Home Depot Sales Beat, but Tariff Refund Masks a 120-Basis-Point Margin Test
20 August 2026

Home Depot Sales Beat, but Tariff Refund Masks a 120-Basis-Point Margin Test

ATLANTA, August 20, 2026, 08:18 EDT — U.S. cash markets are pre-open.

  • Home Depot’s second-quarter gross margin rose 25 basis points, but a tariff refund added 145 basis points.
  • Comparable sales increased 1.7% as average ticket rose 2.8% and transactions fell 1.0%.
  • Management kept full-year guidance unchanged despite beating quarterly sales and earnings expectations.

The Home Depot, Inc. delivered a clean second-quarter sales beat. Its margin bridge was less tidy. A $685 million tariff refund lifted gross margin by 145 basis points, masking roughly 120 basis points of pressure from other costs and acquisitions.

Stock chart for NYSE:HD

That timing benefit matters more than the headline beat. Management expects the refund to be fully offset by unplanned costs this year. It also expects some second-quarter benefit to reverse in the third quarter.

Sales rose 5.7% to $47.86 billion. Comparable sales grew just 1.7%, leaving a four-point gap supplied by acquisitions, new stores and other non-comparable growth. Adjusted earnings reached $4.92 a share, above the $4.73 analyst estimate reported by Reuters.

Q2 measure20262025Change
Sales$47.86bn$45.28bn+5.7%
Comparable sales+1.7%
Net earnings$4.77bn$4.55bn+4.7%
Adjusted EPS$4.92$4.68+5.1%
Adjusted operating margin14.7%14.8%-10 bps
Fiscal second quarter ended August 2, 2026. Source: Home Depot Q2 release.

Chief Financial Officer Richard McPhail said, “Our second quarter results exceeded our expectations.” Customers kept tackling smaller projects, while expensive financed work stayed weak. Housing turnover remains near historic lows.

The sales mix shows that strain. Comparable transactions fell 1.0%, but average ticket increased 2.8% to $92.50. Inflation and larger professional orders carried more weight than customer traffic.

Q2 gross-margin bridgeImpact
IEEPA tariff refund+145 bps
Unplanned fuel, energy and product costs-60 bps
Acquisition mix-60 bps
Reported year-on-year change+25 bps
The refund reduced cost of goods sold by $685 million. Another $45 million remained in inventory. Source: company transcript.

Professional customers remain the stronger lane. Home Depot said 90% of its stores closed an SRS-facilitated sale through QuoteCenter during the past year. It expects SRS organic sales to rise at a mid-single-digit rate in fiscal 2026.

That integration can widen Home Depot’s lead in complex jobs. Yet it also adds lower-margin revenue. The acquisition mix alone cut second-quarter gross margin by 60 basis points.

Q2 comparisonHome DepotLowe’s
Sales$47.86bn$25.96bn
Comparable sales+1.7%+0.2%
Adjusted / diluted EPS$4.92 adjusted$4.27 diluted
Full-year comp outlook0% to +2%About flat
Lowe’s Companies, Inc. reduced its annual comparable-sales outlook after missing quarterly sales estimates. Sources: Home Depot and Reuters on Lowe’s.

Home Depot reaffirmed fiscal-year sales growth of 2.5% to 4.5%. It kept comparable-sales guidance at flat to 2% growth. Adjusted EPS should range from flat to 4% growth.

The shares closed Wednesday at $344.30, up 2.02%. That leaves 8.6% upside to the $374.06 consensus target. The dispersion is wide, however.

AnalystRatingTargetLatest action
TD CowenBuy$410Reiterated, Aug. 19
TruistBuy$373Raised from $369, Aug. 19
RBC CapitalSector Perform$342Lowered from $343, Aug. 19
Wells FargoBuy$400Aug. 11
BernsteinHold$344Aug. 12
Recent published recommendations. Sources: TD Cowen, Truist, RBC Capital, and consensus data.

RBC’s caution captures the debate. It said the quarter would have disappointed without lumber inflation and the refund. TD Cowen instead cited stronger comps and an easier second-half setup.

Risks: Housing turnover could stay depressed, while tariff, fuel and product costs squeeze margins. Faster professional growth may lift sales but dilute profitability.

The next test is margin quality. Investors need stronger traffic or sustained pro volumes once the refund benefit fades. The second-quarter beat bought time, not certainty.

NYSE:HD · Q2 FY2026

The beat came with a margin clock

Market data: $344.30 close
August 19, 2026, 4:00 p.m. EDT
U.S. market closed at timestamp

Q2 sales
$47.86B
+5.7% YoY · $0.59B above consensus
Comparable sales
+1.7%
U.S. comparable sales: +1.3%
Adjusted EPS
$4.92
$0.19 above the $4.73 estimate
Analyst consensus
$374.06
+8.6% implied from the August 19 close

Gross-margin bridge: the 25 bp gain was timing-heavy

050100150 +145Tariff refund −60Input costs −60Acquisition mix +25Reported

The $685 million refund added 145 basis points. Management expects unplanned costs to offset the refund across the full year.

Growth quality

Total salesAverage ticketTransactions +5.7% +2.8% −1.0% −1%02%4%6%

Ticket carried comparable growth. Traffic still fell, while acquisitions and new stores widened the gap between total and comparable sales.

Home Depot held the stronger line

Q2Home DepotLowe's
Sales$47.86B$25.96B
Comp sales+1.7%+0.2%
FY comp guide0% to +2%About flat
Guide actionReaffirmedCut

Analyst map after earnings

17 Strong Buy4 Buy15 Hold $374.06 avg.$310 low$430 high
21 bullish15 neutral0 sell
Investor read: pro demand and SRS integration support the top line, but the quality of the next margin print matters more. The Q2 refund covered an otherwise negative 120-basis-point bridge.
HousingTurnover remains near historic lows, limiting large financed projects.
CostsFuel, energy and product costs may reverse the refund benefit.
MixFaster pro and acquired revenue can lift sales while diluting margin.
Shan Ahmed Khan

Shan Ahmed Khan is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech. His coverage ranges from stocks and technology to economic developments across global markets. He worked in investment research and market analysis before becoming a financial journalist and is a graduate of the Lahore University of Management Sciences (LUMS).

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