Wall Street Feels the Heat (and Thrill): Fed Cuts, Tariffs & Mega-Mergers Set NYSE Buzz

Stock Market Today 03.01.2026


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Two FTSE 100 stocks could plunge in 2026: Next and NatWest

January 3, 2026, 3:16 AM EST. The FTSE 100 ended 2025 up about 20%, but a pair of late-cycle gains raise risk for 2026. Two names highlighted: Next and NatWest. The retailer's stock surged 40% in 2025 on robust full-price sales and online dominance, yet the shares now trade on a forward P/E of about 18.6, well above the 10-year average of 13.8, suggesting upside may be limited if consumer demand wobbles. A broader price-promotion shift and intensifying competition add to the warning. For NatWest, domestic exposure and a price-to-book above historical norms (about 1.4 vs 0.7) leave the bank vulnerable to a weaker environment even as loan growth and net interest margin improve in the near term. With the macro backdrop turning less supportive, both names face the risk of sharp price corrections.

Vodafone, Lloyds break 100p/£1 levels as brokers see limited upside in 2026

January 3, 2026, 3:15 AM EST. London shares in Vodafone and Lloyds cleared key levels on Friday: Vodafone topped 100p for the first time since March 2023, while Lloyds moved above £1, a level last seen before the 2008 crisis. Brokers' 12-month targets sit just above current prices, implying limited upside in 2026. Lloyds is among the more expensive FTSE 100 banks on a P/E basis-about 8.8x 2027 earnings-and remains UK-centric, a factor if the economy weakens and bad loans rise. Yet forecasts point to a 79% jump in 2027 earnings per share, to around 11.3p, supporting the valuation. Vodafone, meanwhile, shows tentative improvement: six-month results include 7.3% revenue growth and 9.2% higher adjusted operating profit, with Africa leading; Germany remains a drag amid TV-law changes and debt risk. FY25 adjusted EPS: 7.87 euro cents; analysts expect roughly 11.33 euro cents by FY28, subject to FX.

UK stocks outlook 2026: FTSE 100 seen rising; £5,000 ISA may yield about 12%

January 3, 2026, 3:01 AM EST. Investors anticipate another year of gains for UK equities after the FTSE 100 delivered a 23.6% total return in 2025. A £5,000 Stocks and Shares ISA opened last January would have grown to about £6,180, illustrating strong performance versus US stocks. While past results don't guarantee the future, consensus sees 2026 as another solid year for the FTSE 100, supported by earnings resilience, potential rate cuts and robust cash flow. Analysts at AJ Bell forecast the index could reach up to 10,750 over the next 12 months, about an 8.9% rise; with a 3% dividend yield, the total return would be around 11.9% for tracker funds. Sector themes point to Energy & Mining and Financials. Ecora Resources (LSE:ECOR) offers mining royalties and is pivoting to copper and cobalt, aided by EV demand, though commodity price risk persists.

FTSE 100 alone unlikely to deliver a £1m ISA; US growth stocks offer growth potential

January 3, 2026, 2:59 AM EST. FTSE 100 delivered about 18% in 2025, boosting many ISAs (Individual Savings Accounts) invested in FTSE 100 trackers. The piece cites blue chips such as HSBC, Games Workshop and Coca-Cola HBC that surged last year. A hypothetical £500-a-month investment in a FTSE 100 tracker for 25 years would yield roughly £405,036, well short of a £1m portfolio. The index's long-run average is about 7% annually, a pace unlikely to turn UK investors into millionaires on its own. The author recommends diversification into US growth shares via S&P 500 ETFs, notably the IUQA fund, which has about a 14% annual return since inception; at £500 per month, that could reach roughly £1,347,913 over 25 years. Tech names like Apple, Nvidia, and Microsoft are highlighted, with AI and cybersecurity as key growth drivers.

Nat-Gas Prices Fall on Above-Normal US Weather Forecasts

January 3, 2026, 2:46 AM EST. Nat-Gas futures closed lower Friday, extending this week's slide to a near 2.25-month nearest-futures low as warmer-than-normal US weather reduces heating demand and boosts storage. The Eastern two-thirds of the country is forecast to be much warmer Jan 7-11, with warmth shifting into the north-central U.S. Jan 12-16, according to Atmospheric G2. Analysts note higher domestic production remains a bearish factor; US dry-gas output hovered near a record and LNG flows to export terminals rose modestly. The EIA's December forecast lifted 2025 production expectations, while weekly storage draws have been smaller than the five-year average, signaling ample supply. Baker Hughes showed a small decline in active gas rigs to 125.

ISA size to target £12,000 annual passive income in 2026

January 3, 2026, 2:45 AM EST. An ISA can shelter dividend income from UK taxes. The piece argues that a 4% dividend yield (a cash payout relative to share price) on UK stocks would require about £300,000 to generate £12,000 a year, but targeting higher yields of 5%-6% could lower the needed stake to around £150,000. With monthly contributions of about £450, a starting pot of £450/month could reach £150,000 in roughly 13.5 years, assuming a 10% annualised return; the author cautions that 10% is difficult and stock-picking and discipline matter. The article cites British American Tobacco offering about a 5.7% yield, aided by cash flow and dividends while transitioning to next-gen products; it notes regulatory and execution risks, including a volatile US vape market.

Softcat slips 20% as CFO buys stock; is the dip a bargain?

January 3, 2026, 2:44 AM EST. Softcat plc (LSE:SCT) has fallen about 20% over six months, even as it reports forecast-beating results. The stock trades near 19.8x price-to-earnings (P/E) – a common valuation metric that compares share price with earnings. Costs rose roughly 19% last year and tougher markets threaten near-term profit growth; still, the company cites cloud, cybersecurity, infrastructure and AI as growth drivers. With a strong balance sheet, Softcat completed the Oakland AI acquisition in April, and more M&A could follow. Eight of 12 analysts rate Buy/Outperform, two Hold, two Sell, with a 12-month target of £18.27 – about 28% above current levels. CFO Katy Mecklenburgh has been buying, adding almost £300,000 at about £14.6. The forward P/E is near multi-year lows, suggesting valuation support if earnings stay resilient.

Three UK dividend stocks to buy for reliable income in 2026

January 3, 2026, 2:30 AM EST. Three UK stocks are highlighted for reliable dividend income in 2026. M&G yields about 7.5% and has paid a dividend every year since 2020, supported by a shift into retirement saving and private markets. The share price has been rising, though the sector remains competitive. Coca-Cola HBC offers a defensive profile with a yield around 3.2%; dividends have grown from €0.40 in 2016 to €1.03, and the payout coverage is above two, signaling room to grow. Smith & Nephew is notable for a long dividend history, dating to 1937, with a yield of about 2.8%. It's seen as potentially undervalued, with analysts eyeing double-digit upside if earnings improve. All investments carry risks, but the trio blends income with upside potential.

Two moonshot growth stocks anchor a retiree portfolio as 2026 begins

January 3, 2026, 2:29 AM EST. Retiree investor highlights two high-risk, high-reward positions. The first is Hesai (HSAI), a LiDAR specialist listed on Nasdaq and HKEx, expected to gain from rising ADAS and humanoid-robot demand. In Q3 2025, revenue rose 47% year over year to $112 million, with non-GAAP net income around $40 million, moving toward profitability; but the stock carries risks including US-China tensions, potential delisting, and tech disruption. The second is SkyWater Technology (SKYT), a US chipmaker targeting quantum computing, aiming to be a manufacturing partner for quantum players and serving diversified markets (defense, aerospace, automotive, healthcare). Valuation looks reasonable: forecasted $609 million in revenue next year, market cap around $800 million, ~1.6x price-to-sales. Position kept small due to daily 10-20% swings.

BSE marks 40 years of SENSEX, charting India's equity market evolution

January 3, 2026, 2:13 AM EST. India's benchmark SENSEX marked its 40th anniversary as BSE celebrates the evolution of the country's equity market. Launched in 1986 as India's first stock index, the SENSEX tracks 30 constituents across sectors and represents about 40% of market capitalisation. It is reviewed biannually in June and December. Since 1 September 2003 it uses a free-float market-cap methodology (weights based on shares available for trading). The index is among India's most tracked benchmarks, with over 20 ETFs and index funds managing about Rs 2.5 lakh crore. Since inception, the SENSEX has delivered a CAGR (compound annual growth rate) of 13.4%, roughly aligned with India's nominal GDP growth of about 13%. SEBI chair Tuhin Kanta Pandey and BSE MD & CEO Sundararaman Ramamurthy attended, noting the market's evolution from a closed market to a tech-driven ecosystem.

Sebi bets on AI tools to bolster market oversight as Sensex marks 40 years

January 3, 2026, 2:01 AM EST. Regulator Sebi is deploying AI-driven tools to monitor compliance and strengthen oversight of listed firms, with a tool under development to assess the cybersecurity readiness of its regulated entities, said chairman Tuhin Kanta Pandey at a BSE event commemorating 40 years of the Sensex. The AI suite includes Sebi Sudarshan for surveillance of unauthorised digital activity and sentiment analysis of corporate announcements. An AI-driven inspection tool is being developed to bolster risk-based supervision of entities. Pandey noted the Indian market's intertwined history with the BSE, one of Asia's oldest exchanges. He cited global crises as context for the need to adapt, from the World Wars to the recent pandemic, underscoring the regulator's emphasis on resilience.

Cocoa futures slide on favorable West Africa weather; Ivory Coast/Ghana harvests eyed

January 3, 2026, 2:00 AM EST. March ICE NY cocoa (CCH26) closed down 3.20% and March ICE London cocoa #7 (CAH26) fell 2.95% on Friday, with prices at one-week lows as favorable West Africa weather weighs on sentiment. Tropical General Investments Group said improved conditions in Ivory Coast and Ghana are expected to lift the February-March harvest; farmers report larger, healthier pods than a year ago. Mondelez noted cocoa pod counts 7% above the five-year average and the Ivory Coast main crop underway. Prices briefly rebounded Monday on slower port arrivals in Ivory Coast. The potential inclusion of cocoa in the Bloomberg Commodity Index (BCOM) could attract up to $2 billion of buying. The ICCO trimmed 2024/25 surplus to 49,000 MT and Rabobank cut 2025/26 surplus to 250,000 MT; the EUDR delay keeps supplies ample amid weak demand.

Sugar prices slide as India production jump fuels global surplus outlook

January 3, 2026, 1:59 AM EST. Front-month sugar futures retreated Friday after the ISMA reported a 25% YoY jump in 2025/26 production to 11.90 MMT for Oct-Dec. The uptick, in the world's second-largest producer, stoked expectations of higher exports. March NY world sugar #11 and March London ICE white sugar #5 closed down about 2-3%. ISMA also trimmed its ethanol-use estimate, potentially freeing more sugar for export. On the supply side, the ISO forecast a 1.625 MMT global surplus in 2025-26, with Czarnikow lifting its 2025/26 surplus to 8.7 MMT. Brazil's outlook remained bearish for prices as output projections suggest lower shipments.

SIPP investor posts 20%+ return in 2025; plans broader diversification for 2026

January 3, 2026, 1:58 AM EST. Self-Invested Personal Pension (SIPP) holder, 2025 delivered a return above 20%. The portfolio mixes passive trackers, active funds, thematic ETFs and individual stocks with a growth tilt given many years to retirement. Alphabet (Google) and Nvidia were top contributors, rising roughly 60% and 40%, respectively, and the Blue Whale Growth fund returned over 25% on AI exposure. The HANetf Future of Defence UCITS ETF led ETF gains, about 40%, as defence themes gained traction. The seasonality of April pullbacks was exploited: capital was deployed during dips while cash stayed on the sidelines. For 2026, the plan stresses broader diversification (European and healthcare) and a 4% money-market cash cushion. BWX Technologies (BWXT) is eyed for nuclear-power exposure, though it trades at a high price-to-earnings ratio, or P/E, near 40.

Freedom Capital Initiates Coverage of Betterware de México with Buy Rating

January 3, 2026, 1:43 AM EST. Freedom Capital Markets initiated coverage of Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V. (NYSE: BWMX) with a Buy rating on Jan. 2, 2026, according to Fintel. The firm pegs a one-year price target of $19.12, implying upside of about 21.2% from the Dec. 21, 2025 close of $15.78. Targets range from $15.15 to $23.62. The forecasted annual non-GAAP EPS is $40.86. The note highlights institutional interest, with 38 funds reporting positions, up 11.76% last quarter, and an average portfolio weight of 0.13%. Key shareholders include Mmbg Investment Advisors with about 11.02% and SPDR Emerging Markets ETF. The report underscores a bullish setup, evidenced by a put/call ratio of 0.02. The information appears on Fintel; Nasdaq branding is incidental to the report.

AMZN Stock in Spotlight as Meghan Cameo Backlash Tests MGM Film Budget

January 3, 2026, 1:42 AM EST. AMZN shares hover around $230.82, down 0.7%, with a 52-week range of $161.38 to $258.60. The backlash over Meghan Markle's cameo in Amazon MGM Studios' Close Personal Friends injects PR and marketing cost risk into the film's release. In the UK, ASA rules and BBFC classifications frame messaging, with reputational risk as the main concern rather than legal issues. A weaker box office could be offset by Prime Video streaming, but higher paid media may push breakeven later. Technicals show price near the 50-day average and above the 200-day, with a street target around $290. Investors should monitor trailer edits, campaign shifts, and UK engagement signals as release risk materializes.

ChatGPT crafts a 2026 'monster dividend' Stocks and Shares ISA; caution urged

January 3, 2026, 1:11 AM EST. An investor asks ChatGPT to build a 2026 Stocks and Shares ISA focused on monster dividends. The plan splits into a high-yield core (40%), a growth-fast track of Dividend Aristocrats (40%), and a globally diversified (20%) route, with FTSE 100 names such as Legal & General and Phoenix Group named, and Taylor Wimpey also appearing. A fourth choice, WPP, prompts skepticism about AI as a financial oracle. The second tranche centers on stocks with long-increasing dividends-often called Dividend Knights or Dividend Aristocrats-like British American Tobacco and National Grid (ticker NG). National Grid illustrates the risk: debt and green transition pricing may threaten predictability. The piece cautions tax-free advantages inside a Stocks and Shares ISA are compelling but not risk-free; professional advice remains essential.

Nifty 50 at record high as 2026 rally bets rise; earnings, trade tailwinds in focus

January 3, 2026, 12:56 AM EST. The Nifty 50 finished at a record closing high of 26,328.55 on Friday after trading as high as 26,338.90, extending a third straight session of gains. Major indices such as Nifty Bank, Auto and Metal led the rally, while the Nifty Midcap 100 also hit a fresh high. Analysts say 2026 could deliver a healthy rally on policy tailwinds, stronger government capex, resilient consumption, contained inflation and steady GDP growth. Yet risks loom: a delayed or stalled India-US trade deal and potential earnings disappointment. Shrikant Chouhan of Kotak Securities cites two risks – earnings turnout and the trade pact; Ajit Mishra of Religare Broking says earnings delivery is crucial; G Chokkalingam warns tariffs could weaken the rupee and prompt foreign outflows. Domestic capex remains a key hurdle.

Boss Packaging Solutions (NSE:BOSS) Gains 10% in a Week; ROE at 12% Amid Mixed Growth Signals

January 3, 2026, 12:41 AM EST. Boss Packaging Solutions (NSE:BOSS) has surged about 10% over the past week, prompting a look at fundamentals. The company posted a trailing twelve-month ROE of 12% as of September 2025, meaning roughly ₹0.12 of profit per ₹1 of shareholder capital. The figure sits slightly below the 13% industry average, underscoring a mixed efficiency picture. Notably, Boss has recorded about 31% net income growth over the last five years, suggesting earnings momentum despite the modest ROE. Some drivers could be a low payout ratio or more efficient management. Compared with the broader market, earnings growth has run near the 26% industry pace. Investors should decide whether expected earnings growth is already reflected in the price.

Stock Market Today

  • Two FTSE 100 stocks could plunge in 2026: Next and NatWest
    January 3, 2026, 3:16 AM EST. The FTSE 100 ended 2025 up about 20%, but a pair of late-cycle gains raise risk for 2026. Two names highlighted: Next and NatWest. The retailer's stock surged 40% in 2025 on robust full-price sales and online dominance, yet the shares now trade on a forward P/E of about 18.6, well above the 10-year average of 13.8, suggesting upside may be limited if consumer demand wobbles. A broader price-promotion shift and intensifying competition add to the warning. For NatWest, domestic exposure and a price-to-book above historical norms (about 1.4 vs 0.7) leave the bank vulnerable to a weaker environment even as loan growth and net interest margin improve in the near term. With the macro backdrop turning less supportive, both names face the risk of sharp price corrections.
Shopify stock slides after Canadian court order in CRA data dispute
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Shopify stock slides after Canadian court order in CRA data dispute

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