Ondas Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: ONDS) is ending 2025 with the kind of price action that makes both momentum traders and risk managers reach for coffee: big swings, big volume, and a rapid-fire stream of defense-and-autonomy headlines.
After closing at $8.96 on Dec. 23, ONDS was indicated around $9.04 in early premarket trading on Dec. 24 (quotes delayed), underscoring how quickly sentiment has been shifting in the final stretch of the year. [1]
What’s pulling attention isn’t just the tape. Ondas has been stitching together a multi-domain autonomy portfolio—counter-drone, autonomous aerial systems, and now ground robotics—while also navigating share-structure moves and a surge in insider-trading headlines. Here’s what matters most for investors following Ondas Holdings stock on 24.12.2025.
Where ONDS stock stands on Dec. 24, 2025: volatility is the point, not the exception
ONDS has been trading in a notably wide band over the past year, with a 52-week range of $0.57 to $11.70 and a reported one-year change of ~343.56% (figures vary slightly by data vendor). [2]
Daily trading has also been heavy. Recent sessions show volumes in the tens of millions, including ~65.4M shares on Dec. 23 and ~125.8M on Dec. 19, which is not typical “quiet holiday week” behavior. [3]
That combination—wide range + huge liquidity—usually means the market is continuously repricing a story, not calmly compounding a mature business.
The big reason ONDS is in the spotlight: Ondas is building a layered counter-UAS + autonomy platform
Ondas describes itself as operating through multiple business units, including Ondas Autonomous Systems (OAS) and Ondas Networks, with OAS spanning autonomous drones and counter-drone technologies across several subsidiaries. [4]
A key theme across late-2025 announcements is “layered” defense: detect, track, take over (cyber), and—if needed—intercept (kinetic). In November, Ondas said it completed its acquisition of Sentrycs, which it calls a leader in “Cyber-over-RF” / protocol-manipulation counter-UAS technology, and noted Sentrycs had deployments across 25+ countries and “approximately 200” deployments. [5]
Ondas also highlights the integration of Sentrycs with platforms like Iron Drone Raider as part of a broader system-of-systems approach. [6]
Current Ondas Holdings news as of 24.12.2025: the December headline stack
1) Institutional buying headlines: Squarepoint Ops boosts stake
A MarketBeat item dated Dec. 24, 2025 reported that Squarepoint Ops LLC increased its ONDS stake significantly in Q2, ending with 356,421 shares valued around $684,000 (as stated in the report). [7]
Institutional position changes don’t automatically equal a thesis—but they do add oxygen to a stock already trading like a headline machine.
2) Insider-trading headlines: multiple Form 4–style stories hit the wires
One Investing.com insider-trading report (published late Dec. 23) stated that director Richard M. Cohen sold 24,814 shares on Dec. 22, 2025 at $9.48 for roughly $245,162, and also received 64,855 shares via RSU vesting at $0. [8]
Additional wire items on Dec. 24 also flagged insider sales by other executives, including the CFO (per Investing.com), though investors should treat these as context rather than a verdict—insider activity can reflect diversification, tax planning, or scheduled sales as much as conviction. [9]
MarketBeat’s Dec. 24 summary also referenced notable insider selling activity over the last quarter (as aggregated in that report). [10]
3) Roboteam acquisition completed: Ondas expands into rugged ground robotics
Ondas announced on Dec. 17, 2025 that it completed the acquisition of Roboteam, describing Roboteam as a maker of rugged tactical unmanned ground vehicles used for missions including EOD and ISR, deployed by defense and security forces in 30+ countries, including the U.S. Marine Corps and Israeli Ministry of Defense (as cited by Ondas). [11]
This matters because it turns Ondas into something closer to a “multi-domain” autonomy stack: aerial + counter-UAS + ground robotics, rather than just “a drone company.”
4) Share-structure news: OAS exchange agreements + expected non-cash charge
A Form 8‑K dated Dec. 17, 2025 disclosed exchange agreements involving Ondas Autonomous Systems (OAS) interests being converted into Ondas Holdings common stock. The filing states Ondas issued 5,299,482 shares on Dec. 17 and expects to issue ~2,389,203 additional shares on Jan. 5, 2026, and that it expects a one-time, non-cash charge of ~ $56.6 million in Q4 2025 related to the exchange. [12]
For shareholders, this is one of those “watch the fine print” moments: even if non-cash, it can influence reported results, and the incremental shares can affect dilution and trading dynamics.
5) Europe industrial scale narrative: HEIDELBERG cooperation talks
Ondas announced that its autonomous systems unit and Heidelberger Druckmaschinen AG (HEIDELBERG) entered into negotiations on establishing a cooperation, framing it as a way to support trusted, locally produced autonomous defense and security systems in Europe. [13]
The broader backdrop here is that European industrial capacity and local production are becoming part of defense procurement logic—especially for NATO/EU-aligned buying cycles.
6) “Thousands of drones” border-protection tender win
Ondas’ website described OAS being selected as prime contractor for a major government program to develop and deploy an autonomous border-protection system expected to culminate in thousands of autonomous drones, with an initial purchase order anticipated in January 2026 (per Ondas). [14]
7) Airport counter-UAS orders: repeat business at $8.2M scale
Ondas said on Dec. 1, 2025 it secured an additional ~$8.2 million counter-UAS order for multiple Iron Drone Raider systems to protect another major European international airport, noting it followed a previous $8.2 million order announced Nov. 17, 2025 from the same governmental customer. [15]
8) Ukraine tech pipeline: intent to invest up to $11M in Drone Fight Group
Ondas said on Dec. 8, 2025 it intended to invest up to $11 million in Drone Fight Group (DFG), describing it as a Ukrainian developer of unmanned aerial systems, via its strategic investment platform Ondas Capital. [16]
9) Demining pilot: AI-enabled hazard identification results
Ondas and Safe Pro Group reported on Dec. 18, 2025 the completion of an eight-week Middle East pilot (in Israel, per the release) that used AI analysis of aerial imagery to identify explosive hazards across 22+ acres, reporting nearly 150 hazardous items/indicators, including ~60 confirmed landmines and UXO. [17]
10) Leadership scale-up: new COO role for retired Brig. Gen. Patrick Huston
Ondas announced on Dec. 18, 2025 that retired Brigadier General Patrick Huston expanded responsibilities into a newly created Chief Operating Officer role, while continuing as General Counsel, with a mandate focused on scaling operations and integrating acquisitions. [18]
11) Board change: Ron Stern resignation (not due to disagreement)
Ondas filed that director Ron Stern resigned effective Dec. 12, 2025, and that the resignation was not due to disagreement with the company. [19]
Ondas financial performance: what the company last reported (Q3 2025)
In its Q3 2025 release, Ondas reported:
- Revenue of $10.1M, up 582% from $1.5M in Q3 2024
- Gross profit $2.6M and gross margin 26%
- Consolidated backlog of $23.3M at the end of Q3 2025
- Cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash of $433.4M as of Sept. 30, 2025, and pro forma cash ~ $840.4M after an Oct. 7 equity raise (as described in the release) [20]
The same release also raised Ondas’ 2025 revenue expectation to at least $36M and set a preliminary 2026 revenue target of at least $110M. [21]
These are big numbers relative to where the company was a year ago—but they’re also the kind of targets that put execution under a microscope.
ONDS stock forecasts and analyst price targets: what Wall Street is projecting
Analyst “forecasts” around ONDS fall into two buckets:
1) Wall Street targets and ratings
- MarketBeat lists ONDS with a “Moderate Buy” consensus rating and an average 12‑month price target of $10.43 (high $13.00, low $4.00), based on the most recent ratings it tracks. [22]
- Stifel initiated coverage with a Buy rating and $13.00 price target, describing a “generational inflection point” for military drones and framing Ondas as positioned to benefit (per the published report summary). [23]
- Fintel lists an average one-year price target of $11.73 (low $10.10, high $13.65) and also publishes model-based projections. [24]
- Zacks also publishes a separate summary page indicating an average price target around $11.29 from seven analysts (per its page snippet). [25]
- Investing.com consensus estimates page cites an average 12‑month price target of 11.5 from 8 analysts (high 13, low 10). [26]
Taken together, the “mainstream” target range clustering in the low double-digits is basically the market saying: the story can keep working—but it needs continued contract wins and clean integration to justify it.
2) Company targets (not the same thing as analyst estimates)
Ondas’ own outlook (at least $36M revenue in 2025 and $110M preliminary target for 2026) is a corporate target, not a consensus estimate, and should be read as management’s directional roadmap. [27]
“Analysis” drivers on Dec. 24, 2025: what narratives are shaping coverage
A few themes keep repeating across the day’s coverage stack:
- Counter-UAS demand as a catalyst. Zacks ran a Dec. 24 item explicitly framing Ondas’ counter-UAS push as a growth catalyst (headline-level confirmation, even if you don’t buy the conclusion). [28]
- Aerospace/defense leadership in 2025. Investor’s Business Daily highlighted Ondas among 2025’s surprise defense stock leaders, pointing to sharp share gains and strong reported Q3 growth and backlog figures as part of the narrative. [29]
- Scale and localization in Europe. The HEIDELBERG cooperation discussions feed a broader European theme: production capacity, procurement requirements, and the push for domestically supported supply chains. [30]
What investors are watching next: near-term ONDS catalysts into early 2026
- January 2026 border-program purchase order
Ondas has said it expects an initial purchase order in January 2026 tied to the border-protection tender win. Confirmation here would be a major “real contract, real dollars” checkpoint. [31] - Deployment pace for European airport counter-UAS
The repeat $8.2M order cadence suggests momentum, but investors will want to see delivery schedules and follow-on demand. [32] - Acquisition integration
Roboteam (ground robotics) and Sentrycs (counter-UAS cyber layer) widen the portfolio; the question is whether integration improves sales velocity and margins—or just adds complexity. [33] - Share issuance and resale mechanics
The Dec. 17 exchange disclosed more shares issued/expected (including Jan. 5, 2026 issuance) and referenced resale registration mechanics—details that can matter for liquidity and volatility. [34]
The risks that come with the upside: what can break the ONDS thesis
- Execution risk on government programs: big tenders and defense-style rollouts are milestones-heavy and timing-sensitive. [35]
- Dilution and structure complexity: additional shares, exchange agreements, and acquisition financing dynamics can alter per-share outcomes even when the business grows. [36]
- Volatility as a feature, not a bug: a $0.57 to $11.70 year range is a reminder that this is a “risk-on” equity where sentiment shifts fast. [37]
Bottom line on Ondas Holdings (ONDS) stock on Dec. 24, 2025
Ondas isn’t trading like a sleepy mid-cap. It’s trading like a company trying to assemble a defense autonomy platform in real time, with acquisitions, partnerships, and contract headlines arriving fast enough to keep the market in a constant re-pricing loop.
As of 24.12.2025, the story investors are buying (or trading) is clear: layered counter-UAS + autonomous systems, pushed into Europe and allied markets, with management projecting rapid revenue growth. [38]
The story investors are worried about is also clear: execution + dilution + volatility—and whether the next set of milestones (especially the January 2026 border-program purchase order) shows up on schedule. [39]
References
1. www.marketwatch.com, 2. www.investing.com, 3. stockanalysis.com, 4. ir.ondas.com, 5. ir.ondas.com, 6. ir.ondas.com, 7. www.marketbeat.com, 8. www.investing.com, 9. www.investing.com, 10. www.marketbeat.com, 11. ir.ondas.com, 12. www.stocktitan.net, 13. ir.ondas.com, 14. www.ondas.com, 15. ir.ondas.com, 16. ir.ondas.com, 17. ir.ondas.com, 18. ir.ondas.com, 19. ir.ondas.com, 20. ir.ondas.com, 21. ir.ondas.com, 22. www.marketbeat.com, 23. www.investing.com, 24. fintel.io, 25. www.zacks.com, 26. www.investing.com, 27. ir.ondas.com, 28. www.zacks.com, 29. www.investors.com, 30. ir.ondas.com, 31. www.ondas.com, 32. ir.ondas.com, 33. ir.ondas.com, 34. www.stocktitan.net, 35. www.ondas.com, 36. www.stocktitan.net, 37. www.investing.com, 38. ir.ondas.com, 39. www.ondas.com
