NEW YORK, Jan 2, 2026, 13:04 ET — Regular session
PayPal Holdings (PYPL) shares fell about 0.6% to $58.01 in midday trading on Friday, after moving between $57.67 and $59.19. The stock’s market value stood near $64.1 billion, and it traded at about 13 times earnings, based on LSEG market data.
The first trading day of 2026 is giving investors an early read on risk appetite after choppy year-end trading, and PayPal tends to move with sentiment around consumer spending and digital commerce.
Attention is shifting quickly to next week’s U.S. economic calendar, with the monthly jobs report due Jan. 9 and consumer price index data due Jan. 13, as investors reassess the Federal Reserve’s rate path after cuts at the last three policy meetings of 2025. “The market is looking for direction,” said Matthew Maley, chief market strategist at Miller Tabak.
Broader U.S. stocks opened the year on a firmer footing, with technology shares rebounding after a late-December slide, Reuters reported. Investors also noted the absence of a “Santa Claus rally,” a seasonal pattern in which stocks often rise in the last five trading days of December and the first two of January.
In payments, several large peers were lower. Visa was down about 1.1% and Mastercard fell about 1.3%, while buy-now, pay-later provider Affirm slid about 0.6%.
For PayPal, the day’s move did not appear tied to an immediately obvious company-specific catalyst, leaving the shares to track shifting expectations for rates and consumer activity.
That link matters because payments companies are exposed to the pace of spending, while their valuations can also be sensitive to where investors think interest rates are headed.
The next clear company checkpoint is PayPal’s quarterly report, which investors expect in early February. Nasdaq’s earnings calendar lists Feb. 3 as an estimated date and says it is generated by an algorithm, while PayPal’s investor relations events page does not show a confirmed earnings date. 1
On PayPal’s last earnings call in October, executives told investors they planned to detail more of the company’s 2026 plan on a February earnings call. 2
When that update comes, investors are likely to focus on PayPal’s “branded checkout” business — the PayPal button at online checkout — along with Venmo engagement and monetization.
They will also watch PayPal’s transaction margin, a measure of how much the company keeps from processing payments after funding costs and incentives, as a read on pricing power.
Until then, traders said macro data — especially labor and inflation prints that can reset rate expectations — is likely to remain the main driver for PayPal and other U.S.-listed payments names.
