earnings call, management described a “very strong” fundraising pipeline heading into 2026 and highlighted growth in absolute return strategies—a business closely tied to hedge-fund flows. Chief Financial Officer Pamela Bentley projected about a 5% increase in ARS management fees from the fourth quarter. Sacks, for his part, called stock buybacks “an attractive use of capital,” though he also cautioned that carry-driven income can be unpredictable. 4

After the numbers hit, analysts didn’t waste time. Oppenheimer’s Brian Bittner bumped up his price target for GCM Grosvenor to $24 from $23 while maintaining an Outperform rating, according to StreetInsider. 5

This is a smaller player in the alternatives space, up against giants like Blackstone, Apollo and KKR for capital and mandates. The dynamic works both ways: when fundraising clicks, the boost to fee-paying assets comes fast. But redemptions—or a hold-up in putting money to work—can knock core fee revenue just as swiftly.

Risks here are clear enough. Performance fees and carried interest—the cut managers get from solid returns—can vanish fast if markets sour, and the timing of realizations is notoriously unpredictable. The buyback adds support, so does the dividend, but neither one solves the core problem if fundraising slumps and institutions step back.

Sacks is slated to speak Wednesday at 11:20 a.m. ET during the UBS Financial Services Conference. Investors will be paying close attention for any signals on flows, growth in fee-paying assets, and capital returns. 6

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