New York, Jan 15, 2026, 08:27 EST — Premarket
- Rocket Lab stock falls in premarket after KeyBanc cuts rating to “sector weight”
- The broker cited valuation and said key growth drivers are now widely understood
- Investors turn to the next catalyst: expected quarterly results later in February
Shares of Rocket Lab Corporation fell 2.2% to $89.81 in premarket trading on Thursday after KeyBanc Capital Markets downgraded the space company’s stock. 1
The downgrade lands after a sharp run that has pulled in momentum traders and put fresh focus on valuation in space and defense-linked names. It matters now because Rocket Lab’s stock has become sensitive to small shifts in the Wall Street narrative — “great execution” versus “already priced in.”
KeyBanc’s move also tests whether recent buyers stay put into the opening bell, or treat the note as an excuse to lock in gains after a volatile stretch.
KeyBanc downgraded Rocket Lab to “Sector Weight” from “Overweight” without setting a price target. In its note, the firm said the company’s multi-year growth catalysts “have become realized” and are now generally well known, adding that the stock’s risk/reward “appears balanced” in the near to medium term. 2
KeyBanc analyst Michael Leshock pointed to valuation rather than a change in Rocket Lab’s operations, TipRanks reported. The note argued that improved launch execution and the company’s expanding space systems business are now reflected in the share price. 3
“Sector weight” is a neutral call. In plain terms, it signals the broker expects the stock to perform roughly in line with peers, not meaningfully better.
Rocket Lab ended Wednesday at $91.80 after swinging between $84.50 and $92.19, with about 27.5 million shares traded, according to Yahoo Finance data. 4
Rocket Lab builds small satellites and components and runs the Electron rocket, a small-launch vehicle used for commercial and government missions. Investors are also watching the company’s larger Neutron rocket program, which many see as central to its longer-term growth story.
Defense spending has been a key backdrop. In December, the U.S. Space Development Agency placed contracts totaling about $3.5 billion for 72 missile-tracking satellites, with Rocket Lab among the awardees alongside Lockheed Martin, L3Harris and Northrop Grumman, Reuters reported. 5
But the trade can turn fast. Rocket Lab’s shares have shown wide daily ranges, and any stumble — a delayed milestone, a launch disruption, or a pause in government ordering — could hit a stock that is now priced for steady progress.
Traders will watch whether other brokerages follow KeyBanc with rating or target changes, and whether Rocket Lab offers fresh commentary on demand and execution as results near. The company is expected to report quarterly earnings around Feb. 26, according to Zacks’ earnings calendar. 6
