London, Feb 7, 2026, 19:55 GMT — Market’s done for the day.
- HSBC finished Friday at £13.06, up 2.2%, coming off a volatile stretch for UK banks.
- With HSBC’s annual results coming up later this month, traders are juggling a heavy data calendar and speculating about the pace of Bank of England rate cuts.
HSBC (HSBA.L) finished Friday’s session 2.2% higher, closing at 1,305.8 pence. That bounce wiped out Thursday’s 2.3% fall, as sentiment on UK rate cuts appeared to find some footing ahead of the coming week. 1
The Bank of England’s split decision, and the signals it’s sending, have driven the latest market moves. “They have tweaked the cautious easing guidance by scrapping reference to a gradual downward path of the bank rate,” said Elias Haddad, senior markets strategist at Brown Brothers Harriman. Over at MUFG, senior currency analyst Lee Hardman put it this way: it “certainly looks like we could get a cut as early as the next policy meeting.” 2
The question of timing is key for banks, since it directly affects their net interest margin—the difference between what they make on loans and what they pay out on deposits. The BoE’s Monetary Policy Report projected inflation returning to the 2% target from April, and said Bank Rate “likely to be reduced further,” though the exact timing will hinge on how inflation shapes up. 3
London’s market put in a stronger showing Friday. The FTSE 100 added 0.6%. Banks—Lloyds, NatWest, and Barclays—posted gains of 0.9% to 2.8%, enough to counter losses in other parts of the index. 4
HSBC’s own overhaul continues, even as rate talk swirls. Chief Executive Georges Elhedery is steering a cost and culture reset, and Bloomberg says the bank is about to deal out minimal or no bonuses to some bankers. Management plans to cut loose those falling short after bonus season in the next few weeks, aiming to align pay with Wall Street-style performance standards. 5
That’s become a sticking point for the stock, as investors keep wrestling with the overhaul’s real impact on profitability—and just how much turbulence it kicks up along the way. Cracking down on pay trims expenses, sure, but it can also rattle teams, risking a dip in deal activity when timing couldn’t be worse.
Macro risks are back in focus for the upcoming session. S&P Global flagged a shift: delayed U.S. labor market numbers will hit on Feb. 11. U.S. inflation data lands Feb. 13. The UK and the euro zone are both set for GDP releases in the same week—any of which could jolt rate bets or bank stocks. 6
The risk is clear enough—should inflation prove stubborn or wage gains pick up again, markets could just as quickly yank back the rate-cut expectations that have been a boost for banks this year. Flipside: speedier cuts would tighten lending margins, and slower growth could uncover vulnerabilities in credit.
HSBC’s next big event: its annual results. The bank is on deck to report for 2025 on Feb. 25, dropping numbers at 4 a.m. GMT. Investors and analysts get their session at 7:45 a.m. GMT. 7
Next up for the HSBC share price: that release. Traders want specifics around what’s powering earnings, the cost side, capital returns — plus, a read on how soon management expects lower rates to hit net interest income, the boring-but-crucial spread business that keeps most of the lights on.
