Australian shares edge higher as household spending supports rate-hike bets; Aristocrat-L&W settle AU$190 million
January 12, 2026, 1:27 AM EST. Australian shares closed higher after data showing stronger domestic household spending reinforced bets the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will lift the cash rate by mid-2025. The S&P/ASX 200 rose 0.5% to 8,759.4. November household spending rose 1% month on month, beating a 0.6% gain, supporting views that the economy is operating at full capacity and the RBA's next move could be a rate hike as early as February. Domestic data also showed a 0.5% fall in ANZ-Indeed job ads in December to 107, with November revised to 107.5. On the corporate front, Aristocrat Leisure said Light & Wonder will compensate about AU$190 million to settle litigation over IP misappropriation. Light & Wonder shares jumped about 18%. Super Retail Group posted 4.2% sales growth for 26 weeks; shares fell 6%. Regal Partners expects NPAT of about AU$145 million for 2025, up from AU$97.5 million; shares rose 5%.
UK Value Stocks: Fevertree Among Undervalued Picks as FTSE Slips
January 12, 2026, 1:26 AM EST. The UK market cooled as the FTSE 100 ended lower after soft Chinese trade data underscored slower global recovery. In a screening of undervalued names, Fevertree Drinks PLC stands out. Fevertree trades at £8.30, well below its estimated fair value of £15.87, a discount of 47.7% based on cash-flow analysis. (Discount to fair value is a cash-flow based estimate of what a stock should be worth.) Revenue is forecast to grow about 10% per year, with earnings climbing roughly 20.8%, outpacing the UK market's 13.6% earnings pace. Board changes include the retirement of Jeff Popkin as Non-Executive Director. The screen also flags Convatec Group PLC, trading at £2.46 versus a £3.23 fair value (about 23.9% discount), with 16.1% earnings growth forecast; Informa plc is cited as another name in the undervalued cohort.
Nifty 50 slips below 25,550 as Sensex slides on sixth straight session
January 12, 2026, 1:12 AM EST. Indian shares extended a six-session rout on Monday as the Sensex fell about 500 points to around 83,000 and the Nifty 50 slipped to roughly 25,529. In six sessions the Sensex has shed over 2,700 points (more than 3%), and the Nifty 50 down more than 3%, wiping roughly ₹16 lakh crore from market value to about ₹465 lakh crore. The pullback follows rising geopolitical tensions, concerns about US tariffs and persistent foreign outflows. Factors cited: 1) US tariffs risk: a Russia sanctions bill could push tariffs toward 500% on Indian imports; 2) Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) selling-about ₹12,000 crore in January so far, after ₹1.85 lakh crore in H2 last year; 3) Elevated geopolitics around Venezuela, Iran and related flashpoints. Analysts say sentiment hinges on progress on a potential US-India trade deal and earnings growth; until then, risk appetite remains weak.
Sensex tumbles nearly 500 points as three catalysts weigh on Indian stocks
January 12, 2026, 1:10 AM EST. In late morning trade, the Sensex slid about 500 points and the Nifty retreated as risk appetite evaporated. Dr. VK Vijayakumar, chief investment strategist at Geojit, cites a mix of India-specific and global headwinds, including uncertain US-India trade signals and geopolitical tensions from Venezuela to Iran. The near-term mood also lifts the India VIX, the volatility index, signaling added volatility ahead. Technically, the Nifty 50 broke below yesterday's low, with support around 25,444 and 25,140; the 100-day EMA near 25,600-25,550 provides immediate support. Momentum gauges tighten: the RSI (relative strength index) sits near oversold and MACD remains negative, illustrating a bearish regime. The Bank Nifty lags banks amid cautious posture ahead of Q3 earnings and tariff rulings.
Floor & Decor valuation under focus after stock rally
January 12, 2026, 1:00 AM EST. Floor & Decor Holdings (FND) rose about 8% last session, with 14% weekly gains as investors weigh a stronger short-term rhythm against a longer-run growth challenge. The stock trades near $72.74, about 6% below the average analyst target of $77.23, raising questions whether the move signals mispricing or anticipated expansion. Our fair-value estimate sits at about $77.82, implying a modest valuation gap if revenue growth, margin gains, and a higher earnings multiple materialize. The P/E (price-earnings) ratio at 36.2x sits well above peers at about 15x, suggesting risk if sentiment cools. Downside risks include slower housing activity and margins pressured by rapid store openings. Long-term demand supports renovations and hard-surface flooring, sustaining a constructive but uncertain growth story.
REG – RNS: Boilerplate credits data providers in regulatory notice
January 12, 2026, 12:58 AM EST. REG – RNS boilerplate release credits market data from ICE Data Services and reference data from FactSet. It notes copyright held by FactSet Research Systems Inc., and the American Bankers Association. The CUSIP Database is provided by FactSet. SEC filings and other documents come via Quartr. TradingView holds copyright for its content. The notice underpins attribution and licensing for official market data used in the release.
SCR-Sibelco Valuation: Momentum-Driven Price Rise, DCF Signals Large Gap to Fair Value
January 12, 2026, 12:57 AM EST.SCR-Sibelco (ENXTBR:094426466) has drawn fresh attention after a month of solid price momentum. The stock rose 15.96% in the last month and 9.44% over three months, against a 9% one-year TSR and a negative five-year return. The shares, last at €5,450, trade on a P/E of 29.7x, well above the European metals and mining average of 17.8x and the peer average of 13.7x. The market seems to reward earnings quality and cyclicality, yet risks loom if demand softens. The stock sits on an intrinsic discount of about 13.47%. A DCF-based fair value comes in around €376.59 per share, versus the current price, underscoring a substantial valuation gap. The analysis highlights the gap between momentum and fundamentals.
Capita shares rally 102% in a year as earnings turn positive but revenue declines
January 12, 2026, 12:55 AM EST. Capita plc (LON:CPI) has delivered a 102% total return over the past 12 months, with a 28% jump in the last quarter. The longer horizon remains mixed: the stock is down about 2.7% over three years. The company's EPS moved from a loss to a profit in the last year, but revenue fell 9% year over year. Insiders have been net buyers, a potential positive signal, though analysts stress that growth trends matter more than quarterly swings. The five-year TSR (total shareholder return) is about -5% per year, underscoring a cautious backdrop before a sustained rebound. Markets price sentiment as much as fundamentals, so investors should weigh forecasts and potential catalysts alongside near-term results. Capita may suit those seeking a turnaround, but risks remain.
Sensex posts worst January start in a decade; what it means for investors
January 12, 2026, 12:42 AM EST. India's benchmark Sensex slid 1.93% in the first 10 days of 2026, its weakest start to a calendar year in a decade. For the week to Jan 9, the index fell 2.55% to 83,576, while the Nifty 50 sank 2.45% to 25,683. Broader markets weakened further, with midcap and smallcap indices down about 2.6% and over 3%. The pullback reflects a shift to risk aversion amid global shocks and domestic caution. Foreign institutional investors sold Rs 11,784 crore in early January, even as domestic funds bought about Rs 17,900 crore. Analysts cite mixed Q3 earnings, stalled US-India trade talks, and geopolitics as the main drivers. Sectors that bore the brunt include oil & gas, energy, and infrastructure (down 4.7-5.8%), with banks also underperforming; defensive names like defence and consumer durables held up.
Alaris Equity Partners AD.DB.A:CA AI Signals Neutral; Short Near 100.61, Stop at 101.11
January 12, 2026, 12:40 AM EST. Alaris Equity Partners' AD.DB.A:CA shows AI-generated signals with a neutral stance across near, mid and long terms. The report notes no long plans; a short entry near 100.61 with a stop loss at 101.11. Ratings for near, mid and long terms are all Neutral. The update emphasizes checking the timestamp and that the signals relate to the Alaris Equity Partners Income Trust 6.25% Senior Unsecured Debentures. A chart link is referenced. Jargon explained: short is a bet on price decline; stop loss pre-set exit to cap losses; neutral means awaiting confirmation rather than a buy or sell. Treat AI-generated signals as ideas, not guarantees.
Powell investigation roils markets; gold, silver jump amid fears of Fed independence
January 12, 2026, 12:27 AM EST. U.S. stock futures slipped Sunday night after Federal Reserve Chair Powell said he is under an investigation linked to testimony on a Fed building renovation. The New York Times reported the news, reviving fears that political pressure could threaten Fed independence. Nasdaq-100 futures led losses, down about 0.8%, with rate-sensitive tech hit hardest; S&P 500 futures fell ~0.5%, Dow ~0.4%. Investors bought gold and silver as safe havens. Gold futures rose about 1.7% to around $4,578/oz; silver jumped more than 4%. The dollar eased modestly versus the franc and yen. Powell added a pointed note, saying no one is above the law, while the threat stems from broader pressure. Economists warn that eroded Fed independence could feed higher long-term inflation and raise borrowing costs. Deutsche Bank and Bank of America executives echoed concerns, warning market dislocations if independence is compromised.
MUMC:CA AI signals point to 47.58 entry for Manulife U.S. Mid Cap ETF
January 12, 2026, 12:26 AM EST. Manulife Multifactor U.S. Mid Cap Index ETF (MUMC:CA) received AI-generated signals as of Jan. 11, 2026. A long entry near 47.58 is advised, with a stop loss at 47.34; no short plan is offered. Ratings show Near: Weak, Mid: Weak, and Long: Neutral. AI signals are computer-driven buy/sell indicators, not guarantees. Updated signals are available separately. The note carries a timestamp and confirms there are no targets beyond the entry level. The briefing presents a cautious stance with a single long-entry recommendation and no immediate shorting plan.
Geberit gains 3.8% this week as bullish sentiment grows; 1-year TSR at 32%
January 12, 2026, 12:25 AM EST. Geberit AG (VTX:GEBN) shares climbed about 3.8% this week as investor sentiment improved. The stock has risen roughly 29% over the past year, beating the ~13% market gain (ex-dividends), and is up 29% over three years. In the last twelve months, EPS fell 1.1% while revenue was flat, yet the stock's TSR-including dividends-rose about 32%. The gap between price and earnings suggests sentiment factors are at play. Analysts continue to cover Geberit and provide consensus estimates for future earnings. The dividend yield helps explain the TSR outperformance, reinforcing a cautiously constructive perspective on the name despite near-term earnings drift.
Brookfield Asset Management: AI-generated BAM:CA trading signals
January 12, 2026, 12:10 AM EST. Brookfield Asset Management Ltd. Class A voting shares (BAM:CA) attract AI-generated trading signals dated January 11. The plan shows a Buy near 69.34 with a target of 76.48 and a stop loss at 68.99. An opposing Short setup triggers near 76.48, aiming for a 69.34 exit, with a stop loss at 76.86. The timestamp underlines the data's time-sensitive nature. The signals include Near, Mid, and Long term ratings, with Near labeled Strong, Mid and Long labeled Neutral. These are AI-generated signals and not a guarantee of performance. For context, a stop loss is an exit point to cap losses, while a target is the hoped-for price, based on the model.
INCM.U:CA AI signals outline long and short trading levels for Accelerate Diversified Credit Income Fund
January 12, 2026, 12:09 AM EST. Updated AI-generated signals for the Accelerate Diversified Credit Income Fund (INCM.U:CA) set two tactical levels. A long entry near 10.87 carries a target of 11.42 and a stop loss at 10.82. A short entry near 11.42 targets 10.87 with a stop at 11.48. The AI read lists term ratings as Near Neutral, Mid Neutral, and Long Weak. The timestamp warns readers to verify the data. The package includes a chart and links to the signals. The report is by Chris, Contributor, with Editor Derek Curry. The plan reflects price-action levels and risk controls rather than a forecast, and should be treated as signals rather than investment advice.
Crude oil settles higher as Iran protests escalate; US data support demand
January 12, 2026, 12:08 AM EST. February WTI settled higher on Friday, up 2.35% to a one-month high, while February RBOB rose 1.15%. Crude and gasoline posted gains as protests in Iran, a top OPEC+ producer, escalated and threatened supply. A firmer US economy supported demand-unemployment fell to 4.4% and January consumer sentiment rose to 54.0. The dollar strengthened later, trimming gains. The market also priced in OPEC+'s pause on production increases for Q1 2026 and expectations of oil-related inflows from upcoming index rebalancing. Citigroup cited expected inflows to main commodity indexes. Tanker stockpiles fell 3.4% week-on-week, while Chinese crude imports in December rose 10% m/m to 12.2 million bpd, signaling resilient demand. Saudi Arabia cut Arab Light prices for February, adding another layer of nuance.
Nifty, Sensex open cautious as Iran unrest, crude prices rise
January 12, 2026, 12:06 AM EST. Indian stocks opened cautiously as geopolitical tensions and higher crude prices weighed on sentiment. The NIFTY 50 fell 14.25 points to 25,669.05, and the Sensex opened at 83,435.31, down 140.93. Brent crude rose to about $63.49 a barrel, reinforcing risk-off mood. On the NSE, the Nifty 100, Midcap 100 and Smallcap 100 slipped, with most sectoral indices in the red. A few pockets, including Nifty Metal, Nifty PSU Bank and Nifty Realty, held up. Traders cited ongoing FII outflows and global uncertainty. Ponmudi R, CEO of Enrich Money, warned pullback rallies could be short-lived as risk appetite remains restrained. Sunil Gurjar noted the Nifty 50 below its short-term EMAs, flagging potential further downside.
Sensex, Nifty muted start as GIFT Nifty signals caution; bears press below key levels
January 12, 2026, 12:05 AM EST.Nifty opened the week on a weak note, having broken key trend supports and short-term moving averages, signaling a bear hug (bearish pressure). Analysts say selling on intraday rallies and rising volatility point to downside risk toward the 25,300-25,350 zone. A sustained move above the 25,900-26,100resistance zone is needed to lift sentiment. GIFT Nifty implies a muted start, while Asian shares trade mixed. If Nifty closes back above the early supports, momentum could turn, but near-term bias remains negative.
Sensex, Nifty slide for sixth straight session as turbulence weighs on Dalal Street
January 12, 2026, 12:04 AM EST. Benchmark indices extended their six-session losing streak in early trade, with the Sensex down about 323 points to 83,253 and the Nifty off 90 points near 25,593 as investor caution spread. Broad losses reflected domestic concerns and unsettled global cues. Geojit's Dr. VK Vijayakumar called the mood 'distinctly weak,' pointing to India-specific issues, geopolitical risks around Venezuela and Iran, and remarks by former US President Donald Trump as factors unsettling confidence. He cited a higher India VIX and the risk of volatility ahead, noting uncertainty over a potential US Supreme Court ruling on Trump-era tariffs. Traders were advised to stay selective, adopt a range-bound approach, and chase breakouts mainly in large caps like Reliance Industries and other IT majors and banks ahead of Q3 results.
Wheat futures ease midday as export pace stays strong ahead of WASDE
January 12, 2026, 12:03 AM EST. Wheat futures drift lower at midday as the week edges toward a quiet close. Chicago SRW (soft red winter) futures are fractionally lower; KC HRW (hard red winter) contracts off 1-2 cents. MPLS (Minneapolis spring wheat) is down 2-3 cents. Export data as of Jan 1 show export commitments at 20.228 MMT, up 18% year over year and 83% of the USDA estimate, near the 5-year average pace. Shipments total 15.16 MMT, up 21% YoY and 61% of the USDA export target, above the 57% average. The USDA will publish the WASDE (World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates) on Monday, with ending stocks seen down about 5 mbu to 896 mbu.
All for One Group (ETR:A1OS) five-year TSR at -21% as share price falls 30%
January 12, 2026, 12:02 AM EST. All for One Group SE (ETR:A1OS) has faced a tough stretch: the share price has fallen about 30% over five years and 30% in the last 12 months. The company's earnings per share (EPS) declined around 1.6% per year in that period, milder than the price drop, suggesting earlier investor optimism may have faded. Including dividends, the total shareholder return (TSR) over five years registers at about -21%, meaning dividends could not offset the equity decline. The takeaway: investors should weigh the quality of the business and risks beyond market moves. While a dividend suspension or cuts could further affect returns, the report stresses evaluating fundamentals, cash flow, and growth prospects before committing new funds. Markets reflect sentiment, not just earnings; context matters.
Middle East penny stocks gain traction in January 2026 as Gulf markets rally
January 12, 2026, 12:01 AM EST. Middle East markets rose as oil firmed, lifting Gulf indexes. Penny stocks-low-priced, smaller issuers-remain in focus when backed by solid fundamentals. A regional screener flags several candidates across ADX, DFM and SASE, with multiple names rated highly on financial health. Highlights include insurers like Al Dhafra Insurance and Dubai Investments, plus Thob Al Aseel, E7 Group and Sharjah Cement. Some carry debt-free balance sheets or attractive yields, but earnings growth and free cash flow vary, underscoring risk in this segment. The data, from Simply Wall St and the screener's scans, should be treated as one input among many. Investors should stay cautious, maintain liquidity, and focus on companies with clear cash-flow visibility within the penny stocks spectrum.
