MongoDB stock plunges after forecast miss; analysts slash targets before Morgan Stanley conference

MongoDB stock plunges after forecast miss; analysts slash targets before Morgan Stanley conference

New York, March 3, 2026, 17:10 EST — Trading after the bell.

  • MongoDB shares slid roughly 22%, with the company’s outlook falling short of expectations.
  • Atlas, the cloud database arm, drew attention from investors watching for any uptick linked to AI demand.
  • CEO CJ Desai and CFO Mike Berry will appear at a Morgan Stanley conference this Wednesday.

MongoDB, Inc. dropped roughly 22% to $252.73 in Tuesday’s after-hours action, deepening a sharp decline that had earlier dragged the stock down to $229.61.

Shares slid after the company posted a quarterly beat, though its outlook left investors wary about short-term earnings. Leadership shakeups—senior go-to-market exits and an incoming customer chief—threw more uncertainty into the mix for those sizing up next quarter’s performance.

U.S. stocks stumbled, with the Invesco QQQ Trust slipping roughly 1% and the SPDR S&P 500 ETF dropping about 0.9%. But the hit to MongoDB was sharper, drawing attention against that backdrop.

MongoDB reported a 27% jump in fourth-quarter revenue, hitting $695.1 million, according to a filing. Adjusted earnings came in at $1.65 per share, which factors out costs like stock-based compensation. CEO CJ Desai described the quarter as “strong” and highlighted the company’s “rule of 40” performance—a benchmark for balancing growth with profitability. SEC

MongoDB’s Atlas cloud database, often viewed by investors as crucial for AI-driven workloads, posted a 29% increase for the quarter—just below the growth seen in the previous period, Reuters said. UBS analysts noted the firm offered no clear reason for Atlas’s slower gains. Barclays analysts cautioned, “in this tape, investors don’t have a lot of patience.” Reuters

Robert W. Baird lowered its rating on MongoDB, moving the stock to neutral and slashing the target price to $260 from $500. The firm pointed to worries over Atlas growth.

Some analysts eased up by lowering their price targets but stuck with their buy ratings. Mike Cikos at Needham, Blair Abernethy from Rosenblatt, and Cantor Fitzgerald’s Thomas Blakey kept their positive stance. Patrick Colville at Scotiabank, though, opted to “stay on the sidelines as expectations reset.” Benzinga

MongoDB’s earnings miss took a toll on cloud-software sentiment. Snowflake slid roughly 2.7%, while Okta dropped about 2.0%. The broader market, by comparison, saw only modest declines.

But right now, visibility is just as much in focus as growth. During the earnings call, CFO Mike Berry called it “a consumption business” and acknowledged, “it is harder to forecast the back half of the year”—remarks that can rattle investors, especially when expectations remain elevated. Investing.com

Management heads to the Morgan Stanley Technology, Media & Telecom Conference on Wednesday, March 4, at 11:30 a.m. ET. Investors are circling for updates on Atlas demand, what’s behind the latest outlook assumptions, and where the search for a new chief revenue officer stands.

Khadija Saeed

Khadija Saeed is a financial markets reporter at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, technology and emerging industries. She studied economics and finance at the London School of Economics and previously worked in market research before moving into financial journalism. Her coverage focuses on the companies, innovations and economic trends influencing global investors. Follow Khadija Saeed on Google News.

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