Stock Market Today 14.11.2025

AI stock frenzy: a bubble within a bubble?

November 14, 2025, 11:26 PM EST. Gold prices soaring, Bitcoin plunging, and losses on US regional banks foreshadow turbulence as the AI stock frenzy grows. From Jeff Bezos to Sam Altman, Jamie Dimon, Michael Burry, and institutions like the IMF and Bank of England, leading voices question if the AI boom is a bubble within a bubble or resembles the dot-com era. The piece notes that a bubble is only confirmed when it bursts; for now the AI rally has not popped. Still, the secondary market trades at 10-20 times projected profits, driven by a self-fulfilling belief that prices will keep rising. The focus remains on the Magnificent 7-Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia and Tesla-as investors chase a new industrial revolution, even as risks accumulate in the broader financial system.

Stealth Group Holdings Posts Record 2025 Results with 252% TSR and Growth Initiatives

November 14, 2025, 11:24 PM EST. Stealth Group Holdings Ltd (AU:SGI) delivered a transformative 2025, with sales up 27.6% to $145.1 million, EBITDA up 62% to $9.9 million, and net profit after tax up 130% to $3.1 million. Key milestones included the integration of Force Technology International, a $7.5 million capital raise, and the launch of The Tool Hire Company. The group expanded brand rights with exclusive lines like CASETiFY and CAT®, and grew retail penetration. Investor highlights included a share price rise and a 252% total shareholder return, while net debt fell 37%. The stock is currently rated Hold with a A$1.50 price target by analysts.

Rayonier (RYN) Valuation Revisited After Share Price Decline

November 14, 2025, 11:08 PM EST. Rayonier (RYN) has seen a steady stock-price slide, raising questions about its valuation and growth outlook. The latest data show a 1-day return of -1.49% and a YTD drop near -16%, with five-year returns modestly positive but investor caution mounting. The stock trades well below recent highs and against analyst targets, prompting debate on whether RYN is now undervalued or simply priced for slower growth. A popular narrative pegs a fair value of $29.33, versus about $21.79 near term, highlighting a potential discount. Rayonier's land-based solutions segment is pursuing renewable-energy opportunities-solar, carbon capture and offsets-which could yield higher-margin revenue if policy support expands. Risks include climate exposure and uncertain demand for pulpwood, underscoring what the market may be missing in the multi-year transformation.

Could Pharmesis International (SGX:BFK) ROE of 17% and 5-year growth justify a reevaluation after a 6.9% drop?

November 14, 2025, 10:36 PM EST. Pharmesis International (SGX:BFK) has fallen 6.9% last month, yet its trailing ROE of 17% signals capital efficiency. ROE = Net Profit / Shareholders' Equity; for Pharmesis: CN¥10m / CN¥60m. Relative to the industry average of 8.7%, the company shows stronger profitability, with net income growth of 54% over five years. This growth also outpaces the industry's ~7.5%. The company does not pay regular dividends, implying a reinvestment strategy. The big question: has the market priced in this growth, or is the stock misvalued at current levels? The piece hints at valuation measures but does not pin down a fair value, leaving readers to weigh whether SGX:BFK is undervalued or overvalued.

Is BHP Still Undervalued After a Year-To-Date Rally? A DCF Check

November 14, 2025, 10:06 PM EST. BHP Group has posted modest weekly gains but a strong year-to-date rally as commodity prices, infrastructure spending, and China demand shape the outlook. The stock is up about 7.0% YTD and 11.3% over the past year. A recent value check labels BHP undervalued on a DCF basis, with a fair value near $47.98 per share-about 10.9% above the current price. Analysts forecast robust free cash flow for the next several years, roughly $10.23B by 2030, supporting the case for fair value above the market price. The P/E multiple remains a nuanced signal, given growth and risk. Overall, the analysis suggests a discount relative to cash generation, making BHP a potential entry in a commodity cycle for patient investors.

Futures mixed as AI stocks stay in focus after volatile Wall Street session

November 14, 2025, 10:04 PM EST. U.S. stock futures showed a mixed tilt on Friday after a volatile Wall Street session. Dow mini futures fell about 276 points to around 47,271, while S&P 500 mini futures edged higher to roughly 6,765 and Nasdaq futures climbed to about 25,147. The day's cash closes: S&P 500 at 6,734.11, down 0.1%; Dow at 47,147.48, off 309.74; Nasdaq at 22,900.59, up 30.23. Nvidia swung from a 3.4% loss to a gain near 1.8% and helped reverse losses, underscoring the AI focus. The broader move came amid swings in Bitcoin and gold. In individual names, Walmart dipped about 0.1% after announcing CEO Doug McMillon will retire in January, as the company continues to embrace technology under his leadership.

FG: 5% Weekly Gain Signals Potential Undervaluation for F&G Annuities & Life

November 14, 2025, 9:18 PM EST. F&G Annuities & Life (FG) posted a 5% weekly gain, renewing attention after a challenging year. While shares remain down about 27% on a 1-year basis and deep in the red year-to-date, the momentum hints at shifting expectations. FG trades at 9.8x P/E, below the US insurance industry average (13.2x) and the peer average (10.6x), implying relative undervaluation at the last close of $32.46. Yet risks persist: revenue growth has slowed and near-term volatility could continue. Our DCF model suggests FG is roughly 24% below estimated fair value, increasing the case for a re-rating if earnings stabilize. If sentiment improves or fundamentals strengthen, the multiple could move closer to peers. See the valuation breakdown for the numbers and key risks.

Nvidia Sparks Late Rally as Rafael Holdings Rockets 136%; Nasdaq Movers Highlight Friday Swing

November 14, 2025, 9:16 PM EST. Wall Street wobbled at the open, with Nvidia slipping, then rebounding to lift markets as AI stocks again dictated terms. The S&P 500 closed slightly lower after a volatile session, while the Nasdaq flipped into positive and the Dow trimmed losses to about 309 points. Nvidia swung from a 3.4% loss to a 1.8% gain, underscoring AI-fueled swings. Notable moves included Walmart retreating after confirming CEO Doug McMillon's January retirement. On the top gainer side, Rafael Holdings (RFL) exploded 136.9%, followed by CDTX, FTW, BCGWW, and CLNNW with big advances. On the downside, ONEG, NVVE, TSSI, DTCK, and MRNOW tumbled. Closing: S&P 500 −3.38, Dow −309.74, Nasdaq +30.23.

Flexible Solutions International (FSI) Q3: Loss Narrowed, Revenue Beat; Holds at Zacks Rank #3

November 14, 2025, 8:42 PM EST. Flexible Solutions International Inc. (FSI) posted a Q3 loss of $0.04 per share vs a Zacks Consensus loss of $0.05, with revenues of $10.56 million, ahead of the estimate by about 0.92%. The result produced a -180% earnings surprise, following last year's Q3 earnings of $0.05. YTD the stock has climbed roughly 122%, versus the S&P 500's ~14.6% gain. The company maintains a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). For the coming quarter, the consensus calls for $0.12 per share on $12.82 million in revenue, with the full-year view at $0.29 on $42.12 million. Looking ahead, investors will watch management's earnings call remarks and how industry conditions may shape the stock's trajectory.

VerifyMe, Inc. (VRME) Q3 Loss Beats Revenue Estimates; Zacks Rank Holds at #3

November 14, 2025, 8:40 PM EST. VerifyMe, Inc. (VRME) posted a Q3 loss of $0.02 per share, beating the consensus loss of $0.04 and improving from a year-ago $0.06 loss; the result is an earnings surprise of +50%. Revenue came in at $5.03 million, beating the Zacks consensus by 2.92% versus $5.43 million a year earlier. Over the last four quarters, the company has topped EPS estimates three times and revenue estimates twice. The stock has fallen about 41.5% YTD, vs. the S&P 500 gain of 14.6%. Ahead of the call, the current consensus for next quarter is -$0.02 on $7.47 million in revenue; for the full year, -$0.13 on $21.34 million. The stock carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).

Cotton Slides on USDA Yield Increase; Futures Extend Weekly Decline

November 14, 2025, 8:38 PM EST. Cotton futures extended losses on Friday, with nearby contracts finishing down about 35-41 points and December shedding roughly 113 points for the week. The USDA lifted yield by 58 lbs/acre to 919, lifting production to 14.12 million bales and boosting exports 200,000 bales to 12.2 million. Stocks rose by 700,000 bales to 4.3 million. In the broader market, crude oil advanced about $1.23 to $59.92 and the US dollar index ticked up to 99.170. The report underscored firmer supply expectations for cotton, even as external markets influenced risk sentiment.

Soybeans Fall as Export Data Indicates Limited China Buying

November 14, 2025, 8:36 PM EST. Soybeans fell into the weekend as futures were pressured by export data signaling limited China buying. USDA's backlog shows 1.348 MMT in unreported daily sales, with China purchasing 332,000 MT and 616,000 MT to unknown destinations; 237,500 MT of soybean meal went to the Philippines. A separate USDA update put U.S. yield at 53 bpa, production at 4.253 bbu, and a smaller carryover of 316 mbu, lowering ending stocks to about 290 mbu after weaker exports. Prices: Nov 25 soybeans closed 11.12 3/4, Nearby Cash 10.50 1/4, with Jan 26 and Mar 26 futures at 11.24 1/2 and 11.36. The data, along with a looming NOPA crush report, points to steadier supply/demand into January.

Corn Futures Fall on USDA Yield Downgrade as Carryout Rises; Dec Contracts Gain on Week

November 14, 2025, 8:35 PM EST. Corn futures closed lower Friday, with nearby contracts down about 10 to 11.5 cents, while the December contract led the week with a small gain. The CmdtyView cash price slipped to $3.91 1/2. USDA's updated Crop Production report pegged corn yield at 186 bpa, a slight drop from September and a 62 mbu cut in output to 16.752 bbu. WASDE updates lifted the 2024/25 carryout by 207 mbu to 1.532 bbu, and exports added 100 mbu, leaving 2025/26 carryout higher by ~44 mbu to 2.154 bbu. World ending stocks sit at 281.34 MMT, with China trimming demand by 3.16 MMT. Front-months closed at Dec $4.30 1/4, Nearby Cash $3.91 1/2; Mar and May at $4.44 and $4.52 1/4 respectively.

Hogs Close Higher on Friday as Lean Hog Futures Rise; Export Sales Mixed

November 14, 2025, 8:32 PM EST. Lean hog futures closed higher on Friday, with front-month gains around 0.17. The national base hog price was $80.38 (down $1.87), while the CME Lean Hog Index posted $81.93 as of Jan 22, up 0.21. A Cold Storage tally shows pork at 400.398 million lbs at year-end, up 2.37% from November but down 6.3% year over year. Export Sales for 2025 reached 37,741 MT in the week of 1/16, with Japan at 9,600 MT and Mexico at 9,000 MT; shipments totaled 22,822 MT, the lowest since October. The FOB plant pork cutout was $91.69 per cwt, down 8 cents, with ham and belly primals higher. Slaughter for the week ran 2.291 million head, down 123,000 from last week.

Wheat Falls as USDA Lifts 2025/26 Ending Stocks on Higher Production

November 14, 2025, 8:30 PM EST. The wheat complex closed Friday lower after the USDA lifted its 2025/26 supply outlook. US ending stocks rose to 901 mbu, up 57 mbu, as production increased by 58 mbu to about 1.985 bbu. The demand side was unchanged. Globally, ending stocks climbed to 271.43 MMT with world production at 828.89 MMT. In futures action, CBT SRW, KC HRW, and MPLS spring contracts finished in the red, extending a week of mixed price moves. The report underscores ample supplies and steady demand, keeping near-term downside risk intact for wheat markets.

Cattle Futures Rally into Weekend on Mixed Cash Trade

November 14, 2025, 8:28 PM EST. U.S. cattle futures managed a Friday bounce, with live cattle futures finishing higher by roughly 15 cents to as much as $1, while December contracts still posted a weekly decline. Cash trade was reported around $225-$227 per cwt across the country, with some sales at $228 in the South and late Northern trades at $218-$222. Feeder cattle futures advanced, gaining about $1.50-$2.10; January held a near $0.97 weekly gain despite some limit moves. The CME Feeder Cattle Index rose to $343.73. Weakening USDA Wholesale Boxed Beef prices narrowed the Choice vs. Select spread to $16.49, with Choice at $370.73 and Select at $354.24. Slaughter totaled 576,000 for the week, up from last, but below year-ago levels.

Writedown, Order Wins and AI Rally Define a Week in Markets

November 14, 2025, 8:18 PM EST. This week's highlights feature ST Engineering's S$667 million impairment on its iDirect satellite unit, trimming value to S$170 million as NGSO disruptors such as Starlink and Kuiper reshape the satellite landscape. Revenue and EBITDA weakened, but divestment gains and a S$0.23 per share dividend keep profit prospects positive. Seatrium carried a strong pulse with a net order book of S$16.6 billion in Q3 2025, supported by new contracts across offshore oil and gas and a growing pipeline toward renewables, offering revenue visibility through 2031 and target prices around S$2.76-S$3.05. AMD surged about 9% after Lisa Su called AI spending the right gamble, with projected 35% revenue growth CAGR over 3-5 years and 60% growth in the data center segment as hyperscalers lift spend.

Clearside Biomedical (CLSD) Reports Q3 Loss, Misses Revenue Estimates; Zacks Ranks Sell

November 14, 2025, 8:08 PM EST. Clearside Biomedical, Inc. (CLSD) posted a Q3 loss of $1.14 per share vs a $0.67 consensus loss. The result triggers a -70% earnings surprise; a year earlier the company reported $1.50 loss per share. Q3 revenue was $0.2 million, missing the consensus by about 23.6% and down from $1.04 million a year ago. The stock has shed roughly 74% YTD, lagging the S&P 500's +14.6%. Pre-earnings, Zacks assigned a Rank #4 Sell due to unfavorable estimate revisions. Looking ahead, the current consensus calls for -$0.67 next quarter on $0.26 million in revenue and -$4.80 for the year on $3.19 million in revenue. The outlook is influenced by the Medical – Biomedical and Genetics industry trend.

Copart, Inc. (CPRT) Falls More Than Market Ahead of Earnings

November 14, 2025, 8:04 PM EST. Copart, Inc. (CPRT) closed at $51.36, down 1.36%, underperforming the S&P 500 (-0.92%), Dow (-0.96%), and Nasdaq (-1.60%). The stock has fallen 0.72% in the last month, lagging the Business Services sector (+3.11%) and the S&P's +2.68%. Investors will scrutinize the upcoming earnings report with a consensus EPS of $0.37 (up 8.82% YoY) and revenue of $1.09B (up 7.2%). For the full year, Zacks calls for EPS of $1.54 and revenue of $4.6B (up 10% and 8.66%). Zacks assigns a Rank #5 (Strong Sell); its Forward P/E is about 33.88, in line with the industry average. The industry rank sits in the bottom tier, signaling caution.

Nvidia Stock Highlights: Buy the Dip Ahead of Q3 Earnings

November 14, 2025, 8:02 PM EST. NVDA has fallen over 10% from its 52-week and all-time high of $212 (post-split). With the AI chip leader set to report Q3 results next week, the buy-the-dip case remains attractive as a strong read could drive a rally. Analysts expect revenue of $54.59B (up ~55% YoY) and EPS around $1.24, with Zacks forecasting a potential beat at $1.28. Technically, the stock has a short-term uptrend, trading near the $179-$180 zone and staying above its 50-day moving average near $185. At about 41x forward earnings, NVDA trades modestly below its decade-long median amid enormous growth, supporting a favorable risk/reward. A solid beat could spark another leg higher, though results are never guaranteed.

Valeo (ENXTPA:FR) Valuation Under Spotlight After 23% Monthly Surge

November 14, 2025, 8:00 PM EST. Valeo (ENXTPA:FR) has surged about 23% in the last month, renewing investor focus on its valuation and growth trajectory. A 1-year TSR of around 46% underscores improving sentiment in the auto parts space, even as Valeo leans into electrification, ADAS and smart lighting to lift future revenue. Traders are weighing whether the stock is near fair value, with some analyses signaling a fair value just below the last close (hinting at a slight overvaluation today) while a separate SWS DCF model points to potential undervaluation if long-term earnings materialize. Risks include possible order cancellations in electrification and lingering segment underperformance. The narrative emphasizes margin improvements and efficiency against a backdrop of expanding demand, making Valeo a stock to watch for any shifts in momentum or earnings clarity.

GCI Liberty (GLIB.A) Valuation Signals After 11.5% 30-Day Slump

November 14, 2025, 7:58 PM EST. GCI Liberty (GLIB.A) has slipped to around $33.24 as the 30-day return falls -11.5%, though 2024 YTD remains modestly positive at +2.3%. The stock trades at a price-to-sales of 0.9x, below the US Telecom peer average, signaling a potential value opportunity even as the market rethinks growth prospects and risk in telecom. However, persistent losses and weak near-term revenue growth temper the case for upside. Our SWS DCF model shows GLIB.A trading at a steep discount to fair value of roughly 66%, raising questions about whether the market is underestimating long-term potential or over-emphasizing negatives. Readers may want to review the valuation breakdown and related risks.

XPeng (NYSE:XPEV) valuation rises on record sales growth and AI/robotics breakthroughs

November 14, 2025, 7:56 PM EST. XPeng (NYSE:XPEV) extended its streak of record vehicle deliveries, with October sales up 76% year over year, fueling momentum as AI and robotics initiatives roll out. The stock recently traded at three-year highs, with a 1-year total return near 96% and a near-term runup ahead of quarterly results. Analysts peg a fair value around $26.95, suggesting upside from current levels near $25.01, though much is priced in given elevated growth expectations. XPeng's push includes in-house AI hardware (Turing AI SoC) and vision-based ADAS aimed at higher-margin software revenue and improved margins. Yet risks remain: persistent net losses and competitive pressure in China could clip gains. On a price-to-sales basis, XPeng trades at ~2.8x vs. peers and sector averages, signaling valuation risk if growth slows.

Soluna Holdings Q3 Loss Misses Estimates; Mechanical Technology Also Misses Revenue

November 14, 2025, 7:45 PM EST. Soluna Holdings, Inc. (SLNH) reported Q3 earnings of a -$0.70 per share vs a $0.61 consensus loss, an earnings surprise of -14.75% and an improvement from last year's -$1.29 per share. The company's year-ago loss narrowed, but the quarter still lagged estimates. In the same market update, Mechanical Technology posted $8.42 million in revenues, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 6.5% and matching a prior year of $7.53 million. The company has not beat revenue estimates in the last four quarters. For MTCH, the near-term trend will depend on earnings revisions and management commentary; the current consensus calls for -$0.62 EPS on $10.4 million next quarter and -$2.35 EPS on $32.1 million for the year, with a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).

State of the Stock Market: Tim Fitzwilliams on Learning Investing for Young People

November 14, 2025, 7:40 PM EST. Tim Fitzwilliams of Fitzwilliams Financial joined LIVE Impact News to discuss the current stock market landscape and how young people can begin learning about investing. The segment emphasizes accessible resources, fundamentals, and practical steps to build a basic portfolio. Viewers left with a call to explore reputable educational outlets, practice with small trades, and stay informed about market shifts as they start their investing journey.

Venu Holding Q3 Loss Narrower Than Expected, Revenue Misses; Zacks Rates Hold

November 14, 2025, 7:26 PM EST. Venu Holding Corporation (VENU) reported a Q3 loss of $0.15 per share, better than the Zacks consensus loss of $0.21 and versus $0.13 a year ago. Revenue was $5.39 million, missing the consensus by about 42.1% and down from last year's $5.45 million. The EPS surprise was +28.57%, but the company has not consistently beaten revenue estimates, with one beat in the last four quarters. The stock carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) as management commentary will shape the near-term outlook. For the coming quarter, the consensus is -$0.24 on $6.7 million in revenue; for the full year, -$1.23 on $24 million. Despite the miss, VENU has outperformed the year-to-date market by roughly 24%.

Air Industries (AIRI) Q3 Loss Misses, Revenue Beat; Mixed Outlook

November 14, 2025, 7:24 PM EST. Air Industries (AIRI) reported a Q3 loss of $0.40 per share, versus the Zacks consensus of a loss of $0.16. Revenue reached $12.29 million, topping estimates by about 0.35%, but the company has not topped consensus EPS in four straight quarters. The stock is down roughly 30% year-to-date, underscoring a challenging earnings trajectory in the aerospace-defense supply chain. Looking ahead, the coming quarter is seen at -$0.08 EPS on $14 million in revenue, with the full-year outlook at -$0.55 on $52 million in revenue. Air Industries carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), implying returns in line with the market amid mixed revisions and industry headwinds for Aerospace – Defense.

IceCure Medical Receives Nasdaq Minimum Bid Price Notice, 180-Day Window to Regain Compliance for ICCM

November 14, 2025, 7:16 PM EST. IceCure Medical Ltd. (Nasdaq: ICCM) says Nasdaq notified it is not in compliance with the $1.00 minimum bid price rule under Listing Rule 5550(a)(2). The company has 180 calendar days to regain compliance, with a potential extension if it meets continued listing standards. To cure, the closing bid price must reach at least $1.00 for ten consecutive trading days. If not, Nasdaq may grant another 180-day period conditional on market value and other standards, or trigger delisting. Trading remains on the Nasdaq Capital Market during the grace period. IceCure plans to monitor the bid price closely and considers options to regain compliance. The notice does not impact current trading and the company prioritizes continued listing.

ClearSign Technologies (CLIR) Q3 Loss Narrows, Revenue Miss; Zacks Rank Holds at #3

November 14, 2025, 7:14 PM EST. ClearSign Technologies (CLIR) reported a Q3 loss of $0.03 per share vs a $0.04 consensus loss, an earnings surprise of 25%. Revenue came in at $0.32 million, missing the consensus by 19%; year-ago quarter revenue was $0.19 million. The company has not consistently beaten revenue estimates over the last four quarters. Despite a smaller loss, the stock has fallen about 50.3% year to date, underperforming the S&P 500 (-14.4%). Ahead of the call, the current earnings outlook shows an uncertain path: the next quarter is seen at -0.04 EPS on $0.85 million in revenue and the full fiscal year at -0.18 on $1.25 million in revenue. Zacks ranks it #3 (Hold), with the Industrial Services industry in the top third. Investors will watch management guidance.

Beam Global (BEEM) Reports Q3 Loss, Revenue Miss; Shares Fall Amid Mixed Outlook

November 14, 2025, 7:12 PM EST. BEEM posted a Q3 loss of $0.28 per share vs a Zacks consensus loss of $0.25, with revenue of $5.79 million missing estimates by about 35.9%. Year-ago results were $0.09 EPS on higher revenue. The miss continues Beam Global's struggle to top consensus revenue estimates over the last four quarters, and shares have fallen roughly 42.9% year to date while the S&P 500 is up. The stock carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), suggesting near-term results may track the broader market. For the coming quarter, the current consensus is EPS -$0.23 on $10.45 million revenue, and for the full fiscal year, EPS -$1.72 on $32.88 million in revenue. Management commentary will be key on the earnings call.

Stocks settle mixed as Fed signals rate-cut pause; energy rally helps

November 14, 2025, 7:10 PM EST. Stocks settled mixed as traders weighed hawkish Fed commentary and the likelihood of a rate-cut pause. The S&P 500 fell 0.05%, the Dow slipped 0.65%, while the Nasdaq 100 rose 0.06 as megacap tech recovered. December E-mini futures were little changed, reflecting skepticism about near-term cuts after officials signaled caution. The odds of a December cut slid to about 43% from 70% last week. Oil shares advanced as WTI crude climbed over 2%. China's October data underwhelmed, dimming global growth hopes. Bitcoin tumbled over 4% to a multi-month low amid ETF outflows. On Wednesday, President Trump signed legislation that ended the longest US government shutdown in history.

BancFirst (BANF) Valuation Under Scrutiny After 9% Dip: P/E vs. DCF Signals

November 14, 2025, 7:08 PM EST. BancFirst (BANF) has slid about 9% in the last month, yet investors should note the stock's long-run performance remains solid. The current P/E of 15.6x sits above the industry average and the SWS baseline, but a regression-based fair P/E near 10x suggests potential overvaluation if growth stalls. While trailing revenue and net income have shown softness, the five-year total return remains robust, signaling resilience. The market's pricing implies confidence in near-term upside, yet the SWS fair value model points toward a wider gap with a fair value near $179.94 vs. $111.13 current price, implying possible upside if the DCF assumptions hold. Investors should weigh the risk factors and consider whether the recent dip creates a genuine entry point or reflects limited growth prospects.

Bitcoin Dives to Six-Month Low as Crypto Prices Mirror Stock Market Declines

November 14, 2025, 6:56 PM EST. Bitcoin sank on Friday, slipping below $95,000 before rebounding to about $95,400, down roughly 3% on the day and 15% from a month earlier. The six-month low comes as crypto prices echo a weaker stock market, with the S&P 500 and Dow trading lower. Traders flag the potential Wyckoff Distribution pattern, which some say could imply further downside toward $86,000, though many dismiss the setup as speculative. The price of other major coins was mostly softer, with Ethereum and XRP down, while BNB bucked the trend. If Bitcoin continues to track equities, bulls will need a catalyst; if not, crypto could diverge. Forecasts vary: some see a rebound on a stronger economy, others warn of renewed weakness.

Fortrea Holdings (FTRE) Valuation in Focus After Mixed Price Action

November 14, 2025, 6:52 PM EST. Fortrea Holdings (FTRE) has traded in a mixed range, up roughly 2% over the last month but still down more than 44% year-to-date, as investors reassess risk and upside. A recent rally hints sentiment may be turning, even as fundamentals remain challenged. The market narrative pegs a fair value near $9.53, implying Fortrea is slightly overvalued versus the latest close around $10.41, though the drivers are linked to cost savings and margin gains. A separate DCF view shows the stock trading at a substantial discount to fair value (about 65.7%), suggesting potential upside if assumptions prove right. Risks include customer concentration and rising competitive pressures, while ongoing cost optimization could bolster EBITDA and net income into 2026.

Biotricity Inc. (BTCY) Q2 Loss Beats Estimates, Revenue Miss; Shares Rally YTD

November 14, 2025, 6:50 PM EST. Biotricity Inc. (BTCY) reported a Q2 loss per share of $0.03 vs a $0.08 consensus loss, an earnings surprise of +62.50%. The prior quarter showed a loss of $0.03 versus $0.09 expected (+66.67%). Over four quarters, the company beat the EPS estimate three times. Revenue came in at $3.89 million, missing the consensus by $0.36 million and up from $3.27 million year over year. The stock has risen about 82.8% YTD, well ahead of the S&P 500 (up 14.6%). The near-term outlook depends on management commentary and earnings revisions; the current Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) suggests returns in line with the market. Next-quarter consensus: -$0.08 on $4.1 million; full-year: -$0.32 on $15.8 million.

Electra (TASE:ELTR) Valuation Check: Momentum Triggers Mixed Signals in P/E and DCF

November 14, 2025, 6:48 PM EST. Electra (TASE:ELTR) has shown renewed momentum, but the valuation remains nuanced. The stock trades around $110.0 with a 90-day return of 16.77% and a 12-month total shareholder return of 28.67%, fueling optimism but warranting caution. Its P/E of 38.7x sits above construction peers but below the broader peer average of 51x, yet it still looks steep against the wider industry's 15.1x. A DCF-based fair value of ₪109.56 (vs. ₪110) suggests the name is near, or slightly above, intrinsic value. The takeaway: pricing reflects optimism about earnings growth, but visibility is limited and there may be upside or downside depending on execution. Watch for key risks and how the market prices the growth story.

Ron Baron's $8 Billion Tesla Windfall Could Balloon Further

November 14, 2025, 6:46 PM EST. Ron Baron, founder of Baron Capital, built an enormous Tesla stake through a patient, buy-and-hold approach. The investor's long record of outperformance underpins his conviction as he accrued roughly $8 billion from TSLA, holding the stock while others sold. He recently disclosed selling about a third of client positions, yet he remains heavily invested, with roughly 40% of his net worth tied to Tesla. In a CNBC interview, Baron framed his price target around $2,500 in 10 years and stressed he doesn't plan to sell anytime soon. He argues Tesla's reinvestment in growth, and Elon Musk's leadership-despite key-man risk-could propel the company higher for long-term investors. Optimus and other bets reinforce his bullish view.

Berkshire buys Alphabet stake, trims Apple in latest portfolio reveal

November 14, 2025, 6:44 PM EST. Berkshire Hathaway disclosed a $4.3 billion stake in Alphabet (Google's parent) and reduced its Apple position in its latest portfolio filing. The company said it owned 17.85 million Alphabet shares as of September 30, while trimming Apple to 238.2 million shares from 280 million in Q3, selling nearly three-quarters of its earlier holding. Despite the move, Apple remained Berkshire's largest stake, valued at about $60.7 billion, as part of a roughly $283.2 billion equity portfolio. The move surprises some given Buffett's value focus and has sparked questions about whether Buffett, his managers or other executives drove the purchases. Alphabet shares rose about 1.7% after hours.

Dow Falls as S&P 500 and Nasdaq Hold Ground Amid Fed Cut Doubt; Week Ends Volatile

November 14, 2025, 6:42 PM EST. Stocks closed a volatile week with the Dow Jones down 0.65% to 47,147.47, while the Nasdaq Composite edged up to 22,900.59 and the S&P 500 steadied at 6,735.1. In AI stocks, C3.ai eased to $14.07, but NVIDIA rose to $190.17 and Ondas Holdings jumped 9.5% to $7.18 after a strong Q3. Gold slipped toward $4,077 per ounce and Bitcoin traded near $95,000. Treasury yields hovered around 4.12-4.15%. The market wrestles with Fed expectations, as officials debate pausing versus further easing, keeping December rate-cut bets unsettled.

On Holding (ONON) valuation after upbeat Q3: raised guidance and accelerating momentum

November 14, 2025, 6:40 PM EST. On Holding (ONON) surged after a strong Q3 beat and raised full-year guidance, with sales growth accelerating in Asia and across multiple product lines. The stock jumped about 21% last week even as year-to-date returns remain negative, while three-year total shareholder return sits near 150%. The rally underscores improving investor sentiment as demand broadens beyond running, with nine product franchises now representing more than 5% of revenue. A widely cited narrative argues the stock is undervalued, with a fair value near $62 vs a $42.40 close. However, valuation risk persists: the shares trade around 49x earnings, well above luxury peers, amid competition and premium-pricing exposure. Investors must weigh near-term momentum against longer-term margins and multiples.

Coupang (NYSE: CPNG) Valuation Under Review After Taiwan Expansion and Strong Q3

November 14, 2025, 6:38 PM EST. Coupang (NYSE: CPNG) unveiled a Taiwan partnership with TNL Mediagene to expand its digital content and retail media footprint in Asia, reinforcing momentum after a stronger-than-expected Q3. The stock has eased about -10.6% in the last month, though it posts a 1-year total return of 15.3% and a 3-year return of 43.3%, signaling an intact growth trajectory. With a current fair value estimate of $35.75 versus a recent close near $28.22, bulls argue for upside as Coupang scales automation, AI, and logistics efficiency to lift margins and earnings. However, the investment thesis hinges on success in new markets and controlling costs; the stock trades at a high earnings multiple (about 133.6x), well above peers, warranting caution about growth risk vs. price.

Alliance Laundry Holdings (ALH) Valuation in Focus After Gains: Is the 64.9x P/E Justified?

November 14, 2025, 6:36 PM EST. Alliance Laundry Holdings (ALH) has edged up about 2% over the last month and sits near $26.02, with a 4.8% year-to-date gain. The setup is mixed: a P/E of 64.9x versus an industry average 24.1x and a peer average 36.2x implies optimism may be priced in. However, a DCF model suggests the stock trades at a 26.8% discount to fair value, signaling potential undervaluation if earnings unfold as expected. Investors should weigh the high multiple against growth prospects and risks, since a slowdown or stronger earnings could shift the narrative on whether the current rally is justified.

Is Bausch Health Stock a Bargain After Recent Realignments and Volatile Moves?

November 14, 2025, 6:34 PM EST. Bausch Health has delivered a volatile tape: the stock is down 5.6% last week but up 4.3% in the last month, signaling shifting sentiment around its strategic realignments. News of partnerships and a stronger product pipeline have sharpened debates on the long-term valuation. Our checks rate BHC 5/6, and a DCF exercise points to undervalued territory despite near-term uncertainties, with free cash flow rising from $1.14B and a projected path to around $2.39B by 2029. The stock's -25.9% 1-year return lags peers, underscoring risk as well as opportunity. While the P/E story remains nuanced amid licensing deals and market dynamics, the question persists: is Bausch Health a true bargain or a value trap?

Merck to Acquire Cidara Therapeutics for $9.2 Billion in Cash

November 14, 2025, 6:32 PM EST. Merck (MRK) agreed to acquire Cidara Therapeutics (CDTX) for $9.2 billion in an all-cash deal at $221.50 per share, a 109% premium to yesterday's close. The deal gives Merck access to CD388, a promising influenza drug candidate in Phase 3. It's expected to close in Q1 next year and will be accounted for as an asset acquisition. Cidara stock surged ~105% to about $218, their highest in nine years, while Merck rose ~1%. This illustrates how a major pharma may pay a premium for rare assets with growth potential, though biotech bets carry execution risk if trials fail.

Berkshire Hathaway reveals new Alphabet stake, trims Apple as leadership transition nears

November 14, 2025, 6:26 PM EST. Berkshire Hathaway disclosed a new $4.3 billion stake in Alphabet at the end of the third quarter, elevating Alphabet to Berkshire's 10th-largest equity holding. The move, surprising given Warren Buffett's traditional value bias toward slower-growth names, suggests the influence of portfolio managers Todd Combs or Ted Weschler, who have been more active in technology. Alphabet's stock has surged ~46% this year on AI-driven demand, including cloud momentum. Berkshire also trimmed its Apple stake by 15% to about $60.7 billion and dialed back Bank of America, Verisign, and DaVita in Q3. Berkshire has been a net seller for 12 quarters as valuations rose. Buffett, 95, is stepping down as CEO; Greg Abel will take the helm, signaling potential evolution in Berkshire's leadership and investment approach.

Ovintiv Valuation Under Scrutiny After Q3 Profit Drop and Higher Production Outlook

November 14, 2025, 6:24 PM EST. Ovintiv reported a year-over-year decline in revenue and net income as it lifts its 2025 production outlook and signals growth into 2026. The stock has bounced about 5.4% over the last month, even as profit softness persists and the 1-year return sits around -10.6%. A widely followed narrative still labels OVV as undervalued, with a fair value around $51.82 versus a recent close near $38.81. Bulls point to disciplined capital allocation-cost cuts, debt paydown, and aggressive share buybacks-as drivers of higher EPS and cash flow. Valuation multiples, like a P/E of 41.6x, imply high growth but raise risk if targets miss. Investors weigh upside against the multiple-expensive price as the narrative evolves.

Nvidia-led AI rally erases early 1.3% drop as Wall Street swings

November 14, 2025, 6:22 PM EST. An early 1.3% drop gave way to a rebound in U.S. stocks, with the S&P 500 up 0.4% and the Nasdaq 0.6% higher as the Dow pared losses. AI heavyweights, led by Nvidia, dominated the session after a morning slide turned into gains that helped pull the market higher. Nvidia's share swing-from about -3.4% to +2%-underscored the stock's outsized influence on the index. Critics warn valuations look stretched after a sharp AI rally, while Nvidia's upcoming earnings loom large for sentiment. Outside tech, Walmart slid 0.2% after announcing CEO Doug McMillon will retire in January. With Fed rate cuts in focus, investors wrestle with how much higher profits need to be to justify prices and whether a third cut will arrive.

Natural Gas Prices Fall After Larger-Than-Expected Storage Build Amid Warmer Forecasts

November 14, 2025, 6:20 PM EST. December Nymex natural gas (NGZ25) closed Friday down about 1.72% after the EIA reported a +45 Bcf weekly build for the week ended November 7, above the +34 Bcf consensus. The move followed Atmospheric G2 forecasts showing warmer US temperatures later in November, trimming heating demand. Despite the build, US dry gas output remains near a record high-around 109.9 Bcf/day-while Lower-48 demand sits near 80.0 Bcf/day. LNG net flows were about 17.7 Bcf/day, up 5.9% WoW. Europe's storage at 82% full versus a 5-year average of 91% adds a bearish backdrop. Baker Hughes counted 125 active US nat-gas rigs, down from last week. The combination of ample supply and softer demand keeps prices under pressure in the near term.

Oil Prices Rally Amid Geopolitical Risks: Russia-Iran Tensions, Ukraine Strikes and Sanctions

November 14, 2025, 6:18 PM EST. December WTI (CLZ25) and December RBOB (RBZ25) closed higher on Friday, rebounding from a midweek slide as geopolitical risks rose. Ukraine's drone and missile strikes on Russia's Novorossiysk export port and a Rosneft refinery tightened Russian supply, while Iran's tanker seizure in the Gulf of Oman added Middle East tension. Sanctions on Russian oil and reduced seaborne shipments supported prices. OPEC+ signaled a modest December increase followed by a pause in Q1-2026, and the IEA forecast of a 2026 global oil surplus fed the bearish backdrop. Strong China crude demand data aided sentiment, while talk of potential Venezuela disruption kept risk appetite elevated. The market remains sensitive to refinery disruptions, sanctions, and shifts in OPEC+ policy.

Dollar Rises as Fed Rate-Cut Bets Fade; EUR Dips, Yen Edges Higher on JGB Yields

November 14, 2025, 6:16 PM EST. Dollar index rose +0.13% on Friday as hawkish comments from Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan argued against Fed rate cuts, pushing odds of a December cut down to about 42%. Stocks recovered from early losses, easing the dollar's liquidity demand. EUR/USD slid -0.12% after Eurozone Q3 GDP was revised up to +1.4% y/y from +1.3%, while ECB expectations remain diverging with the Fed seen as likely to cut several more times this year and into 2026. USD/JPY dipped -0.01% as the yen modestly gained on Japan's stronger September tertiary index and firmer JGB yields, though gains were tempered by higher U.S. yields. Traders await next week's FOMC decision and December policy path.

Superior Plus Corp. Receives TSX Approval for Normal Course Issuer Bid

November 14, 2025, 6:08 PM EST. Superior Plus Corp. has obtained TSX approval to begin a normal course issuer bid (NCIB) starting November 19, 2025. Over the next 12 months, the company may repurchase up to 21,551,556 Common Shares, equal to 10% of the public float as of November 5, 2025. Purchases will follow pricing limits set by the board, with a one-trading-day cap of 164,568 shares (25% of the average daily trading volume for the six months prior to the start of the NCIB). All shares repurchased will be cancelled. The plan includes a broker-administered NCIB and an automatic purchase plan (APP) to allow buys during blackout periods, subject to insider trading rules. Superior previously completed a NCIB that expired August 6, 2025 after purchasing up to 24,117,330 shares.

Big Short investor bets against the AI bubble as Meta and Oracle face depreciation scrutiny

November 14, 2025, 6:04 PM EST. Jim Morrow of Callodine Capital and Michael Burry warn that the AI boom may be the most crowded trade in history, masking fragile earnings through aggressive depreciation schedules. Burry, who recently deregistered his fund, says Big Tech's AI-era profits rest on a "common fraud" in depreciation, inflating reported earnings at Meta and Oracle. He estimates understatements of about $176 billion from 2026-2028, boosting profits by roughly 20.8% at Meta and 26.9% at Oracle. Morrow echoes that firms have quietly extended asset lifetimes for machines and semiconductors to cushion income statements, creating a "tsunami of depreciation." The duo warn of a slow-then-sudden unwind in the AI rally, a reality check for investors and the broader market as the sector's exuberance collides with the fundamentals.

Bitcoin sinks into bear market as crypto ETFs slide and equities swing

November 14, 2025, 6:03 PM EST. Bitcoin sank into a bear market this week, down over 20% from its October peak of $126,272 and briefly breaking below $100,000, signaling renewed volatility for the crypto space. The largest ETFs tracking BTC, including iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT), Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) and Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF (GBTC), fell more than 8%. Ethereum tumbled about 35.8% from its intraday high, with ETH-linked ETFs sliding near 10%. CoinShares reports outflows of $932m from bitcoin products and $438m from ethereum funds. Traders trimmed expectations for a December rate cut to about 45%. U.S. equities ended the week mixed: Dow -0.65%, S&P 500 -0.05%, Nasdaq +0.13%.

Delayed September Jobs Report to be Released Next Week After Shutdown

November 14, 2025, 6:00 PM EST. The Labor Department will release the delayed September jobs report next Thursday, almost seven weeks after the government shutdown paused hiring data. The report details the unemployment rate, payrolls, and layoffs, and was nearly complete before furloughs halted publication. With much of the data already in hand, officials expect a straightforward publish next week. Other releases-October inflation, GDP, and related surveys-are still in flux as the government recalibrates schedules. For markets, the report remains a key economic indicator that could shape views on labor trends and overall growth as investors await guidance after the shutdown disruption.

Nasdaq Bounces Back From Three-Day Slump; Dow Falls as Nvidia and Oracle Lead Tech Rebound, S&P Flat

November 14, 2025, 5:59 PM EST. Stocks closed mixed Friday as the Nasdaq recovered from a three-day slide, rising 0.13% to about 22,900, while the Dow dropped 0.65% to 47,147 and the S&P 500 was essentially flat around 6,734. Tech names helped stabilize sentiment after a tough week, with Nvidia and Oracle turning around losses and even Palantir and Tesla trimming declines from Thursday. The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) gained roughly 1%, easing from a 2% intraday drop as investors rotated into growth. Still, concerns persist about AI spending, high valuations, debt financing, and potential Fed policy shifts. Markets are juggling risk-on and risk-off postures ahead of an anticipated December rate decision, with the odds of a 25bp cut slipping below 50%.

Bitcoin Faces Downside Target of $84,000 as BTC Slumps

November 14, 2025, 5:56 PM EST. Bitcoin hovered below $95,000, ending a bruising week with about a 9% loss-the steepest in eight months. Ethereum and Solana sank more, while XRP eked out gains on its spot ETF debut. Crypto equities were mixed; MicroStrategy tumbled below $200, Hut 8 rose on earnings, and RIOT advanced. Bitfinex analysts blamed an 'information vacuum' from the U.S. government shutdown and unclear data for delaying macro signals and weighing sentiment. A reframing of risk ahead of clearer data and Fed guidance could define near-term moves. If that turbulence persists, some expect a downside target of $84,000 for BTC, testing support after a prolonged consolidation around $120,000.

Wall Street recovers from morning loss as Nvidia swings and bitcoin volatile amid AI rally

November 14, 2025, 5:54 PM EST. Stocks pared an early 1.3% drop as Nvidia swung between losses and gains, helping pull the tape back from a morning rout. Bitcoin and other high-flyers also traded volatile, while the S&P 500 finished with a slim decline and the Nasdaq booked a small gain; the Dow trimmed losses after a deeper slide. Nvidia's moves underscore the market's AI-driven heft as investors await upcoming earnings. Valuation concerns linger, even as rate expectations offer a potential lift if yields fall. Walmart slid after a January retirement announcement by CEO Doug McMillon. The path for equities may hinge on Nvidia's results and whether the AI rally broadens or remains concentrated.

CME Group Valuation in Focus After Recent Share Price Rally

November 14, 2025, 5:50 PM EST. CME Group's stock has risen about 2% last week, keeping an uptrend as investors focus on valuation. The shares trade near $283.54, with a YTD gain of roughly 22% and a 1-year TSR of about 32.6%. Analysis suggests a fair value of $282.11 at an 8.1% discount rate, placing the stock near fair value and sparking debate whether exuberance already reflects future growth. Drivers include the shift to electronic trading, stricter regulatory transparency, and CME's ability to grow non-transactional revenue, notably market data. Risks to the bull case include an extended period of low volatility or faster adoption of decentralized finance. The takeaway: assess whether current prices offer a genuine buying opportunity given the growth trajectory and potential headwinds.

Wex RSI Drops to 28.5, Stock Enters Oversold Territory

November 14, 2025, 5:48 PM EST. Wex Inc (WEX) slid into oversold territory on Friday after its RSI fell to 28.5, with intraday lows near $136.10. By comparison, the SPY's RSI stood around 47.0. A 28.5 RSI may signal fatigue in the recent selling and a potential setup for a bullish entry if momentum turns. Traders note WEX's 52-week range spans roughly $110.45 to $191.43, while the latest trade was $136.91. The quote echoes Warren Buffett's caution to be fearful when others are greedy, and to be greedy when others are fearful, though investors should use risk controls and confirm with other indicators before buying. Additional dividend insights and market commentary accompany the stock profile.

Keyera Corp Surges as Shares Cross Above 200-Day Moving Average

November 14, 2025, 5:42 PM EST. On Monday, Keyera Corp (TSX: KEY.TO) edged higher as its shares crossed above the 200-day moving average of about $30.71, trading as high as $31.03 and up roughly 2.3% on the session. The cross is a classic bullish signal that could draw attention from momentum players. The stock's one-year chart shows the move relative to the 200-day moving average and notes a 52-week range of $26.34 to $35.48 with the latest print near $30.90. The article invites readers to learn about 9 other Canadian stocks that recently crossed above their 200-day moving average.

Hamilton Lane Named Top Dividend Stock With Insider Buying and 1.65% Yield (HLNE)

November 14, 2025, 5:40 PM EST. Hamilton Lane Incorporated – Class A (HLNE) tops the DividendRank list after insider buying in the past six months. Co-CEO Juan Delgado-moreira bought 8,000 shares on 11/07/2025 at $130.35 per share, a total of $1,042,831.76. The stock recently traded around $130.89 and sits in a 52-week range of $111.98-$203.63. The DividendRank report cites attractive valuation, strong profitability, and a solid dividend history. HLNE pays an annualized $2.16 dividend (quarterly), offering a current yield near 1.65%. With insider confidence and continued multi-year growth in fundamentals, HLNE presents a constructive option for value-focused dividend investors seeking ideas for further research.

BHC Drops Below Key 200-Day Moving Average

November 14, 2025, 5:38 PM EST. Shares of Bausch Health Companies Inc (BHC) traded as low as $7.56 after crossing below its 200-day moving average of $7.90 on Tuesday. The stock was down about 8.1% on the session, with the last trade near $7.75. The chart shows the one-year performance versus the moving average, highlighting a pullback from recent levels. In the 52-week range, the low is $5.5703 and the high is $10.23. For readers tracking crossovers, a link notes which other stocks recently crossed below their 200-day moving averages.

New Jersey Resources (NJR) Bullishly Crosses Above 200-Day Moving Average

November 14, 2025, 5:36 PM EST. New Jersey Resources Corp (NJR) moved above its 200-day moving average of $43.12 on Tuesday, trading as high as $43.19 and hovering around a 0.5% gain. The bullish cross suggests potential trend strength as longer-term momentum remains favorable. The stock's latest session followed a year-long chart, with a 52-week low of 38.92 and a 52-week high of 55.84; the last trade printed at $43.00. Traders will look for sustained follow-through above the moving average to confirm the signal. This is a technical signal, not a guarantee of future results. Several energy names have recently crossed above their own 200-day averages as well.

Coffee Prices Edge Lower as US Tariff Talk Sparks Mixed Supply Signals

November 14, 2025, 5:34 PM EST. Coffee futures closed lower on Friday as traders priced in potential US tariff reductions. December arabica (KCZ25) and January robusta (RMF26) fell, pressured by a mix of supply signals from Brazil, Vietnam and stocks data. Brazil rainfall eased dryness concerns, while StoneX forecast a 2026/27 crop of 70.7 million bags, supporting a looser balance. Vietnam's ongoing output expansion adds to global supply, and ICO export data show a slight y/y decline in shipments. Tight ICE inventories remain a bullish backdrop, even as American buyers curb Brazilian purchases amid tariffs. NOAA's La Niña odds near 71% for Oct-Dec could stress next year's crop. Overall, the market weighs tariff expectations, inventory tightness, and crop projections in Brazil and Vietnam.

Cocoa Slips on Tariff Fears and Global Oversupply

November 14, 2025, 5:32 PM EST. Prices for cocoa extended a weekly decline Friday, with December NY cocoa futures down 3.6% and London futures down 0.9%, trading near 1.75-year lows. Markets weigh the potential for US tariff cuts after comments from Treasury Secretary implying 'substantial announcements' on duties on crops not grown in the US, including cocoa. A bumper crop in West Africa and stronger early Ivory Coast pod counts are seen as downside factors: Ivory Coast farmers report improving pod development and dry-weather conditions aiding bean drying; Mondelez notes a crop count above the five-year average. Yet demand softness persists: Hershey's Halloween sales disappoint, and quarterly cocoa grindings in Asia and Europe fell year over year, with North American grindings up slightly. The Ivory Coast export pace slowed, potentially limiting price gains, though the broader market's bid from BCOM inclusion remains a factor.

Smaller Indian Sugar Exports Lift Prices Amid Global Surplus Outlook

November 14, 2025, 5:30 PM EST. March NY world sugar #11 closed up +0.52 (+3.60%), and March London ICE white sugar #5 up +13.20 (+3.20), as sugar prices rebound to 3-week highs on tighter supplies from India. India's food ministry allowed mills to export 1.5 MMT in 2025/26, below earlier estimates, aligning with a broader global surplus narrative. The market has seen London at a 4.75-year low and NY near a 5-year low amid big output from Brazil. Czarnikow trimmed up its 2025/26 surplus estimate to about 8.7 MMT. Still, ISMA's higher India production outlook-now around 31 MMT-could support exports, while robust monsoon rainfall hints at a bumper crop and ongoing pressure on sugar prices.

Jefferies Names Broadcom Top Semiconductor Stock, Replacing NVIDIA with a $480 Target

November 14, 2025, 5:28 PM EST. Jefferies has named Broadcom its top semiconductor stock, replacing NVIDIA. It issued a staggering $480 price target, the highest on Broadcom to date, implying about 41% upside from recent levels near $340. The call highlights Broadcom's exposure to AI ASICs and a likely ramp in Google TPU demand, with Jefferies forecasting 2026 TPU volumes near 3 million units. By contrast, NVIDIA's target sits around $240 per share, with consensus suggesting less upside. Broadcom has delivered ~47% total return in 2025 through Nov 13, outpacing the S&P 500 (+16%) and the iShares SOXX ETF (+35%). If TPU demand accelerates, Jefferies argues Broadcom could extend its rally on a broadened AI hardware cycle.

Are Fundamentals Driving MaxiPARTS Limited's (ASX: MXI) Recent Move?

November 14, 2025, 5:26 PM EST. MaxiPARTS Limited (ASX: MXI) has rallied about 5.3% in the last three months, prompting a look at whether fundamentals are supporting the move. The stock's trailing ROE sits at 8.3% (AU$8.8m net profit on AU$105m equity), below the industry average of 11%. Over five years, net income rose about 14%, lagging the industry's ~20% growth. The company's earnings retention, implied by a three-year median payout ratio of 43% (retaining 57%), could support longer-term growth if retained profits are efficiently reinvested. The relevance of the P/E ratio, and how the market has priced in future earnings, remains uncertain. Investors should watch for earnings growth versus peers and any improvements in ROE and capital efficiency to justify further upside.

Challenging the Efficient Market Hypothesis: Behavioral Insights and Real-World Edge in Stocks

November 14, 2025, 5:24 PM EST. This article challenges the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH), arguing that stock prices do not always reflect all available information or intrinsic value. It contrasts EMH's rationality assumptions with insights from behavioral economics, notably prospect theory and loss aversion, as demonstrated by Kahneman and Tversky. The piece cites Austrian economist Friedrich Hayek and his view that prices convey information through the competitive process, not necessarily all data. It also highlights real-world edges, such as Nomad Capitalist founder Andrew Henderson's stake in Bank of Georgia (now Lion Finance Group) and the adage Buy what you know attributed to Peter Lynch, noting the stock's strong post-COVID gains versus the broader market. The conclusion is that informational advantages can exist, challenging EMH's universality.

Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) Target Cut by Canaccord Genuity Group but Keeps Buy Rating

November 14, 2025, 5:22 PM EST. Flutter Entertainment (NYSE: FLUT) received a mixed analyst chorus after Canaccord Genuity Group cut its price target from $340 to $300, while keeping a buy rating. The move implies a potential upside of roughly 50% from the prior close. Other firms pitched varying views: Needham & Company cut to $300 with a buy; BTIG trimmed to $271 with a buy; Macquarie nudged to $340 with an outperform; Peel Hunt moved to hold; Weiss kept a hold. Market consensus sits at a Moderate Buy with a $319.22 target. FLUT traded near $200.35 on Thursday after earnings, with heavy volume. The latest quarter delivered EPS of $1.64 on revenue of $3.79B, beating estimates; Flutter reiterated 2025 guidance and authorized a stock repurchase.

Dollar edges higher vs euro as Fed rate-cut bets stir markets

November 14, 2025, 5:18 PM EST. The dollar edged higher against the euro and hovered around flat versus the yen as U.S. stocks recovered from a sharp selloff and traders weighed a possible December rate cut. Fed funds futures priced in roughly a 41% chance of a 25-basis-point cut, while a flood of delayed data resumes next week. Market sentiment remains cautious about lofty valuations, but the S&P 500 and Nasdaq bounced. The dollar index rose to about 99.31 and the euro traded near $1.1617; the yen around 154.52. Expect higher volatility as data flow returns and policy paths diverge internationally. Swiss franc demand rose on news of tariff changes; bitcoin slid to about $95,433.

Lake Street Cuts SSTI Target to $14 as SoundThinking Faces Mixed Analyst Ratings

November 14, 2025, 5:17 PM EST. Lake Street Capital cut SoundThinking's (SSTI) price target from $19 to $14, while keeping a Buy rating, implying about 98.6% upside from current levels. The move comes amid a batch of mixed analyst notes: Zacks upgraded from Strong Sell to Hold; Roth Capital kept a Buy with a $20 target (down from $30); Cantor Fitzgerald trimmed to $16 with an Overweight; Wall Street Zen downgraded to Sell; and Citizens Jmp set $16 with Market Outperform. Across five Buy, two Hold, and one Sell, the Street's consensus from MarketBeat sits at a Moderate Buy with an average target of $17.67. SSTI traded near $7.05, down on the day, with a market cap around $90 million, a negative EPS of -$0.16 and revenue of $25.10 million. Insider: CEO Ralph A. Clark sold 16,161 shares, trimming his stake about 2.7%.

U.S. equities rise as dip buyers shrug off fading Fed rate-cut hopes

November 14, 2025, 5:14 PM EST. U.S. stocks steadied and then advanced as dip buyers stepped in despite fading Fed rate-cut hopes. The Dow fell about 0.36% to 47,286.31, while the S&P 500 rose 0.33% to 6,759.42 and the Nasdaq gained 0.53% to 22,990.45. Benchmark yields climbed as hawkish Fed officials signaled fewer cuts, pricing in roughly a 46% chance of a December move, down from about 67% a week earlier. Investors awaited Nvidia earnings and retailers, with the Magnificent 7 and other AI names leading gains. Nvidia rose more than 2%. The MSCI global index slipped about 0.2% as Europe closed lower, while gold eased and the dollar strengthened, even as dip buyers underpin the rally.

Notable Friday Options Activity: AXP, OXY and RDDT See Heavy Volume

November 14, 2025, 5:12 PM EST. Friday's notable options flow centers on AXP, OXY and RDDT. At American Express, 13,516 contracts traded, about 1.4 million underlying shares-roughly 53% of its 1-month average volume. The standout was the $320 put expiring Dec 19, 2025 with 3,019 contracts (about 301,900 shares). Occidental Petroleum posted 50,342 contracts (about 5.0 million shares, 50.1% of the monthly average). The most active was the $42.50 put expiring Dec 19, 2025 with 3,651 contracts (≈365,100 shares). Reddit Inc saw 30,926 contracts (~3.1 million shares, about 49.8% of the past month's average). The $200 call expiring Nov 14, 2025 led activity with 1,926 contracts (≈192,600 shares).

Noteworthy Friday Options Activity: SOFI, APLD, CR

November 14, 2025, 5:10 PM EST. Friday's notable options flow shows SOFI (SoFi Technologies) leading volume with 549,326 contracts, about 54.9 million shares and roughly 67.9% of its month average daily volume. The standout is the $29 strike call expiring Nov 14, 2025, with 25,505 contracts (about 2.6 million shares). APLD (Applied Digital) traded 177,614 contracts, ~17.8 million underlying shares, about 64.7% of its monthly avg; the $25 strike call expiring Nov 28, 2025 drew 48,690 contracts (~4.9 million shares). CR (Crane Co) posted 1,827 contracts (~182,700 shares, ~60.9% of avg); notable is the $180 strike put expiring Nov 21, 2025 with 902 contracts (~90,200 shares). Charts show the strikes highlighted in orange.

Notable Friday Option Activity in BG, NTGR, and SSRM Shows Elevated Interest

November 14, 2025, 5:08 PM EST. Notable Friday option activity across Russell 3000 components BG, NTGR, and SSRM. BG saw total volume of 7,548 contracts (roughly 754,800 shares), about 48.1% of its 1-month average daily volume of 1.6 million. The standout is the $90 strike call expiring Nov 21, 2025, with 3,602 contracts (~360,200 shares). NTGR posted 2,311 contracts (~231,100 shares, ~47.7% of its 1-month avg 484,805). The most active is the $35 strike call expiring Dec 19, 2025 with 1,227 contracts (~122,700 shares). SSRM shows 13,926 contracts (~1.4 million shares, 46.9% of 3.0 million avg). The most active is the $24 strike call expiring Dec 19, 2025 with 11,676 contracts (~1.2 million shares).

Noteworthy Friday Option Activity: GWW, ACTG, LUNR Highlighted in Russell 3000 Options

November 14, 2025, 5:06 PM EST. Today's notable options activity across Russell 3000 names includes: GWW with 1,221 contracts traded (≈122,100 underlying shares), about 41.2% of its 1-month average volume. A standout is the $1010 strike call expiring January 16, 2026, with 292 contracts (~29,200 shares). For ACTG, 889 contracts traded (≈88,900 shares), about 40.7% of its monthly average. The top is the $2.50 strike call expiring May 15, 2026, with 877 contracts (~87,700 shares). In LUNR, volume reaches 26,685 contracts (~2.7 million shares, ~40.7% of average). The focus is on the $9.50 strike call expiring November 14, 2025, with 8,155 contracts (~815,500 shares). For other expirations, see StockOptionsChannel.com.

Wall Street ends mixed as traders eye Nvidia report

November 14, 2025, 5:04 PM EST. Wall Street finished mixed as traders awaited Nvidia's quarterly report and weighed the odds of further rate cuts. The S&P 500 drifted, the Nasdaq edged higher, and the Dow declined as inflation concerns kept the Fed outlook uncertain. Investors rotated among big names like Nvidia, Palantir, Microsoft and Tesla, hoping fresh AI visibility would sustain the rally. The probability of a December rate cut faded, signaling cautious sentiment. Newsflow also included Merck agreeing to acquire Cidara Therapeutics and Walmart revealing a CEO retirement, underscoring a session driven by tech and biotech headlines.

WLY Breaks Above 4% Yield as Shares Hover Near $35

November 14, 2025, 5:02 PM EST. John Wiley & Sons Inc. (WLY) moved into a >4% dividend yield territory after its latest quarterly payout (annualized at $1.42) as shares traded near $35.35. The piece notes dividends can be a meaningful part of total return, contrasting equity performance with long-run results such as the iShares Russell 3000 ETF (IWV), where dividends boosted overall return despite a flat price from 2000 to 2012. Wiley is a member of the Russell 3000, highlighting its status among large U.S. stocks. The article cautions that dividend amounts aren't guaranteed and depend on profitability, but a stable yield above 4% can be attractive if sustainable.

Millicom International Cellular (TIGO) Passes 6% Dividend Yield Milestone

November 14, 2025, 5:01 PM EST. Millicom International Cellular SA (TIGO) traded near the lows with a 6%+ dividend yield after annualizing its quarterly payout to $3 per share. With shares around $49.50, the yield highlights how dividends can help total return, a point illustrated by the long-run example of the iShares Russell 3000 ETF (IWV), which generated meaningful income despite a flat price over 12 years. TIGO's status as a member of the Russell 3000 adds visibility. The note cautions that dividend amounts are not always predictable, urging investors to review the history chart to judge whether the most recent payout is likely to continue and sustain a 6% yield.

Vishay Intertechnology (VSH) Delivers 3%+ Yield as Dividend Appeal Grows

November 14, 2025, 4:58 PM EST. Vishay Intertechnology (VSH) traded with a 3%+ dividend yield after a quarterly payout annualized at $0.40, with shares as low as $12.81 in Thursday's session. The piece highlights the importance of dividends for stock returns, noting that income can boost total performance even when price moves little. By comparing to the long-run IWV example, it shows how dividends contributed to returns from 2000-2012, illustrating the potential value of a steady payout. As a member of the Russell 3000, VSH sits among the largest U.S. stocks, underscoring its income appeal. Still, dividends are not guaranteed; readers should study the history to judge whether the 3% yield is sustainable.

Walmart stock rally since 2014 outpaces rivals; only Amazon and Costco higher

November 14, 2025, 4:56 PM EST. Since February 2014, Walmart's stock has surged more than fourfold during Doug McMillon's tenure, delivering positive annual returns in nine of his 12 calendar years as CEO. Among major retailers, only Amazon and Costco posted higher stock gains, with Walmart also outperforming Target, Dollar General, Dollar Tree, Kroger and Albertsons over the period. As incoming CEO John Furner takes the helm, investors will watch whether Walmart can sustain the pace after guiding the U.S. business to be a stronger e-commerce player, notching wage hikes and pandemic-era resilience. Revenue has climbed from about $486 billion in the early years to roughly $681 billion this year, with annual revenue approaching $700 billion, even as it nears a crown shift to Amazon in sales.

Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq close mixed as Fed rate cut doubts weigh on equities

November 14, 2025, 4:54 PM EST. Stocks closed mixed after a volatile week as traders await the Federal Reserve's December rate decision. The Dow slipped about 0.6%, while the S&P 500 hovered around flat and the Nasdaq rose about 0.1%. Techs pared earlier losses, with Nvidia rebounding and Tesla dipping below $400 before turning higher, after AI fears spurred a risk-off move. Bitcoin slid below $96,000 as crypto prices drift lower. Traders scaled back expectations for a near-term rate cut, pushing odds of a December rate cut under 50%. Keep an eye on Friday's jobs data set for clues on inflation and demand.

Wall Street Rebounds From Morning Dip as Nvidia and Bitcoin Swing

November 14, 2025, 4:46 PM EST. Markets opened with a sharp dip as Nvidia, bitcoin, gold and other high-flyers swung amid nerves, but trading quickly steadied. The S&P 500 erased a 1.3% morning drop and was up 0.4% with about an hour left. The Nasdaq Composite flipped to a gain of about 0.6%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average trimmed its loss to roughly 163 points, or 0.3%, after earlier being down nearly 600 points.

Wall Street trims big morning loss as Nvidia and bitcoin swing back

November 14, 2025, 4:44 PM EST. Stocks rebounded after an early rout as investors weighed bets on high-flying names. Shares swung in and out of the red as Nvidia and bitcoin helped steer sentiment, alongside moves in gold and other growth names. By midday, the S&P 500 had erased a 1.3% drop and was up about 0.4%, while the Nasdaq rose roughly 0.6%. The Dow pared a steep loss, dipping about 163 points (0.3%) after earlier being down nearly 600. Traders remained cautious in a choppy session amid shifting risk appetite.

Barclays Raises Amphenol (APH) Target to $143; Analysts See Upside

November 14, 2025, 4:42 PM EST. Barclays raised Amphenol (APH) target price from $120 to $143, while keeping an equal weight rating. The new target implies about a 6% upside from current levels. Several peers also shifted targets or issued bullish notes: Citigroup to $160 (Buy); Truist Financial to $147 (Buy); JPMorgan Chase to $160 (Overweight); Evercore ISI to $150 (Outperform). MarketBeat shows a consensus rating of Moderate Buy with a $131.54 target. Amphenol recently reported stronger-than-expected Q3 earnings: $0.93 per share on revenue of $6.19B, beating estimates; FY2025 guidance is $3.26-$3.28 per share, with Q4 guidance of $0.89-$0.91. The stock traded around $135 after the print; metrics included a P/E ~44-45, debt-to-equity 0.57, and a 1-year high near $144.

Barclays Raises Amphenol APH Target to $143, Signals Modest Upside Amid Broad Analyst Upgrades

November 14, 2025, 4:40 PM EST. Analysts at Barclays raised their price target for Amphenol (APH) from $120 to $143, signaling a potential upside of about 6% from the current level. The firm maintains an equal weight rating, even as other banks (Citigroup, JPMorgan, Truist, Evercore) boosted targets and issued Buy or Overweight calls. Market consensus from MarketBeat sits at a Moderate Buy with a target around $131.54. In the latest results, APH posted solid quarterly earnings and guidance, with a quarterly EPS of $0.93 beating estimates and revenue of $6.19B; FY 2025 guidance of 3.26-3.28, Q4 2025 of 0.89-0.91. Shares recently traded around $134.90 after a move lower, and investors will watch how the new targets align with the stock's 50/200-day averages.

CENT Valuation in Focus After Uptick: Two DCF Models Signal Conflicting Upside

November 14, 2025, 4:38 PM EST. Central Garden & Pet (CENT) has nudged higher on a one-month rebound of about 8%, though the stock remains down year-to-date and trails many peers. With shares trading beneath analyst targets, sentiment hints at potential upside, but the company's valuation remains contested. A popular narrative casts CENT as undervalued, with a fair value around $42.33 and a shift in gardening demand and private-label wins supporting a revenue recovery. Yet a rival SWS DCF model argues the stock is trading well above fair value, highlighting model risk ahead of results season. Key risks include margin pressure from supply chain disruption and ongoing category softness. Investors should weigh the divergent views as they consider the next results.

CENT Valuation Under Spotlight After Share Uptick: Is Central Garden & Pet Truly Undervalued?

November 14, 2025, 4:36 PM EST. Central Garden & Pet (CENT) saw a modest price uptick after a choppy stretch, with a 1-month return around 8% even as the stock remains down on a 1-year basis. The recent momentum has rekindled chatter about whether shares are undervalued or have priced in only modest growth. The stock trades below many analyst targets, lending support to a bull case built around a rebound in home gardening trends, private-label wins, and improved profitability. Still, the bear case highlights margin pressure from supply chain disruptions and ongoing category softness. Broader views diverge: one narrative pins a fair value near the mid-$40s per share (e.g., $42.33) as UNDERVALUED, while the SWS DCF model arrives at a more conservative fair value. Investors await next results season for clarity.

Citigroup Boosts Price Target on Williams Companies (WMB) Stock; Upbeat Forecast

November 14, 2025, 4:26 PM EST. Citigroup raised its price objective for Williams Companies (NYSE: WMB) from $65 to $70 and keeps a buy rating, signaling a potential upside of about 17.5% from current levels. Other analysts also nudged targets or ratings, including TD Cowen (to $70, Buy), Barclays (to $66, Equal Weight), Mizuho (Strong Buy), CIBC (sector outperform, $64), and Goldman Sachs (to $65, Neutral). MarketBeat shows a Moderate Buy consensus with an average target of $68.21. WMB traded down about 1.4% to $59.56 on the session, with volume above the 7-day average. In Q3, the company posted EPS of $0.49 vs $0.51 expected and guided FY 2025 EPS to $2.01-$2.19; revenue reached $2.92B, up YoY.

Citigroup Lifts Williams Companies Price Target to $70, Signals Upside for WMB

November 14, 2025, 4:24 PM EST. Citigroup boosted its price objective for Williams Companies (NYSE: WMB) from $65 to $70, maintaining a Buy rating and signaling about a 17.5% upside. Other analysts also nudged targets or ratings, with TD Cowen, Barclays, Mizuho, CIBC, and Goldman Sachs weighing in on WMB. MarketBeat shows a Moderate Buy consensus with an average target around $68.21. On the day, WMB traded near $59.56, down about 1.4% with volume roughly 5.7 million. Key fundamentals cited include a ~$72.7B market cap, a P/E of ~29.9 and a P/E/G around 1.91, with moving averages near $60, reflecting mixed near-term momentum.

Sugar Prices Rally as India Sets Lower Export Quota for 2025/26

November 14, 2025, 4:22 PM EST. March NY #11 sugar rose 0.47 pts (+3.25%), and March London ICE white sugar #5 added 12.30 pts (+2.98%), as traders priced in India's smaller export quota. The Indian food ministry approved 1.5 MMT of sugar exports for 2025/26, below earlier estimates of 2 MMT, signaling tighter near-term supply. The backdrop remains a global surplus, with fresh lows in NY and London amid expectations of strong Brazilian output and ample world stocks. Still, ISMA's upgrade of India's 2025/26 production to 31 MMT could support exports if monsoon rains stay favorable. Overall, the outlook for demand and exports remains mixed, keeping a cap on prices while policy shifts keep volatility.

Starbucks Insider Buy Signals Confidence as Markets Rebound

November 14, 2025, 4:20 PM EST. On the market front, a rebound attempt followed a tough sell-off, with the S&P 500 on track to notch a weekly gain. The note highlights insider buying at Starbucks as a signal of confidence: board member Jørgen Vig Knudstorp purchased 11,700 shares at about $85, a near $1 million bet that insiders think the coffee retailer's path remains solid. Beyond coffee, investors will be watching next week's quarterly results from Nvidia and Palo Alto Networks, key players in the AI investment cycle. The report also flags a broader earnings slate from Home Depot, Target, Lowe's, TJX, and Walmart. In the backdrop, a cautious tone remains as valuations and financing trends are weighed.

WeShop Debuts on Nasdaq under WSHP, Pioneering Ownership-Based Social Commerce

November 14, 2025, 4:18 PM EST. WeShop Holdings Limited began trading on the Nasdaq Capital Market under the ticker WSHP, heralding an ownership-based twist on social commerce. The platform converts shopping into equity via its ShareBack™ Rewards Plan, with users earning WePoints that can be converted into WeShop shares. In the UK, WeShop partners with retailers such as John Lewis, eBay, Selfridges, ASOS, Expedia, and more, offering access to thousands of brands and over 1.2 billion products, and has completed over $140 million in UK pilot sales. The company plans a US app launch with hundreds of retailers, expanding a model where shoppers can become investors. With e-commerce and social commerce projected to reach trillions, WeShop's ownership economy sits at the heart of the retail revolution.

Wall Street snaps back from morning slide as Nvidia and bitcoin swing

November 14, 2025, 4:16 PM EST. New York markets opened with a sharp morning slump, but the S&P 500 turned around to a small gain as the Nasdaq and Dow trimmed losses. Nvidia, once down 3.4%, rebounded to a 2% gain and steered the day as AI stocks remained in focus. Bitcoin and gold swung with the broader risk appetite. Walmart slid after Doug McMillon's January retirement announcement, while Nvidia's upcoming quarterly results could set the tone for tech stocks. Traders weigh whether pricey equities justify earnings, and a move lower in rates could help stocks look cheaper. Nvidia is a market mover given its size, and its results could influence the S&P 500's direction.

Friday Sector Leaders: Energy Advances Lead as Utilities Rally

November 14, 2025, 4:14 PM EST. Midday Friday shows the Energy sector leading, up 1.6%, with Valero Energy (VLO) and Marathon Petroleum (MPC) up 3.5% and 2.7%. The Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) rises 1.8% and is up 11.27% year-to-date. VLO is up 21.80% YTD and MPC 20.23% YTD; together they comprise about 7.3% of XLE's holdings. The Utilities sector follows, up 1.1%, led by Entergy (ETR) at 3.5% and NiSource (NI) at 3.3%. The Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLU) gains 0.8% on the day, 14.60% YTD, with ETR up 12.42% YTD and NI up 10.85% YTD. Broadly, six sectors rise while one declines.

Friday Sector Laggards: Consumer Products and Materials Dip as Nike, IFF Lead Losses

November 14, 2025, 4:12 PM EST. From midday Friday, the markets show Consumer Products down 0.6% and Materials off 0.5%. In Consumer Products, Nike (NKE) and LKQ Corp (LKQ) lead the downside, slipping about 2.7% and 2.5%. The iShares U.S. Consumer Goods ETF (IYK) is down 0.1% on the day, yet up 5.27% year-to-date. Nike is about 13.5% lower YTD, while LKQ is down roughly 14.3% YTD. In Materials, IFF and CARR fall 2.3% and 1.5%. The Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLB) is down 0.6% today and up roughly 4.98% YTD. IFF and CARR sit about 20.7% and 19.5% lower for the year. The snapshot notes three sectors higher and five lower in afternoon trading.

Soybeans Fall as USDA Cuts Production and Export Outlook; China Demand Limited

November 14, 2025, 4:08 PM EST. Soybeans are trading lower, down about 12-16 cents, as the USDA trims estimates and export demand remains tepid. November futures show 38 deliveries, with the contract expiring today; the cmdtyView cash price slips to $10.57 1/4. Soymeal futures and Soy Oil are mixed near midday. The USDA's backlog of unreported large daily sales totals 1.348 MMT, with China taking 332,000 MT and 616,000 MT to Unknown destinations; soybean meal purchases reach 237,500 MT by the Philippines. Crop data lowered US yield to 53 bu/acre, cutting production to 4.253 Bbu and ending stocks to 290 mbu. World context: Brazil's usage and exports rise, Argentina exports gain, with NOPA crush data due Monday.

Cotton Falls as USDA Lifts Yield and Production; Crude Gains

November 14, 2025, 4:06 PM EST. Cotton futures slipped Friday, with losses of 35 to 60 points as the USDA boosted the U.S. crop outlook. The USDA raised the yield to 919 lbs/acre (+58) and lifted production to 14.12 million bales, while exports rose to 12.2 million and stocks climbed to 4.3 million. In broader markets, crude oil added about $1.54 to $60.23 a barrel and the U.S. dollar index edged up to 99.26. The Cotlook A Index slipped about 45 points, and ICE-certified cotton stocks rose by 1,005 to 19,244. Market commentary notes the first Adjusted World Price since the shutdown at 51.83 cents/lb.

Cattle Futures Rally Into Weekend as Live Cattle and Feeder Futures Rise

November 14, 2025, 4:04 PM EST. Friday marked a rally for cattle, with live cattle futures posting a quarter to $1.25 gains at midday and feeder cattle futures up about $1 to $2.05 as traders carry momentum into the weekend. Expanded limits of $10.75 for live cattle and $13.75 for feeders were in play. The CME Feeder Cattle Index fell $1.75 to $342.42. USDA Wholesale Boxed Beef prices weakened, narrowing the Choice/Select spread to $16.15; Choice boxes down $2.89 to $370.68, Select off $0.50 at $354.53. Slaughter totals reached 120,000 for Thursday and 471,000 weekly, up 15,000 week over week but down 13,455 versus last year. Cash trade floated in the North at $225-227, with $228 in the South.

Wheat Reverses Lower as USDA Hikes World Production and U.S. Ending Stocks Rise

November 14, 2025, 4:02 PM EST. Wheat futures slid Friday as USDA data showed a rise in world production and a higher U.S. ending stocks estimate. CBOT Soft Red Wheat Dec slipped about 9-10 cents, KC HRW down 10-12 cents, and MPLS spring wheat lower by 5-7 cents at midday. The USDA increased U.S. ending stocks for 2025/26 by 57 million bushels to 901 mbu, driven by a 58 mbu gain in production to 1.985 bbu, with demand unchanged. On the world side, world ending stocks rose 7.37 MMT to 271.43 MMT as world production climbed 12.69 MMT to 828.89 MMT, led by Argentina, Australia, Canada, Russia and the U.S. Export sales and crop conditions from NOAA and FranceAgriMer also shaped trade. Prices shown: Dec 25 CBOT $5.26 1/2, Mar 26 $5.41 3/4.

Hogs Push Higher on Friday as Lean Hog Futures Gain Ground

November 14, 2025, 4:01 PM EST. Lean hog futures are higher on Friday, with gains of 22 to 50 cents. The national average base hog negotiated price was $84.49 Friday morning. The CME Lean Hog Index stood at $85.05 on Feb. 5, up 55 cents from the previous day. The USDA FOB plant pork cutout value rose $1.65 to $97.29 per cwt, led by the belly up $7.36 while the loin and rib primals fell. Thursday's federally inspected hog slaughter was 481,000 head, with the week-to-date total at 1.945 million, up 12,000 from last week but down 14,244 from the same week last year. Feb 25 hogs at $87.125, Apr 25 hogs at $92.225, May 25 hogs at $96.050, all higher. Publication note: no positions disclosed.

Corn Falls as USDA Yield Cut Misses Estimates, Carryout Rises

November 14, 2025, 3:58 PM EST. Corn futures fell 9 to 11 cents at midday after the USDA's yield cut was far shy of estimates. The USDA pegged the national corn yield at 186 bpa, a 0.7-bpa drop from September and a 62 mbu cut to 16.752 bbu. Traders had looked for around 184 bpa. The WASDE raised the 2024/25 carryout to 1.532 bbu, with total supply up about 144 mbu to 18.309 bbu, while exports added 100 mbu, limiting the rise. Cash corn priced around $4.02 ½ per bushel, per CmdtyView. World stocks and broader demand revisions also influenced futures, even as flash-sale data showed activity for the current year.

Strategy's Saylor Denies Bitcoin Sale Rumors as BTC Purchases Accelerate

November 14, 2025, 3:52 PM EST. MicroStrategy chairman Michael Saylor denied rumors that the company is selling Bitcoin, saying its BTC purchases are accelerating. He reaffirmed a policy of continuous BTC accumulation and said the next buys would be disclosed on Monday, even as Bitcoin traded near the low-to-mid $90,000s. The firm's market cap has fallen below the value of its Bitcoin holdings, underscoring the stock's sensitivity to crypto moves. While on-chain chatter speculated about Coinbase custody, Strategy insists it would never willingly sell BTC-only unlikely debt-related exits could force a sale. MicroStrategy's stock has slid about 32% in the last month, with BTC hovering around $96,000.

Enbridge 5.50% Series A Pref Shares ENB-PRA.TO Cross 5.5% Yield as Price Hits $24.90

November 14, 2025, 3:50 PM EST. On Friday, Enbridge Inc's 5.50% Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Shares, Series A (ENB-PRA.TO) traded at a yield near 5.5%, with prints as low as $24.90. At last close, ENB.PRA was trading at a 0.68% premium to its liquidation preference, underscoring demand for higher-yield paper. In intraday action, ENB.PRA rose about 0.3% while the common shares (ENB.TO) were flat. The accompanying data include a one-year performance comparison versus ENB and a dividend history chart, highlighting Enbridge's steady income profile through its preferred shares.

Canadian Utilities Series BB Preferred Shares Yield Surges Past 5.5% as CU-PRE Trades Near Discount to Liquidation Value

November 14, 2025, 3:48 PM EST. Canadian Utilities Ltd's Cumulative Redeemable Second Preferred Shares Series BB (CU-PRE.TO) traded with a yield above 5.5% on Friday, based on an annualized dividend of $1.225. The issue last closed at a price near $21.99, leaving it at about a 10.28% discount to its liquidation preference. The move helped the yield push past the 5.5% threshold. In the session, CU-PRE was down about 0.9%, while the common shares (CU.TO) were down about 1.1%. The charts show one-year performance versus common shares and a dividend history for CU-PRE. As always, investor views are those of the author and may differ from Nasdaq's commentary.

Bitcoin falls to six-month low as rate-cut bets fade and risk-off mood hits crypto

November 14, 2025, 3:46 PM EST. Bitcoin slipped Friday, dipping below $96,000 for the first time in more than six months and sliding about 4% to $95,721.83 as traders favored risk-off assets. It remains about 24% below its October peak and eyes a third straight weekly decline. Analysts cited cautious macro data and fading hopes for a December rate cut after Powell signaled no consensus. The CME FedWatch odds for a cut at the Dec. 10 meeting fell to 45.9%. Ether also eased, down near 2% to $3,169. The broader tech weakness kept pressure on crypto even as the Nasdaq recovered. Some see this as a possible last shakeout before a renewed rally, while others warn traders to stay vigilant around the key level near $100,000.

Cocoa Prices Sink on Tariff Talk and Robust West Africa Supplies

November 14, 2025, 3:44 PM EST. Cocoa futures extended a weekly sell-off to 1.75-year lows as talks of possible U.S. tariff cuts weigh on the market. ICE NY cocoa December CCZ25 fell 3.63% and ICE London cocoa CAZ25 shed 0.90%. Traders cited expectations of a bumper West Africa crop, with Ivory Coast farmers reporting favorable conditions and the Ivory Coast main crop just starting. Reports from Mondelez indicating above-average pod counts, plus weak global demand after Hershey's Halloween seasonal sales miss, add to the pressure. Quarterly grindings in Asia and Europe slipped, while North American cocoa grindings rose modestly. A smaller positioning in London cocoa and a spike in funds' net shorts suggest room for a short-covering rally if sentiment shifts.

Zimmer Biomet Finds Bright Spots Amid Earnings Unease

November 14, 2025, 3:42 PM EST. Zimmer Biomet Holdings (NYSE: ZBH) delivered a soft earnings picture, but the underlying income statement hints at improving profitability. Our analysis notes about $254 million of profit was shaved off by unusual items over the past year, suggesting the dip may be one-off. If those unusual items don't recur, earnings could rebound in the coming year. EPS growth remains a bright spot, though investors should weigh margins, forecast growth, and return on invested capital. We also flag one risk to monitor as part of a thorough process. For readers, this piece points to a broader evaluation of fair value, dividends, insider activity, and the company's financial condition to gauge risk and upside.

Metsera (MTSR) Valuation Under Scrutiny After 34% Rally and 22x P/B

November 14, 2025, 3:38 PM EST. Metsera (MTSR) has captured attention after a rapid stock-price turnaround, gaining 34% over the past month and a 166% year-to-date surge. The rally raises questions about whether the current price reflects future potential or overexuberance. The stock trades at a price-to-book (P/B) of 22x, well above the US Biotechs industry average of 2.6x and a peer-group average of 6.3x, signaling a steep premium for uncertain profits. With little meaningful revenue and ongoing unprofitability, the elevated multiple may be hard to justify. Analysts' price targets appear discounted, and investors should weigh risks such as weak revenue growth and development timelines typical of biotech firms. For readers, the piece highlights 4 warning signs and invites personal analysis to judge whether Metsera's momentum can be sustained or if a pullback is likely.

Nvidia Earnings Next Week Could Lift AI Trade and Revive Market Momentum

November 14, 2025, 3:36 PM EST. Nvidia's upcoming earnings after the close next week loom large as traders await a revival of the AI trade. Markets have wrestled with high AI valuations and talk of an AI bubble, with notable voices cautioning over whether promised AI spending will translate to profits. Nvidia, a dominant S&P 500 weight and a key AI proxy, has steered momentum so far this year, up roughly 39% YTD but down this month. A strong print could soothe tech nerves and lift risk appetite, potentially lifting the Dow as leadership returns to AI and related tech. Investors will parse guidance on demand, margins, and capex plans from Jensen Huang's company, which many see as the bellwether for the AI trade.

First Financial Corp. (THFF) Upgraded to Zacks Rank #1: A Potential Strong Buy

November 14, 2025, 3:34 PM EST. First Financial Corp. (THFF) is now a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) after an upward move in earnings estimates. The Zacks rating tracks the EPS and the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current and next year. A rising earnings picture often drives near-term price moves as institutional investors adjust valuations. Historically, Zacks Rank #1 stocks have posted strong results, with an average annual return of about +25% since 1988. THFF is expected to earn $6.59 per share in the fiscal year ending December 2025, unchanged from the prior year, suggesting a stable earnings outlook that could attract buyers.

Crude prices rally on reduced Russian supplies and renewed Middle East risks

November 14, 2025, 3:32 PM EST. Crude prices rallied as concerns about global supply resurfaced. December WTI climbed about +2.8% and RBOB futures gained over +2.6% after Ukraine's drone and missile strikes on Russia's Novorossiysk port and a Rosneft refinery, coupled with reports of heightened Middle East risk after an Iranian oil-tanker seizure. Declines in Russian exports and softer seaborne shipments tightened near-term supply, while new sanctions keep pressure on Russia's exports. China demand remained supportive, with crude imports up 3.1% year over year through October. OPEC+ signaled a December production rise but planned pauses in Q1-2026 amid a looming surplus. Additional risk sentiment comes from potential US/Europe actions against Venezuela and Saudi price movements, all contributing to a cautious upside for crude.

IVOV ETF Sees Unusual Volume on Friday; CLF and MP Materials Lead Moves

November 14, 2025, 3:30 PM EST. Friday saw unusual volume in the IVOV ETF (Vanguard S&P Mid-Cap 400 Value) during afternoon trading, tallying over 380,000 shares vs a three-month average near 30,000. The ETF slipped about 0.2% on the session. Among its heaviest contributors: Cleveland-Cliffs (+about 1.9%, ~8.1M shares traded) and MP Materials (+~2%, ~7.4M shares). PBF Energy stood out as the best gainer, up roughly 6.7%, while RH lagged, down about 4.3%. The activity underscores ongoing interest in the mid-cap value slice, with investors rotating into and out of core components as the session develops.

Coffee Prices Fall on Tariff Relief Bets; Brazil, Vietnam Supply Trends in Focus

November 14, 2025, 3:28 PM EST. Coffee prices slipped for a third day, with December arabica and January ICE robusta posting losses as traders price in potential US tariff cuts. The outlook is shaped by a mix of supply signals: StoneX's 2026/27 Brazil crop projection of 70.7 million bags (47.2m arabica); recent rainfall in Minas Gerais easing dryness concerns; and rising Vietnam output weighing on global supplies. ICE inventories shrank to multi-year lows, while Vietnam exports rose 13.4% y/y to 1.31 MMT through Oct and 2025/26 production is seen up about 6%. The ICO reported a small fall in global exports, and the NOAA La Niña odds (about 71%) could stress Brazil's next crop. If tariff relief solidifies, the market faces both tightness and downside pressures from ample supplies.

Friday Insider Buying Report: KMPR and GBFH Highlight Notable Purchases

November 14, 2025, 3:26 PM EST. Two notable insider buys surfaced on Friday: At Kemper (KMPR), Director Stuart B. Parker bought 25,000 shares at $36.82, for a $920,500 stake. Parker was up about 5.5% at the intraday high of $38.84 as KMPR traded higher, while Kemper rose ~0.4%. At Gbank Financial Holdings (GBFH), Charles William Griege Jr. bought 25,000 shares for $33.30 each ($832,598 total); this marks his first filing in 12 months. GBFH trades down slightly on Friday, though Griege sits in the green about 8% on today's high of $35.97. The notes reflect insider sentiment; views are those of the author, not Nasdaq, Inc.

NioCorp Developments NB Upgraded to Zacks Rank #2 Buy on Rising Earnings Estimates

November 14, 2025, 3:24 PM EST. NioCorp Developments Ltd. (NB) has been upgraded to Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) as earnings estimates trend higher. The upgrade signals a changing earnings picture-the key driver behind Zacks' rating system-tracked by the Zacks Consensus for the current and next year. As earnings revisions improve, near-term stock moves often follow, with institutional investors' valuation models amplifying any impact. The upgrade suggests a constructive view on NB's growth trajectory and potential upside in the share price. For the fiscal year ending June 2026, NB is expected to earn -$0.28 per share, unchanged year over year, with analysts steadily raising their estimates.

AI Analyst Downgrades Alibaba (BABA) to Hold and Trims Price Target Despite Wall Street Optimism

November 14, 2025, 3:22 PM EST. An AI analyst at TipRanks trimmed Alibaba (BABA) to Hold and reduced its price target to $176 from $205, despite Wall Street optimism that the rally could continue. The move follows Alibaba's year-to-date surge of over 90% on strong gains in the AI cloud unit and fast-delivery expansion. Ahead of its Q2 FY26 print on November 25, TipRanks' AI Analyst notes both positives and risks: solid revenue in Q1 FY26 (247.7b yuan) and cloud revenue up 26% y/y, along with partnerships like SAP expanding global reach. But the firm flags weak free cash flow, high spending, losses in quick-commerce, and rising debt. Consensus on TipRanks remains bullish: 19 Buy, 2 Hold, and an average target of about $198, implying ~24% upside.

Alibaba Advances Ahead of Earnings as ARK Buys and Mizuho Lifts Target

November 14, 2025, 3:20 PM EST. Alibaba Group Holding Limited is trading higher ahead of its earnings print, up about 2.87% as investors digest new catalysts. ARK Investment purchased 158,000 shares, signaling renewed conviction in the company's path. Mizuho lifted its target to $195, citing robust summer orders and advancing AI innovations. China's subsidies for large data hubs could lower operating costs, supporting margins for Alibaba. On fundamentals, the stock shows a pretax profit margin of roughly 15.1%, an enterprise value near $155B, and assets around $1,804B. Revenue momentum has eased, making the upcoming results a pivotal read for stakeholders. As Tim Bohen emphasizes, traders should avoid chasing price and focus on entries that fit their plan.

Alibaba (BABA) Stock Slips as Market Rises: Key Facts Ahead of Earnings

November 14, 2025, 3:16 PM EST. Alibaba (BABA) closed at $160.80, down 3.07% as the market rose on the day. The S&P 500 gained 0.21%, while the Dow rose 1.18% and the Nasdaq fell 0.25%. Over the past month, shares are -0.55%, underperforming the Retail-Wholesale sector (+5.47%) and the S&P 500 (+4.36%). Ahead of its next earnings release, the company is seen with EPS of $0.66 (down 69.3% YoY) and revenue of $34.43B (up 2.17%). For the full year, the Zacks Consensus pegs EPS at $6.57 and revenue at $144.67B (-27.08% and +4.73%). The stock sports a Forward P/E of 25.24 and a PEG ratio of 1.99 vs. industry 21.83 and 1.5. The Zacks Rank remains #5 (Strong Sell); forecasts have shown no recent revisions in 30 days.

Actelis Sets 1-for-10 Reverse Split to Regain Nasdaq Compliance

November 14, 2025, 3:12 PM EST. Actelis Networks (ASNS) has won approval for a 1-for-10 reverse stock split, effective before the market opens on November 18, with shares trading on a split-adjusted basis under a new CUSIP while maintaining the ASNS ticker. The move, previously authorized to range from 1-for-7 to 1-for-12, aims to lift the stock price and restore Nasdaq compliance, and may also broaden institutional interest. Following the split, every ten shares become one, and all outstanding options and warrants will be adjusted proportionately. Currently trading around $0.41 on the Nasdaq Capital Market, the stock is down modestly on the news. The company notes the views in the release do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Can CB Financial Services (CBFV) Run Higher on Rising Earnings Estimates? – Zacks Rank Signals Momentum

November 14, 2025, 3:10 PM EST. CB Financial Services (CBFV) could extend its gains as earnings estimates continue to rise. The stock has shown solid short-term momentum, and earnings estimate revisions are turning more favorable, a dynamic historically linked to near-term price moves. The Zacks Rank currently sits at #1 (Strong Buy), reflecting consensus upgrades that lifted the forward-looking EPS outlook. For the current quarter, the company is expected to earn $0.83 per share, up about 137.1% YoY; for the full year, estimates rise to $2.74 per share, up roughly 35%. Over the last month, the consensus increased by about 5.79%. With continued favorable revisions and a Strong Buy signal, further upside may be ahead for CB Financial Services.

BigBear.ai Stock Traded at a Discount: Is It a Hidden Opportunity in AI/National Security?

November 14, 2025, 3:08 PM EST. BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) operates at the intersection of AI, national security, and border tech, a mix that can accelerate growth when funding flows align. After a volatile start to 2025, the stock trades at a more reasonable multiple, with a forward 12-month P/S of 11.81 versus the industry 17.04, suggesting undervaluation relative to peers. On a competitive basis, Palantir commands far higher multiples, while C3.ai sits near 7x, leaving BigBear.ai with room to run if profitability improves. The company also carries a strong balance sheet: about $390.8 million in cash and $380 million in backlog, which could fund organic expansion or targeted M&A to deepen moats in computer vision and edge orchestration. Risks remain around revenue growth and guidance.

SoundHound vs. C3.ai: Which AI Stock Has More Upside Now?

November 14, 2025, 3:07 PM EST. SoundHound AI is gaining traction in voice AI, with deployments at 14,000+ locations and automotive wins, plus strategic acquisitions like Amelia and SYNQ3 boosting recurring revenue. Q2 2025 revenue jumped 217% to $42.7 million and management lifted full-year guidance to $160-$178 million. However, profitability remains pressured: GAAP gross margin fell to 39% as lower-margin deals mix, while operating expenses surged and adjusted EBITDA stayed negative. The stock faces deal lumpiness and competition from large platforms such as Amazon and Alphabet. By contrast, C3.ai has faced leadership changes and a sales-force restructuring amid declining revenue, highlighting execution risk in its enterprise AI push. Upside hinges on pacing of AI adoption, margin recovery, and valuation, with SoundHound leaning on rapid niche expansion and C3.ai on broader enterprise deployments.

Is BigBear.ai the Next Palantir? Assessing the Buy Prospects

November 14, 2025, 3:05 PM EST. BigBear.ai has surged 281% over the last year, but recent volatility raises questions whether it can become the next Palantir. In Q2, revenue fell 18% year over year to $32.5 million, and management cut full-year 2025 guidance to $125-$140 million from $160-$180 million. The company posted a wide net loss ($228.6 million) even as a large backlog of $380 million signals potential, the funded portion is just over 4% and most contracts are with the federal government, potentially delaying approvals. By contrast, Palantir posted robust growth across its US government and commercial segments in Q2, with multiple deals and a rising AI platform uptake. While BigBear.ai's backlog hints at longer-term opportunities, the current dynamics suggest limited near-term upside and higher execution risk for a Palantir-like win.

3 Top AI Stocks Push Record Highs Again: NVDA, ANET, VRT Lead AI Infrastructure Rally

November 14, 2025, 3:02 PM EST. NVDA, ANET, and VRT are pushing record highs as the AI data-center buildout accelerates. Nvidia remains the undisputed leader in AI compute, dominating GPUs and software. Arista Networks commands high-speed networking, while Vertiv supplies essential power and cooling for hyperscale data centers. The trio are seen as the most defensive and structurally vital players in the AI infrastructure wave, even as near-term volatility looms from tariff chatter. Nvidia trades at about a forward earnings multiple in the low- to mid-40s with earnings growth forecast around 30%+ annually and revenue rising ~57% this year and ~32% next. A pullback into the $150-$160 area could make shares cheaper, resetting valuations while preserving the long-term thesis.

UBS Lifts McGraw Hill Price Target to $16; MH Stock Rises as New Coverage Widens

November 14, 2025, 3:00 PM EST. UBS Group boosted its price objective on McGraw Hill (NYSE: MH) from $15.00 to $16.00, while keeping a Neutral rating. The move follows fresh coverage from banks including Deutsche Bank, Morgan Stanley, Robert W. Baird, Stifel, and JPMorgan Chase, with targets up to $21 and ratings ranging from Buy to Overweight. MH traded around $14.96, up about 6% on Thursday. The latest quarter delivered EPS of $1.40 on revenue of $669.2 million, topping estimates. The stock's 12-month range is $10.69-$17.25 and the 50-day moving average runs at $12.84. Hedge funds have been adding to positions, and MarketBeat shows a Moderate Buy with a $20.72 average target.

Stocks Rebound as Megacap Tech and Energy Producers Lead a Mixed Session

November 14, 2025, 2:58 PM EST. U.S. stocks drifted mixed as megacap tech regained early losses and energy producers anchored the session. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones were lower on the day, while the Nasdaq-100 rose after the Magnificent Seven found buyers. Strength in energy helped counter weakness in other areas as WTI crude jumped more than 2%. Futures showed a split tape with ES slightly lower and NQ higher. Traders trimmed expectations for a December Fed rate cut to about 48%, down from 70% last week, as officials signaled caution on inflation and the economy's resilience. China data disappointed, with Oct industrial production at +4.9% y/y and home prices slipping. In crypto, Bitcoin traded around a 6-month low, and Bitcoin ETFs saw sizable outflows amid ongoing selling pressure.

Crypto market slides as Bitcoin falls below $97,000 amid hawkish Fed bets

November 14, 2025, 2:56 PM EST. Bitcoin dropped below $97,000 for the first time since May, off roughly 22% from its all-time high near $126,000 last month. Ethereum and Solana also slid, with ETH around $3,236 (down ~3%) and SOL near $142 (down ~12%). The move comes as rate-cut expectations fade after a more hawkish Fed stance, with traders pricing in a lower probability of a December cut. The sector is contending with macro risk post the October 10 flash crash, Powell's cautious rhetoric, and a shift in sentiment. Analysts note a looming death cross and a souring regulatory backdrop despite earlier boosts from policy signals.

Nasdaq-Backed ARIE 2025 Names Top 20 MSAs as America's Entrepreneurial Growth Engines

November 14, 2025, 2:54 PM EST. Supported by JPMorganChase and Nasdaq, the Advancing Regional Innovation Economies (ARIE) 2025 study identifies the 20 MSAs that dominate angel investing and SBA 504 scale-up lending. In partnership with Heartland Forward and Penn State, the report links regional education hubs, migration, and favorable policy environments to robust entrepreneurial growth. Nicola Corzine notes that access to angel equity and SBA-backed debt are parallel engines for innovation and scale-ups. The analysis highlights migration and education as multipliers, with Sunbelt metros (Austin, Orlando, Charlotte) driving domestic flows and coastal hubs (San Diego, Seattle, SF) attracting international talent. On average, Top 20 regions host more than 15 universities each, building deep social capital networks for entrepreneurship.

Are AI Stocks in a Bubble? Core Bets, Froth and Valuations

November 14, 2025, 2:52 PM EST. Three years into the AI boom, the market is not in a broad bubble, though froth appears in speculative corners. Investor chatter centers on whether the AI rally is overdone. Bezos calls it a "good bubble," noting it's more an industrial surge than a financial one, with real breakthroughs likely to reshape every industry. Core AI leaders like NVIDIA (NVDA), Vertiv (VRT), and Arista Networks (ANET) trade at premium multiples but remain foundational to the AI buildout: GPUs powering inference, cooling, and high-speed networking. Hyperscalers face high valuations too, yet the bigger risk lies in speculative bets such as Oklo (OKLO). Overall market multiples run above average but are far from nosebleed bubble territory.

BILL Holdings: Impressive EPS Rise May Mask Hidden Profitability Risks

November 14, 2025, 2:48 PM EST. Despite BILL Holdings, Inc.'s strong earnings, the market didn't move, as a large portion of profit came from unusual items. Over the past year, statutory profits were inflated by about US$32m of such items, suggesting the underlying profitability may be weaker than headline numbers imply. While EPS grew 56% year over year, this boost may not be repeatable once the unusual items fade. The note flags at least one warning sign and warns that investors should look beyond statutory results to gauge true profitability, considering risk factors and other metrics. Readers are urged to conduct further analysis rather than rely solely on the reported earnings.

Citizens Jmp Lowers SSTI Target to $16, Pessimistic Forecast for SoundThinking (SSTI)

November 14, 2025, 2:44 PM EST. Citizens Jmp lowered SSTI's target price from $19.00 to $16.00 with a market outperform rating, signaling upside potential. SSTI slid to $7.05 at midday as mixes of ratings rolled in: Weiss Ratings remains a sell; Cantor Fitzgerald trimmed to $16 with overweight; Lake Street cut to $19 with buy; Wall Street Zen moved to sell; Zacks upgraded to hold. MarketBeat's data show a consensus of Moderate Buy with an average target of $18.50 from five Buy, two Hold, and one Sell ratings. SSTI has a $90.13M market cap, negative earnings (-$0.16) vs -$0.07 est, and revenue of $25.10M. Insiders, including CEO Ralph A. Clark, sold 16,161 shares. Key technicals: 50-day MA $11.11, 200-day MA $12.97; 1-year range $6.29-$19.43.

Evercore ISI Turns Pessimistic on WEBTOON Entertainment as WBTN Price Target Falls to $20

November 14, 2025, 2:42 PM EST. Evercore ISI lowered its price target on WEBTOON Entertainment (NASDAQ:WBTN) from $23.00 to $20.00, while maintaining an outperform rating, signaling cautious optimism. The update arrives amid a split analyst landscape: JPMorgan Chase & Co. raised its target to $22.00 with a Neutral rating; Goldman Sachs lifted to $15.00 with a Buy; Weiss Ratings remains a Sell (d-). Zacks Research moved to a Strong Buy, and Morgan Stanley lifted its target to $11.00 with an Equal Weight. MarketBeat shows a Moderate Buy consensus and a $17.33 target. In the latest quarter, WBTN reported $0.04 EPS on $378.04 million in revenue; guidance for Q4 2025 is seen as negative earnings, framing a cautious near-term outlook for investors.

Morgan Stanley trims LOAR price target to $97; analysts grow more bullish

November 14, 2025, 2:40 PM EST. Loar (NYSE:LOAR) saw Morgan Stanley trim its price objective to $97 from $100, while maintaining an overweight rating – signaling roughly 40% upside from today's level. Other firms shifted views: Wall Street Zen upgraded to Buy, Zacks Research moved to Strong-Buy, and Weiss Ratings remains Hold. MarketBeat shows a Buy consensus with a $96 target. LOAR slipped about 2.9% to $69.24 on volume near 388.8k, below the average. It trades near the 50-day MA ($78.55) and under the 200-day MA ($80.08). The 12-month range spans $62.10-$99.67. In Q results, LOAR earned $0.35 per share on $126.75m revenue, beating $0.22 estimates. Guidance: FY2026: $0.98-$1.03; FY2025: $0.93-$0.98. Hedge funds, including Arizona State Retirement System and Vanguard, have added shares.

Susquehanna Raises Price Target for Occidental Petroleum (OXY), Sees ~30% Upside

November 14, 2025, 2:38 PM EST. Susquehanna raised Occidental Petroleum (OXY) price target from $54.00 to $55.00 and gave the stock a positive rating, signaling a potential upside of about 30.65%. The price objective accompanies a bullish stance, even as other analysts remain mixed: Scotiabank lifted their objective to $47.00 with a sector perform rating; Weiss Ratings maintained a hold; Wall Street Zen downgraded to sell; Piper Sandler trimmed to $47.00 with a neutral rating; UBS cut to $45.00 with a neutral stance. Market-wide sentiment from MarketBeat shows a consensus Hold and an average target of $51.24. In recent trade, OXY gained to $42.10 on volume around 3.52 million. Key metrics: market cap ~$41.4B, P/E 24.93, beta 0.91, 52-week range $34.78-$53.20. Last quarter beat on EPS with $0.64; revenue $6.62B; analysts anticipate about $3.58 per share for the year.

Friday Sector Laggards: Paper & Forest Products, Sporting Goods & Activities

November 14, 2025, 2:37 PM EST. On Friday, Paper & Forest Products stocks were among the clear laggards, down roughly 2.3% for the session. The declines were led by Mercer International (about 4.9%) and Magnera (about 4.4%). The weakness extended to Sporting Goods & Activities, which slipped about 1.5% as a group, dragged lower by Aureus Greenway Holdings (around 4.4%) and Light & Wonder (around 3.7%). The session featured a video recap under the same sector lens. As always, moves reflect sector-specific headlines and trader sentiment for the day.

Daily Dividend Report: AIZ, WY, MLM, COLB, LNC Boost Dividends; AIZ Also Launches Buyback

November 14, 2025, 2:34 PM EST. Today's Daily Dividend Report highlights five dividend actions and a buyback authorization. AIZ (Assurant) unveiled a new repurchase program for up to $700 million of its common stock (in addition to about $141 million remaining) and approved a quarterly dividend increase to $0.88 per share. The dividend is payable on Dec 29, 2025 to holders of record as of Dec 1, 2025. WY (Weyerhaeuser) declared a quarterly base cash dividend of $0.21 per share, payable Dec 12, 2025 to record holders as of Nov 28, 2025. MLM (Martin Marietta Materials) declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.83 per share, payable Dec 31, 2025; record date Dec 1, 2025. COLB (Columbia Banking System) approved a quarterly dividend of $0.37 per share, a 3% increase, payable Dec 15, 2025 to record as of Nov 28, 2025. LNC (Lincoln Financial) declared a quarterly dividend of $0.45 per share, payable Feb 2, 2026 to record Jan 12, 2026.

Friday's ETF Movers: TAN Leads Rally as PTL Mixed; Canadian Solar & Array Technologies Jump

November 14, 2025, 2:32 PM EST. On Friday, the Invesco Solar ETF (TAN) outpaced peers, rising about 2.4%, with solar-name components helping lead the charge. Within TAN, Canadian Solar jumped roughly 12.1% and Array Technologies rose about 8.3%. In contrast, the Inspire 500 ETF declined about 2.3%, with Caris Life Sciences and Bitmine Immersion Technologies each down around 3.8% as notable laggards. The segment also flags PTL as part of the Friday movers, though action there was more muted. The takeaway: a split between solar-focused exposures and broader thematic holdings dominated the session.

Wall Street erases a big early loss as Nvidia and bitcoin swing

November 14, 2025, 2:30 PM EST. Stocks wobbled on Thursday, with the S&P 500 recovering from a 1.3% intraday decline to trade up about 0.2% as of 11:45 a.m. ET. The Nasdaq turned higher by roughly 0.5%, while the Dow shed about 0.5%, erasing a larger earlier loss that neared 600 points. Traders weighed the swing in tech momentum as Nvidia shares and bitcoin price moves drew attention, but broad indices improved from the session's dawn weakness. The morning volatility underscored the market's sensitivity to large-cap tech and crypto swings, even as risk-asset sentiment improved for the moment.

China Petroleum & Chemical (SEHK:386): Valuation in Focus After Momentum

November 14, 2025, 2:28 PM EST. China Petroleum & Chemical has posted a 1-month return of about 9% and a 12-month TSR of around 11%, signaling renewed momentum in the energy sector. The stock trades at a P/E of 13.6x, above the Hong Kong oil-and-gas industry average of 10.2x and the peer average of 9.7x, suggesting a premium valuation grounded in higher expected earnings. Yet, a fair P/E of about 15.8x implies possible headroom if forecasts materialize. A forward-looking DCF model indicates the shares are roughly 48% below estimated fair value, signaling undervaluation by the market. Risks include slower revenue growth and oil-price volatility. If earnings accelerate, the stock could re-rate toward its fair value, despite near-term momentum.

Chemed (CHE) Valuation Eyes Upside After Modest Price Moves

November 14, 2025, 2:26 PM EST. Chemed (CHE) has seen only modest price movement lately, with a 7-day return of 3.6% and a 1-year total return down about 20%. The stock trades at roughly a 31% discount to analyst price targets, raising questions about whether it is UNDERVALUED given mid-term earnings growth. A fair-value view of about $582.25 underscores potential upside if catalysts materialize, notably the expansion of VITAS through new CON locations in Florida counties such as Pinellas and Marion as the population ages and care shifts toward home-based services. Valuation shows CHE trading near 22.6x earnings, slightly above the 21x fair multiple. Risks include rising labor costs and ongoing Medicare reimbursement pressures that could curb the profitability turnaround. Readers should review the full analysis for the key drivers and risks.

Daiwa Capital Markets Lifts Gilead Sciences Target to $129, Signaling Modest Upside

November 14, 2025, 2:24 PM EST. Daiwa Capital Markets lifted its view on Gilead Sciences (GILD), raising the target price from $128.00 to $129.00 and maintaining an Outperform rating, signaling about a 1.16% upside from current levels. Peers including BMO Capital Markets (to $135, Outperform) and Daiwa America (to Strong-Buy) have also adjusted targets in recent sessions. Market data showed GILD trading around $127.50 with elevated volume, as the stock nears its 200-day moving average. Key metrics: P/E ~25.4, PEG 0.81, beta 0.32; 52-week range roughly $86.08-$127.63. In the latest quarter, EPS $2.47 on revenue $7.77B, topping estimates, and FY2025 guidance of $8.05-$8.25 per share. Consensus from MarketBeat stands at Moderate Buy with an average target near $128.83.

Dollar Gains as Fed Rate-Cut Bets Recede; Gold Plunges Amid Hawkish Signals

November 14, 2025, 2:22 PM EST. The dollar extended gains as hawkish comments from Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid and a retreat in equities push traders toward liquidity; the DXY rose +0.15% after a two-week low. Markets priced in a 48% chance of a Fed rate cut of 25 bp at the December FOMC, down from 70% last week, dampening gold's appeal. The euro weakened despite an upgrade to Eurozone GDP; USD/JPY eased as safe-haven demand boosted the yen, supported by a 1.711% JGB yield. December COMEX gold slid about -2.72% and silver -4.29% as precious metals sell off, with traders rotating toward the USD and away from risk assets.

Dow slides, Nasdaq rebounds from tech rout as AI fears loom

November 14, 2025, 2:20 PM EST. Stocks finished mixed Friday as the Dow slipped about 107 points while the Nasdaq reversed a weeks-long tech rout. The S&P 500 rose roughly 0.5% as Nvidia, AMD and Broadcom led gains, with Tesla, Meta, Apple and Microsoft posting modest moves. Traders cited fears that AI firms have been overvalued, fueling volatility after a recent selloff. Bitcoin fell as risk appetites cooled. Investors await upcoming inflation and jobs data to gauge the Fed outlook, even as the government shutdown ended but a data blackout persists for October releases. The session highlighted ongoing market bumps as AI spending and valuations remain in focus.

Weibo Corp (WB) Crosses Below 200-Day Moving Average

November 14, 2025, 2:18 PM EST. Weibo Corp (WB) traded as low as $8.71, dipping below its 200-day moving average of $8.74 on Friday, and down about 1.8% for the session. The move marks a technical caution as WB hovered near its one-year performance relative to the long-term trend. The stock's 52-week range spans $7.03-$12.40, with the latest print at $8.96. Traders may watch whether the pullback leads to additional downside or a potential bounce. For context, the chart compares WB to its 200-day line, and investors often view a break below this moving average as a sign to reevaluate near-term momentum. Click to explore nine other stocks that recently crossed below their 200-day moving average.

Tech crash alert: $1.5 trillion wiped from US stocks as rate-cut hopes fade

November 14, 2025, 2:16 PM EST. US stocks tumbled as tech giants erased about $1.5 trillion in value over two days, with Nvidia, Microsoft and Palantir among the biggest casualties. A pullback in AI spending and tougher valuations weighed on the group, while others like Tesla, Amazon, Intel and Alphabet also fell. The Nasdaq, S&P 500 and Dow slid, the Dow dropping around 479 points and the Nasdaq down about 1.5%. Traders scaled back expectations for a December Fed rate cut, pushing a move to March as investors reassess AI valuations and capital outlays. Bitcoin and other crypto-linked names also faced pressure as market sentiment soured.

Evercore ISI Lifts Fidelis Insurance Price Target to $20 (FIHL), Sees Upside

November 14, 2025, 2:14 PM EST. Evercore ISI lifted Fidelis Insurance (FIHL) price target from $19.00 to $20.00, signaling an implied upside of 6.81% with an in-line rating. The move follows a chorus of mixed broker notes: Weiss Ratings maintains a Hold, Zacks upgrades to Hold from Strong Sell, and Barclays raises its objective to $19.00 with an Equal Weight rating. MarketBeat shows a Hold consensus and an average target of $20.86. FIHL traded around $18.73, with about 292k shares exchanged. The company carries a market cap near $2.07B, a P/E of -45.67, and a beta of 0.27. In the latest quarter, FIHL posted EPS 1.21 on revenue 797.5M.

3 Reasons Bitcoin May Wipe Out This Year's Gains

November 14, 2025, 2:12 PM EST. Bitcoin's year-to-date rally could stall as investors weigh three headwinds. First, monetary policy shifts, with the Fed signaling tighter conditions that could cool demand for risk assets and cap gains. Second, regulatory risk intensifies in major markets, with ongoing crackdowns raising compliance costs and dampening participation. Third, technicals and liquidity pressures-tests of key levels and shifts in institutional flows-could spark profit-taking after a strong run. While bulls point to a maturing crypto ecosystem and growing acceptance, traders should brace for volatility as macro dynamics and policy cues drive sentiment. Consider risk management steps like setting stops and avoiding overexposure until a clearer catalyst emerges.

Canary Likely to Pause New Crypto ETF Filings as XRP ETF Debuts and SEC Shift Looms

November 14, 2025, 2:10 PM EST. Canary Capital is likely to pause new crypto ETF filings for the rest of the year after submitting applications for every token currently eligible under the SEC's framework. CEO Steve McClurg noted the XRP ETF launched this week, with a pending Solana (SOL) product completing the slate. Under the SEC generic listing standards, assets must meet criteria such as a futures market traded for more than six months, leaving only a short list of eligible tokens. Canary will focus on existing products while awaiting a shift in how the SEC treats crypto ETFs, with new launches possible under generics or via a 19b-4 approval. The XRP fund generated about $58 million in debut trading volume, hinting it could outperform Solana vehicles given broader familiarity in traditional finance.

Wall Street recovers from early loss as Nvidia, Bitcoin and gold swing; S&P 500 turns positive, Nasdaq up, Dow down

November 14, 2025, 2:08 PM EST. S&P 500 reverses a 1.3% morning drop and is up 0.2% by 11:45 a.m. ET, while the Nasdaq adds 0.5% and the Dow trades down about 215 points (0.5%) after an earlier near-600-point slide. The session reflects mixed risk sentiment as investors weigh moves in Nvidia, Bitcoin, and gold amid choppy trading in tech and commodities.

Why the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Fell Today: Rate-Cut Doubt Triggers Stock Rotation

November 14, 2025, 2:06 PM EST. US stocks fell Friday as investors grew doubtful about a December rate-cut by the Fed. The Dow slid about 0.8%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq each dropped roughly 0.5%. After the longest-ever government shutdown, tech and crypto jitters added to the pullback. Tesla sank below $400; Nvidia wobbled as AI hype cools and valuations stay high. Bitcoin slid, intensifying risk-off sentiment. Traders rotated from growth to value stocks amid hedging against policy uncertainty. The odds of a December cut fell below 50% from near 95% last month, as officials cite resilience and lingering inflation. With pending data scarce, markets stay cautious and reactive to headlines.

YieldBoost CNMD: 21.1% Annualized Return via May 2026 Covered Call on CONMED (CNMD)

November 14, 2025, 2:04 PM EST. Shareholders of CONMED Corp (CNMD) can boost income beyond the stock's 1.9% annualized dividend by selling the May 2026 covered call at the $45 strike and collecting the $4 premium, which annualizes to a 19.2% rate for a total of 21.1% if the stock is not called away. Any upside above $45 would be forfeited if called, with the stock needing about a 7.8% rise to trigger. If called, the position yields roughly 17.4% plus any dividends paid before the call. Dividend amounts are not guaranteed. CNMD's trailing twelve-month volatility is about 42%; the current price is near $41.81. See StockOptionsChannel for other call ideas. (Views are those of the author.)

YieldBoost on PWP: 18.7% Annualized Return With April 2026 $20 Covered Call

November 14, 2025, 2:02 PM EST. Perella Weinberg Partners – Class A (PWP) investors can boost income beyond the ~1.5% dividend by selling the April 2026 covered call at the $20 strike. The premium around $1.35 annualizes to ~17.2%, for a total potential ~18.7% if the stock isn't called away. If PWP rises above $20 and is called, upside is forfeited, but a roughly 7.8% price move would trigger the call, yielding about a 15% return from this level plus any dividends collected prior. Dividend amounts are not guaranteed and depend on profitability; volatility informs the strategy's risk. In short, this YieldBoost approach trades away upside beyond $20 for higher current income, with typical stock-market caveats.

Meme stocks wiped out this week as market pullback hits speculative names

November 14, 2025, 2:00 PM EST. U.S. equities slipped broadly Thursday, with the Dow losing about 800 points and the Nasdaq dropping about 2%, but the week's weakness was concentrated in meme stocks. The MEME ETF (Roundhill) was on track for a roughly 12% weekly decline after a late relaunch, with holdings like Rigetti Computing, D-Wave Quantum and IonQ tumbling 43%, 37% and 27% respectively as of Friday morning. NuScale Power plunged about 48% through the week. Investor Peter Boockvar tied the pullback to a broader market backdrop for speculative genAI plays and to investors realizing gains ahead of year-end. He warned that a sell-off in these names could spill over to the broader S&P 500, given the sector's outsized weight in markets and capex-driven narratives around AI.

Kosmos Energy Valuation Update: Q3 Results, 2025 Guidance, and Debt-Reduction Measures

November 14, 2025, 1:58 PM EST. Kosmos Energy (NYSE: KOS) released Q3 results, issued 2025 production guidance, and unveiled debt-reduction measures that could alter investor expectations. The update shows a modest lift in quarterly output, expanded 2025 targets, and steps to strengthen leverage. Shares remain under pressure, with a 1-year return near -61% and TSR down ~65%, as management signals a potential turnaround. The narrative highlights a fair value case around $3.34 vs a close of $1.44, suggesting the market may be awaiting tangible progress before re-rating. Key risks include high debt and exposure to politically sensitive regions. If the plan to boost LNG output (GTA LNG project, brownfield expansions) materializes, Kosmos could shift toward steadier cash flow and upside in a higher-growth scenario.

DuPont (DD) Valuation Under Spotlight as Shares Slide but Long-Term Returns Remain Strong

November 14, 2025, 1:56 PM EST. DuPont de Nemours (DD) has seen a sharp pullback, with the share price down about 47% in the past month, yet the one-year total return remains around 19%, highlighting how long-term returns can outpace near-term volatility. The core question is whether the stock is undervalued or already priced for future growth. The current narrative pegs a fair value near $93.69, implying potential upside if DuPont accelerates growth through its electronics momentum, AI-driven applications, advanced packaging, and a higher-margin mix. Still, risks from ongoing legal settlements and geopolitical exposure in China could alter the outlook. Investors should consider how a business mix shift might sustain above-market returns, while monitoring the legal and macro backdrop.

Oklo OKLO: 28.1% Yield From Selling December 2027 $37 Put

November 14, 2025, 1:54 PM EST. Investors eyeing OKLO stock can boost income by selling puts rather than buying at the current price of $104.25. The standout is the December 2027 $37 put, bid around $10.40, delivering a 28.1% return on the $37 commitment and about 13.4% annualized (the YieldBoost). A put seller gains exposure to shares only if the contract is exercised, so upside is limited to the premium unless Oklo drops below $37. The discussion notes trailing-twelve-month volatility near 121% and references chart context and fundamentals when weighing risk/reward. See the OKLO options page for other expirations.

YieldBoost on SHLS: Sell the August 2026 $5 Put for 18.2% Annualized Return

November 14, 2025, 1:52 PM EST. Investors weighing a SHLS purchase at market price can consider selling puts as an alternative. The August 2026 put at the $5 strike is currently bid around $0.70, yielding about a 14% premium on the $5 commitment and roughly 18.2% annualized via the YieldBoost metric. A put seller collects the premium unless the contract is exercised, which would occur only if SHLS falls to or below $5. If exercised, the effective cost basis would be $4.30 ($5 strike minus $0.70 premium). Absent exercise, the upside is limited to the premium. Note the trailing 12-month volatility ~89% and consider chart context with fundamentals. For more ideas, see the SHLS options pages on StockOptionsChannel. Opinions are those of the author.

Sunrun Jan 2028 $10 Put Could Deliver 24.5% Premium (YieldBoost)

November 14, 2025, 1:50 PM EST. Investors considering buying Sunrun Inc (RUN) shares at the current market price of about $18.98 may explore selling puts as an alternative strategy. The standout contract is the January 2028 put at the $10 strike, currently bid at $2.45. Collecting that bid as the premium equates to a 24.5% return on the $10 commitment, or an 11.2% annualized YieldBoost, per Stock Options Channel. However, selling a put only obligates you to own shares if the contract is exercised, and you'd need a drop to around $7.55 cost basis (subtracting the premium) before upside mirrors owning stock at current prices. The article notes the risks, charts, and historical volatility (about 117%), and suggests evaluating this idea in context with fundamentals and other expirations on the RUN options page.

Sell Jan 2028 PGY $15 Put for 12.8% Annualized Yield (YieldBoost)

November 14, 2025, 1:48 PM EST. Investors considering PGY can boost income by selling puts rather than buying shares at the current $24.45 price. The standout idea is the January 2028 put with a $15 strike that trades with a $4.20 bid. Collecting this premium equals a 28% return on the $15 commitment, or about 12.8% annualized (the StockOptionsChannel YieldBoost). If the option is exercised, the buyer delivers shares at $15, giving the seller a cost basis of $10.80 after subtracting the premium. If not exercised, the premium is pure gain. Selling puts limits upside relative to owning, and involves stock downside risk if PGY collapses. Consider volatility, charts, and fundamentals; see other expiration ideas on the PGY options page.

Commit To Purchase D-Wave Quantum At $13, Earn 36.5% Using Options

November 14, 2025, 1:47 PM EST. In this look at selling puts on QBTS, the January 2028 $13 put offers a $4.75 premium, equating to a 36.5% total return and a 16.7% annualized yield (YieldBoost). A put seller only gains upside if the option is exercised; otherwise the premium is the reward. Exercise would force a cost basis of about $8.25 after premium, requiring roughly a 46.3% stock drop. With QBTS trading near $24.25, this strategy trades potential upside for premium income and defined risk. Consider trailing volatility (reported around 164%) and how fundamental analysis fits with the chart before acting. For other ideas, see the QBTS option pages on StockOptionsChannel.

US stocks slide as tech selloff resumes; Walmart hits with CEO retirement; Fed cautious on policy easing

November 14, 2025, 1:44 PM EST. U.S. stocks slipped Friday as a renewed tech selloff overshadowed economic data concerns. After hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials, traders priced in a slower path to rate cuts, while the ongoing data vacuum from the end of the government shutdown added uncertainty. By mid-morning, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down about 568 points (1.24%), the S&P 500 fell roughly 1.09%, and the Nasdaq Composite slipped 1.44%. In bonds, the 10-year Treasury yield held at 4.11%. Notable movers included Walmart (-2.2%) on retirement news for CEO Doug McMillon and Applied Materials (-6.3%) on weaker China spending signals amid tighter US export controls. Gold and oil also moved lower as markets priced in risk-off sentiment.

FAS Crosses Below 200-Day Moving Average; 3X Financial Bull ETF Slumps

November 14, 2025, 1:42 PM EST. Shares of the Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares ETF (FAS) crossed below its 200-day moving average of $124.59, trading as low as $124.40 on Friday. FAS is currently down about 0.2% on the session. The chart compares one year of performance against the 200-day moving average. In the past year, FAS has traded between a 52-week low of $76.78 and a 52-week high of $155.8163, with a last trade at $125.23. A cross below the moving average can signal potential momentum shifts; traders may watch for further price action as the ETF tracks its benchmark.

Precigen Jan 2028 Put At $3.50: 12.4% Annualized Yield (YieldBoost)

November 14, 2025, 1:40 PM EST. Precigen Inc (PGEN) trades around $5.11. The standout strategy highlighted is selling the January 2028 put with a $3.50 strike that currently bids around $0.95. Collecting the premium yields about 27.1% against the $3.50 commitment, or roughly 12.4% annualized (the 'YieldBoost'). But selling puts caps upside at the premium and only delivers ownership if the contract is exercised, which would occur if shares fall to around or below $3.50. The breakeven on the trade is about $2.55 after subtracting the premium. If Precigen drops roughly 31% to trigger assignment, the cost basis is $2.55. With 104% volatility trailing, this approach fits risk-tolerant investors; see StockOptionsChannel.com for other ideas.

Commit To Purchase NEXT At $3 With Jan 2028 Put YieldBoost

November 14, 2025, 1:38 PM EST. Investors considering buying NEXT at the current $6.06 price might explore selling puts as an alternative. The January 2028 $3 put carries a bid around $0.50, offering a premium that equals about $0.50/$3 = 16.7% of the commitment, or roughly 7.6% annualized as the YieldBoost. A put seller forfeits upside until the stock is exercised, which happens only if NEXT falls below $3. If exercised, the effective cost basis becomes about $2.50 after subtracting the premium, ignoring commissions. Otherwise, the only upside is the earned premium. The piece cautions about the risks and notes the stock's ~70% trailing volatility. As always, review how the history, implied volatility, and fundamentals fit your risk tolerance before acting on YieldBoost strategies.

Stocks Retreat as Fed Rate-Cut Odds Fade Ahead of December FOMC

November 14, 2025, 1:36 PM EST. U.S. stocks declined as doubts about a Fed rate cut intensified, with the S&P 500 down about 0.9%, the Dow off 1.0%, and the Nasdaq 100 sliding 1.2%. E-mini futures mirrored risk-off tone, while traders priced in roughly 51% odds of no cut at the December FOMC meeting after officials signaled caution. Valuations in AI-infrastructure and semiconductors weighed on sentiment. Mixed China data pressured growth bets. Bitcoin plummeted to a 6.25-month low amid large ETF outflows. A government shutdown ended with a funding bill, but the data calendar remains opaque, delaying October payrolls and CPI.

Bitcoin slips into bear market regime as BTC dips below $95,000 amid Fed-rate uncertainty

November 14, 2025, 1:34 PM EST. Bitcoin (BTC-USD) extended losses on Friday, sliding below $95,000 as a broader stock-market rout tied to uncertainty over when the Fed will cut rates intensified selling. The token traded around $96,000 midday after dropping more than 24% from its October peak. Bloomberg-reported ETF outflows added pressure, with 10X Research noting there is no meaningful marginal buyer and labeling current conditions a bear market regime. A break below $93,000 could open the door to further declines, the firm warned. With no imminent rate cuts and a lack of catalysts, 10X and others see limited upside near term. Fundstrat's Sean Farrell echoed the caution, suggesting a longer stretch of risk-off sentiment and a potential revisit to the low $90Ks could do the trick.

VFC Falls Through 200-Day Moving Average, Trading Near $15

November 14, 2025, 1:28 PM EST. On Friday, VF Corp. (VFC) slipped below its 200-day moving average of $15.01, trading as low as $14.74 and down roughly 2.1% on the session. The move places the stock near a key long-term indicator that traders watch for trend changes. The last trade touched around $15.02, sitting between the 200-DMA and the year's range. Over the past 52 weeks, VFC traded between $9.41 and $29.02, highlighting substantial volatility. Traders may monitor whether the 200-day level acts as support or if renewed selling resumes. Watch volume and any catalysts that could confirm a new direction.

Fuller Company (FUL) Crosses Below 200-Day Moving Average

November 14, 2025, 1:26 PM EST. Fuller Company (FUL) shares fell below their 200-day moving average of $57.77 on Friday, trading as low as $55.76 and last around $57.16. The stock was down about 1.4% on the day. The slide comes as investors monitor the longer-term trend relative to the moving average. Over the past year, FUL has traded within a range that includes a 52-week low of $47.56 and a 52-week high of $78.68. The intraday low and the current level place the price slightly under the key moving average, highlighting potential near-term volatility as charts compare price against the 200-DMA. Readers may also explore other dividend names that recently crossed their 200-DMA.

Wall Street continues to shake a day after its sell-off as Nvidia, bitcoin and gold swing

November 14, 2025, 1:22 PM EST. Wall Street tried to steady a day after a broad sell-off as major assets drifted. NVIDIA helped steer tech moves while bitcoin swung with crypto markets and hedging bets. Gold traded as investors weighed safe-haven demand against alternative yields. Futures and equities showed cautious trading as traders await clearer signals from earnings, the bond market and inflation data. The session underscored ongoing volatility as markets digest leadership shifts between tech, crypto and metals.

Stock Market Today: Dow Dips as Fed Rate-Cut Doubts Grow; Nasdaq Pares Losses

November 14, 2025, 1:16 PM EST. US stocks recovered from Friday's losses as rate-cut doubts weighed on conviction. The Dow slipped about 0.8%, while the S&P 500 hovered near flat and the Nasdaq briefly turned positive. Techs trimmed earlier losses as investors rotated into steadier names; NVDA rebounded and TSLA remained under pressure. Bitcoin traded below $96,000, extending a pullback from its October peak. Traders priced in less than a 50% chance of a December rate cut amid hawkish signals from officials like Kashkari and uncertainty after the government shutdown. Tariff moves and ongoing trade considerations also colored sentiment, leaving markets in a cautious mood as investors wait for clearer data and policy clues.

Superior Plus (TSX: SPB) Stock Falls After Mixed Q3 2025 Results and Analyst Downgrade

November 14, 2025, 1:14 PM EST. Superior Plus (SPB) faced volatility after a mixed Q3 2025, delivering higher revenue but softer propane volumes and pressured CNG pricing. The results sparked a downgrade from analyst Robert Catellier, even as some peers maintained a Buy rating. In the near term, the stock has cooled despite a year-to-date gain, underscoring a tug-of-war between headwinds and the company's strategic actions. Management emphasizes share repurchases and operational improvements intended to lift margins and cash flow over the long term. Investors will watch whether volume recovery and more favorable CNG pricing materialize. If so, occasional volatility could give way to improved fundamentals and a clearer path to value creation.

Bitcoin Black Friday: Tether CEO Reacts as BTC Dips Below $100,000 Amid Market Liquidations

November 14, 2025, 1:12 PM EST. Bitcoin fell below $95,000 for the first time in six months as risk-off sentiment swept markets, with nearly $900 million pulled from exchange-traded funds. The slide extends from the Nov. 11 high of $107,482, threatening to erase most of this year's gains for BTC, which has swung from a record $126,251 in October to a year-end close near $93,714 in 2024. The moment has been dubbed Bitcoin Black Friday, prompting a reaction from Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino. Total crypto liquidations reached about $1.38 billion, with BTC accounting for $676 million and a $44 million long wipeout on HTX. Analysts note rising Tether dominance and caution that a bear market isn't confirmed until the $94,000 cost basis breaks.

ULTY, METD: Big ETF Outflows Highlight Broad ETF Selloff

November 14, 2025, 1:10 PM EST. ETF outflows dominate this week, led by the YieldMax Ultra Option Income Strategy ETF (ULTY) with 50,425,000 units removed, a 10.4% WoW drop. Among its components, Coinbase Global trades about -0.9% and Robinhood Markets around -0.2% today. On a percentage basis, the Direxion Daily META Bear 1X Shares posted the largest shrinkage, shedding 200,000 units or roughly -40.0% from the prior week. The setup highlights broader redemptions in thematic/volatility-driven vehicles, as traders weigh risk and liquidity in these ETFs. Video coverage accompanies the note; views are those of the author and not Nasdaq, Inc.

Notable ETF Inflow Detected in XLV; HCA, ELV, COR in Focus

November 14, 2025, 1:08 PM EST. ETF Channel flags a notable week-over-week inflow in the Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLV): about $320.8 million added, a 0.8% rise in outstanding units (from 251,865,324 to 253,965,324). Among XLV's top holdings, HCA Healthcare is up ~0.1%, ELV is down ~1.2%, and COR is up ~0.1%. XLV is trading near last price $151.78, with a 52-week range of $127.35-$154.515. The flow underscores evolving ETF liquidity, as new units are created to meet demand or destroyed when redeemed, potentially affecting component weights. For full holdings, see the XLV Holdings page, and explore related ETFs with notable inflows.

February 2026 Options Now Available for CleanSpark (CLSK)

November 14, 2025, 1:06 PM EST. CleanSpark Inc (CLSK) saw February 2026 options begin trading. With ~98 days to expiration, the new contracts offer premium opportunities for option sellers. The $11.00 put bids around $1.00, implying a potential cost basis of $10.00 if sold to open. At roughly a 2% out-of-the-money level, odds of expiring worthless are about 65%, yielding 9.09% on the cash, or 33.86% annualized (YieldBoost). On the call side, the $15.00 strike calls bid around $1.38. A covered call using CLSK at about $11.22 could deliver about 45.99% total return if shares are called away at expiration. Investors should review trailing history and fundamentals for upside risk before trading.

IYR ETF Sees $331.4M Inflow, 9.9% WoW Jump in Shares Outstanding

November 14, 2025, 1:04 PM EST. An ETF Channel review shows the iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR) recording roughly $331.4 million in inflows, about 9.9% week-over-week growth in outstanding units (from 35.3 million to 38.8 million). Among IYR's top holdings, WELL is up about 1%, PLD off roughly 0.2%, and AMT higher by roughly 0.3% in today's session. IYR's 52-week range runs from $81.53 to $103.46, with a last trade near $94.64. Traders also reference the 200-day moving average as a technical gauge. Creation/destruction of ETF units can ripple through holdings as flows expand or shrink the underlying buys. For a full holdings list and additional inflow signals, see the ETF Channel pages.

Noteworthy ETF Outflows: XLB Down 5.3% WoW as ECL, MLM and FCX Slump

November 14, 2025, 1:02 PM EST. XLB posted an approximate $302.3 million outflow, a 5.3% week-over-week decline as units fell from 65,023,725 to 61,573,725. Among its largest components, ECL is down about 0.7%, MLM about 0.7%, and FCX roughly 1.5% lower. The ETF's 52-week range spans $73.12 to $95.20, with a last trade near $86.74. Traders also watch the 200-day moving average as a technical reference. Weekly flows reflect unit creation/destruction that can affect holdings.

XLK Sees ~$315M Inflow; LRCX, QCOM, AMAT Move

November 14, 2025, 1:00 PM EST. Week-over-week data from ETF Channel shows the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) posting an approximate $315.2 million inflow, a 0.3% rise in outstanding units (from 322,555,897 to 323,655,897). Among XLK's top components, Lam Research (LRCX) slid about 1.8%, Qualcomm (QCOM) eased roughly 0.5%, and Applied Materials (AMAT) fell around 2%. The ETF's 52-week range spans $172.45 to $305.99, with a last trade near $285.81. Traders often compare prices to the 200-day moving average for trend context. The report also notes how unit creation/destruction reflects demand, with a link to the XLK holdings page and to nine other inflowing ETFs.

THRO ETF Posts Notable Inflow: 6.2% WoW Rise in Outstanding Units

November 14, 2025, 12:58 PM EST. THRO ETF shows a notable inflow: roughly $402, a 6.2% week-over-week rise in outstanding units. The count is near 18.0 million. The latest trade is around $37.92, within a 52-week range of $27.82-$39.13. The chart frames the 200-day moving average as a momentum reference. ETF flows arise from creation/destruction of units and can influence the ETF's underlying holdings.

Five9 (FIVN) February 2026 Options Now Trading: Deep-Otm Put at $15 and Covered-Call at $25

November 14, 2025, 12:56 PM EST. With ~98 days to expiration, Five9's February 2026 options offer new opportunities. The standout put is the $15 strike (bid ~$0.10). Selling to open creates an effective cost basis of $14.90 if assigned, about a 25% discount to the current price (~$20.10). Odds of the put expiring worthless are ~80%, implying a 0.67% return on cash and ~2.48% annualized (YieldBoost). On the call side, the $25 strike (bid ~$0.50) supports a covered-call setup: buy at ~$20.10 and sell the call to target a ~26.87% total return if shares are called away. The trailing twelve months history and fundamentals help frame the risk and upside.

FBND Inflows Reach $121.3M, 1.1% WoW Increase in Shares Outstanding

November 14, 2025, 12:54 PM EST. FBND ETF (Symbol: FBND) recorded a week-over-week inflow of about $121.3 million, a 1.1% rise in outstanding units (from 242.652M to 245.252M). The rise in unit count signals ongoing appetite for the fund, which may prompt the ETF issuer to adjust underlying holdings as units are created. The fund's price sits around $46.66, near the 52-week high of $46.8499 and above the 52-week low of $42.4499. The chart compares price vs. the 200-day moving average, a common technical reference. With inflows often presaging activity in the ETF's components, investors will watch whether inflows persist and how they affect holdings.

SPB crosses below key 200-day moving average

November 14, 2025, 12:52 PM EST. Superior Plus Corp (TSX: SPB.TO) traded around $10.95 after slipping below its 200-day moving average of $11.01. The stock touched as low as $10.96 on the session, leaving it about 3.1% weaker. A look at the chart shows SPB's 1-year performance versus the 200-day moving average, highlighting a potential near-term momentum shift. The stock's 52-week range spans from a low of $9.44 to a high of $13.47; the latest trade sits near the lower end. Traders may monitor whether SPB can reclaim the 200-day MA or extend recent pullbacks. Last trade cited at $10.95.

StubHub Shares Fall 25% After Q3 Report as Guidance Is Withheld; 2026 Outlook Next

November 14, 2025, 12:50 PM EST. StubHub shares plunged about 25% to around $14 on Friday after posting its first earnings report since going public. The company did not provide forecasts for the current quarter and said it will issue a 2026 outlook with its next report, expected in about three months. The pullback highlights investor concerns about demand and execution, even as executives noted growth in revenue and GMV. StubHub reported a Q3 net loss of $1.3 billion, offset by a $1.4 billion charge related to stock awards from the IPO. Revenue rose 8% to $468 million, while GMV climbed 11% YoY to $2.4 billion (24% ex-Taylor Swift's Eras Tour). JPMorgan trimmed its price target to $22 and cautioned on near-term softness, though remains bullish on market share gains.

US stocks head for second straight big loss as tech-led rally cools

November 14, 2025, 12:48 PM EST. US equities extended losses on Friday, with the S&P 500 down about 1.1%, the Dow off hundreds of points and the Nasdaq slipping roughly 1.6%. Nvidia and other high-flyers cooled after a long rally, helping pull major benchmarks lower as traders weigh AI momentum against higher interest rates. The global sell-off followed one of the worst days for stocks this spring and a broad retreat in risk assets, with gold also under pressure. The move suggested growing concerns about lofty valuations and the sustainability of tech-led gains, as investors reassess growth outlooks and the pace of policy tightening amid a mixed earnings backdrop.

Microsoft initiated, Home Depot downgraded: Wall Street's top analyst calls

November 14, 2025, 12:47 PM EST. Today's market chatter centers on fresh analyst calls across tech, consumer, and industrials. Highlights include a Microsoft initiation from Baird with an Outperform and a $600 target, underscoring its AI leadership; Circle Internet upgraded to Outperform by Baird; Shake Shack upgraded by Loop Capital; TripAdvisor upgraded by Mizuho; Gap upgraded by Jefferies; and MP Materials upgraded by JPMorgan. On the downgrades side, Home Depot was cut to Hold by Stifel, plus downgrades on Applied Materials (Craig-Hallum), StubHub and Flowserve (BofA), and Progressive (Jefferies). Initiations also cover Polaris by Loop Capital and United Rentals by Wells Fargo. The batch reflects ongoing valuation shifts as investors weigh AI exposure, growth trajectories, and management turnarounds.

Bitcoin Slides to May Lows as Fear and Greed Index Hits Extreme Fear

November 14, 2025, 12:44 PM EST. Bitcoin is trading below $95,000, its lowest since May as the Fear and Greed Index sits at 16 in an extreme fear regime. The slide comes after about 24% from the October 6 high, with factors including the October 10 Big Liquidation, waning spot demand, and slowing stablecoin liquidity. About 815,000 BTC were sold in the past month, pressuring prices further. The US shutdown fuels uncertainty ahead of a pivotal FOMC meeting, prompting risk-off moves. ETF outflows near $870 million signal broad de-risking. Near-term risks include reclaiming the 365-day moving average at $102,000; ongoing ETF outflows; and macro spillovers. A bearish path points to $74k-$72k, while some see a revival into 2026.

Two AI IPOs to Watch: OpenAI and Anthropic Could Spark a New Wave

November 14, 2025, 12:42 PM EST. Moving beyond the private rounds, this piece highlights OpenAI and Anthropic as the AI IPOs that could redefine access to the most advanced models behind ChatGPT and Claude. While valuations and private investments dominate chatter, a public listing would likely unleash strong retail demand and a potential first-day surge. The piece also nods to CoreWeave (CRWV) as an AI infrastructure name that has shown how timing can influence an IPO's reception, even in a nervous market. In today's cautious climate-Fed policy, inflation fears, and doubts about AI spend-the author still expects a day-one win for major AI pivots, and even suggests diversifying into multiple AI pure-plays rather than chasing a single favorite.

Netflix's 10-for-1 Stock Split: Short-Term Underperformance, Long-Term Potential?

November 14, 2025, 12:38 PM EST. Netflix's 10-for-1 split will take effect next week, making shares and options more accessible without changing intrinsic value. Historically, post-split performance is mixed: the two-week return for stock splits averages about 0.48%, shy of the SPX's 0.60%. Longer horizons are only modestly above SPX, with higher volatility and roughly half of stocks beating the index. Focusing on high-priced stocks (pre-split >$400) yields a similar pattern: about a 1.2% drop in the first two weeks and 38% beating SPX, but six- to twelve-month gains average around 17.4%, versus 9.8% for SPX, albeit with outsized movers. The article notes Netflix's market cap near $480B for context, illustrating the reputational impact of mega-cap splits as retail buyers swarm around the event.

Nasdaq 100 Movers: WBD Led Early Gains as AMAT Dips

November 14, 2025, 12:34 PM EST. In early Friday trading, Warner Bros Discovery (WBD) led the Nasdaq 100's movers, rising about 2.5% and extending a year-to-date gain near 114.8%. On the flip side, Applied Materials (AMAT) was the day's worst performer, slipping roughly 4.3% despite a 31.3% year-to-date gain. Other notable moves included Strategy dipping about 3.7% and Workday (WDAY) advancing around 2.4%. The session highlights the uneven momentum within the index, with consumer media and tech-equipment names showing divergent paths. Investors will watch for further intraday updates as components rotate in response to broader market cues.

Wall Street eases after an initial sell-off as Dow slides nearly 1%, S&P 500 down 0.5% amid Nvidia, bitcoin and gold swings

November 14, 2025, 12:32 PM EST. U.S. stocks pared most of an early decline but remained softer in morning trading. The S&P 500 fell about 0.5% after briefly slumping as much as 1.3% at the open, the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined around 485 points (about 1%), and the Nasdaq Composite dipped roughly 0.4%. Investors weighed the freshness of market catalysts as Nvidia, bitcoin and gold swung in different directions, stoking caution about the near-term path for equities and risk assets.

Soybeans Rally Starts Friday as Futures Gain and WASDE Preview Looms

November 14, 2025, 12:30 PM EST. Soybeans are starting Friday with modest gains, as futures post 1-2 cent early moves after Thursday's session saw nearby contracts rally into double digits. Open interest climbed by 16,783 contracts, signaling fresh buying interest. November deliveries numbered 38 as the contract approaches expiration. The cmdtyView cash bean price sits at $10.73 per bushel. Soymeal futures rose about $2.50 and soy oil eased. Export sales for the week of Sept. 25 totaled 870,533 MT for soybeans, with meal bookings at 623,515 MT and 216,215 MT cancellations for 2024/25. USDA backlog of unreported large daily sales is due, while WASDE previews point to soybean yield around 53.1 bpa and ending stocks near 304 mbu. Nearby futures, including Nov 25, closed higher.

Lyft (LYFT) Valuation After Sharp Gains: Is the Stock Still Undervalued?

November 14, 2025, 12:26 PM EST. Lyft (LYFT) has rallied, with a 12% weekly gain and an 18% monthly surge, spurring fresh questions about its fair value. Recent momentum, including a 90-day return of about 50% and a year-to-date rise near 74%, has investors weighing growth prospects against execution risk. The stock's 1-year total shareholder return of roughly 33% signals a broader turnaround narrative rather than a fleeting move. Valuation debates center on a popular narrative that pegs fair value around $20.18, suggesting the stock may be overvalued relative to near-term fundamentals, while a DCF framework from SWS hints at meaningful upside if long-term cash flows are realized. Risks include competition and regulatory headwinds. Investors should consider growth catalysts in international expansion, autonomous tech bets, and partnerships as they assess upside versus downside.

Wall Street Shakes After Sell-Off as Nvidia, Bitcoin and Gold Swing

November 14, 2025, 12:24 PM EST. U.S. stocks continued to wobble Friday, with the S&P 500 slipping about 0.5% and the Dow down roughly 485 points as trading neared midday, while the Nasdaq eased. The rally centerpiece-Nvidia-reversed an early loss to finish near flat, underscoring how AI stocks remain market movers. Investors also weighed the pull between lofty valuations and potential easing in interest rates, as Treasury yields drift lower. Bitcoin and gold joined the volatile mix, amplifying swings beyond tech alone. Traders eyed Nvidia's upcoming quarterly report for clues on growth, as the stock's outsized influence can steer the index. Amid the mood, critics warn prices look stretched, while some say pullbacks are the price of the ride.

Stocks slide as AI fears and Fed rate-cut doubts weigh on markets

November 14, 2025, 12:22 PM EST. Stocks extended their slide Friday as investors weighed AI-sector fragility against doubts about a December Federal Reserve rate cut. The S&P 500 fell about 32 points (0.5%), the Dow Jones dropped around 467 points (1%), while the Nasdaq Composite slipped as tech valuations cooled. European markets also declined, with the FTSE 100, DAX, and CAC 40 lower. Analysts like Adam Crisafulli of Vital Knowledge urged patience, noting that while AI fundamentals remain strong, sentiment has become reactive to erratic price action in AI-linked names. The outlook for a December cut cooled after Powell's remarks and pricing cooled to roughly 53% odds per CME FedWatch. The key questions: how much valuation relief remains for tech, and when will policy shift.

Corn Edges Higher Ahead of USDA Report as Futures Rally Gathers Pace; Ethanol Output Drops

November 14, 2025, 12:20 PM EST. Corn prices posted fractional gains Friday morning after Thursday's rally of 4 to 6.5 cents in the front months. The day added new buying interest as open interest increased by 35,080 contracts. The CmdtyView national average cash price rose to $4.02 1/2. EIA data showed ethanol production for the week ending Nov 7 slipped by 48,000 bpd to 1.075 million bpd, with stocks drawing 436,000 barrels to 22.219 million. Traders await USDA export sales data for Sept 25 at 1.394 MMT and the monthly Crop Production report, where the Reuters poll points to corn yield around 184 bpa and production near 16.557 bbu, a drop from September.

Wheat Edges Higher Friday Amid Mixed Futures, Export Data and Weather Outlook

November 14, 2025, 12:16 PM EST. Wheat is higher on Friday for CBOT, KC HRW and MPLS, after a Thursday session that saw mixed trade. CBOT soft red wheat futures were fractionally lower to cap the session, while KC HRW gained 1-2 cents and MPLS spring wheat was steady to 2 cents lower. Open interest declined across the board, signaling some consolidation and potential short covering. Delayed export sales for the week of 9/25 totaled 315,875 MT, a three-week low. Analysts are eyeing US stocks around 867 mbu and world ending stocks near 266.13 MMT as production and weather drive sentiment. The NOAA forecast suggests 1-4 inches of precipitation in the Southern Plains and SRW states next week, with France and Argentina crop as additional influences.

Lean Hogs Retreat as Futures Fell; Open Interest Rises into Friday Trade

November 14, 2025, 12:14 PM EST. Lean hog futures finished Thursday in the red, with contracts down about $2.55 to $2.70 as open interest extended a fresh short position build (+3,058 contracts). The USDA national base hog price slipped to $77.86 per cwt, down 92 cents, while the CME Lean Hog Index eased to $89.13 on Nov. 11. USDA data showed weekly pork sales reaching a multi-week high at 47,386 MT for the week of 9/25. The pork carcass cutout value fell to $95.26 per cwt, with the belly primal the lone higher component. Slaughter totals were in line with recent weeks (494,000 Thurs; 1.942 million wk). Front-months closed lower, notably Dec, Feb, and Apr hogs.

Friday 11/14 Insider Buying Report: LUNR and BLMN

November 14, 2025, 12:10 PM EST. Two insider buys drive Friday's action: Intuitive Machines Director Michael Blitzer bought 241,080 shares of LUNR for about $2.19 million at $9.09 per share, the first insider buy by Blitzer in 12 months. The stock is up about 5.7% on the session. In a separate move, Bloomin' Brands EVP and CFO Eric C. Christel purchased 150,000 shares at $6.38, totaling $957,000 – their first filing in a year. BLMN has slid roughly 1.5% on Friday, with Christel's buy occurring near a session high of $6.84. A video recap accompanies the report. The views are those of the author and not Nasdaq, Inc.