Rubrik Shares Drop 6.7% Even as Revenue Jumps 38% and Forecast Rises

Rubrik Shares Drop 6.7% Even as Revenue Jumps 38% and Forecast Rises

PALO ALTO, California, August 28, 2026, 07:11 (EDT) — Shares in Rubrik slipped 6.7%, after the company posted 38% revenue growth and lifted its guidance.

  • Rubrik stock dropped 6.7% to $99.84 in premarket trade as of 06:44 EDT.
  • Fiscal second-quarter revenue climbed 38% to $427.3 million, surpassing expectations.
  • Subscription ARR rose by 33% to $1.66 billion, and free cash flow totaled $65.7 million.
  • Outlook for full-year revenue and adjusted earnings was raised.

Rubrik, Inc. (NYSE: RBRK) stock dropped 6.7% in premarket trade on Friday, even after the company surpassed quarterly expectations. The slide wiped about $1.5 billion in implied market capitalization.

Stock chart for NYSE:RBRK

The response appears to reflect an adjustment of expectations, rather than disappointment with the results. The stock closed at $107.02 on Thursday, up 11.3%, after having risen 47.9% in the past month.

Rubrik was last priced at $99.84, standing 3.9% higher than its previous close of $96.13 on Wednesday. As of 06:44 EDT, premarket trading volumes were limited to 31,170 shares, meaning the price move was less decisive than those in standard sessions MarketWatch quote.

Rubrik posted fiscal second-quarter revenue of $427.3 million, marking a 38% increase year over year and surpassing the $396.3 million consensus estimate, according to Investor’s Business Daily earnings report, by roughly 7.8%.

MetricFiscal Q2 2027Comparison
Revenue$427.3 millionUp 38% from a year ago; consensus was $396.3 million
Adjusted EPS$0.20Consensus was $0.04; $(0.03) reported a year prior
Subscription ARR$1.66 billionIncreased 33% from the prior year
Free cash flow$65.7 million$57.5 million reported in the same quarter last year
Non-GAAP gross margin81.0%81.6% in the year-ago quarter

Subscription revenue increased by 37% to $407.2 million, accounting for 95% of sales for the quarter and highlighting the recurring-revenue model.

The operating outlook showed gains as well. Subscription ARR contribution margin rose to 14.0% from 9.4%, and operating cash flow totaled $76.8 million.

Cloud ARR increased by 39%, reaching $1.48 billion. Rubrik reported 3,084 customers each generating a minimum of $100,000 in subscription ARR, representing a 23% rise company release.

Management increased its full-year revenue outlook to a range of $1.685 billion to $1.693 billion, up from the previous forecast of $1.638 billion to $1.648 billion.

The company raised its adjusted earnings forecast to $0.47–$0.53 per share, up from the prior range of $0.25–$0.35. Free cash flow projections have increased to $323 million–$333 million.

Chief Financial Officer Kiran Choudary described the results as “a testament to our confidence in our solid execution at scale.” At the end of July, the company reported $1.75 billion in cash and short-term investments.

Wall Street sentiment is positive. Of analysts followed by StockAnalysis, 28 assign Rubrik either a Buy or Strong Buy rating, while their average price target stands at $109.81 analyst forecast.

The target implies an upside of roughly 10% from the premarket price. New targets were set, with Barclays and DA Davidson at $115 and Baird at $130.

Risks: Rubrik posted a GAAP loss of $0.30 per share. The company’s high valuation puts pressure on continued strong ARR growth, robust renewals, and its ability to withstand increased competition in data protection and cyber recovery.

NYSE: RBRK · Fiscal Q2 2027

Strong quarter, tougher expectations

Rubrik beat revenue and earnings estimates, then sold off before the open.
Market data: Aug. 28, 2026, 06:44 EDT
Financials: quarter ended July 31, 2026
Premarket price
$99.84
−6.71% vs. $107.02 close
Implied value erased
≈$1.5B
Based on $22.03B market value
Quarterly revenue
$427.3M
+38% year over year
Subscription ARR
$1.66B
+33% year over year

Why the stock moved

Wed closeThu closeFri premarket$96.13$107.02$99.84

The selloff reversed part of Thursday’s 11.3% surge. Premarket price remained 3.9% above Wednesday’s close, supporting an expectations-reset reading.

Operating scorecard

MetricQ2 FY27Signal
Revenue$427.3M+38%
Subscription revenue$407.2M+37%
Cloud ARR$1.48B+39%
$100K+ ARR customers3,084+23%
Free cash flow$65.7M15% margin

Guidance reset

Fiscal 2027New rangePrior range
Revenue$1.685B–$1.693B$1.638B–$1.648B
Adjusted EPS$0.47–$0.53$0.25–$0.35
Subscription ARR$1.880B–$1.885BRaised
Free cash flow$323M–$333MRaised

Analyst expectations

Premarket
$99.84
Average target
$109.81
High target
$135

Twenty-eight analysts tracked by StockAnalysis rate the shares Buy or Strong Buy. New post-results targets included $115, $120 and $130.

Sources: Rubrik investor relations; MarketWatch/FactSet; Investor’s Business Daily; StockAnalysis. Extended-hours quotes can be volatile and use lower volume than the regular session.
Marcin Frąckiewicz

Marcin Frąckiewicz is the founder and CEO of TS2 Space, a satellite communications company working with customers worldwide. His experience spans satellite communications, telecommunications and technology ventures. He graduated from the Warsaw School of Economics (SGH) and writes about space technology, artificial intelligence, stocks and the technology companies and industries he follows. Follow Marcin Frąckiewicz on Google News, Facebook or LinkedIn.

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