Sydney, January 29, 2026, 16:48 AEDT — The market has closed.
- Lynas Rare Earths dropped 3.8% following a Washington policy report that shook up rare earth stocks.
- The stock dropped over 11% at its lowest before bouncing back by the close.
- Traders await clarity on U.S. policy and the RBA’s decision due next week.
Lynas Rare Earths (LYC.AX) finished Thursday in the red following U.S. policy news that weighed on rare-earth stocks. The shares dropped 3.83%, closing at A$15.58, after dipping as low as A$14.32 during the session. 1
This shift is significant as investors have bet on rare earth producers, expecting Western governments to boost efforts in securing supply chains beyond China. A “price floor” has been floated as a possible measure — a minimum price guarantee aimed at dampening price volatility that could otherwise stall project financing.
Even major producers can behave like fledgling ventures when support wavers. The sector, lightly covered and heavily influenced by policy, often sees sudden jumps on breaking news.
A Reuters report claimed senior Trump administration officials told industry leaders that Washington was backing off plans to guarantee minimum prices for U.S. critical-minerals projects, pointing to funding and pricing challenges. The Energy Department quickly labeled the report “false.” MP Materials confirmed its contract remains unchanged, while a Lynas spokesperson noted the company had already benefited from earlier policies that boosted rare earth prices. Canaccord analyst Reg Spencer described the recent sell-off as “overdone.” 2
In Australia, the selloff hit wide, dragging down rare earth stocks like Arafura Rare Earths and Dateline Resources, according to market commentary during the session. 3
For investors, the pressing issue isn’t Lynas’ day-to-day operations but the broader policy landscape: will Washington stick with price guarantees, or pivot toward tools like stockpiling, equity stakes, and procurement mandates? This matters—rare earth prices can swing quickly when supply tightens, and these projects rely on steady cash flows.
Lynas stands out as one of the rare-earth producers operating at scale beyond China. Its mining site is Mt Weld in Western Australia, while processing happens both in Australia and Malaysia. The company sells rare earth products used in permanent magnets, which are key components in electric motors and various electronics. 4
The downside scenario is straightforward. Should the U.S. pull back on price guarantees without offering a clear alternative, the policy premium on rare earth stocks could vanish fast, even if demand remains steady.
The rebound into the close works both ways: if Washington clarifies its position, or if investors judge other support measures equally effective, today’s drop might be fleeting. That would push Lynas back to trading on rare earth prices and how well it can maintain its processing flow.
As the market remains closed, attention shifts to next week’s key events: potential updates from U.S. agencies handling critical minerals policy, and the Reserve Bank of Australia’s Feb. 2–3 monetary policy meeting. 5
