Solana Price Today: SOL Slides to $127 as ETF Inflows Clash With Bearish Sentiment (December 1, 2025)

In brief

SOL price today: around $127–128, down about 6–7% in 24 hours and well below November highs above $200. ^[1]
Market backdrop: a crypto-wide sell‑off after a Yearn Finance exploit pushed Bitcoin down to the $86,000 area, dragging altcoins like Solana sharply lower. ^[2]
Derivatives & technicals: 5th straight red daily candle, negative funding rates, and RSI near oversold (~33) point to short‑term bearish momentum, with key support at $120–133. ^[3]
Fundamentals: record Solana ETF inflows ($419M in November) and a proposal to double disinflation (SIMD‑0411) are reshaping the long‑term tokenomics debate. ^[4]
2025–2030 forecasts: reputable models now span everything from modest gains to $140–200 in 2025 to ultra‑bullish calls above $1,000 before 2030, reflecting extreme uncertainty. ^[5]

Disclaimer: The information below is for news and educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Crypto assets are highly volatile and you can lose all of your capital.

Solana price today (December 1, 2025)

At the time of writing on December 1, 2025, Solana (SOL) is trading around $127:

CoinCodex shows SOL at $127.6, down ~6.6% over the last 24 hours, with very high 30‑day volatility of about 10.5%. ^[6]
InvestingHaven cites a spot price near $126.96 after a sharp retreat from a 52‑week high close to $294. ^[7]
CoinDCX estimates Solana’s market cap around $70–71 billion and 24‑hour trading volume near $4.7–4.9 billion, roughly double recent averages as the sell‑off accelerates. ^[8]

That puts SOL:

Roughly 55–60% below its all‑time high near $293–$260 depending on the data source. ^[9]
But still dramatically higher than the lows of the last bear market, when Solana traded in the $10–20 zone.

In other words, Solana has re‑entered deep correction territory while still sitting on large multi‑year gains.

What’s driving today’s Solana crash?

1. Yearn Finance exploit triggers a market‑wide risk‑off move

The biggest macro story as December opens is not Solana itself, but a DeFi exploit:

Yearn Finance reported a serious incident in its yETH liquidity pool, where an attacker was able to mint a large amount of synthetic tokens, effectively flooding the pool and undermining confidence in its backing assets. ^[10]
This sparked a rush for the exits across DeFi and then the broader crypto market.

According to Investing.com, Bitcoin dropped to about $86k, down more than 5% on the day and 16% in November, while altcoins saw even steeper declines:

Ethereum: down around 5–6%
XRP: down 7%+
Solana: down roughly 7–7.5%, one of the bigger large‑cap losers. ^[11]

So part of today’s SOL move is classic correlation pain: when macro risk spikes, even fundamentally strong names get sold.

2. Derivatives flip decisively bearish

Fresh analysis from FXStreet paints a gloomy picture for Solana’s derivatives markets: ^[12]

SOL is logging its fifth consecutive red daily candle, with an intraday drop of about 5% at $126.
Open interest in Solana futures is down more than 6% in 24 hours, signalling capital is leaving leveraged positions.
The funding rate has turned negative, meaning short sellers are now paying longs, a sign that bears are confident enough to pay a premium to stay short.
In the last day, long liquidations (~$31.9M) massively outweighed short liquidations (~$3M), showing bulls were caught offside.

CoinDCX’s technical snapshot lines up with this: SOL is trading below all key EMAs (20, 50, 100, 200‑day) and the RSI is near 33, close to oversold but with no clear bullish divergence yet. ^[13]

CoinCodex’s indicator dashboard is equally stark:

84% of tracked signals are bearish
Fear & Greed Index: 24 (“Extreme Fear”) ^[14]

Short‑term traders are clearly on defense.

Key technical levels for Solana right now

Different analysts looking at today’s move broadly agree on the same cluster of levels—but they disagree on what happens next.

Short‑term support: $120–133

FXStreet highlights $126 as the immediate line in the sand; a daily close below it could open a slide toward $112, and then $95 (lows from March and April). ^[15]
CoinDCX picks a slightly wider support band at $120–125, warning that a breakdown there could “accelerate further declines.” ^[16]
Brave New Coin, publishing earlier in the day when SOL was higher, framed $118–133 as a high‑timeframe demand zone, a long‑term region where buyers stepped in previously. ^[17]

With price now sitting right on top of these levels, how SOL behaves in the $120–130 range is likely to define the rest of December.

Overhead resistance: $140–165 and $150 “psychological”

On the upside, several analyses converge around a set of “speed bumps” above spot:

CoinDCX: first resistance between $138 and $145, with the 20‑day EMA around $140.7 currently rejecting bounces. ^[18]
Brave New Coin: watch $144, then a thicker liquidity band at $152–153; if those break, $165 becomes a mid‑term expansion target. ^[19]
FXStreet: any rebound from $126 could push back to the $150 psychological zone. ^[20]
CoinCodex pivot levels: resistance at $138.0, $142.1 and $144.1 according to classical pivot analysis. ^[21]

In short, for bulls, reclaiming and holding $140–145 is step one. For bears, forcing a daily close below $126 and then $120 would confirm this as more than “just another dip.”

ETFs, corporate buyers and the “double disinflation” debate

Ironically, today’s sell‑off comes just as institutional demand for Solana is hitting record levels.

1. Record Solana ETF inflows

A detailed report from NFTPlazas shows that: ^[22]

Solana ETFs attracted around $419 million of net inflows in November, the single largest draw among crypto assets.
Over the same period, Bitcoin ETFs saw about $3.57 billion in net outflows and Ether ETFs about $1.56 billion, underlining how uniquely attractive SOL’s yield‑bearing staking profile has become.

Meanwhile, Coinbase data cited in the same piece indicates:

Roughly 67% of all circulating SOL is staked, with around 407 million SOL locked.
Retail delegators actually increased their stake by over 238,000 SOL during a 30% price drawdown.

In other words, spot price is falling, but “diamond‑hand” and ETF demand is still quietly stacking coins.

2. A Nasdaq‑listed firm doubles down after a $200M loss

A joint Cryptonews/CryptoRank analysis highlights the strategy of Upexi, one of the largest corporate holders of SOL: ^[23]

Upexi is down roughly $200 million on its Solana treasury from September highs but is raising up to $23M in a private stock sale specifically to buy more SOL.
The company already holds over 2 million SOL, making it one of the largest public‑market Solana treasuries.
The new capital is earmarked both for operations and for additional SOL accumulation.

That kind of corporate behaviour—averaging down aggressively in a drawdown—is a powerful signal of long‑term conviction, even if it doesn’t stop near‑term volatility.

3. SIMD‑0411: “double disinflation” and the future of Solana tokenomics

At the same time, the Solana community is debating a major monetary‑policy change:

The SIMD‑0411 proposal would double Solana’s existing disinflation rate, targeting the terminal 1.5% inflation level three years earlier than planned.
NFTPlazas calculates that this would cut projected emissions by over 22 million SOL (~$3B at recent prices) over six years, significantly tightening long‑term supply. ^[24]

The tension:

ETFs and stakers love high yield, which depends on some level of ongoing inflation.
Long‑term investors love scarcity, which supports higher per‑token value but may reduce yield if emissions drop too fast.

For price, this is a critical medium‑term narrative: “high‑yield income asset” vs “digital scarcity play.” Whichever side wins the governance debate will shape how analysts value SOL going into 2026.

Network fundamentals: activity and reliability stay strong

While the chart looks ugly, the underlying network data for Solana remains robust.

Activity and usage

An analysis from Pintu (summarising data from Nansen and CoinGlass) points out that: ^[25]

Over the last 30 days, Solana processed ~1.84 billion transactions, a 16% increase, outpacing Ethereum, BNB Chain, Base and Arbitrum combined.
Active addresses grew about 13% in the same period, to more than 63.1 million.
Open interest in Solana futures rebounded to around $7.5 billion from a monthly low near $6.6 billion before today’s crash, showing that traders had been rotating back into SOL exposure.

Even if some of that leveraged exposure is being flushed out today, the underlying trend is clear: people are still using the network heavily.

Reliability and staking

Brave New Coin adds another key datapoint: ^[26]

Solana has now logged 662 consecutive days without a network outage, the longest uninterrupted runtime in its history.

Combine that with:

5–7% native staking yields cited in ETF marketing and institutional commentary, and
The high staking ratio (~67%) reported by Coinbase/NFTPlazas ^[27]

…and you get a network that, at least on fundamentals, looks more like a high‑throughput “crypto infrastructure stock” than a speculative meme coin—even in a panic day like today.

Short‑term Solana price forecasts for December 2025

Analysts publishing on December 1, 2025 are sharply divided on where SOL goes over the next few weeks.

Quant and indicator‑based models: cautious upside

CoinCodex’s model, which leans heavily on historical volatility and technical indicators, projects: ^[28]

A short‑term drift around current levels, with daily targets clustered between $126.8 and $127.6 over the next few days.
For December 31, 2025, a price near $141.69, implying an ~11–12% gain from today if the forecast holds.
A 2025 trading range between roughly $126.8 and $141.7, with an average around $132.6 and a still‑bearish overall technical outlook.

CoinDCX takes a slightly more optimistic tone for December: ^[29]

It notes that immediate support lies at $120–125 with resistance at $138–145.
Its internal models suggest SOL could claw back into the $170–190 zone by late 2025 if DeFi activity, memecoins and validator participation strengthen through the year.
A tabular forecast for November–December 2025 places November’s range at $155–210 and December’s at $160–245, implying possible year‑end highs well above $200 in a favourable macro environment.

Changelly’s algorithmic forecast is more muted: ^[30]

For 2025, it sees a minimum around $135.6, maximum around $142.7, and an average near $149.9, only modestly above current prices.
For December 2025, its table shows a slightly confusing but broadly similar range around $150–151, with a projected ROI of ~7–8%—essentially calling for a slow, choppy grind higher rather than a moonshot.

Pattern‑driven & discretionary analysts: 80% upside vs deep dip risk

On the more discretionary/technical side, calls are wider:

Pintu identifies a falling wedge with bullish divergence forming from late September to late November. After SOL briefly broke above the wedge and touched $145 on November 28, the pattern suggests a potential rebound toward September’s high near $253—about 80% above its recent low—if bulls can reclaim key levels. ^[31]
Brave New Coin argues that as long as SOL holds above $118–133, the market can target $144 first, then $152–153, and, in a stronger scenario, $165 into early 2026. ^[32]
More bearish intraday traders warn a deeper flush toward $90 is possible if the current range low breaks with heavy volume, pointing to untested liquidity pools below. (These views are gaining attention on trading desks but remain scenario‑based rather than base‑case.)

Meanwhile, FXStreet’s scenario sits somewhere in the middle:

Hold $126 and Solana may bounce back toward $150.
Lose $126, and the path opens toward $112 and even $95. ^[33]

Bottom line for December: models lean gently bullish, traders are split, and the entire outlook hinges on whether $120–130 holds.

Long‑term Solana price predictions (2026–2030 and beyond)

Where things get really wild is in multi‑year forecasts. As of December 1, the dispersion in Solana targets is enormous.

Conservative–moderate models

CoinCodex sees Solana in 2030 trading between about $336 and $416, implying something like a 3x from todayif its upper target is right. It projects SOL only reaching $1,000 around 2048, not in this decade. ^[34]
CoinDCX’s roadmap is somewhat more bullish but still measured:
- 2026: $400–450
- 2027: $450–520
- 2029: $600–700
- 2030: $700–850 ^[35]

These views treat Solana as a high‑growth, high‑risk tech asset that might compound over years but is not guaranteed to explode parabolically.

Ultra‑bullish algorithmic forecasts

Changelly’s long‑range projection is one of the most aggressive on the market: ^[36]

2026: average price above $282, with December highs over $216 in its base table (and even higher in narrative sections).
2027: average around $560 with peaks near $648.
2028: average above $820, high near $940.
2029: average around $1,193, high near $1,370.
2030: average about $1,784, with December highs near $1,993.

These numbers assume not just sustained adoption, but strong compounding of demand and limited new supply—the kind of outcome that may only materialise if Solana becomes a central piece of global Web3 infrastructure.

Human‑driven, cycle‑based forecasts

InvestingHaven takes a more narrative, cycle‑based approach and lands somewhere in between: ^[37]

2025: range $111–425, with upside to $255–480 if a bullish “cup and handle” pattern resolves higher.
2026: $215–642
2027: $501–901
2028: $700–990, with $1,000–1,250 seen as a realistic peak region by that time.
Long‑term peak before 2030: $1,000–2,000, but with the caveat that the higher end would require very optimistic adoption and macro conditions.

InvestingHaven also aggregates 7+ expert views (Pantera Capital, Tyler Hill, Ben Armstrong and others), finding 2025 targets between roughly $220 and $1,000, with an average around $425. ^[38]

What traders and investors are watching next

Given today’s price shock, these are the near‑term catalysts most likely to move Solana from here:

Support at $120–130
- A decisive breakdown could confirm a deeper correction toward $110 or below. ^[39]
- A strong bounce with rising volume would add weight to the “falling wedge bottom” narrative and support calls for a move back toward $150–165.
Bitcoin and macro news
- Further headlines around the Yearn Finance exploit and any additional DeFi vulnerabilities could keep risk appetite low. ^[40]
- Markets are also watching the upcoming Fed meeting (early December) and the odds of an interest‑rate cut. A more dovish stance could help all risk assets, including SOL.
SIMD‑0411 governance debate
- If the double disinflation proposal passes, long‑term supply will tighten faster, but staking yields may fall, which matters for ETF investors. ^[41]
- The outcome will influence whether Solana is positioned more as a yield coin or a scarcity coin in institutional portfolios.
ETF flows and corporate buying
- Continued positive ETF inflows after a violent sell‑off would reinforce the idea that institutions are treating dips as buying opportunities. ^[42]
- Public companies like Upexi providing more transparency on their SOL strategies could also move sentiment at the margin.
On‑chain metrics
- If transaction counts, active addresses and DeFi TVL stay resilient despite price weakness, analysts will have more confidence that this is a cycle correction, not a structural failure. ^[43]

Bottom line: Solana’s price is shaky, its story isn’t

On December 1, 2025, Solana is in an uncomfortable spot:

Price is trapped between heavy resistance above $140–150 and fragile support just below current levels.
Short‑term indicators and derivatives data are clearly bearish, with extreme fear dominating sentiment. ^[44]
Yet fundamentals—usage, staking, ETF demand and network reliability—are some of the strongest in the sector. ^[45]

The spread of 2025–2030 price targets—from cautious models that barely beat today’s price to ultra‑bullish scenarios above $1,000—tells you everything you need to know: the Solana story is big, but the range of possible outcomes is enormous.

For anyone following SOL:

In the very short term, watch $120–130 support and $140–150 resistance—those levels will likely decide whether this becomes a capitulation low or just another stop on the way down.
Over the long term, the decisive factors will be governance choices (like SIMD‑0411), ETF penetration, and whether Solana can maintain its lead in high‑throughput DeFi, NFTs, and new verticals like DePIN and mobile Web3.

And as always in crypto: manage risk, size positions conservatively, and don’t treat any model—bullish or bearish—as a guarantee.