Morgan Stanley stock heads into earnings week: CPI, big-bank results and what could move MS

Morgan Stanley stock heads into earnings week: CPI, big-bank results and what could move MS

New York, January 11, 2026, 11:48 EST — Market closed.

  • Morgan Stanley shares ended the day up 0.9% at $186.32, gearing up for a packed week of bank earnings and key U.S. economic reports.
  • The bank is set to release its fourth-quarter results on Thursday, as traders focus closely on investment banking and wealth management performance.
  • Tuesday’s December U.S. inflation figures may reshape rate forecasts and jolt financial stocks.

Morgan Stanley shares closed Friday 0.9% higher at $186.32. With U.S. markets closed for the weekend, attention now shifts to a packed schedule of bank earnings and upcoming inflation reports.

Why it matters now: U.S. earnings season kicks off this week with the big banks leading the charge. JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley are set to report, as investors hunt for insights on dealmaking, trading, and client activity following a solid rally in bank shares.

Inflation remains a key swing factor. The Labor Department is set to unveil December’s consumer price data Tuesday, a report capable of jolting Treasury yields and shifting bets on the Fed’s next rate moves. (Bureau of Labor Statistics)

Morgan Stanley plans to release its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results on Thursday, Jan. 15. The announcement is scheduled for about 7:30 a.m. ET, followed by a conference call at 8:30 a.m. ET. (Morgan Stanley)

Morgan Stanley’s stock usually draws attention away from straightforward lending, zeroing in instead on capital-markets fees, trading results, and wealth management inflows. Investors are also keen to catch any shifts in the tone around net interest income — the difference between what the bank earns on loans and securities and what it pays out on deposits.

An Investing.com preview estimated Morgan Stanley’s quarterly profit at $2.41 per share on revenue hitting $17.72 billion. Options pricing suggested traders expect roughly a 4.2% move in either direction following the report, reflecting the anticipated volatility.

Some portfolio managers are growing cautious about the level of optimism baked into the trade. “The growth trajectory is pretty positive here,” Cheryl Pate, senior portfolio manager at Angel Oak Capital Advisors, told The Business Times, noting that how companies allocate spending can be just as important as their revenue.

But there’s a clear snag. A CPI report hotter than expected could push yields higher and unsettle stocks, despite the idea that rising rates might boost banks’ lending profits down the line. The initial big bank earnings often shift the outlook sharply — any surprises in guidance, expenses, or deal activity can sting, especially with valuations already elevated.

Tuesday at 8:30 a.m. Eastern brings the CPI report. Then, Morgan Stanley is set to release earnings Thursday ahead of the open. (Bureau of Labor Statistics)

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