Sibanye Stillwater stock jumps 7% on record platinum and HSBC upgrade — what to watch next week

Sibanye Stillwater stock jumps 7% on record platinum and HSBC upgrade — what to watch next week

Johannesburg, Jan 25, 2026, 16:39 (SAST) — Market closed

  • Sibanye Stillwater’s ADR on the NYSE ended Friday at $19.45, rising 7.16%. After-hours trading showed little movement.
  • Platinum surged to record highs, driven by tightening supply and a rush of investors buying precious metals-linked stocks
  • Sibanye will hold a strategy update on Jan. 29, followed by its year-end 2025 results release on Feb. 20

Sibanye Stillwater’s U.S.-listed shares surged on Friday, lifted by renewed demand for precious metals and a broker upgrade just ahead of the weekend. The ADR closed at $19.45, up 7.16%, and ticked slightly higher to $19.50 in after-hours trading. 1

The rally is significant since Sibanye acts as a high-beta proxy for platinum group metals (PGMs)—a group headed by platinum and palladium—plus gold. When prices shift, the stock usually swings more dramatically, up or down.

Next week’s spotlight shifts squarely onto the metal tape and the company’s own signals, rather than the wider market sentiment. Investors want details on costs, capital expenditure, and whether priorities are shifting as the metal cycle evolves.

Platinum hit a fresh high on Friday, with spot prices climbing to $2,684.43 an ounce, marking a 27% increase year-to-date, Reuters reports. The rally is driven by tight supply, growing investment appetite, and the EU’s surprising reversal on its 2035 combustion-engine ban—a move investors interpret as positive for catalytic converter demand. Meanwhile, Valterra Platinum forecasted a potential 106% jump in annual profits, boosted by a rebound in its PGM basket price and cost-cutting efforts. 2

In Johannesburg, the rally spread widely. PGM stocks like Implats, Valterra, Sibanye Stillwater, and Northam Platinum all hit 52-week highs. The resources index surged up to 4% before 10 a.m., pushing South Africa’s main share index to a new peak, Moneyweb reported. “Electricity supply has stabilised, interest rates are declining and the rand is stronger,” Omri Thomas, director at Abax Investments, told Moneyweb. 3

Sibanye’s shares on the Johannesburg exchange ended at 77.79 rand, rising 6.29%, driven by gains in platinum and gold prices near the close. 4

HSBC turned more bullish on Sibanye Stillwater, upgrading the stock from “hold” to “buy” and raising its ADR price target sharply to $24.80 from $13.30, according to a report on Investing.com. 5

U.S. investors mainly use ADRs (American depositary receipts), which trade like domestic stocks but stand for shares in South African firms. This setup can magnify price swings when metal markets fluctuate during U.S. trading hours.

But the setup works both ways. A sharp drop in platinum, a stronger rand, or any hint that the market is overplaying a policy-driven demand narrative could quickly sap momentum—especially after a rally that’s already priced in plenty of optimism.

Sibanye has a key catalyst coming up soon. The company plans a strategy update on Jan. 29, followed by H2 and full-year 2025 results on Feb. 20, per its events calendar. These dates will likely set the tone for how aggressively traders push the rally into next week. 6

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