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Utilities stocks jump to start 2026 as XLU rallies; NextEra outlook and U.S. jobs data in focus
4 January 2026
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Utilities stocks jump to start 2026 as XLU rallies; NextEra outlook and U.S. jobs data in focus

NEW YORK, January 4, 2026, 13:57 ET — Market closed

  • Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU) rose 1.2% on Friday, closing at $43.18 on heavy volume
  • NextEra reaffirmed 2025–26 adjusted profit targets in a Jan. 2 SEC filing ahead of investor meetings
  • Traders are braced for a backlog of U.S. data next week, capped by the Dec. jobs report on Jan. 9

U.S. utilities stocks opened 2026 with a firm bid, pushing the Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU) up 1.2% to close at $43.18 on Friday, with about 20.5 million shares changing hands. U.S. markets were closed on Sunday.

XLU is widely used as a proxy for large-cap U.S. utilities, tracking the sector inside the S&P 500. The group often trades as “rate-sensitive” because its steady dividends can look less attractive when bond yields rise. State Street Global Advisors

That sensitivity matters now because investors are heading into a week packed with delayed U.S. economic reports after a government shutdown disrupted the usual release schedule. Treasury yields — the interest rates on U.S. government debt — moved higher on Friday, a backdrop that can quickly reshape flows into dividend-heavy sectors. Reuters

The broader tape was mixed on Friday, with the S&P 500 and Dow edging higher while the Nasdaq slipped, Reuters reported. The 10-year Treasury yield ended around 4.191% as markets looked ahead to next week’s run of employment data. Reuters

Among big utilities names, NextEra Energy rose 0.8% on the day, Duke Energy gained 0.2% and Entergy climbed 1.6%. XLU traded as high as $43.38 and as low as $42.66 during the session.

NextEra said in a Jan. 2 filing that it continues to expect 2025 adjusted earnings per share — a profit metric that strips out certain items — of $3.62 to $3.70, and 2026 adjusted EPS of $3.92 to $4.02. It also reiterated a plan for dividends per share growth of about 10% annually through 2026, with senior management set to meet investors throughout January. SEC

Duke said South Carolina regulators approved proposals that will flow storm-recovery and grid-investment costs into customer bills in early 2026, including a change starting March 1 for typical Duke Energy Carolinas customers. The company said securitization — issuing low-interest bonds backed by customer charges — would help cut the impact of Hurricane Helene recovery costs. Duke Energy Investor Relations

“Value is outperforming growth and AI infrastructure is up,” said Jed Ellerbroek, a portfolio manager at Argent Capital, in comments to Reuters on Friday. The view that data-center buildouts will lift power demand has been a key part of the utilities bull case. Reuters

But utilities can give back gains fast if rates reprice higher: a hotter-than-expected jobs print can push yields up and make dividends look less compelling, while regulators can tighten the screws on how quickly utilities recoup big infrastructure spending through customer bills.

The next test comes as cash markets reopen Monday, with traders watching Monday’s ISM manufacturing survey (Jan. 5) and a midweek cluster including ADP employment, ISM services and JOLTS. The main catalyst is Friday’s U.S. employment report for December, due at 8:30 a.m. ET on Jan. 9; BMO Capital Markets economists expect about 50,000 new jobs and the unemployment rate holding at 4.6%, Kiplinger reported. Kiplinger

Stock Market Today

  • Fossil Group Shares Surge 8.3% Amid Mixed Earnings Outlook
    April 9, 2026, 9:16 AM EDT. Fossil Group (FOSL) shares jumped 8.3% to close at $5.2 on heavy volume, extending a 19.1% gain over the past month. Despite this rally, the watchmaker is expected to report a quarterly loss of $0.22 per share, a 120% decline year over year, with revenues down 12% to $205.3 million. Consensus earnings estimates have been revised sharply lower by 236.4% in the last 30 days, typically a bearish signal. Fossil is focusing on a brand-led turnaround with full-price sales and cost tightening to support margins and growth, particularly in the U.S. and India. The stock retains a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). Peer Urban Outfitters (URBN) gained 5.4%, but its earnings forecasts also declined slightly. Investors should watch if Fossil's price momentum can withstand its weak earnings forecast.

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