Updated: 10:31 UTC on November 6, 2025.
Top line: Gold moved back above the psychologically important $4,000/oz mark in Thursday trade as the U.S. dollar eased from recent highs and investors weighed a prolonged U.S. government shutdown alongside shifting rate-cut odds and a U.S. Supreme Court case scrutinizing tariffs. As of 09:14 GMT, spot gold was around $4,011.79/oz and December futures near $4,021.20/oz. Silver, platinum and palladium also firmed. 1
At a glance (Nov 6, 2025)
- Spot gold (XAU/USD): ~$4,011.79 at 09:14 GMT; back above $4,000 as the dollar slips from a multi‑month peak. 1
- COMEX gold (Dec ’25): ~$4,021.20. 1
- Day’s range (intraday): ~$3,964–$4,017; 52‑week range: ~$2,537–$4,382. 2
- U.S. Dollar Index (DXY): down ~0.2% on the day. 1
- U.S. 10‑year Treasury yield: hovering near 4.13–4.15% intraday. 3
- Other precious metals: silver ~$48.7/oz (+~1.4%), platinum ~$1,567/oz (+~0.4%), palladium ~$1,434/oz (+~1.1%). 1
Context: Gold’s all‑time high was set in October, briefly topping $4,381/oz before pulling back. 4
What moved gold today
1) Softer dollar
The greenback eased from recent multi‑month highs, mechanically supporting dollar‑priced bullion. A 0.2% dip in DXY made gold cheaper for non‑U.S. buyers. 1
2) U.S. shutdown and policy uncertainty
Markets continue to grapple with a prolonged U.S. government shutdown, now the longest on record, which is complicating macro visibility and keeping haven demand underpinned. 1
3) Data & Fed expectations
Private payrolls for October rose 42,000 (ADP), above a Reuters poll (~28,000), trimming the market‑implied probability of another December rate cut to ~63%. A slightly cooler dollar and recalibrated rate bets combined to lift spot prices back over $4k. 1
4) Trade/tariff overhang
Supreme Court justices voiced skepticism over the legality of broad tariffs, injecting another macro wild card that investors read as supportive for gold’s risk‑hedge appeal. 1
How the session unfolded (times GMT)
- Asia (early): Gold traded below $4,000—~$3,973/oz in Singapore—as the market digested prior dollar strength. 5
- Europe (morning): A softer dollar helped reclaim $4,000; spot near $4,012/oz by 09:14. 1
Intraday ranges reflected two‑way flows, with $4,000 acting as a pivot; today’s low‑to‑high sat roughly in the $3,964–$4,017 band. 2
Big picture: why $4k still matters
- New regime since October: Gold first smashed through $4,000 on Oct 8 amid shutdown/sovereign‑risk concerns before notching a record later in the month. 6
- Central‑bank underpin:Q3-2025 central‑bank purchases stayed elevated at ~220t (YTD ~634t), reinforcing structural demand even at higher prices, per the World Gold Council. 7
- Macro pulse: Strategists remain split—UBS sees room back toward $4,200 if Fed easing resumes, while others warn of consolidation. 1
- Post‑election narrative: Since November 2024, gold has outperformed most assets as policy uncertainty and rate‑path debates intensified. 8
Key levels & simple roadmap (today)
- Immediate pivot:$4,000 (psychological & round‑number magnet).
- Near resistance:$4,020–$4,050 (European session highs/round figures).
- Near support:$3,960–$3,930 (overnight range floor; prior congestion).
- Volatility drivers ahead:BoE decision at ~12:00 GMT, U.S. headlines on the shutdown and tariff case, plus any remarks from Fed officials that tweak cut odds. 9
Note: Levels are indicative, based on today’s range and recent microstructure; they’re not trading advice.
Quick data panel
| Metric | Snapshot | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Spot gold (09:14 GMT) | ~$4,011.79/oz | Reuters |
| COMEX Dec ’25 | ~$4,021.20 | Reuters |
| Intraday range | ~$3,964–$4,017 | Investing.com |
| 52‑week range | ~$2,537–$4,382 | Investing.com |
| U.S. 10‑year yield | ~4.13–4.15% intraday | Investing.com |
| Silver / Platinum / Palladium | ~$48.7 / $1,567 / $1,434 | Reuters |
Figures are timestamped and may be delayed by ~10–15 minutes depending on the venue.
Citations for the table: 1
Why it matters for readers
- Portfolio ballast: Elevated real‑rate volatility and policy risk have kept gold’s hedge role front and center in 2025. WGC data confirms official‑sector buying remains robust. 7
- What could break the range: A decisive dollar trend (up or down), faster‑than‑expected Fed policy moves, or a legal/political shock (shutdown/tariff ruling) could push bullion out of the $3,95k–$4,05k near‑term corridor. 1
Methodology & time stamp
This report synthesizes live spot (XAU/USD), COMEX futures, and macro drivers from primary financial newswires and price dashboards. All times are UTC and quotes are from the listed sources at their stated timestamps. Current UTC time used for this update: 10:31 on Nov 6, 2025.
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
