NEW YORK, February 5, 2026, 03:39 (EST)
Meta Platforms (META) shares dropped 3.3% on Wednesday, hitting a low of $667.46 before settling near $669. 1
Investors are growing uneasy over how much cash top tech firms are sinking into AI infrastructure, with Meta’s spending plan now under the microscope. Needham senior analyst Laura Martin labeled the stock “priced for perfection” in an interview, warning it could slide 10% to 15% if growth targets slip. Needham also projects Meta’s operating margins—profit from core operations—may fall from about 40% in 2025 to the low 30% range in 2026. Meanwhile, Martin noted that ad-tech rivals like Alphabet, The Trade Desk, and Magnite have reported solid results. 2
Meta is juggling two priorities: accelerating ad growth while ramping up AI capabilities, a move that could weigh on margins. Lately, that balancing act has shifted from abstract to tangible.
Since closing on Jan. 29, the day after its quarterly earnings release, Meta’s stock has dropped roughly 10%, reports Motley Fool. Over that same period, the Nasdaq Composite fell about 3.5%. The outlet notes that Meta trades around 28 times earnings, a P/E ratio suggesting limited margin for error. 3
Meta reported fourth-quarter revenue increased 24% to $59.89 billion, with diluted EPS hitting $8.88. Ad impressions climbed 18%, while the average price per ad rose 6%. The company projected first-quarter revenue between $53.5 billion and $56.5 billion. For 2026, expenses are expected to range from $162 billion to $169 billion. Capital expenditures, primarily on data centers and equipment, are forecasted at $115 billion to $135 billion, up sharply from $72.22 billion in 2025. “We had strong business performance in 2025,” CEO Mark Zuckerberg said. “I’m looking forward to advancing personal superintelligence for people around the world in 2026.” 4
The surge in spending is where the tension lies: once major projects and hiring ramp up, rolling them back isn’t easy. Investors are looking for proof that the AI push will boost ad sales quickly enough to justify the higher expenses.
Meta isn’t questioning its ability to spend. The real issue is if the returns will appear within quarters rather than years, all while expectations remain elevated.
Regulation remains a key wild card. India’s Supreme Court signaled it might reinstate restrictions on WhatsApp’s sharing of user data with other Meta companies. This comes as the court reviews an appeal in an antitrust case that has already led to a $25.4 million fine and a five-year ban on data sharing for advertising, according to two lawyers in court. Chief Justice Surya Kant described WhatsApp’s privacy policy as “very cleverly designed to mislead users,” the lawyers said. 5
The next checkpoint arrives with first-quarter results, revealing whether spending has peaked or if the company is still accelerating. For now, Meta’s stock reflects a market braced for few surprises.
