Ripple’s XRP is ending the first week of December 2025 in a paradoxical place: price stuck just above $2, sentiment in “extreme fear”, yet fundamentals arguably stronger than at any time in the project’s history. Between a $1 billion acquisition, near‑$1B in spot ETF assets, and new payment rails into Africa, the gap between adoption and price has rarely been this wide. [1]
This article rounds up and explains the key XRP news, forecasts and analyses published between 5–7 December 2025, and what they may mean for the next leg of the Ripple story.
1. XRP price snapshot: $2 floor holds as selling pressure dominates
Across the week leading into 7 December 2025, XRP has mostly traded in a tight band between $2.00 and $2.20. Data from Paybis’ seven‑day history shows XRP at roughly $2.04 on 7 December, down from around $2.20 on 4 December, reflecting a choppy, downward‑tilting range rather than a full‑blown crash. [2]
News and analysis around 5–7 December broadly agree on three points:
- Trend: XRP is stuck in a descending channel, with each bounce sold into lower highs. [3]
- Support: The $2.00 zone is viewed almost universally as the line in the sand; multiple analysts flag follow‑through downside toward $1.93–$1.95 or even $1.72–$1.83 if this level gives way. [4]
- Resistance: Near‑term resistance is clustered at $2.20–$2.40, with $2.28 – a key Fibonacci level – singled out as the breakout point that could flip the current bearish structure. [5]
In other words, bears still control the tape, but they’re pushing against a very visible psychological and technical floor.
2. Sentiment collapses to “extreme fear” – and that might be bullish
On 7 December, CoinDesk reported that social sentiment for XRP has plunged to “extreme fear”, with on‑chain and social‑media data showing traders at their most pessimistic since October. Historically, similar fear spikes have often preceded short‑term rebounds, though never on a guaranteed schedule. [6]
At the same time, a widely watched technical indicator is flashing a potential counter‑signal:
- A TD Sequential “9” buy setup has appeared near $2.09 on the weekly XRP/USD chart, suggesting trend exhaustion after the latest pullback, according to analysis published on 7 December by Brave New Coin. [7]
- As of 6 December, Brave New Coin notes XRP trading between $2.05 and $2.15, with the indicator highlighting a possible rebound zone – but only if confirmed by stronger volume and a close above nearby resistance. [8]
However, not all indicators agree that a bottom is in:
- A MEXC / 36Crypto forecast for 7 December stresses that XRP remains in a bearish descending channel, with the Supertrend and Parabolic SAR still pointing down and derivatives activity cooling – a combination the authors say signals fragile sentiment and weak conviction. [9]
Put simply: fear is extreme and buy signals are blinking – but the chart hasn’t confirmed a trend reversal yet.
3. Regulatory overhang is gone: SEC case finally in the rear-view mirror
A major reason analysts even can talk about long‑term institutional demand now is that the Ripple vs SEC case is over.
- The SEC’s own litigation release confirms that in August 2025, the Commission and Ripple filed a joint stipulation to dismiss their cross‑appeals, formally closing the enforcement action that began back in 2020. [10]
- The final judgment left in place a civil penalty and an injunction restricting Ripple from violating U.S. securities registration rules going forward, but the appeals were dropped. [11]
- A detailed November explainer from Capital.com emphasizes the case’s key takeaway for markets: XRP is not a security in secondary (retail) trading, while certain institutional sales were treated as securities offerings, giving both Ripple and exchanges long‑sought legal clarity. [12]
That clarity has opened the door to exactly what we’re now seeing in early December: spot XRP ETFs, bank partnerships and major corporate integrations.
4. Ripple’s $1B GTreasury acquisition: big finance meets on‑chain liquidity
On 5 December, Coinpaper published one of the week’s most important Ripple stories: Ripple has completed its $1 billion acquisition of GTreasury, a long‑standing treasury‑management platform for large corporates. [13]
Key details from that coverage:
- GTreasury’s footprint:
- Serves 800+ corporations across 160 countries.
- Connected to 13,000 financial institutions.
- Processes about $12.5 trillion in payments per year – as much as 15% of global cross‑border flows, by GTreasury’s own metrics. [14]
- What Ripple gains: The deal plugs Ripple’s crypto‑liquidity stack directly into the back‑office systems CFOs already use, letting them access on‑demand liquidity and real‑time settlement without having to manage crypto wallets. [15]
- Ecosystem build‑out: Coinpaper notes that GTreasury rounds out a 2025 acquisition spree that also included Rail, Palisade and Ripple Prime, giving Ripple an end‑to‑end institutional finance stack. [16]
An AI‑assisted analysis on AInvest, published 5 December, argues that this move could allow XRP‑backed liquidity to become part of standard corporate treasury workflows – particularly for 24/7 cross‑border payments and working‑capital optimization. [17]
Yet, ironically, the Coinpaper article points out that XRP traded near $2.07 on the day – about 4% lower on 24 hours and roughly 7.6% down over the week, significantly below its 2025 peak around $3.6. [18]
Translation: institutions are lining up; price, for now, is shrugging.
5. XRP spot ETFs sprint toward the $1B milestone
Another major December storyline is the surging demand for XRP exchange‑traded products:
- A Coinpedia / TradingView “XRP News LIVE” feed from 5 December reports that U.S. spot XRP ETFs have attracted about $881.25 million in assets since their mid‑November launch, with no outflow days and a streak of 13 consecutive daily inflows. [19]
- Brave New Coin adds that on 5 December alone, XRP spot ETFs took in roughly $12.84 million, pushing AUM to around $881 million and outpacing early inflow trajectories seen in some Bitcoin and Ethereum funds. [20]
- Coinpaper’s GTreasury coverage cites WisdomTree data showing European investors adding about $549 million to XRP products in 2025, with another $252 million outside the U.S., making XRP one of the few major assets with net institutional inflows in every region this year. [21]
- Within the U.S. market, TradingView notes that Canary Capital’s XRPC ETF has grown to over $336 million in AUM, eclipsing all other spot XRP ETFs combined. [22]
At the same time, a separate CoinPedia analysis (summarized via CoinStats) tempers expectations, quoting an expert who calls “purely ETF‑driven double‑digit XRP pricing unrealistic”, arguing that sustained value still depends on real settlement demand, enterprise adoption, and consistent volumes – not just easier access for traders. [23]
6. Remittances, Africa and RLUSD: real‑world payments get a boost
6.1. RedotPay and the “Send Crypto, Receive NGN” corridor
On 2 December (with follow‑up analysis and edits on 5 December), Coinpaper and several re‑posts highlighted a new partnership between Ripple and Hong Kong‑based fintech RedotPay:
- RedotPay has integrated Ripple Payments and launched a feature that lets users send cryptocurrencies like XRP, USDC, USDT, BTC, ETH and others, while recipients in Nigeria receive naira (NGN) directly in bank accounts within minutes. [24]
- The integration is explicitly positioned as an alternative to slow, expensive legacy remittance rails, where average fees can sit above 6% and settlement can take up to five business days. [25]
- RedotPay’s CEO, Michael Gao, describes the aim as making digital assets “feel like local currency” in everyday payments, rather than speculative bets. [26]
Ripple’s own press release, echoed by The Asian Banker, frames this as part of a wider expansion in Africa and high‑growth markets, following earlier work with players like Chipper Cash and Yellow Card. [27]
6.2. RLUSD stablecoin pushes into card payments with Mastercard and Gemini
Beyond remittances, Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin is slowly becoming a core piece of the stack:
- On 7 November, The Paypers reported a new pilot where Ripple collaborates with Mastercard, WebBank and Gemini to test RLUSD‑based settlement for the Gemini Credit Card, using the XRP Ledger as the settlement network. [28]
- RLUSD is issued under New York’s NYDFS trust charter and backed by cash and cash‑equivalent reserves, with more than $1 billion in circulation by late 2025, driven in part by usage in Ripple’s cross‑border services and DeFi venues. [29]
While this November news predates the 5–7 December window, it’s heavily referenced in early‑December coverage as context for why RLUSD keeps appearing in new remittance and corporate‑payment stories.
7. “Breakthrough year” retrospectives: 2025 as Ripple’s resurrection arc
On 5 December, InvestX published a long “year in review” article titled “Ripple in 2025: A breakthrough year for XRP”, translated that day into English and widely shared in XRP circles. [30]
The piece stitches together the macro narrative behind the week’s headlines:
- 2025 is framed as the year Ripple “killed the regulatory nightmare”, with the SEC case settled and appeals dropped, removing the biggest overhang on U.S. trading. [31]
- It credits the launch of spot XRP ETFs, RLUSD’s growth, rising real‑world asset (RWA) tokenization on XRPL, and a new EVM sidechain as pillars of a broader ecosystem expansion. [32]
- The article notes that after hitting a new high near $3.65 in July, XRP has retraced into a “healthy consolidation” around ~$2.10 as the year closes, which it interprets as institutional support rather than capitulation. [33]
Taken together with the week’s GTreasury, ETF and remittance headlines, early December commentary increasingly frames XRP as shifting from speculative altcoin to “plumbing” for institutional and retail payment flows – even if the market is currently reluctant to pay a higher price for that shift.
8. Short‑term XRP forecasts (5–7 December): three main camps
Between 5 and 7 December 2025, analysts and news desks published a flurry of near‑term price forecasts. Broadly, they fall into three camps.
8.1. Cautious‑bearish: downside risk if $2 fails
- A CoinPedia price prediction for 6 December highlights a multi‑month bearish divergence on higher timeframes and warns that XRP is “under pressure” after dropping more than 4% and hovering around $2.05. Key levels cited:
- Support: $2.00–$2.05, then $1.93–$1.95 if broken.
- Resistance: $2.20, then the $2.30–$2.40 zone. [34]
- The MEXC / 36Crypto forecast for 7 December echoes this, describing a market where sellers remain in control, spot inflows are weak and reactive, and derivatives volumes have slumped. It flags $2.15 and $2.39 as the resistance zone bulls must reclaim, and $1.83–$1.72 as the next supports if $2 breaks. [35]
8.2. Cautious‑bullish: buy zone forming above $2
- Brave New Coin’s 7 December analysis leans more constructive:
- The TD Sequential “9” near $2.09 is interpreted as a possible trend‑exhaustion buy signal.
- On‑chain data suggests whale accumulation between $1.80 and $2.00, reinforcing that zone as key support.
- Spot XRP ETFs are reported to have had 13 straight days of inflows, with AUM around $881 million, indicating sustained institutional interest despite the pullback. [36]
- Their base case: hold above $2.00 and reclaim $2.10, and a retest of $2.30–$2.40 becomes likely.
8.3. Hyper‑bullish scenarios and skepticism
The week also saw a couple of higher‑beta narratives circulate:
- A thought experiment from The Crypto Basic on 6 December models what might happen if 10 Fortune 500 companies added XRP to their balance sheets. It estimates that under an aggressive allocation assumption (trillions of dollars flowing into XRP), the token could, in theory, reach around $21 given the ~99.9 billion total supply. [37]
- In contrast, a CoinPedia piece highlighted via CoinStats quotes an expert saying “double‑digit XRP prices driven purely by ETFs are unrealistic”, emphasizing that utility, settlement demand and regulatory stability must do the heavy lifting for any sustained rerating. [38]
Add in late‑November coverage from Yahoo Finance, where AI‑based models and human analysts clustered XRP’s December 2025 target between roughly $2.02 and $2.85, and you get a picture of expectations anchored in the low‑single‑digits, with only scenario models stretching into double digits. [39]
9. How traders and long‑term holders might read this week
Nothing in crypto is guaranteed, but 5–7 December 2025 crystallize a few key themes for Ripple and XRP:
- Macro picture:
- Market structure:
- Price is range‑bound and fragile, with $2 as the battleground. Bears currently have the trend, but whale accumulation and ETF inflows are quietly building the case for a base. [42]
- Narrative tug‑of‑war:
- One camp sees XRP as undervalued infrastructure – the “pipes” for future cross‑border finance – and treats fear spikes as opportunity. [43]
- Another warns that even with spotless fundamentals, prices can stay depressed if broader crypto sentiment remains weak and macro conditions (like rates and liquidity) don’t improve. [44]
For now, the market seems to be saying: “Show me more.” More actual transaction volume over Ripple rails, more RLUSD usage in real‑world payment flows, and more evidence that corporates coming on via GTreasury are moving meaningful volumes – not just running pilots.
10. Key levels and storylines to watch after December 7
Looking beyond this news window, here are the factors many analysts and traders will be tracking:
- Price levels:
- Flows and adoption:
- Whether ETF inflows stay positive or start recording outflows once XRP products cross the $1B AUM mark. [47]
- The velocity and size of transactions across RedotPay’s Nigerian corridor and other Ripple‑powered remittance routes. [48]
- Early data from RLUSD settlement pilots with card networks and banks. [49]
- Regulation and macro:
- Whether the post‑lawsuit regulatory thaw in the U.S. continues, especially around token classification and stablecoins.
- Broader crypto‑market risk sentiment, still heavily anchored to Bitcoin price action and interest‑rate expectations.
If these pieces line up – strong $2 support, sustained ETF inflows, and visible real‑world settlement growth – early‑December’s “extreme fear” could be looked back on as just another shakeout after a huge year. If not, the downside scenarios sketched out by multiple desks below $2 will remain on the table.
Important disclaimer
This article is for information and news purposes only. It summarizes publicly available reporting and analyst commentary as of 7 December 2025 and does not constitute investment, trading or legal advice. Cryptocurrencies, including XRP, are highly volatile and can result in the loss of your entire investment. Always do your own research and consider speaking with a licensed financial professional before making financial decisions.
References
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