Australian shares flat as US inflation eases; Acadia Daybue forecast lifts Neuren partner
January 14, 2026, 1:32 AM EST. Australian shares edged near-flat after softer US inflation data supported rate-cut bets. The S&P/ASX 200 ended at about 8,820.6. In the United States, the core Consumer Price Index rose 0.2% in November 2025, assuaging some rate-hike fears. Domestically, dwelling approvals rose 15% to 18,406 in November, while job openings fell 0.2% to 326,700 in the three months to November. On the corporate front, Neuren Pharmaceuticals' Nasdaq partner Acadia Pharmaceuticals forecast Daybue global net sales of roughly $700 million in 2028, sending Neuren up about 6% at close. Mayne Pharma said chair Frank Condella will retire; its shares slipped about 2%. BlueScope Steel to pay an unfranked AU$1 per share special dividend.
Australian shares edge higher as mining, energy lift ASX 200
January 14, 2026, 1:30 AM EST. The S&P/ASX 200 rose 0.1% to 8,821, extending a three-session rally to a fresh two-month high. Mining and energy stocks led gains, with the sub-index hitting a new peak as iron ore and copper prices cooled. BHP and Rio Tinto gained about 1.1% and 0.8%. Lynas Rare Earths jumped 4.2% for a third straight session after Australia prioritised rare earths in a A$1.2 billion minerals reserve. Energy shares rose about 1.6% as oil advanced on Iran supply risks, lifting Santos and Woodside over 2.6%. Gold miners added roughly 0.9% to a record as bullion rally continued on bets for US rate cuts and safe-haven demand. Financials fell about 0.7%, with the big four banks down 0.3% to 1.3% after profit-taking.
European markets head for mixed open as Greenland talks loom
January 14, 2026, 1:29 AM EST. European stocks are set for a mixed open as investors focus on a three-way meeting about Greenland's future. The FTSE 100 is seen about 0.1% higher, the DAX near flat, the CAC 40 about 0.2% higher, and the FTSE MIB little changed. Attention centers on talks among the U.S., Danish and Greenlandic officials after President Donald Trump floated acquiring the island. Denmark and Greenland have said the territory is not for sale. In Asia, Japanese indexes rose on bets that Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi may call a snap election. U.S. stock futures were steady after the S&P 500 retreated from earlier highs. No major European earnings or data releases are due on Wednesday.
Walmart Stock Outlook 2026 and 2030: Mixed Analyst Targets, Cautious Near-Term
January 14, 2026, 1:17 AM EST. 2026 outlook: Of 43 analysts following Walmart, 31 rated buy or equivalent and nine rated strong buy. The consensus price target sits at $122.23, with the stock near $118 in mid-January. Several targets were nudged higher early in the year, including Bernstein to $129 and Mizuho and Oppenheimer to $125. The writer remains cautious, noting Walmart traded at about 45x forward earnings in mid-January, well above the S&P 500 and Nasdaq thresholds. The implied risk is a pullback, with a year-end target below $110 suggested. 2030 outlook: Forecasts vary widely. Conservative/bearish calls see $120-$140; bullish bets exceed $250 if e-commerce, digital ads and international expansion accelerate while multiples stay high. The author's view: about $150 by 2030, arguing growth may slow enough to keep valuation multiples from expanding.
Sensex falls over 100 points; Nifty below 25,700 as FIIs sell and crude stays firm
January 14, 2026, 1:16 AM EST. India's benchmarks opened lower as sustained foreign institutional selling and firm crude oil prices weighed on sentiment. The Sensex fell 116 points to 83,511.29, while the Nifty 50 shed 44 points to 25,688. Losses on the 30-share index were led by names including TCS, Asian Paints, Kotak Mahindra Bank, InterGlobe Aviation and Sun Pharma, with gains for Tata Steel, NTPC, Bharat Electronics, Axis Bank and Mahindra & Mahindra. Broad markets were subdued, with small- and mid-cap stocks trading flat. On the institutional front, FIIs sold about Rs 1,500 crore on Jan 13, while DIIs were net buyers of about Rs 1,182 crore. Globally, Asian shares edged higher but currency volatility persisted; gold at record highs and oil rose amid Iran tensions. Traders warned the pullback could extend while staying selective in fairly valued growth names.
Severfield plc (LON:SFR) shares hover near £0.29; DCF value around £0.21
January 14, 2026, 1:14 AM EST. Severfield plc traded around £0.29 on the LSE, within a roughly £0.26-£0.30 range in recent months. A discounted cash flow model values the stock at about £0.21, implying it is roughly 40% overvalued at the current price. The lack of near-term upside is tempered by its low beta, suggesting less volatility than the market. Yet the outlook isn't nothing. Revenues are forecast to grow around 20% over the next couple of years, which could lift cash flow if costs stay in check. Investors face whether to hold or sell into strength, while new buyers may wait for prices to drift toward the intrinsic value before committing.
AI-generated signals neutral for CI Canadian Short-Term Aggregate Bond Index ETF (CAGS:CA)
January 14, 2026, 1:13 AM EST. On January 14, 2026, an update to the AI-generated signals for CAGS:CA – the CI Canadian Short-Term Aggregate Bond Index ETF – shows a neutral rating across Near, Mid and Long horizons. The note also publishes explicit trading plans: a buy near 47.76 with a target of 48.02 and a stop at 47.52; and a short near 48.02 with a target of 47.76 and a stop at 48.26. The report reiterates the neutral stance and points readers to an updated signal chart for CAGS:CA. This snapshot accompanies the timestamped update and the symbol's trading context.
Deutsche Bank (DBK.SW) pre-market oversold-bounce watch toward CHF31.50
January 14, 2026, 12:57 AM EST. DBK.SW trades at CHF29.95 in pre-market on SIX as traders watch an oversold-bounce setup ahead of earnings. The intraday range is compressed; volume at 13.00 versus an average 369,916.00 signals low liquidity and quick mean-reversion risk. Fundamentals stay mixed: EPS 2.36, P/E 12.69, P/B 0.77. A cautious long-on-strength plan targets CHF30.30, with a stop under CHF29.40; first take-profit at CHF31.50, secondary at CHF34.65. Meyka AI grades DBK.SW 66.79/100 (Grade B), with one-year target CHF34.65. The earnings due 2026-01-29 and bank-sector momentum could validate or mute the bounce; risks include low liquidity and possible downside on disappointing results.
Sensex, Nifty open lower as FIIs outflows persist and crude climbs
January 14, 2026, 12:56 AM EST.Sensex and Nifty opened lower in Mumbai as FII outflows persisted and crude prices rose on Iran tensions. At 9:25 am, Sensex slipped 74 points to 83,552 and Nifty declined 12 points to 25,719. The breadth was mixed: Nifty Midcap 100 steady, Smallcap 100 up about 0.5%. ONGC, Coal India and NTPC were among gainers; most sectoral indices traded red, with metal and oil & gas among the few bright spots, up roughly 0.8% and 0.3%. Oil climbed about 2.8% to a seven-week high amid Iran tensions and protests. FIIs sold Rs 1,500 crore; DIIs bought Rs 1,182 crore. In Asia, bourses were mixed; U.S. markets closed mostly lower in the prior session.
TJX pricing seen as rich after multi-year gains; DCF flags overvaluation
January 14, 2026, 12:46 AM EST. TJX Companies is trading around $158.14 a share, up 2.7% in the past week. The stock has surged about 34% this year and more than 150% over five years as off-price retail stays in focus. A recent valuation checklist yields a score of 0/6, signaling potential red flags. A two-stage discounted cash flow to equity model (DCF/FCFE) puts the stock's intrinsic value at $105.53 per share, suggesting the shares are about 50% overvalued versus that estimate. The price-to-earnings multiple sits at 34.3x, higher than typical ranges linked to growth and risk. Investors should weigh the durability of TJX's business model beyond the numbers.
Southwest Airlines (LUV) undervalued after strong 1-year gains, says DCF model
January 14, 2026, 12:45 AM EST. Southwest Airlines trades near $43.20 a share. Over the last week it rose 1.7%, up 4.9% in the past month, 4.6% year to date and 33.2% over the past year. Three-year return sits at 24.7%, five-year at a 1.0% decline. The stock carries a valuation score of 2/6. A DCF model places an intrinsic value of around $148.86 per share, implying the stock is about 71.0% undervalued at current prices. The model uses last-twelve-month free cash flow of about -$997.5 million and projects it turning positive to roughly $6.9 billion by 2035, with interim figures of $192.8 million in 2026, $678.4 million in 2027 and $748.8 million in 2028. The analysis notes that a P/E can reflect growth expectations and risk; a 'normal' or 'fair' P/E tends to be higher with stronger earnings growth and lower when gains are modest or risks elevated. Investors should weigh whether the market has priced in a recovery in air travel.
ICE valuation flags overvaluation at $166 share price
January 14, 2026, 12:44 AM EST. Intercontinental Exchange trades around $166 a share as investors weigh fair value vs a stretched price. The stock has surged on multi-year gains and sits in a sector of exchanges and financial infrastructure. On our valuation scorecard, ICE scores 1/6. The Excess Returns model yields an intrinsic value of about $114.82 and flags the stock as overvalued by roughly 45%. Inputs include a Book Value of $50.25 and a Stable EPS of $7.79, with a ROE around 15.1% and a Cost of Equity about $4.43 per share; excess return of $3.37. The DCF suggests fair value but the current P/E is about 30.06x-above many peers-counseling caution.
RH trades around $223 as DCF flags undervaluation after five-year decline
January 14, 2026, 12:43 AM EST. RH traded near US$222.74 per share after a 7-day gain. The stock has risen 6% over seven days, 37.5% in the last 30 days, and 15.2% year-to-date, but remains down 46.5% over one year and 55.5% over five years. A DCF analysis yields an intrinsic value of about $396.97 per share, suggesting roughly 43.9% undervaluation versus the current price. The model uses a 2-stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach, with trailing twelve-month FCF around $76.4 million and forecasts of $300.5 million in 2028. The stock trades at a P/E of 38x, above the industry average (21x) and peers (18.8x). Later years are more assumption-heavy, as investors weigh RH's luxury positioning against cautious consumer spending.
Antero Resources (AR) Named Top Analyst Pick for 2026 by Wells Fargo
January 14, 2026, 12:42 AM EST. Antero Resources Corp. (NYSE: AR) is highlighted as one of the 10 cheapest oil-and-gas stocks by Wells Fargo, with the firm adding AR to its Q1 2026 Tactical Ideas list. Wells Fargo reiterates a Buy rating and a $49 target, implying about 55.5% upside from present levels. Scotiabank and Seibert Williams Shank also expressed bullish views, with targets near $50 and a similar upside. The stock trades below the lowest Wall Street target of $36, a point of potential value. AR operates in three segments-Marketing, Exploration & Production, and Equity Method Investment in Antero Midstream-throughout the United States, with the HG acquisition boosting NAV by about $10 per share and strategic value in West Virginia's data-center ecosystem. The article notes AI stocks may offer greater upside elsewhere.
Cotton futures steady; front-months dip while crude climbs
January 14, 2026, 12:35 AM EST. Tuesday saw cotton futures hold steady to slightly lower, with the front-months slipping as much as 3 points. Crude oil rose another $1.60 to $61.10, while the U.S. dollar index advanced to 98.930, up 0.304. The online auction from The Seam sold 21,284 bales at 60.09 cents per pound. The Cotlook A Index eased to 74.45 cents, and ICE-certified cotton stocks fell by 481 bales to 11,029. The Adjusted World Price rose to 50.97 cents per pound, up 21 points week over week. Minor shifts across the cash and futures complex kept momentum muted in a quiet period for cotton.
Nifty opens in the red as Sensex slides on tariff fears and geopolitical tensions
January 14, 2026, 12:34 AM EST. Indian benchmarks opened lower as investors stayed cautious over renewed U.S. tariff threats tied to trade with Iran and heightening geopolitical tensions. The Nifty 50 opened at 25,648.55, down 83.75 points (-0.33%), while the Sensex opened at 83,370.06, down 257.63 points (-0.31%). FPIs were net sellers, offloading Rs 1,499.81 crore; DIIs bought Rs 1,181.78 crore. Sectorally, IT slid 0.29%, Auto fell 0.08%, FMCG rose 0.06%, Metal gained 0.25%, and PSU Bank edged up 0.21%. The rupee weakness, firmer crude prices and rising US yields added to headwinds. Ponmudi R, CEO of Enrich Money, said markets may stay steady to mildly cautious amid tariff uncertainty and geopolitical risk. CPI for December stayed within RBI's target, supporting bets on possible rate cuts.
BSE, NSE declare Jan 15 trading holiday for Maharashtra elections
January 14, 2026, 12:33 AM EST. Indian stock exchanges will be shut on January 15 for Maharashtra municipal elections. BSE says the equity, equity derivatives, commodity derivatives and electronic gold receipts segments will be closed, and that January 15 derivatives contracts will expire on January 14. NSE also declared January 15 a trading holiday in cash and futures and options (F&O) segments, reversing earlier guidance that it would be a settlement holiday. The move aligns with Maharashtra's public holiday and bank closures, prompting a one-day shift. 2026 now has 16 trading holidays, excluding weekends, with January 26 as the next. Other major closures include Holi, Ram Navami, Mahavir Jayanti, Good Friday, Ambedkar Jayanti, Maharashtra Day, Bakri Id, Muharram, Ganesh Chaturthi, Gandhi Jayanti, Dussehra, Diwali Balipratipada, Guru Nanak Jayanti and Christmas. February 1 remains a possible budget day if the government presents the Union Budget; decision awaited.
Wheat closes mixed as spring wheat leads gains; rainfall forecast weighs on prices
January 14, 2026, 12:32 AM EST. Wheat futures closed mixed on Tuesday as spring wheat outperformed and KC HRW led the downside. Chicago SRW front-months posted small losses; KC HRW contracts were down about 6 to 7¼ cents, while MPLS spring wheat finished 0 to 2 cents higher. The NOAA 7-day forecast calls for little rainfall in the Southern Plains and only light totals in the SRW belt, keeping crop prospects under review. On the global supply side, IKAR pegs Russia 2025/26 wheat exports at 46.5 MMT, up from 44.1; the European Commission data show exports at 11.6 MMT from July 1 to Jan 11, below last year's 11.8. Prices hovered in the mid-$5 area on front-month CBOT and KCBT contracts.
Astrana Health expands to 16 markets, sharpening value-based care push
January 14, 2026, 12:29 AM EST. Astrana Health used the 44th Annual J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference to outline a plan to scale its delegated risk and care-delivery model to 16 markets by 2025. The core engine remains value-based contracts aligned to outcomes, with a refreshed revenue forecast of about US$3.1-3.18 billion for 2025. The near-term signal hinges on executing existing risk contracts at acceptable margins, while the main risk is reliance on Medicare Advantage and Medicaid reimbursements. Profitability remains thin against a high earnings multiple, even as management talks a broader platform. Analysts at market data services show wide fair-value ranges, underscoring execution and policy risk. Investors face a tension between rapid expansion, modest current profit, and uncertain reimbursement policy as the story unfolds.
Pine Cliff Energy shares fall 2.6% on Tuesday; insider buys, dividend
January 14, 2026, 12:28 AM EST.Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. (TSE:PNE) fell 2.6% Tuesday, trading as low as C$0.74 and closing at that level. Volume reached 278,040, below the 391k share average. The stock trades near its 200-day SMA of C$0.72 and is under the 50-day SMA of C$0.84. Liquidity metrics show a quick ratio of 1.48 and a current ratio of 0.47; debt-to-equity stands at 76.74. Market cap is about C$265.5 million; the P/E is -12.33 and beta is -0.19. In the latest quarter, EPS was -C$0.02 on C$37.61 million in revenue. Analysts expect roughly C$0.01 EPS for the year. The firm paid a monthly dividend of C$0.0013 on Dec 31; ex-div date Dec 15; yield 2.1%; payout -56.25%. Insider Robert Brent Fryk bought 50,000 shares at C$0.82.
Warpaint London shares rise 1.6% after RBC trims target; analysts mixed
January 14, 2026, 12:27 AM EST.Warpaint London PLC (LON:W7L) shares rose 1.6% in mid-day trade, trading as high as GBX195 and last at GBX195, with about 253,653 shares changing hands vs the 275,776 average. The stock closed at GBX192 on the previous session. RBC cut its price objective on W7L from GBX700 to GBX440 and reiterated an 'outperform' rating in a Tuesday note. MarketBeat shows two analysts rate the stock a Buy, with a GBX475 average target. Key metrics: current ratio 3.46, quick ratio 1.56, debt-to-equity 2.55; 50-day moving average 199.79; 200-day MA 264.66. Market cap about £157.5 million; P/E 9.88; beta 0.60. Warpaint London sells cosmetics under W7, Technic and related brands, with distribution across the UK, Europe, US and beyond.
Aussie shares edge higher as miners rally, banks fall
January 14, 2026, 12:26 AM EST. Australian shares closed slightly higher on Jan 14, 2026, helped by a surge in energy stocks and gains in miners. Those moves offset weakness in the heavyweight banks, leaving the market modestly firmer for the session.
Geopolitical tensions buoy crude as Iran unrest and OPEC+ pause loom
January 14, 2026, 12:14 AM EST. Crude and gasoline rose on Tuesday. February WTI (CLG26) closed up +1.65 (+2.77%), while February RBOB (RBG26) gained +0.0327 (+1.82%). The move comes as crude hits a 2.25-month high and gasoline a 5-week high. Traders cited Iran tensions after President Trump's tougher rhetoric and protests that threaten crude output. Drone strikes cut loadings at the Caspian Pipeline Consortium terminal, supporting prices by reducing Kazakh flows. Market dynamics also reflect index rebalancing, with Citi forecasting inflows into the BCOM and S&P GSCI futures. Chinese demand remains a support, with Kpler data showing December imports around 12.2 million bpd. OPEC+ reiterated a pause on Q1 2026 production increases amid a global oil surplus outlook from the IEA.
Pilgrim's Pride (PPC) Valuation Mixed as Price Lags Fair Value, Analysts Diverge
January 14, 2026, 12:13 AM EST. Pilgrim's Pride Corp (PPC) has drawn attention after a mixed run in recent sessions. The stock rose 7.62% in the last week and 5.95% over 90 days, trading at $40.41. One-year and five-year total shareholder returns run at 4.11% and 146.27%, underscoring longer-term momentum even as near-term sentiment flips. The latest narrative pegs fair value at $43.57, suggesting the stock is undervalued versus current levels. The model assumes modest revenue growth, a sub-current profit margin and a future P/E below the sector, but above today's price. By contrast, Simply Wall St's DCF view puts fair value at just $0.57, highlighting model risk and disagreement among methods. Risks include higher labor, compliance costs and input cost volatility.
Allegiant Travel Seen Undervalued by DCF Amid Mixed Valuation Signals
January 14, 2026, 12:12 AM EST. Allegiant Travel (ALGT) has trended down recently, off roughly 7.7% last week and 14.8% over the past year, while longer horizons show a sharper split: 3-year returns around 10.3%, 5-year declines near 51.9%. The stock carries a 3 out of 6 on a valuation check, signaling a mixed view. A modeled Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) suggests the shares are substantially undervalued, with an implied fair value of about $979.37 per share and a 91.2% gap to the current price, based on a near-2028 free cash flow path. The latest twelve-month FCF was a negative $208.3 million; analysts project later improvement. A cross-check with Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratios provides context for volatility in earnings. Investors keep an eye on Allegiant's route structure and cost base versus peers as the balance sheet informs risk and opportunity.
Instability, not uncertainty, defines today's investing environment
January 14, 2026, 12:11 AM EST. Markets bend to instability rather than certainty. Analysts say the investing climate is defined by abrupt policy shifts, geopolitics, and liquidity swings. Equities ebb and flow as central banks dial rates; inflation surprises fade in some regions but persist in others. The dollar whipsaws; bond markets recalibrate risk premia-the extra return investors demand for risk. Traders watch earnings quality, supply chains, and cost discipline more than macro forecasts. Near-term volatility remains; longer-run uncertainty has cooled, but not disappeared. Investors price resilience and defensiveness, seeking downside protection in a backdrop of rising individual company risk. Instability now shapes position sizing, sector bets, and treasury duration, with participants wary of overexposure to any single bet.
Sensex, Nifty Muted Start as GIFT Nifty Signals; Infosys, Groww, HDFC AMC in Focus
January 14, 2026, 12:07 AM EST. Mumbai – Sensex and Nifty 50 are set for a muted open as GIFT Nifty signals caution. In broader Asia, shares trade mixed as investors digest global cues and await earnings. Domestically, attention centers on companies in focus ahead of their third-quarter results, including Infosys, Groww, HDFC AMC, ICICI Lombard and Waaree Renewable, along with related news developments. Traders will parse guidance, margins and outlooks that shape near-term sentiment. The session remains sensitive to policy chatter and domestic liquidity conditions. We will provide live updates as the market moves through the session.
Boab Metals raises about A$7 million in follow-on equity to bolster Sorby Hills funding
January 14, 2026, 12:06 AM EST.Boab Metals Limited said it completed a follow-on equity offering raising A$6.999986 million by issuing 17,499,964 ordinary shares at A$0.40. The placement strengthens the company's funding position and may support Sorby Hills development, reducing near-term balance-sheet pressure after a year of minimal revenue and ongoing losses. An auditor flagged going-concern uncertainty. In the short term, catalysts remain approvals, offtakes and other funding milestones, but the float's dilution risk persists as the company needs cash flow. Equity raises, a high price-to-book multiple and ongoing funding needs keep financing and execution risk in focus for shareholders. Valuation is contested, with diverse fair value estimates cited; investors must weigh the potential for Sorby Hills against dilution and execution risk.
Twilio (TWLO) valuation check after mixed share-price performance
January 14, 2026, 12:05 AM EST.Twilio shares resumed a choppy path, up 1.65% in the latest session but down 6.85% over the past week and 2.32% over 30 days. Over three months the stock has gained 20.37%, while the one-year return runs about 19.45%. The company posted US$4.9 billion in revenue and US$67.2 million in net income in the period, underscoring growth alongside a still-low value score. A valuation model pins fair value at US$138.04, vs. a last close of US$129.83, implying a modest undervaluation at the margin. The stock trades at a price-to-sales of about 4x, above the US IT sector average of 2.3x but below peers at 6.5x and a broader fair ratio of 4.7x. Sustainability hinges on easing low-margin messaging and AI tools driving higher-margin revenue. Risks remain around competition and execution.
SSR Mining valuation check after momentum; fair value CA$38.85 vs CA$33.12
January 14, 2026, 12:04 AM EST. SSR Mining's stock has rebounded after a weaker patch. One-day gains of 4.15% and a week-long rise of 6.22% sit against a 90-day decline of 7.25% and a 1-year return of 212.75%, signaling renewed momentum alongside strong longer-term gains. The shares trade at CA$33.12, below the average analyst target of CA$38.59, with some models implying a sizable intrinsic discount. The fair value is CA$38.85, offering upside to the recent close. The narrative points to operational efficiencies, technology upgrades, and disciplined capital allocation, including integrated acquisitions that should lower sustaining costs and lift margins and cash flow. Macro uncertainty and geopolitical risks bolster gold's diversification appeal, potentially supporting SSR Mining's earnings resilience. Risks remain around Çöpler's restart timing and remediations, plus political risk in Türkiye and Argentina.
KB Home valuation under review after price swings; DCF vs consensus shows wide gaps
January 14, 2026, 12:03 AM EST. KB Home (KBH) trades near $62.58 as volatility tests the near-term thesis. A 7-day return of about 9.4% contrasts with a -4.5% 30-day drawdown, while the 1-year total return is -5.3% against a 3-year gain near +86%. The street sees a fair value around $63.75, just above the current level, with a consensus target near $66.69; bulls price upside to $86, bears as low as $55. A standalone DCF model from SWS lands at about $35.09, signaling a wide gap between market pricing and cash-flow value. Risks include softer demand and regional price actions, notably in Florida, that could temper the earnings path.
